Steven Gatoff
Analyst · Pacific Crest Securities. Please go ahead
Thanks Corey. Good afternoon everyone. I’d like to start by providing some color around the business and reviewing our Q3 financial results and metrics, and then provide our guidance for Q4, and then wrap up the call as we always do by opening the call to your questions. Reviewing our Q3 results, three financial highlights stand out as we continued to disrupt the SIM market, expand the threat exposure management opportunity, and drive scale and leverage in our business. First, we delivered another quarter of compelling revenue growth north of 40% year over year driven by our high visibility, highly recurring ratable revenue model. Second, we continue to make good progress on our path to profitability with another quarter of improving expense ratios. And third, becoming a consistent theme, we delivered another quarter of positive operating cash flow, which demonstrates our progress toward profitability and the strength and sustainability of our financial model. Before we get into the details around these three areas, let me briefly comment on the billings dynamics that we saw in Q3. As Corey called out, our implied billings growth in Q3 was short of expectations, with total billings increasing 10% year over year to $44.9 million. That results in a total billings increase of 28% year over year to $131.4 million for the first 9 months of 2016. The Q3 shortfall was due to two specific sales execution issues around our larger enterprise transactions and our federal sector deals. Importantly, we continue to see strong activity in pipeline generation for out threat exposure management and InsightIDR offerings, and for our strategic advisory services. As Corey also noted, we’ve already began addressing the specific sales execution issues with concrete actions. Creating the role of COO and having Andrew specifically lead the mandate to focus and improve our go-to-market engagements, has also been a terrific evolution for Rapid7, and is already making a positive impact. Turning now to the details around our Q3 financial results and the first highlight of the quarter, Q3 total revenue came in at $40.3 million, a strong increase of 42% year over year above the high-end of our guidance. Products revenue increased 42% year over year driven by fairly consistent and good mix of both new customer logos as well as upsells and cross sales within our base of existing customers. Maintenance and support revenue grew 38% year over year, and our professional services revenue increased 49% year over year as customers continue to recognize Rapid7 as provided premier security assessment and advisory expertise. Importantly we continue to have high visibility into our quarterly revenue results, with 62% of our revenue being recurring in nature and 87% of Q3 revenue already on our balance sheet and deferred as of the first day of the quarter. And looking at some of the related dynamics contributing to our strong revenue growth, total deferred revenue grew 36% year over year in Q3 and was comprised of 41% year over year growth in short-term deferred, and 25% in long-term deferred. Long-term deferred revenue growth was impacted by fewer large deals in Q3 that we discussed and by marginally shorter average contract lengths that came in at 21 months for total billings compared to 23 months in the previous quarter and prior year period. Another positive in the quarter was the strong year over year customer growth. Our total customer base increased approximately 33% as we ended Q3 with more than 5,800 customers globally. We now have 37% of the Fortune 1000 as customers of Rapid7, up from 35% a year ago. As noted, we’re having success not only with bringing on new customers, but also with continued customer expansion as seen in our strong renewal rate of 121% for Q3. A related and important customer metric that we always share with you is the expiring revenue renewal rate, which measures our baseline customer revenue retention. In Q3, this expiring revenue renewal rate increased to 89% versus 88% in Q3 2015. We see that’s illustrating two important dynamics for the business; high customer satisfaction and stickiness of our technology and product offerings. In order to help facilitate our continued geographic in the customer expansion growth, we initiated a focused effort a few years ago to expand our international business. At the time we had less than a dozen employees outside of North America and single digits of our revenue from outside the US. Since then we’ve grown our engineering, sales, and go-to-market presence significantly in EMEA, Latin America and Asia PAC and this investment is beginning to pay dividends. International revenue in Q3 grew 69% year over year and was 14% of total revenue for the quarter. To continue the momentum and further enable our sales teams to be well positioned and competitive internationally, we continue to evolve by operating go-to-market structure to provide greater agility and flexibility to engage with, and support our global customers. In this regard, we were pleased to successfully complete an offshoring of our non-US intellectual property to our Rapid7 international subsidiary in the UK. Previously, all of our global customer contracts had been executed with our US entity. Our new global IP ownership and entity structure lays the ground work for more nimble and flexible global expansion of the Rapid7 brand and footprint, as well as a more efficient long-term tax profile and return to stockholders. Turning back to this side of the pond, we delivered solid results in North American in Q3. Revenue grew 39% year over year and represented 86% of total revenue on continued growth and customer adoption. Our global channel partners continue to contribute to growth with 37% of total revenue in the third quarter, fairly consistent with past quarters. With that, let’s moved to our second highlight for Q3. We’re focused and are continuing to be very thoughtful about managing our cost structure, making the necessary investments for growth while also driving a very deliberate and disciplined path to attaining profitability. In this regard, we were pleased to deliver another good quarter of non-GAAP gross margin, with Q3 coming in at 77%, an improvement from 76% in Q3 2015 and the result of some nice efficiencies that we’re continuing to realize as we scale the business and continue to execute toward profitability. This disciplined approach to improving profitability was also evident in our non-GAAP operating expenses in Q3 where the sales and marketing expense to revenue ratio came in at 49%, an improvement compared to 56% in the year ago period, and 55% in Q2. The improvement in the sales and marketing expense ratio reflected prudent spending, as well as benefiting from lower sales commissions in the quarter, and still accommodated Q3 2016 royalty expenses related to Intel MVM customers that were not in the year ago period. As we mentioned previously on this front, there’s some variability in the timing and magnitude of the Intel royalty expenses dependent upon the source and timing of these deal closings. While we continue to drive efforts to improve sales and marketing expense ratios year over year, we like to remind you that we typically see higher costs sequentially in the fourth quarter related to commissions on seasonally higher billings. As we’ll talk about in a moment, we’re also forecasting marginally higher royalty expenses in Q4 related to Intel MVM customers. Turning to R&D, our non-GAAP R&D expense was 25% of revenue in Q3 compared to 32% in Q3 2015 and 31% in Q2. This continued improvement in our profitability is in a large part due to the great work that our products and engineering team has done and the dynamic where we now have nearly half of our R&D headcount outside of the United States. We’re also pleased that a portion of this improvement was attributable to a non-recurring $500,000 UK Government grant received in the third quarter for our engineering operations in Northern Ireland. We’re continuing to drive scale and leveraging our R&D investments while at the same time continuing to deliver important and differentiated features and functions across our core product lines. The power of our cloud-based analytics platform in terms of speed, agility, and cost is also contributing meaningfully to our efficiency gains, and we expect to see continued decreases in our R&D expense to revenue ratios in the fourth quarter and beyond. Finishing out OpEx, our non-GAAP G&A cost structure also improved marginally in Q3, coming in at 15% of revenue versus 16% in both Q3 2015 and Q2 2016. We expect to continue to improve our G&A expense profile over time. Pulling this all together Q3 2016 non-GAAP operating loss was $5.3 million, which was better than our guidance range for operating loss of $8.6 million to $7.6 million. And our non-GAAP loss per share was $0.13, also better than our guidance range of $0.21 and $0.19 net loss per share. Turning to our third and final highlight for Q3, positive operating cash flow. We ended Q3 with a cash balance of $87.7 million and our operating cash flow for Q3 was positive $1.8 million, a result of both our disciplined management of the business and the inherent leverage in our financial model. With that, let's now turn to our outlook for Q4 and the full year 2016. And so far as our guidance for Q4 2016, we anticipate total revenue to be in the range of $42.2 million to $43.6 million. This equates to year-over-year growth of 31% at the midpoint. We anticipate non-GAAP operating loss for Q4 to be in the range of $11.7 million to $10.7 million. And we anticipate non-GAAP loss per share for Q4 2016 to be in the range of $0.28 to $0.26. This is based on anticipated 42 million weighted average shares outstanding. As a result for full year 2016 guidance is updated as follows. We expect total revenue to be in the range of $154.6 million to $156 million, higher than our previous guidance and representing 41% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. We anticipate an improved non-GAAP operating loss for the full year 2016 to be a lower loss in the range of $35.5 million to $34.5 million. And we also anticipate an improved non-GAAP loss per share for the full year 2016 to be a lower loss in the range of $0.87 to $0.84. This is based on an anticipated $41.4 million weighted average shares outstanding for 2016. With that, while we have not provided guidance on billings historically and we don’t currently plan to change that going forward, we did want to provide some additional color to Q4 billings given the work that we are doing around our execution as Corey discussed on the sales side. While we’re confident on the changes that we’ve already made and the contributions that Andrew for example is already driving in the newly created COO role our go to market approach. We anticipate this taking a couple of quarters to work out. As we implement our action plan in the near term, we expect Q4 billings to be in the area of approximately $58 million to $60 million. Finally, let’s talk about operating cash flow. We previously said that we expect to generate approximately $10 million in positive operating cash flow in 2016. Despite the Q3 sales execution challenges and tempered Q4 2016 billings expectations, we still expect positive OCF for Q4 and the full year 2016. Lower billings though means lower cash collections and so we would anticipate OCF to be in the range of positive $4 million to $5 million for the full year 2016. Operating cash flow is a meaningful proxy of our path to profitability and the power of the financial mode, and importantly we expect to see a multiple expansion of positive OCF in 2017 as we continue to scale the business and see leverage in the model. With that, we appreciate your time and support and as always, we are glad to open the call for any questions. Operator.