Ray N. Walker
Analyst · Simmons & Company
Thanks, Jeff. I'll focus my remarks this morning on operational results, production guidance and marketing, and as always, there's specific detail in our earnings release and in our updated presentation and we can certainly cover any of that in the Q&A. I'll start with our southern Marcellus division in Southwest Pennsylvania with an example of improving capital efficiency, combined with improving well performance. We recently drilled 2 new wells on an existing Marcellus pad in our wet area. That pad had 5 existing wells that had been producing for a little over 2 years. One is the new well with a 700 foot spaced well and the other one was a 900 foot spaced well. That new wells averaged 3,776 foot laterals and 19 stages as compared against 2,500 feet and 9 stages on the 5 existing wells. And the new wells utilized our newer targeting technology, reduced cluster spacing, or what we call RCS completions, and our newer frac-ing science. These new wells point out some very important and significant value adds going forward. First, these 2 new wells, on average, cost approximately $850,000 less per well than like-kind wells drilled on a newly constructed pad today. In other words, an apples-to-apples comparison with today's cost and processes. The reason for the significant savings is the already existing infrastructure, in essence, the pad, road, water and some of the production facilities were already paid for, along with the gathering infrastructure. Secondly, the average initial production rate, or IP, of these 2 wells was $18.9 million a day each, as compared to $4.9 million a day each for the existing wells completed over 2 years ago. That's nearly 4x better. This is a tangible example of improving completion designs and technologies combined with reservoir modeling, and this example confirms our belief that there's opportunity to recover additional reserves at better metrics as we add wells on existing pads throughout the field. Third, even though the new wells were 50% longer laterals with more than twice as many stages, the new wells still cost 6% less than the original wells on an absolute basis. And we're almost 4x better performers based on the IPs. And lastly, but equally impactful, these wells came online approximately 9 to 12 months earlier than normal due to much of the permitting procedure being satisfied by the existing pad and related infrastructure. We believe we're still in the early innings of the ballgame in driving real step changes in value and capital efficiency going forward as illustrated by this example. 10% of the wells we're drilling in 2014 will be wells that we've gone back onto existing producing pads like this example, and we expect that percentage should increase in the years ahead. The second example from Southwest PA involves a new 5-well pad in the super-rich area. The 5 new wells were all completed with our latest RCS designs, having an average lateral length of 6,635 feet and 34 stages. Again, these laterals are significantly longer than our historical average. The 5 wells had an average IP of 28.6 million cubic feet equivalent per day each, or 4,773 Boe per day, of which 65% is liquids and is now our highest per well average IP from any pad yet in Southwest Pennsylvania. One of these wells IP-ed at 38.1 million cubic feet equivalent per day or 6,357 Boe per day with a 7,065 foot lateral and 36 stages, and is now the highest liquids-rich well IP, again, with greater than 60% liquids in the basin. In fact, we believe it's the highest IP rate reported in the southwest portion of the basin or any Marcellus well, either dry or wet. When you consider this fixed offset pad to this new super-rich pad, which hold 28 wells, having an average IP of 9.9 million a day with 3,650 foot laterals and 18 stages, these 5 new wells, on an absolute basis, have a 189% higher IP, and on a normalized lateral length basis, have a 60% better IP, again, illustrating that our team is getting better and better at understanding the reservoir and recovering more of the hydrocarbon in place. We get a lot of questions concerning how to compare well results with variable lateral lengths against the standard type curve. Considering the variability of lateral lengths actually being completed, we've now updated the presentation with a slide that normalizes our 2013 actual well data on a lateral length basis for our super-rich area. What you'll see is that with a year's worth of data, the 2013 wells on a normalized basis continue to produce about 50% above the 2013 normalized type curve. This clearly supports the upgrade of our type curves at the last earnings release. Going a step further, albeit very early, the 4 super-rich wells that we've turned to sales thus far in 2014, which averaged 5,933 feet with 30 stages are slightly outperforming the 2014 type curve. While recognizing they have less than 30 days of production history, we're cautiously optimistic this performance will hold up. And once we get more wells and more production history on the 2014 wells, we'll update and normalize the 2014 type curves accordingly. A third example of improving well performance is a new pad we just brought online in our dry gas area of Southwest Pennsylvania. This pad had 3 wells averaging 4,768 foot laterals with 25 stage completions. This is a brand-new pad and we're still cleaning these wells up, but all of these wells appear capable of well over 20 million a day and are exhibiting really strong wellhead pressures. In fact, one of the wells was flowing at over 30 million a day over the weekend. Takeaway of the pad is limited to approximately 50 million, and again, this is another example of applying our new completion designs in the dry area with some longer laterals and delivering outstanding results. Combining what we've seen from the first example of going back onto an existing pad with much improved capital efficiency and achieving much better well performance, coupled with the much improved and record-setting performance of the super-rich area and the dry gas area examples, our high-quality inventory becomes even more valuable. Being in a core position like we are, we believe the high-quality rock can continue to yield better and better results. And again, as I've said many times in the past and we just proved once again, we haven't drilled our best well yet. We expect our EURs to continue to improve on an absolute and normalized basis, while at the same time becoming more capital efficient. This is very impactful as we have a large footprint in the core of the Marcellus in Southwest PA and have only drilled a small portion of our inventory to date. And we have almost a 10-year track record in the Marcellus to support that we are getting better and better. Shifting to the Utica test. We've spud the well, and albeit very early in the project, we're on track to have test results by the fourth quarter. We're planning for a 6,500 foot lateral targeted in the Point Pleasant interval to be completed with approximately 32 stages, utilizing our latest RCS designs. There've been a lot of questions concerning what our expectations might be. While I'm not going to predict the test rate, what I can say is we're a little deeper, we believe we have a thicker formation with comparable permeability and porosity, and we believe we have comparable and potentially higher pressures than the key offsets to our West and South. Again, we could have the core of the highest gas in place in the Utica right underneath our core Marcellus and Upper Devonian position in Washington County, PA, and this well should tell us a lot about the potential value of that resource. In northeast Pennsylvania, we're continuing with our program, averaging one rig throughout the year while fulfilling our lease commitments and holding our production volumes approximately flat. As a follow-up to our last call, where I announced the 18 Bcf well in Lycoming County, that particular well, for the first 150 days, averaged 16.9 million a day. Again, it was a 6,353 foot lateral with 32 stages. The average of the 4 wells on that pad was 11.8 million a day each for the first 150 days, and the 4 wells had an average lateral length of 5,406 feet with 22 stages. The great news is that we have the ability and capacity to add as many as 25 more wells that will exceed 5,000 feet of lateral length in that immediate area in Lycoming County to significantly ramp up volumes when the time is right. In the Midcontinent Division, we remain focused on delineating and testing our Mississippian Chat acreage on the Nemaha Ridge, along with developing our St. Louis production in the Texas Panhandle. For the chat play, we're continuing with our larger stimulation designs, and we just completed a new well that IP-ed at 1,263 Boe per day with 92% liquids, including 1,062 barrels of oil per day. This well has just yielded our highest oil rate to date in the play. As our team is applying the new stimulations, while it's still early, the results are encouraging. I want to reemphasize that our expectation for EURs remains in the range of 485 to 600 Mboe as we stated in the past. As you know, during the first quarter, we had a much colder winter in Appalachia than average, and it certainly exceeded what we had forecasted as normal winter downtime in our volumes. While we were successful in supplying all our customers during the extreme conditions, we did experience significant shut-ins affecting our production for the quarter. Despite those challenges, we exceeded our first quarter production guidance. And my congratulations to the operating teams across the company for all their great planning and execution during the extreme weather condition. Production for the first quarter was 1.056 Bcf equivalent per day with 35% liquids. Moving to the second quarter. In Southwest Pennsylvania, MarkWest just completed a planned turnaround of its Houston and Majorsville plant complexes that will significantly affect our second quarter volumes. This is a very positive event for Range, and despite the downtime, we are still on track for quarter-to-quarter growth and to grow our 2014 volumes 20% to 25% over 2013. It's important to point out that this turnaround completely took down all of our wet and super-rich production in Southwest Pennsylvania for 7 days. This turnaround was the first since the Houston site began operations in the fall of 2008 and involved major upgrades to various systems at both processing complexes. These upgrades set us up for an increase in process and capacity for Range by 200 million and should significantly enhance plant operations and provide better reliability and efficiencies, allowing for Range's wet gas and liquids growth over the coming years. We applaud MarkWest for their exceptional planning and execution of these upgrades, and we see this as a very positive event for Range. Inclusive of the turnaround, our second quarter guidance will be in the range of 1.06 to 1.075 Bcf equivalent per day with 30% to 35% liquids. The turnaround was significant and results in an impact of approximately 50 million cubic feet equivalent per day in our second quarter volumes. However, the turnaround also now gives us greater confidence in our remaining plans for 2014. Quarter 3 guidance will be approximately 1.16 to 1.210 Bcf equivalent per day, and quarter 4 should be approximately 1.28 to 1.34 Bcf equivalent per day, both with a range of 30% to 35% liquids. As we continue to emphasize, and as pointed out in the press release, Range's marketing strategy is to continually diversify and expand the company's markets with customer base in those markets and the indexes to which we sell. We continue to do this through the acquisition of firm transportation capacity that dovetails with our growing production volume. As part of this strategy, we've focused on projects that involve the expansion of existing infrastructure, thereby resulting in relatively lower transportation rates. And we continue to focus on projects with in-service dates that fit the company's projected volume growth. We're able to do this because our acreage is located in Southwest Pennsylvania where the existing infrastructure is already expansive and in close proximity to our operations. Slide 21 of our presentation provides a detailed breakout of the regions of the country where we're sending our gas, the associated volumes and transport costs. You will note on the slide that our current firm transport cost is approximately $0.25 per mcf, and by 2016, is projected to be $0.21. Not reflected on this slide is a recent arrangement Range has entered into as anchor shipper on a pipeline expansion project. This firm transportation agreement provides Range with an additional 200 million per day of capacity from Southwest Pennsylvania to the Gulf Coast, with a projected in-service date of June 1, 2017. We also picked up 25 million per day of released capacity effective April 1, 2014, to East Coast markets with some of the strongest basis to NYMEX. Also in our press release is a schedule that provides detail of our corporate differential to NYMEX over the last 5 quarters. This schedule also provides detail of our Marcellus-only basis to NYMEX. First quarter 2014 corporate basis before the effects of basis hedges was a plus $0.66, and after basis hedges was a minus $0.24 as it's very similar to the pricing we saw in the third and fourth quarter. The bottom line is that our marketing team is doing a great job accessing the best indexes to sell our gas. We like to stress that 85% to 95% of our gas is sold under more favorable indices, and by 2017, we'll be selling on approximately 20 different indexes, 15 of which are outside the Appalachian basin. Turning to our NGL marketing. Our 2 new ethane pipeline projects are working well, with Nova taking its full contracted volume on Mariner West, and the ATEX pipeline to Mont Belvieu is receiving its full amount as well. Mariner East is expected to be in service in 2015. Again, when all 3 ethane projects are up and running, we'll receive a 25% uplift on our ethane revenue versus leaving the ethane in the gas stream net of all fees. We have been and are continuing to take advantage of Sunoco's market export terminal in Philadelphia to access international propane markets on a seasonal basis. We're also in discussions to sell our butane volumes to international markets, all of this being tangible examples of the good work our marketing team is doing in the basin. In closing, Range has some great acreage positions across the company, and we have tangible and current examples unlocking improvements in both well performance and capital efficiency across all our divisions. And we have a great marketing team that continues to deliver, all of which continue to drive up shareholder value and gives us confidence in our expectations for meeting our goals going forward. Now over to Roger.