Earnings Labs

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR)

Q2 2015 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 29, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Laurel and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the RenaissanceRe Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. I'll now turn the call over to Peter Hill. Please go ahead, sir.

Peter Hill

Analyst

Good morning and thank you for joining our second quarter 2015 financial results conference call. Yesterday, after the market closed, we issued our quarterly release. If you didn’t get a copy, please call me at 212-521-4800, and we’ll make sure to provide you with one. There will be an audio replay of the call available from about noon Eastern Time today through midnight on August 29. The replay can be accessed by dialing 855-859-2056 or 404-537-3406. The pass code you will need for both numbers is 80861673. Today’s call is also available through the investor information section of www.renre.com and will be archived on RenaissanceRe’s Web site through midnight on October 7, 2015. Before we begin, I’m obliged to caution that today’s discussion may contain forward-looking statements and actual results may differ materially from those discussed. Additional information regarding the factors shaping these outcomes can be found in RenaissanceRe’s SEC filings to which we direct you. With us to discuss today’s results are Kevin O’Donnell, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Jeff Kelly, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. I'd now like to turn the call over to Kevin. Kevin? Kevin O’Donnell: Thanks, Peter and good morning, everyone. I'll open the call with an overview of our performance and then I will turn it over to Jeff to go over our financial results and I will come back on to talk about the business and state of the market. Last night we reported operating income of $100 million and an operating ROE of 9.1% for the second quarter. Our results were adversely impacted by U.S. cat losses and mark-to-market losses on our investment portfolio from rising interest rates. Jeff will walk us through the second quarter results in greater detail shortly. In general, we executed well in the second…

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Thanks, Kevin and good morning everyone. I'll cover our results for the second quarter and year to date and then give you an update to our 2015 topline forecast. We had a profitable second quarter with each of our segments generating solid underwriting results. As the Platinum closed on March 2, this is the first quarter in which Platinum's results are fully reflected in our financials. Catastrophe losses during the quarter were higher than in recent years relating mostly to wind and hail storms in Texas. Our results include approximately $8 million of Platinum integration related expenses in the quarter which we do not expect to recur in 2016. We reported net income of $73 million or $1.59 per diluted share and operating income of $100 million or $2.18 per diluted share for the second quarter. As Kevin mentioned, the annualized operating ROE was 9.1% and our tangible book value per share including change in accumulated dividends increased by 1.9%. On a year to date basis the operating ROE was 11% and growth in tangible book value including change in accumulated dividends was 1.4%. Before touching on the segment results, I'll give you a brief update on the Platinum integration. As Kevin mentioned, our market facing personnel are very much operating as one company. While some important operational systems and processes remain to be fully converted, those activities are proceeding faster than we originally anticipated. On the first quarter call I indicated that we expected to realize a total of approximately $38 million in one-time compensation related expenses. At this point that number still seems about right. As for annual run rate synergies, in May I said that we expected to exceed our original $30 million target slightly. At this point we believe that annual run rate operating cost synergies…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Michael Nannizzi with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Michael Nannizzi

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Just a quick numbers question. The expense ratio in the specialty segment looked like it was down a decent amount compared to the first quarter. Was there something in there or how should we be looking at that on a year-to-date basis or can you just give me some context on that please. Thanks.

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Yes. Sure, Mike. I think the answer to that question is largely the operating leverage in the business and applying premium to the overhead in that segment.

Michael Nannizzi

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Sure. But the expenses were also lower. So, I mean, it's kind of split between the two. So I am guessing those are more sort of variable? To just give you some numbers, we are 21.8 in the first quarter on acquisition, down to 18.2. And that was running about 24 last year for the full year. So I am just trying to understand kind of what happened, to have an impact on the consolidated numbers? I can go back to that if that’s -- or you guys can answer it later.

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

[indiscernible] Yes.

Michael Nannizzi

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Okay. No problem. And then I wanted to just ask about the buybacks. I mean is the idea that, to the team, like the areas where you are growing maybe you shouldn’t be incrementally capital intensive from a diversification standpoint. Is there an operational reasons that you guys have sort of chosen to keep a lid on buybacks here recently or what's the thought process there?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Yes. Thanks for the question. I anticipate there might be more than one in that regard. I would say, admittedly we probably, perhaps took a conservative approach as we went through the close of the Platinum acquisition. But recall, we did deploy about $600 million of cash out of the holding company and to the Platinum deal. And we anticipated that it would take us roughly through June to rebalance and restructure the market-facing balance sheets. Get the regulatory approvals we needed to get the excess capital up to holdings, issue the debt that we issued in the second quarter. And as I said, as a result of that we are -- I think we are in a solid position. So I think we have a lot of flexibility at this point and I would expect to, other things being equal, I would expect to see us in the market going forward. But again, as I think we said the last time, I wouldn’t expect us to see in the market during the next several months but probably to a more significant extent in the fourth quarter than the third quarter. The only other thing I would just say is, as we frequently try and convey is, we don’t look at share repurchases as having to occur in any specific time table. We look to repurchase shares at the most attractive levels that we can. And over the last 12 months we have deployed a lot of capital into the business including $500 million or so in repurchases last year and again the $600 million in cash. So I think we took a conservative but reasoned approach to rebuilding our position over the last three months and we waited till that’s done and I think now we are in a good position to move forward.

Michael Nannizzi

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Got it. Great. Thanks for the answer. And then just one question on, you didn’t have any reported tax that met your threshold but it sounds like you had some loss activity. Is this like a normal cat quarter? Like weather quarter, a heavy weather quarter, light weather quarter? I believe you're kind of taking it all in one bucket. How does this quarter stack up for you guys?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

I would characterize that from a cat perspective as a little higher than normal. And there were principally two things , two buckets of things that kind of pushed that beyond the norm. The first was some windstorms and hailstorms in Texas. There were a number of events in the second quarter but about three of them contributed to about $24 million in net negative impact for the company. It affected about -- total -- about $40 million in net losses, but the net negative impact of the holding company was about $24 million. So that was probably a little larger than normal. And then there was a very, a small amount of development from some of the winter storms in the first quarter as those storms are -- with the frequency of them I think that it's kind of hard to determine losses in which event and there is some movement there. But that wasn’t a big number. But overall, I would describe it as just a little bit higher than normal.

Michael Nannizzi

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Okay. Kevin O’Donnell: Yes. One thing I would add to that. I think in a soft market, I think it's a good thing to focus on because it's transparent to think about what price reductions are coming through. But it's more difficult to see if terms and conditions are expanding. And what I would say, the losses that we saw over the course of the quarter are normal losses coming from normal coverage. We have seen some expansion of terms coming through on programs. We have been disciplined in looking at those and making sure that we understand the extensions of coverage and price for it.

Michael Nannizzi

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open

Okay. I guess I am just trying to figure out, like your 9% ROE this quarter, is that how we should be thinking about now, again this is our first quarter with Platinum in numbers. Just sort of given the opportunities you are seeing, is this kind of like a normalish quarter? And this is kind of where you guys expect to sort of target ROE that you can hit, or is this -- do you expect it over time that you can generate in the normal environment in excess of ROEs at this level. Kevin O’Donnell: So thinking about what's going on in the reinsurance market we started kind of 40,000 feet. There is a secular shift in the market which we have been talking about for a while. We have seen more capital interested in this space and we have seen -- and we believe that risk will trade differently or will enter and exit the value chain at different points over time. But kind of dropping that to 10,000 feet, we still think there is cycles and we are in a more competitive phase of that cycle currently. So it was only a secular shift in the market. I think these types of returns would be permanent. But being that, we think we are in a soft phase of the cycle. We do believe that there is potential for pricing to improve. What we have really focused on as a company is thinking about how to position ourselves to make sure we are best combating both of those changes. So we have changed the business mix where our casualty and specialty, it's on a in-force basis. It is in excess of $1 billion which is a milestone for us. But that business does have a lower expected profit but also lower volatility. We have seen increased growth across Lloyd’s and across the platforms, generally both organically and inorganically which is going to help with operating leverage. As Jeff had mentioned, we do have excess capital which is a drain currently. And then finally, it's affecting everybody equally but investment returns is something that looking back at historic returns, investments was a much larger contributor than it has been in the past. So all that said, I think we have got a very flexible platform. We have got access to multiple capital sources and access to great business. And I think if we continue to focus on great execution, we will continue to provide superior returns. And as the market continues to evolve and things change, I think we are at the exact right place to take advantage of it.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

Josh Shanker

Analyst · Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open

Buyback question number two. So you [indiscernible] promising what you feel that you have more capital than you need for your business. Can you give us any idea that's bigger than a breadbox? Can we talk about in terms of scale? What that might mean for shareholders to think about?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open

Yes. Thank, Josh. Yes, bigger than a breadbox. It would be -- we don’t say -- we don’t identify specific numbers because that isn't how we think about it, but it's several hundred million dollars, I would say.

Josh Shanker

Analyst · Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open

Okay. That’s sounds very reasonable. And you did say that you deployed $600 million in cash by Platinum. Is there any frame of reference that you have for how much cash you got back? I mean generally we view Platinum or I view Platinum as an underutilized balance sheet. Is there a net cash deployed idea that we can think about?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open

Well, I would say we had some cash on the balance sheet, $100 million-$150 million, after the Platinum deal closed. But we are, let's say we have at least as much cash at the holding company as we did prior to the Platinum acquisition.

Josh Shanker

Analyst · Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open

Okay. And then one final question in the same sort of area. In terms of thinking about ASRs versus open market, you guys have been very much wanting to buy I guess as cheaply as possible, which prefers open market. But given what might be your ambition to do buyback, are you worried about any constraints on the amount of shares available in the market to manage what you might have in mind, depending on the hurricane seasons outcome?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open

No. I don’t think we have -- I mean there are sometimes seasonally when volumes are lower than we like, but I would say over time we have not had any significant issue around acquiring the amount of shares we would like to get in the open market. And again I would just remind that we bought over $500 million worth of stock in 2014.

Josh Shanker

Analyst · Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open

Well, you have never been shy about it. Thank you and good luck in the back half of the year.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Josh Stirling with Sanford Bernstein. Your line is open.

Josh Stirling

Analyst · Josh Stirling with Sanford Bernstein. Your line is open

So Kevin, we have always liked your approach to property cat and you seem smart because you use proprietary models to identify high-risk return deals and strategically a lot of capital management via retro and partnerships, and then just tactically being very smart about scaling up and down based on the market. And I think everybody generally thinks that you had the best mousetrap in the old world. And so I wondered if I could ask you sort of big picture, what do you think the best mousetrap is in the new world. And are you, obviously growing a lot in casualty and Lloyd’s and the acquisition of Platinum, is there a way to build a RenRe for the new world or should we read the acquisition and all the consolidation we have seen since is basically more evidence that really it's less about being special and more about size is going to be dominant driver of scale and return over the next few years. Kevin O’Donnell: When thinking about the position that we are in, we really like the things that we are doing. So I will divide my comments between cat and specialty and then talk about the group as a combined entity. Within cat we I believe have the model that is going to be the winning model where we are managing our own capital and we are managing capital for others. With that we have great underwriting capabilities and great capabilities to figure out which is the right vehicle for us to deposit the risk in which we are taking and to manage that risk. I think if we translate that over to the specialty, many of the things that we are doing on cat are transferable to specialty. We understand how to build risk distributions,…

Josh Stirling

Analyst · Josh Stirling with Sanford Bernstein. Your line is open

Well, that’s helpful, Kevin. And the gross to net comments sound very much like your old RenRe. So we will look forward to that developing. I am interested though a little tactically, just as a follow up on, obviously, casualty and specialty pricing and some of the commentary from like [indiscernible] Lloyd’s and brokers is not that constructive on pricing. You know more meaningful price declines than we have seen in other parts of the business. I am curious to see if, one, if that’s sort of consistent with what you guys are seeing in your businesses there, but then also as you think about sort of the tactical overlay of the strategy of, hey, let's try to be smart like we used to be or like we are in property cat, but in a way that it's in a differentiated marketing casualty and specialty. How do you overlay that with the sort of the tactical, cyclical challenge of what seems to be a softening market in some of these other areas? Kevin O’Donnell: So in general I agree with the comments that the market is becoming more competitive. So then looking at our response to that, is within Lloyd’s, although we have had big growth it's still off a modest base. So we are seeing opportunities that emerge really from three things I will point to. One is just writing more lines for our core clients. Secondly, leveraging relationships that our underwriters have had for a long time. And thirdly, increasing participations on deals we are already on. So we are not looking to enter the most competitive markets and find the one good deal. We are looking to very targeted opportunities to grow and we have been fortunate to continue to find those kind of in the narrow bands that I discussed. Within casualty and specialty more broadly, we are not what I would call a diversified general casualty player. We still are focused on many specialty lines and those specialty lines have shifted over the last several years. So we are moving in and out of opportunities as appropriate. And the thirdly, the increased sessions have improved our margins within casualty and specialty. So the trick there is, we are still enormously capital efficient to write that business but by adding ceded we are still relieving some of the price pressure that’s been resonant in the market and improving net returns to us on a gross -- on a standalone basis and a marginal basis within our portfolios.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Seth Canetto with KBW. Please go ahead.

Seth Canetto

Analyst · Seth Canetto with KBW. Please go ahead

Just had one question about your comments with Florida and how you guys are adding more nationwide coverage with Florida exposure while reducing sort of the pure play Florida exposure company. What's your view on the impact of AIRs latest U.S. hurricane model on your PMLs and do you believe the new model will affect industry demand? Kevin O’Donnell: So first the affect on us is, the way we think about a new model is we want to understand not just what the percent change is, if they are up x percent across the coast or in Florida but to understand why they have changed their view of risk. We will rip the model back down to its primary parts, look at frequency, look at damage functions and look at the industry profile that’s embedded beneath it, to make sure that we understand which components are changing. Ideally, we will find components of the new model that we like and incorporate it into REMs which is our independent view of risk. So for us, it's going to be a bit of scientific exercise to see how we can improve our view of risk but it will not change our PMLs simply because of new models released with higher PMLs in gulf regions or wind-exposed regions. With regard to the market overall, I am less convinced that it will have a material impact on the way people are thinking about structuring and programs or thinking about the risk that they have. But that’s something that it will take some time to figure out where people adopt it or not.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kai with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Kai Pan

Analyst · Kai with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Just adding question number three to buybacks. Just basically your decision now to renew the retro coverage in Florida, would that impact your ability, or like basically you said in the past you will normalize by slowing down during the peak of the hurricane season. But last year you were able to buy some retro cover that reduced your net that you activated the large buyback during the hurricane season. So I just wonder, if that would like slow your buyback during the hurricane season?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Kai with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Slow our what back? I am sorry, I missed...

Kai Pan

Analyst · Kai with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Buybacks. Kevin O’Donnell: Slow buybacks. Let met answer the ceded question. I think that will feed into the buyback. We are not a traditional purchaser or of ceded protection. We will build our gross portfolios as efficiently as we can and constantly be in the market looking for ceded opportunities that improve the overall efficiency of the portfolio. We made the decision to purchase less ceded in Florida because of all the things we talked about with the changing profile of our book of business. We did see a greater opportunity to deploy capacity on a gross basis in Florida because prices were down less than we originally anticipated. But the net result is a portfolio that we liked more because prices were better than the portfolio that we pro formed going into the Florida specific renewal. The other thing I would say is, we did add some specific structures around our Florida book which were different than last year. So although we did not renew the cover that we talked about on last year's call, we do have some other facilities supporting us in Florida which I think again improved the overall efficiency of the portfolio. With regard to how that forms our buyback strategies, our buyback strategy incorporates all the things that are going on with the new organization. Our first objective is to deploy capital into the business. To the extent we can't deploy capital into the business, we will look to return it. And our preferred way to return it remains through share buybacks. But we need to be cognizant of external factors at the time of our buybacks. So Jeff talked a lot about the work that we did internally about bringing capital back up to the holding company through the acquisition of Platinum. But we also need to be cognizant that as we go into peak exposure periods, i.e. wind season, we are thoughtful about the risk that we have. Not purchasing that ceded specifically is not something that will change our decisions as to how we behave with buybacks going into this wind season.

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Kai with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

The only thing I would say, add to Kevin's comments, is where the ceded purchase does or does not come in is in our assessment of how much excess capital we have. So excess capital, our assessment of excess capital is the raw material for buybacks that does incorporate ceded. As I said earlier, I think we come into this, at this point, with very healthy level of capital flexibility.

Kai Pan

Analyst · Kai with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Thank you for the details. Then follow-up on Lloyd’s. So it looks like you have pretty healthy growth out there. So do you think you are at a level, at a scale, that internal operating expense ratio in the low 20s, is that where you want to be or there is a room for further leverage on that?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Kai with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

That’s a great question. One of the thing we talked about in our building Lloyd’s over the last several years is the growth is really catching up to the infrastructure. So we are delighted that we are at a scale where our expense ratio is coming in line with the Lloyd’s market. But the infrastructure that we have can continue to add premium without a proportional increase in expense for that premium. So we do have more scope to increase the size of Lloyd’s and further improve the expense ratio there.

Kai Pan

Analyst · Kai with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Okay. Lastly on the Platinum. You had -- this quarter you have $33 million reserve releases. How much of that is coming from Platinum more generally. Now you have a quarter after integration of the Platinum, did you see like different reserving philosophy on their own book versus yours. How do you think that will play out over the course of next few years? Kevin O’Donnell: So we are really looking at the company as a single enterprise going forward. And I think increasingly it's going to become difficult to know whether reserve releases or premium is coming from one book -- is coming from the legacy RenRe book or the legacy Platinum book. Because -an example might be, if we are both on the same deal and we have reserve releases on the same deal, we are not going to track it as a legacy Platinum reserve release and the legacy RenRe reserve release. We are going to look at it as a combined entity going forward, both underwriting side and on the claims and reserves side.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Sarah Dewitt with JP Morgan. Your line is open.

Sarah Dewitt

Analyst · Sarah Dewitt with JP Morgan. Your line is open

Given some of the secular shift that you have talked about, do you think your acquisition of Platinum is enough or could you look to do some more acquisition to position the company for this new world? Kevin O’Donnell: Well, let me comment on Platinum and then comment on kind of how we think about the world. So we are delighted with Platinum. We are ahead of plans with our integration and we are seeing great coordination across our underwriting platforms which is producing new opportunities on each of our balance sheets. We have been fortunate to get the regulatory approvals to move capital around and have enhanced the ratings on the balance sheet. So all of those things are moving along at a great pace and according to our original deal pieces. With regard to the future, we are focused on execution and we feel that we are achieving good organic growth in the platforms that we have and we are best positioned in the cat market which is difficult right now. We will consider additional acquisitions if we see opportunities that further our strategy and financially make sense. But it's not something that we need to do to continue to execute of all the things that we are doing. One of the components or one of the pieces that has been discussed is that there is a need for size in this business. And I can say that none of our clients have expressed any concern about our size between not only the owned capital that we have but the managed capital that we can bear to the risk that they are looking to cede. So I think there is a minimum size. But it's not something that we are even close to having, needing to have a conversation to determine whether we are above it. We are focused not so much on accumulating capital but really on bringing good solutions and adding value to our customers. And as long as we continue to do that, I don’t anticipate that the size dialog that’s been in the market is really going to include someone like Renaissance.

Sarah Dewitt

Analyst · Sarah Dewitt with JP Morgan. Your line is open

Great. Thanks. And when you look at your infrastructure or your business mix, what would be on your wish list or for what you would look to consider? Kevin O’Donnell: There are certainly -- I mean one can wish for higher interest rates, one can wish for a better market, but I don't think that's a practical way to approach the world. I think what we are doing is the right things. And I think the one thing that we need to maintain it a strong focus on executing against the three superiors that we have always talked about. We are working hard to get closer to our customers. We are continuing to invest in our systems and our people and we are a disciplined capital manager having managed over $1 billion of capital between deploying into Platinum and the share buybacks next year and building the flexibility back at the holding company that we had prior to the acquisition. So actually I feel pretty good about all the things that we are doing and I don't spend a lot of time wishing for the world to be different. I just focus on executing in the world that we have.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jay Cohen with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead.

Jay Cohen

Analyst · Jay Cohen with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead

Yes. Just, I guess, I request. I'm not sure if it's possible. From a modeling standpoint it would be helpful to have sort of historical pro formas to put the Platinum premiums into the segments, the RenRe segments so we can project it more easily. Is that a thing that you guys could do?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Jay Cohen with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead

Jay, it's not something that we are planning on doing now.

Jay Cohen

Analyst · Jay Cohen with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead

Okay.

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Jay Cohen with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead

As Kevin indicated, we are operating as one company and at this point we are renewing lines on balance sheets, some of which were Platinum balance sheets. We are renewing some RenRe business on Platinum balance sheets and vice versa. So we view it as one book today.

Jay Cohen

Analyst · Jay Cohen with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead

Yes. I'm just saying, taking their old business and just dividing it into your different segments. Specialty, cat specifically but we can talk more about that later. That was really the only question, the other questions were answered. So thanks for the call.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Byrnes with Janney. Your line is open.

Ryan Byrnes

Analyst · Ryan Byrnes with Janney. Your line is open

I am not sure -- I am all set as well. So, thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open.

Ian Gutterman

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

First, Jeff, I had a question on the balance sheet. I was a little confused by the invested asset movement in the quarter. It looked like it went up about $600 million sequential, I am assuming since Platinum assets should have been on the books at March 31. That seemed like a big move. It looked like half of it was maybe a 300 or some move in this investment payable, which I was wondering what that was. Even without that the 300 seemed pretty big sequential -- and then the other investment question related is an underlying question. Is the investment income from fixed maturities was only about $8 million and Platinum on their own I think was running at about $17 million. And I know obviously cash came out in the deal but when I take the cash that came out in the deal, that doesn't explain the delta. So the other part of it is -- so I guess this is sort of two questions. One, why the invested asset is up so much and two, why is the invested income lower than what it looked like pro forma should be?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

Let me take the second question first, Ian. I think the answer to the second question is that we continue to reallocate the Platinum portfolio from structure that we acquired to one that more closely matches our own allocations and allocation strategies. We have picked managers for virtually all of the mandates to which we want to allocate that but in some instances those managers haven't fully funded those mandates. So we still probably have a few hundred million dollars that is either in cash or has not been allocated to the specific allocations that we anticipate. I expect that will add some more to investment income but that's probably measured in low to mid single digits of millions not vast quantities. Effectively we inherited a portfolio of I think about 1.5% yield and we anticipated we could push that up maybe 20 basis points and I think we're still on track to do that to match our own yield on our investment portfolio. So we expect that will be the case.

Ian Gutterman

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

Got it. Okay.

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

Hang on just a second. On the invested -- well, let me come back to you on the increase in the balance sheet, Ian.

Ian Gutterman

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

Okay. Why don't I move on to Kevin then. Kevin, I guess, two quick questions. One, I was a little surprised that the managed cat GPW was flattish. I guess I would have thought that given, I mean I'm guessing obviously, on how much [prim] [ph] there was on the FHCF play. I think knowing your line size, the ROI, I can get a pretty good guess at it. I would've thought that would have been a big help. Did you sort of view that is replacing other Florida capacity as opposed to a growth opportunity and it was more you got off something else to write FHCF or was there some other offset that suppressed the managed cat. Kevin O’Donnell: Yes. The FHCF is a large component of how we structure the Florida book but it wasn't at the cost of doing anything else. We had ample room to write that as well as our existing lines. We chose not to write some of our existing lines simply because we thought the pricing was inadequate for the risk.

Ian Gutterman

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

Okay. Got it. Okay. It just looks if I took out my guess on that, you would have had a very healthy double-digit decline in managed cat? Kevin O’Donnell: I think it's difficult to extract one deal and then assume nothing else changes.

Ian Gutterman

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

Well, that’s kind of what I was wondering. Okay. Got it. And then the other one on the quarter is, can you just talk a little bit about, it's not just -- we have seen this across number comes reporting. I guess I had been surprised that events like the Texas storms and other U.S., what I will call small piece events, meaning maybe they are reaching a billion, they are not racing 3 or 4 or 5. In the past those didn’t cause reinsurance losses, at least of any -- maybe they cost single digit million but nothing that would disrupt, be noticeable to anyone's quarter. Why do these seemed to have increase? Is it just people are writing more regionals? Are regionals buying lower than they used to? Is it absolute aggregate covers? Just it feels like if these events happened five years ago, we would have seen smaller losses. I don’t if that’s fair or not? Kevin O’Donnell: I think it is a little bit of a function where the losses and land, some places like Florida with a lot of regional coverage, smaller losses are transferred. There are some regional covers in Texas as well. And just by their nature they will be focused concentrations at smaller event, will attach their programs as compared to the nationwide purchases which are more broadly protecting many states. I wouldn’t point to anything specific except back to the comment that I made before, where there are increased hours clauses which can aggregate events differently than one would have expected a few years ago. [indiscernible] that as an underwriter you are understanding how those terms are changing, how it's likely to affect claims coming through. One that was particularly difficult over the first half of the year was the northeast winter storms because the snow accumulated over several events, but accumulated on top of the previous storms. And then many of the losses that have come in have come in from ice dams which makes the allocation back to the original [indiscernible] difficult. That’s not a soft market phenomenon. That’s something that hard or soft market experience. But other than that I wouldn’t point to anything, at least in our book of business, that is other than what I would consider normal cat activity.

Ian Gutterman

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

Okay. So you don’t feel like you are catching at least significantly lower to regional storms than you have historically? Kevin O’Donnell: No. We are kind of indifferent to whether we attach high or low. It's really whether we are compensated for that attachment. And what I can say is, we are not surprised by the losses coming in because we inadvertently expanded cover without knowing it.

Ian Gutterman

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

No, of course, of course. I was just double checking. Again, relating from the industry level. Okay. Jeff, do you have an answer on the balance sheet or should we follow up later?

Jeff Kelly

Analyst · Ian Gutterman with Balyasny. Your line is open

Let's just follow up later on that one, okay.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Seth Canetto with KBW. Your line is open.

Seth Canetto

Analyst · Seth Canetto with KBW. Your line is open

Just had one follow-up question. You guys mentioned that you still believe the Jan 1 renewal season will be difficult due to the current competitive market conditions. But given the distraction other companies have with all the M&A occurring in the industry, do you see any meaningful opportunity to pickup additional business that might offset some of those headwinds considering you guys closed the deal with Platinum back in March. Kevin O’Donnell: Yes. I think there, the macro environment is do we think it will still be competition for lines, I think the answer to that is yes. But on a more focused, through a more focused lens, I absolutely think there will be opportunities where companies are either -- there is an uncertainty around the closing of a transaction or there is uncertainty around what the future looks like for an entity which will create opportunities for us. We couldn’t be happier to have the Platinum integration as far along as it is and for us to be presenting ourselves as a unified single company. And I think that’s going to provide opportunities for us on a focused basis, but on a macro basis I do think there will be continued competition. As to what happens at 6-1 or 7-1 is a very specific renewal and it is hard to forecast that into the more broad 1-1 renewal. One thing I think, I am focused a little bit on cat in my comments, I think the casualty and specialty is already seeing the benefit of not only the steps that we have taken to improve ratings and to provide better platforms to people to trade with. And I think that that will, on the casualty, specialty in particular, will find great opportunities as the market continues to have uncertainty.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call back to Mr. O’Donnell for closing remarks. Kevin O’Donnell: Well, thank you everybody. We appreciate your time and all your questions and look forward to speaking to you all shortly. Bye, bye.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.