Keith D. Nosbusch - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Lehman Brothers. Please proceed
Thanks Kirk and good morning to everyone who have joined us on this morning's call. My comments will be brief today. At this same time one quarter ago, we laid out the rationale for considerably better performance in the second half of our 2007 than we delivered in the first half. We projected somewhat higher growth rates and better execution against our productivity objectives. I am extremely pleased today to report that our Q3 results were very much as we expected. U.S. revenue growth did accelerate modestly to 2% year-over-year or 6% sequentially. We did sustain the rapid growth outside the U.S. with particular strength in Latin America and Europe and improvements in Asia. Architecture & Software did for the first time in about two years grow more quickly than Control Products & Solutions. Consumer industries did for the first time and over two years outpaced resource-based industries. Productivity did improve substantially to 5%, and therefore our conversion margin did recover to our targeted range of 30% to 40%, in fact, somewhat above that range. The results we posted in Q3 and the momentum that we are carrying into Q4 have allowed us to raise our guidance for the full year. With only one quarter to go, we are raising our guidance for revenue growth to the high-end of our previous range of 8% to 9% and then taking on an additional percentage point for the recent acquisition of ICS Triplex. So we now expect revenue growth to be about 10%. We are also raising our estimate for EPS from continuing operations from $3.55 to $3.65 to $3.65 to $3.70. As should be evident from this guidance, 2007 will be another great year for Rockwell Automation. But I can assure you we are not resting. We remain intensely focused on sustaining above market organic revenue growth on diversifying our revenue base and on driving the adoption of our Integrated Architecture, while further developing our continuous improvement culture. I am confident that we will close out a successful 2007 and carry that momentum into 2008. I will now turn it over to Ted to provide more details on the quarter. Ted?
Theodore D. Crandall - Senior Vice President, Components & Packaged Applications Group and Interim Chief Financial Officer: Thanks Keith, and good morning to all who called in. We have posted charts to our website and I will reference those charts along with my following comments. Turning to chart 1, entitled third quarter results summary, this slide summarizes key items from the income statement. Starting at the top, revenue in the quarter was $1.281 billion, an increase of 9% over 2006. Segment earnings were $262 million, up 21% year-over-year resulting in a 2.1 percentage point improvement in margin. Walking down the page, you will note that general corporate net was $18 million, down about $4 million from last year. The primary driver of the year-over-year decrease is interest income of about $5 million on the proceeds from the Power Systems sale. Going forward, you should think of general corporate net of expense of about $20 million to $25 million as a normal quarterly run rate. Interest income from the Power Systems' proceeds will no longer be a factor as we have used those proceeds to buy back stock and fund the purchase of ICS Triplex in early July. Moving down the page, interest expense was flat with last year. The third quarter effective tax rate is about 26%, down about 4 points from last year. The rate was lower due to our global earnings mix and the resolution of certain state tax matters. We estimate the rate will be 28% to 29% for the full year 2007. Average shares outstanding in the quarter were $156.5 million, down 13% from a year ago. During the quarter, we repurchased 6.2 million shares. At the end of June, we had $284 million available under our $1 billion repurchase authorization. Let's move to the next chart, Q3 results, Rockwell Automation continuing operations. As always, we are showing total Rockwell results over the past five quarters, excluding Power Systems. As I said before, growth was 9% year-over-year or 7% excluding the effects of currency translation. Sales were up 6% sequentially. From a regional perspective growth was led by continued strong performance in Europe and Latin America with improvement in Asia, Canada and United States. Operating margin in the quarter was 20.5%, up 2.1 points from the third quarter of last year. You can't see it on the chart, but our trailing fourth quarter return on invested capital was 23.7%, up 2.6 percentage points versus the year ago period. I'd like to go to the next chart which summarizes our Architecture & Software results. Sales were up 11% year-over-year. On a sequential basis, sales were up 8%. Logix sales grew 15% in the quarter with nearly two-thirds of the growth coming from process applications and the CompactLogix product offering. Legacy PLC sales were down about 7% in the quarter. Operating margin was 28.3%, up 2.9 points from the third quarter of last year. Profitability benefited from volume, productivity efforts and price, partially offset by inflation. I'll turn now to slide 4 which covers our Control Products & Solutions business. Sales were up 8% year-over-year and up 5% sequentially. Operating margin improved by 1.2 points year-over-year to 14%. Profitability in this segment benefited from volume, productivity efforts and price, partially offset by inflation and less favorable revenue mix. Let me turn now to geographic breakdown of our sales in the quarter. This chart provides regional growth rates and the far right column shows growth rates excluding the impact of currency translation. As you can see in the chart, we had a strong global mix of sales in the quarter. Our U.S. sales were up about 15% in the quarter, a very good result continuing the progress we have seen in the last few quarters. We are optimistic that we will see continued momentum in Europe with the help from short term economic factors as well as the benefits of growth investments we've made in the region. Latin American sales were up 22% with continuing strong performance. Asia Pacific sales were up 9%. Once again our Asia results are the average of emerging Asia and a slower growth developed Asia. This quarter clearly reflects an improvement over the last two quarters. Canada sales were up 7%, also an improvement from the last couple of quarters. Looking into the United States, sales were up 2% year-over-year. The U.S. accounts for 54% of our sales, a decreasing percentage but still large. Consequently U.S. results have a significant impact on our average growth rate. Turning to chart six, you'll see cash flow details for Q3 and year-to-date. In the third quarter, free cash flow from op... from continuing operations was $184 million that excluded tax payments related to the gain on the sale of Power Systems. This is higher than net income and much improved compared to the first two quarters of the year. Capital spending was about equal to depreciation and amortization. I'll close with chart 7 which summarizes our full year guidance. As Keith said earlier, we are raising our revenue growth guidance to 10%, which is the high end of our prior 8% to 9% range and that includes an additional 1 percentage point due to the ICS Triplex acquisition, which we closed in early July. We are also raising our diluted EPS guidance from continuing operations before special charges to $3.65 to $3.70 per share from our prior range of $3.55 to $3.65 per share. We are holding our guidance for free cash flow at $500 million. And with that, we'd be happy to answer any questions you might have.