Arthur Ajemyan
Analyst · Martin Englert with Seaport Research Partners
Thanks, Steve, and good morning, everyone. Our sales of $3.88 billion in the second quarter declined by a modest 2.1% from the first quarter on relatively flat pricing. While carbon flat-rolled products drove the vast majority of the quarterly volume decline, their impact on sales dollars is relatively neutral, as higher selling prices for carbon flat-rolled products offset the impact of volume declines on our revenues. Declines in stainless and common alloy aluminum product sales in the second quarter drove the 2.1% sequential decline in revenues. Our FIFO gross profit margin, which excludes the effects of our LIFO inventory valuation method, remained relatively flat at 30.3% in the second quarter compared to 30.5% in the first quarter. However, the entry point into the second quarter was higher than the exit point due to temporary pressure on margins from declining stainless and aluminum product selling prices. The higher-than-anticipated decline in nonferrous product prices contributed to a revision of our annual LIFO estimate from $60 million of income to $120 million of income. As a result, we recorded LIFO income of $45 million in the second quarter to reflect a revised annual estimate. Our first quarter 2023 results included LIFO income of $15 million, bringing our 6-month total to $60 million of income or half of our current $120 million annual LIFO income estimate. Our reported gross profit margins, which are on a LIFO basis, came in at 31.5% for the second quarter, up from 30.9% in the first quarter. As of June 30, 2023, the $683.8 million LIFO reserve on our balance sheet remains available to mitigate the impact of possible further declines in metal prices and benefit future period operating results. Moving on to expenses. Our second quarter same-store non-GAAP SG&A expenses modestly declined by $6.7 million or 1% compared to the first quarter from lower variable costs associated with lower tons shipped. On a year-over-year basis, our expenses were relatively consistent as incremental variable costs associated with higher tons shipped and inflationary wage adjustments were mostly offset by lower incentive-based compensation resulting from lower FIFO profitability. Overall, our second quarter pretax income of $510.9 million and pretax income margin of 13.2% were consistent with our first quarter results, and our diluted earnings per share of $6.49 for the second quarter were in line with our guidance of $6.40 to $6.60 per share. Turning to our balance sheet and cash flow. We generated cash flow from operations of $295.1 million, down from $384.6 million for the first quarter, mainly due to timing of estimated income tax payment. For the 6-month period ended June 30, 2023, our operating cash flow of $679.7 million was consistent with the same 6-month period in 2022, as the impact of lower profitability was offset by lower working capital investments in 2023. Our inventory churn rate based on tons improved to 4.8x or 2.5 months on hand in 2023 compared to 4.4x in the same 6-month period in 2022. Overall, operating cash flow generation remains strong, and our working capital management metrics are at healthy levels. Our operating cash flow for the 6-month period in 2023 and cash on hand funded $257.2 million of growth initiatives in the form of capital expenditures and acquisitions, the return of $233.4 million to our stockholders in the form of $120.6 million of cash dividends and $112.8 million of share repurchases, and the repayment of $500 million of senior notes. Approximately $568 million remained available on our $1 billion share repurchase authorization as of June 30, 2023. I'll now turn to our third quarter outlook. While we anticipate underlying demand will remain healthy in the third quarter of 2023, we expect our tons sold will be down 2% to 4% compared to the second quarter due to normal seasonal patterns, including a decline in shipping volumes resulting from planned customer shutdowns and vacation schedules, along with one less shipping day. However, compared to the third quarter of 2022, this guidance implies growth in tons sold of 1.5% to 3.5%. In addition, we expect our average selling price per ton sold for the third quarter to be down 2% to 4% compared to the second quarter, primarily driven by declining prices for flat-rolled products across our major commodities, along with carbon steel tubing products, which selectively represent about 35% of our sales. We also anticipate temporary downward pressure on our gross profit margin from these declining price trends. Based on these expectations, we anticipate non-GAAP earnings per diluted share in the range of $4.90 to $5.10 for the third quarter of 2023. Thank you, and we'll now open the call up to questions. Operator?