Harp Rana
Analyst · Jefferies
Thank you, Rob, and hello, everyone. I'll now take you through our second quarter results in more detail. On Page 3 of the supplemental presentation, we provide our second quarter financial highlights. We generated net income of $12 million and diluted earnings per share of $1.24. Our solid results were driven once again by high-quality portfolio and revenue growth, disciplined expense management and the benefit of interest rate caps, partially offset by the expected year-over-year increase in our base reserve build and provision for credit losses. Year-to-date, we produced annualized returns of 5.2% ROA and 26.3% ROE. Turning to Page 4. Despite a number of credit tightening actions and higher risk segments, branch, digital mail and total originations hit record highs for second quarter as demand remained strong and we focus our efforts on larger, high-quality loans. We originated $277 million of branch loans, 5% higher than the prior year period. Meanwhile, direct mail and digital originations of $149 million were 31% above second quarter 2021 levels. Our total originations were $426 million, up 13% year-over-year. As you can see on Page 5, we continue to grow our digital channel through affiliate partnership expansion. As a reminder, all of our digital originations are sourced from affiliate partners or directly from our website and with the exception of loans originated through our end-to-end lending pilot, all digitally sourced loans are underwritten in our branches using our custom credit scorecard. In the second quarter, despite eliminating one of our higher-risk affiliates, digitally sourced originations ended at a record $54 million, up 49% from the prior year period and representing 33% of our new borrower volumes in the quarter. We continue to meet the needs of our customers through a multichannel marketing strategy. Page 6 displays our portfolio growth and product mix through the second quarter of 2022. We closed the quarter with net finance receivables of $1.53 billion, slightly ahead of our guidance, up $80 million from the prior quarter and up $342 million year-over-year. On a product basis, we continue to ship to large loans and loans at or below 36% APR. As of the end of the second quarter, our large loan book comprised 69% of our total portfolio and 85% of our portfolio carried an APR at or below 36%. Looking ahead, we anticipate that growth will slow slightly in the second half of the year due to the credit tightening actions that Rob discussed. In the third quarter, we expect to grow our net finance receivables by approximately $100 million or a 24% year-over-year growth rate compared to the second quarter's year-over-year growth rate of 29%. We remain mindful of the current environment and are focused on smart, controlled growth that meets our rigorous underwriting standards. If dictated by circumstances, we will further tighten our underwriting, which would impact our estimated third quarter growth. As shown on Page 7. Our growth initiatives, lighter branch footprint strategy in new states and recent branch consolidation actions contributed to a strong same-store year-over-year growth rate of 25% in the second quarter. Our receivables per branch were at an all-time high of $4.6 million at the end of the second quarter, up 12% sequentially and an increase of 63% from the end of the second quarter of 2019. We believe considerable growth opportunities remain within our existing branch footprint, particularly in newer branches. Turning to Page 8. Total revenue grew 23% to a record $123 million in the second quarter. Due to our continued mix shift towards larger, higher quality loans and the impact of credit normalization, our total revenue yield declined 210 basis points, and our interest and fee yield declined 180 basis points year-over-year. While yields are down from the prior year, we believe that the tightening of underwriting on higher-risk, higher-yield segments and the shift in our portfolio towards higher quality large loans will improve our net credit margins over the long term. In the third quarter, we expect sequential decline of 60 basis points in both total revenue yield and interest and fee yield. Moving to Page 9. We continue to maintain a strong credit profile, thanks to the quality and adaptability of our underwriting criteria, the performance of our custom scorecard and our mix shift to higher quality large loans. As Rob noted, our delinquencies and net credit losses have largely normalized to pre-pandemic levels. Our 30-plus day delinquency rate as at the quarter end was 6.2%, up 50 basis points sequentially and 260 basis points from a year ago, but still 10 basis points below prepandemic second quarter 2019 levels. Looking ahead, we expect delinquencies to exceed 2019 levels by the end of the third quarter due to the challenging economic environment. Our net credit loss rate in the second quarter came in at 10%, up 260 basis points from the prior year period but still 40 basis points better than the second quarter of 2019. We anticipate that third quarter net credit losses will be approximately $1.5 million lower than the second quarter. As Rob noted, in light of the greater uncertainty and the macroeconomic environment since our last call, we expect that our full year 2022 net credit loss rate will fully normalize to 2019 pre-pandemic levels, largely driven by our higher rate, high-risk segment. Turning to Page 10. We built our allowance for credit losses by $8.7 million in the second quarter, increasing the allowance to $168 million or 11% of net finance receivables. All of our second quarter allowance build was for the purpose of supporting second quarter portfolio growth. The allowance continues to compare favorably to our 30-plus day contractual delinquency of $95 million and includes a macro-related reserve of $15 million related to potential future macroeconomic impacts on credit losses. These macro-related reserves amount to 9% of our total allowance for credit losses, a strong position as we continue to monitor the health of the economy and the consumer. As a reminder, as our portfolio grows, we'll continue to build additional reserves to support the growth. In the third quarter, we're expecting to build our base reserves by approximately $11 million as we grow our portfolio. In light of the current economic environment and indications of potentially weaker economic conditions in the future, we now anticipate that we will retain much or all of our macro-related reserves for the balance of 2022. As a result, we're now expecting that our reserve rate will remain between 10.8% and 11% until at least the end of 2022, depending on the health of the economy. With that said, as Rob noted, we're pleased with the improvements we've made to our underwriting capabilities and the portfolio quality over the last several years, and we're confident in the benefits that those investments will provide in the future. While the timing is uncertain, we continue to believe that once the macroeconomic environment stabilizes, our reserve rate could drop to as low as 10%, which would be lower than our day 1 CECL reserve rate of 10.8%, with the improvement attributable to our shift to higher quality loans. Looking to Page 11. Our G&A expenses declined sequentially for the second straight quarter as we've managed expenses tightly in the face of normalizing credit. G&A expenses for the second quarter were $54 million and our operating expense ratio was a multiyear low of 14.7%, a 180 basis point improvement from the prior year period. G&A expenses for the second quarter included approximately $0.6 million of expenses associated with our branch optimization actions impacting our operating expense ratio by 10 basis points. Despite holding expenses in line for the past 3 quarters, we continue to invest in our digital capabilities, geographic expansion, data and analytics and personnel to drive additional sustainable growth, improved credit performance and greater operating leverage. Year-over-year, our revenue growth in the second quarter was 3x our G&A expense growth, demonstrating the prudent manner in which we're managing expenses while still investing in our business. In the third quarter, we expect G&A expenses to be approximately $57 million. And in the second half of the year, we expect that our operating expense ratio will be approximately 14.5%. We will continue to manage our expenses tightly and prioritize those investments that are most critical to our long-term success. Turning to Page 12. Our interest expense for the second quarter was $7.6 million, aided by our interest rate cap protection. We sold $450 million of interest rate caps in the second quarter, allowing us to lock in $12.8 million in lifetime market value gains on the cap. For the quarter, increases in the market value of our caps benefited interest expense by $3 million. As of June 30, we maintained $100 million in interest rate cap protection with 1-month LIBOR strike rates of 50 basis points and maturity date in February 2026. In the third quarter, we expect interest expense to be approximately $13.1 million. Page 13 displays our strong funding profile and healthy balance sheet. Over the last several years, we have diversified our types and sources of funding, enabling us to mitigate interest rate risk and maintain access to liquidity throughout economic cycles. As of the end of the second quarter, we had $611 million of unused capacity on our credit facilities and $195 million of available liquidity, consisting of unrestricted cash on hand and immediate availability to draw down on our senior revolving credit facility. Our debt has staggered revolving duration stretching up to 2026, providing protection against short-term disruptions in the credit market. At this time, we have the capacity to fund our business for at least 18 months without accessing the securitization market. We have also aggressively managed our exposure to rising interest rates by increasing the level of our fixed rate debt to 84% of total debt as of the end of the second quarter compared to 43% 3 years ago. As of June 30, our fixed rate debt had a weighted average coupon of 2.9% and an average revolving duration of 2.6 years. Our second quarter funded debt-to-equity ratio remained at a conservative 4.0:1. We continue to maintain a very strong balance sheet with low leverage, ample liquidity to fund our growth and substantial protection against rising interest rates. Our effective tax rate during the second quarter was 24% compared to 19% in the prior year period. As a reminder, the prior year period included substantial tax benefits associated with share-based compensation. For the third quarter, we expect an effective tax rate of approximately 24.5% prior to discrete items such as any tax impacts of equity compensation. During the quarter, we also continued our return of capital to our shareholders. We repurchased approximately 253,000 shares of our common stock at a weighted average price of $45.72 per share during the second quarter, completing our $20 million stock repurchase program. In addition, our Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.30 per common share for the third quarter of 2022. The dividend will be paid on September 15th, 2022, to our shareholders of record as of the close of business on August 24, 2022. We're proud of our second quarter results, a strong balance sheet and our near and long-term prospects for controlled sustainable growth. That concludes my remarks. I'll now turn the call back over to Rob.