Mitch Waycaster
Analyst · D. A. Davidson. Please go ahead
Absolutely and your question is right on point. Let me begin with the optimism, and let me start with the pipeline. I'll reflect on production this quarter and the build in that pipeline in production as we ended 2Q and what we're kind of saying as we enter into 3Q that's continuing. So our current pipeline is $261 million, that's up from $240 million as we started the prior quarter and up from $229 million prior year. But we do see good growing deal flow pipeline across all of our markets and business lines. And it's reflective in production. It's reflective in the pipeline as you look across those markets. 13% in Tennessee, 10% in Alabama, Florida Panhandle, 28% in the Georgia Central Florida markets, 34% in Mississippi, 16% in our corporate and commercial business lines. So as I look at the pipeline of $261 million that should result in about $78 million growth in non-purchase outstanding in 30 days. This current pipeline would indicate production somewhere in that $575 million to $625 million range. And as I said, we continue to see that build. That compares to production of $572 million this past quarter. That is up from $534 million in Q1. So we continue, again, to see the pipeline build production and certainly pointing toward positive loan growth in 3Q. You made mentions of payoffs, which is a very good point. We did see in this prior quarter payoffs elevate little over a $100 million. And if you look at just the last four quarter average, it's a little over $50 million. If you were to adjust that to our net growth -- if payoffs had normalized just at the prior quarter the 3% net would have been 7% net or if it's simply been at the average, it would have been at 5%. But if you look a little deeper to your point, and you examine those payoffs, we continue to see the reasons for those payoffs being the borrower sold the underlying asset, about 57% or we lost it to term rate or the permanent market in many cases. That was about 25%. So the attractive pricing of assets, the demand for those with the liquidity that's in the market as well as what the permanent market is offering relative to cash out non-recourse type financing, you're seeing some of those deals go to that market earlier. I think the key thing there is we're not losing those clients. It's -- I mean, we're seeing some of these payoffs pick up but just going back again to the pipeline, the production build that we saw this quarter, they are in lies our optimism. And it comes back to market and talent and our ability to continue to recruit talent, which we saw continue this quarter with an addition of seven producers. So again, talent, markets, pipeline build, reflective of the production last quarter and how we saw that continue to build going into this quarter. We remain optimistic about net loan growth.