Jeff Kelly
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open
Thanks, Kevin and good morning everyone. I'll cover our results for the second quarter and year to date and then give you an update to our 2015 topline forecast. We had a profitable second quarter with each of our segments generating solid underwriting results. As the Platinum closed on March 2, this is the first quarter in which Platinum's results are fully reflected in our financials. Catastrophe losses during the quarter were higher than in recent years relating mostly to wind and hail storms in Texas. Our results include approximately $8 million of Platinum integration related expenses in the quarter which we do not expect to recur in 2016. We reported net income of $73 million or $1.59 per diluted share and operating income of $100 million or $2.18 per diluted share for the second quarter. As Kevin mentioned, the annualized operating ROE was 9.1% and our tangible book value per share including change in accumulated dividends increased by 1.9%. On a year to date basis the operating ROE was 11% and growth in tangible book value including change in accumulated dividends was 1.4%. Before touching on the segment results, I'll give you a brief update on the Platinum integration. As Kevin mentioned, our market facing personnel are very much operating as one company. While some important operational systems and processes remain to be fully converted, those activities are proceeding faster than we originally anticipated. On the first quarter call I indicated that we expected to realize a total of approximately $38 million in one-time compensation related expenses. At this point that number still seems about right. As for annual run rate synergies, in May I said that we expected to exceed our original $30 million target slightly. At this point we believe that annual run rate operating cost synergies will be approximately $37 million. The increase in our expected run rate synergies relates to greater than expected headcount savings and to the cumulative effect of a number of relatively small variances. At this point I would estimate that over 75% of those synergies have been realized. All in all, we continue to be very pleased with the acquisition and our integration at this point. Turning to the segment results. In our cat segment, managed cat gross premiums were essentially flat compared with the year ago in the second quarter. Recall that the top line includes to some extent the renewal of Platinum's cat book for the quarter. There were no material reinstatement premium adjustments in either period. We had a relatively healthy Florida renewal with new demand and growth on some contracts, offsetting declines in others and moderate price reductions. For the first six months, managed cat gross premiums written declined 7.7% reflecting softening market conditions. This compares with our full-year guidance for a decline of 10%. As a reminder, managed cat includes business written on our wholly-owned balance sheets as well as cat premium written by joint ventures DaVinci, Top Layer Re and Upsilon. Ceded premiums in our cat segment were down from a year ago both for the quarter and year, reflecting our decision not to renew the Florida specific retro program that we had put in place last year. The second quarter combined ratio for the cat unit was 59.5%. While catastrophe losses were moderate, overall there wasn't uptick relative to the extremely low levels they have been trending at in recent years. Net favorable reserve development totaled $12 million for the cat unit in the quarter, mostly reflecting modest adjustments to a number of small events. In our specialty segment, gross premiums written increased by $108 million primarily reflecting the inclusion of Platinum's specialty and casualty business. Year to date specialty reinsurance premiums increased 38% from a year ago. This compares with our guidance of a 50% increase for the year. Our specialty platforms are well positioned. We have integrated Platinum's balance sheet into ours and aligned our Bermuda and US-based platforms to best meet our client's needs in a capital efficient manner. The specialty reinsurance combined ratio for the second quarter came in at a profitable 85.5%. Loss trends were generally benign and favorable reserve development totaled $18 million for the quarter. For the first six months, this segment generated a combined ratio of 82.5%. In our Lloyd’s segment we generated $117 million of premiums in the second quarter, an increase of 62% compared with the year ago period. For the first six months of the year, gross premiums written grew 59%. As I mentioned on our last quarterly call, the segment has gained greater traction, mainly benefiting from the investments in infrastructure and talent that we have made in recent years. Our premium guidance for this segment was for growth of 50%. Ceded premiums in our Lloyd's operation also increased significantly from a year ago as we commenced a ceded quota share transaction for our casualty business late last year. The Lloyd’s unit came in at a combined ratio of 90.4% for the second quarter, also benefiting from generally low loss activity. Favorable reserve development totaled $3 million. Operating expenses were roughly flat compared with the year ago but commission expenses were higher. Turning to investments. We reported net investment income of $39 million in the second quarter. Recurring investment income totaled $34 million for the second quarter. The increase relative to recent quarters primarily reflects the higher invested assets acquired in the Platinum transaction, as well as the reallocation of Platinum's fixed maturity investments to match ours. Our alternative investment portfolio generated a gain of $6 million in the second quarter, driven by generally healthy returns on our private equity portfolio. The annualized total return on the overall investment portfolio was 0.5%. The sharp increase in interest rates during the quarter resulted in $27 million of realized and unrealized losses, although we benefited from the relatively short duration of our fixed maturity investments. Our investment portfolio remains conservatively positioned, primarily on fixed maturity investments with a high degree of liquidity and modest credit exposure. The duration of our investment portfolio remained relatively short at 2.3 years and has remained roughly flat over the course of the year. The yield to maturity on fixed income and short-term investments remained flat at 1.7%. Turning to capital. We continue to believe we have capital in excess of our requirements, given our current portfolio and our business outlook. We have largely completed the process of realigning the capital of the balance sheets that we acquired, received the requisite approvals to upstream excess amounts to the holding company and have now replenished capital and liquidity at the holding company to levels we maintained prior to the Platinum acquisition. The rating agencies have also completed their reviews and in some instances re-rated certain of our balance sheets. We are pleased with the outcome of this activity and now feel we have substantial flexibility around capital management going forward. Share repurchases were, however, modest in the second quarter. We bought back 83,000 shares for $8.4 million. Since the end of the second quarter, we purchased an additional $7 million worth of shares. As we look forward, any decision relating to share repurchases will continue to depend on our view of business opportunities, the profile of our risk portfolio and the valuation of our stock. Finally, let me turn to update our topline forecast for 2015. While our 2015 guidance includes Platinum, it should be gauzed against RenaissanceRe's standalone 2014 gross premiums written, as we view the operations as combined. For managed cat, there isn't much premium that remains to be renewed in the second half so I would say that it would be reasonable to expect this portion of the business to be down about 7% for the full year. In specialty reinsurance, we are maintaining our guidance for premiums to be up approximately 50% with a growth to a large extent reflecting the inclusion of Platinum's business. In our Lloyd's unit, we are maintaining our guidance of up 50%. Recall that any premiums renewed by Platinum prior to the close on March 2 do not appear in our gross written premiums for this year. Obviously, that will change in the first quarter of next year. Finally, I would remind everyone that premium estimates of this nature are subject to considerable risk and uncertainty and our goal in providing them to you is to give our best estimates at this time. Kevin, I will turn the call back over to you.
Kevin O’Donnell: Thanks, Jeff. Once again we faced a competitive market during the Florida renewals. While demand was up appreciably, there continued to be ample capacity to more than meet this demand leading to price decreases although to a lesser extent than in prior years. This increased demand in Florida was driven by several factors. First, the cat fund accessed the private market for the first time in its history, purchasing $1 billion [indiscernible]. While we typically do not comment on individual deals, our participation on the cat fund program is a matter of public record. We believe the cat fund purchase was a responsible move by the state of Florida as it not only serves to protect taxpayers from assessment risk, it also protects policyholders by increasing the overall stability of the system. Due to our deep understanding of both Florida market dynamics and hurricane risk, borne over two decades of being a leading Florida reinsurer, we were uniquely placed to appreciate the nuances of the cat fund purchase and bring our gross to net strategy to bear. Second, the private market in Florida continues to take policies from the state-run insurer, Citizens Property Insurance Company. Florida-only insurance companies tend to be proportionately larger purchasers of reinsurance, so the migration of risk from the public to the private sector positively impacted demand. Even as it shed business, Citizens continued to increase the size of its risk transfer program. With regard to supply, we continue to see capital that is interested in deploying into the reinsurance market. We believe that most investors recognize the returns are currently low but are willing to engage with proven asset managers to begin to better understand this space and position themselves should the market improve. Overall, we were able to construct an efficient property portfolio and as I mentioned earlier, rather than being down is expected, we ended the quarter essentially flat. We went into the renewal fully anticipating that we would shrink our portfolio and in many cases did reduce our participation on individual programs that no longer met our return hurdles. By some measures, Florida is no longer as attractive relative to other markets as it once was. We recognized this early in the cycle and built our Atlantic hurricane portfolio accordingly, adding more nationwide coverage with Florida exposure prior to the June -- July renewal while reducing our exposure to some Florida only business at the renewal [indiscernible]. On balance, we believe by reducing in the Florida-only market and pivoting towards nationwide coverage with Florida exposure we are able to build a higher returning portfolio than otherwise possible. We saw some positive signals during the Florida renewal that reinsurers were beginning to show discipline. For example, some of the more aggressively priced programs resulted in shortfalls that were only filled when price decreases were brought in line with the market overall. Further evidence of increased price discipline is that cat fund prices have corrected around 30% this year. However, even with this correction we continue to see many deals providing inadequate returns for the risk. I should note that we still expect a challenging renewal at 1-1 as the dynamics at 6-1 do not necessarily translate forward to January 1. Finally, the ceded retro market had less appetite for Florida risk than in prior years. While this is a good sign overall, we ended up buying less and as a result our net exposures are a little higher than last year. In fact, as we are now a larger company and having assumed the Platinum re-exposures, both our gross and net exposure in Atlantic hurricane is up year-over-year and on an absolute basis. We are pleased with our portfolio and feel good about the decisions we made in structuring our risk portfolio for this wind season. Moving on to our casualty and specialty business. The second quarter represents the biggest and largest renewal period of the year for the U.S. casualty and professional lines business. Overall, we were able to retain virtually all of the Platinum casualty business that renewed during the quarter and believe we have set the groundwork for continuing to build this business up over the next several years. As a combined entity and now with a better rating, we are developing a reputation as a lead in more lines of business and believe we are increasingly a first call market for clients and brokers across the casualty space. Our approach has been to be the best partner for our customers, whether it be in terms of consistency, willingness to pay claims or by being good partners providing collaborative solutions. I am happy with the progress our Lloyd's operation has made in continuing and even steepening its growth trajectory. Recent growth there has been healthy which we view as the culmination of years of hard work spent building a market-leading underwriting platform allowing us to effectively leverage both our local relationships and our core clients. In addition, our Lloyd's syndicate works closely with the legacy Platinum business, allowing it to access many more opportunities than previously available. Our ventures team continues to perform well. We are happy with our capital managed business as currently constituted. And while only accepting new capital on a very limited and selective basis, we continue to speak with interested new investors in this space. We executed $150 million debt offering for DaVinci and we are adding risk to DaVinci portfolio as we renew the Platinum Underwriters Bermuda cat lines on to our balance sheets. We also continued to evaluate strategic investments but are being selective in allocating capital to these opportunities. Before turning to questions, I would offer a few closing comments. I continue to be very happy to be in the business of reinsurance. As reinsurers we stand at the confluence of two very powerful industry currents. The first is the continued growth of risk in the world and the second is the desire of capital seeking this risk. We continue to be market leaders in matching desirable risk with efficient capital, which we believe is the recipe for long-term success. I believe that we continue to have a great franchise in this market. We have the ability to access both desirable risk and appropriate capital for that risk. We continue to bring value to our customers by being the best underwriter and providing them with strong ratings and access to great underwriters. We also continue to bring value to our investors by providing them with great risk access and more importantly, greater risk understanding and assessment while always standing alongside them on any risk they take. There has been a significant amount of consolidation in our industry which I believe is healthy. Consolidation improve both operating and capital leverage and should continue to drive M&A activity. Overall, I am pleased with both our position in the industry and the performance of our business. I'm optimistic about our future and believe we will continue to see an expanding array of opportunities. As we head into hurricane season, we are prepared for any eventuality and if something does happen, we will be there for our clients just as we have been there in the past. And with that, I would like to open the call up to questions. Thanks.