Kevin O'Donnell
Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open
Thanks Bob. I'll start with my comments in the property segment and I'll move over to the casualty segment. Our property segment performed very well in a number of ways during the quarter. Certainly with regard to the results, which Bob has already described, but also with regard to our underwriting at a major renewal date. We maintained and strengthened key customer relationships in a market that presented limited new opportunities. It was not a surprise to us that the competitive nature of the property market continued at the mid-year renewals and we have positioned our portfolio accordingly in response. At the June 1 property cat renewal, we did a good job of managing growth and net property cat premium and we grew our books of property quota share, property per risk, and property binder business for what we refer to as other property during the quarter in line with expectations. These portfolios are written mostly in our US and London offices and I'll touch on them in more detail later. As we've mentioned previously, we retained about half of our premium in the property segment reflecting our desire to bring efficient capital to DaVinci, Upsilon, Fibonacci and all our other vehicles and to improve the capital efficiency and returns of our net portfolios through the use of seeded reinsurance. Looking more specifically at property tax, demand in the second quarter was essentially flat, which added to some of the competition. One factor behind this lack of increased demand for traditional reinsurance was the pricing witnessed within the cat bond market. There was 6 billion of cat bonds issued in the second quarter and have been over 9 billion of cat bonds issued for the first half of the year. To put this in perspective, there was less than 6 billion of issuance for the whole of 2016. I'm not sure how much this added to the pressure at this renewal, but it did not help. Pricing in our overall property cat portfolio at the mid-year renewals which would reflect both the US and non-US renewals was down by roughly 5% broadly in line with expectations. Underlying the relatively small decrease in our property cat gross premiums were significant changes in individual programs as we reduced on the worst and increased on the best. This along with our gross to net strategy allowed us to keep our net exposure to the win season relatively flat trading a little less risk down low for a little more risk at higher return periods. A great result in a tough market. To focus on the US and Florida, this market also saw essentially flat demand and pricing down by about 5% overall. Whereas in previous years there have been some programs we priced or experienced shortfalls. With abundant capacity this year, all programs were placed relatively easily. As per terms and conditions, these were stable with the main change of note being the coverage for named storms moving from traditional [indiscernible] clause to event coverage. We worked with our customers and brokers well ahead of time to develop new contract language giving customers the coverage they need without taking fortuitous exposure ourselves. It is also worth talking losses witnessed this year to date. While losses were relatively benign in the second quarter with the PCS Index coming in about average, we estimate that the first half of 2017 experienced approximately 17 billion of property loss in the US due to severe weather. This is more than double the first half average over the last ten years. These losses were more about frequency than severity however with no single event exceeding 2 billion. Consequently, most of these events were too small to trigger excessive loss reinsurance coverage. Since losses were mostly retained by insurance companies, once again reinsurers have outperformed on an actual as opposed to an expected basis. Moving from property cat to our other property portfolio. There was fairly substantial growth in our other property portfolios this quarter relative to last year albeit coming from a smaller base. This business is primarily written on our US and London platforms and as that we've mentioned in previous calls we made the decision to grow in other property as we have strong relationships with large writers of property portfolios and have improved our tools to access and manage this business. It is a natural extension to the products we are providing to support our customers and an effective means of adding attractive risk to our portfolio. We increasingly want to be able to service our customers by providing them with the coverage that they seek in the form that they choose to seed it. As a reminder, while we do not think of these risks as entirely diversifying to our cat portfolios since there is catastrophe risk included, we are also assuming more attritional losses as reflected in our combined ratios. We have the tools to determine where we are best paid for property risk and are confident that this other property business will be accretive to shareholder value over the long term. In the casualty segment, we executed well during what was a tough renewal for certain lines of business. Our casualty segment gross written premium was up almost 25% year on year in the second quarter and roughly 7% year to date. This growth reflects both our underwriting actions in the second quarter as well as the business we put on the books over the prior year. And it's testament to the underwriting team leveraging our established platforms in US, Bermuda and London to right attractive diversifying business. The second quarter was a busy one within the casualty portfolio and to be clear this market continued to be highly competitive. There was ample capacity for most deals as reflected in the seeding commissions that clients were able to achieve and we saw some deterioration in terms and conditions of certain lines of business such as professional lines and D&O. Unfortunately, the overcapacity chasing, diversifying business has resulted in erosion of profit margins. We expect that this trend will continue and have seen an increasing flight to quality of underlying insurance portfolios. We've been monitoring the underlying business to ensure we are constructing a profitable portfolio. Looking forward, our tactics will depend on the market environment. With this backdrop, we reduced or came off a number of accounts in the second quarter, either due to market conditions and competitive pricing for underperformance. We were partly able to offset these reductions with some specific opportunities in our casualty portfolio in both the US and along its platforms. These opportunities were the result of our leadership position in casualty and our ability to support clients with private deals or certainly ones which were not widely syndicated. Our preferential access to this business is in part due to our team's ability to differentiate RenaissanceRe through our role as strategic advisors and reflects the clients and brokers come to us for more than just capacity. They value our perspective on the market and their business as well as our ability to offer alternative solutions when innovation is the most appropriate answer. This is further evidence of us putting our three superiors into action. Over the next year, we anticipate fewer opportunities within the casualty portfolio and we'll continue to monitor the underlying business to ensure we are constructing a profitable portfolio. As we've said a few times in the past, we expect that the casualty portfolio will reflect some lumpiness, both in terms of premium writings and also losses. This quarter, we experienced favorable development, but I would not read too much into any one quarter being positive or negative. It is trends that are important in long tail lines and we are not seeing anything worrying within our overall reserves. I expect to have ups and downs, but we remain confident that our book is profitable and will be accretive over the long term. I would now like to touch on our gross to net strategy, which is often the key differentiator from many of our competitors. Our ceded position remained consistent this quarter as we once again ceded a meaningful portion of our gross premiums. We purchased significant protection, ceding over one third of our casualty premium and after adjusting for retro purchase and the use of joint venture vehicles to retain roughly half of our gross written premium in our property segment. Our goal is to construct the most efficient portfolio of risks and our gross to net strategy is a key driver of that efficiency. When we cede risk, we are putting other people's capital up against our customers' risks and typically getting paid to do so. In essence, we are trading some short term income for significant long term outperformance. Over long periods of time, we believe this strategy will prove correct and that has certainly been our history. In conclusion, we had a solid quarter and executed well on our three superiors in a difficult environment. We successfully managed operating expenses, kept our catastrophe exposures relatively flat and managed our capital well in the quarter. Going forward, we face an increasingly competitive market, but we believe our flexible platform and expanded underwriting capabilities will allow us to maintain underwriting discipline and continue to deliver shareholder value. Thank you. And with that, I'll open it up for questions.