Leslie Hale
Analyst · Tyler Batory with Oppenheimer. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Nikhil. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We are encouraged that the positive momentum in lodging fundamentals continued throughout the first quarter, as RevPAR for the industry sequentially improved each month on both an absolute basis and relative to 2019. As we expected, first quarter RevPAR in urban markets outpaced the industry relative to last year and achieved a significant milestone of reaching 2019 level for the first time post the pandemic. Against this constructive backdrop, we achieved strong first quarter operating results that exceeded our expectations, made tangible progress on our 2023 conversion, continued the ramp of our 2022 conversion, extended maturities for $425 million of debt, opportunistically repurchased $40 million of stock and increased our quarterly dividend by 60%. Our strong performance during the first quarter underscores the overall benefits of our urban-centric portfolio and also demonstrates the optionality that our balance sheet provides to accretively deploy capital to enhance shareholder return. Turning to our operating performance. During the first quarter, the ongoing recovery in our urban markets led our RevPAR to increase by 27% over last year and achieved 95% of 2019, representing an improvement of 100 basis points from the fourth quarter. Notably, our RevPAR growth, not only benefited from increased demand, yielding a 12% year-over-year increase in occupancy, but also achieved incremental ADR lift, as continued pricing power led our ADR to grow more than 13% above last year. Demand increased throughout the first quarter, which led our operating results to accelerate each month, with March RevPAR reaching 99% of 2019. We are encouraged to see this momentum continue into April. Our urban hotels, which represent two-thirds of our EBITDA, generated the highest RevPAR growth within our portfolio during the first quarter. These results outperformed our expectations with RevPAR increasing by nearly 37% over last year and achieving 96% of 2019 for the quarter, with March achieving 101%. Demand growth was broad-based across all of our urban markets, including Southern California, despite the impact of severe weather during the quarter. Our urban portfolio benefited from continued improvement in business travel, strong group demand, healthy leisure to rising international travel. This increased demand drove a 17% year-over-year increase in ADR during the first quarter for our urban portfolio, which continues to have significant room for growth. Strong performance in our urban hotel, underscores our conviction that our portfolio is set up to outperform on a relative basis, given the outsized growth expectations for urban markets. With respect to segmentation, we remain encouraged by the continued recovery of business transient demand. We are seeing corporate demand broader to include industries, such as aerospace, automotive, finance, insurance, health care and consulting. This is reflected in our first quarter business transient room night, which improved by 10 points from the fourth quarter to 85% relative to 2019. We saw sequential improvement throughout the quarter, with our special corporate revenues, which achieved 75% of 2019 levels in March, the highest level post pandemic. Positive momentum in business transient can also be seen in our Weekday RevPAR, which achieved 93% of 2019 during March. Our group segment continues to exceed our expectations. During the first quarter, our group revenues achieved nearly 100% of 2019 levels. Group revenues were driven by ADR growth and strong demand from social groups and improving corporate group, allowed us to achieve an 11% increase in ADR over 2019, the highest premium to date. Current year group bookings were robust during the first quarter, as we booked approximately $48 million in group revenues for 2023, representing more than half of the total in the year group revenues booked during all of last year. This enabled us to drive higher group rates across our portfolio, including at our regional powerhouses such as Louisville and Tampa. Given the appeal of our property type, the small group, our hotels are able to book more self-contained groups, rather than rely largely on citywide. This has allowed our end of year for the year group revenue pace to increase to 95% of 2019 levels currently, representing a 13% improvement from the beginning of the year. Despite the normalization of demand patterns, leisure demand remained elevated across our portfolio, which further strengthen our leisure ADR to 125% of 2019, representing a new high watermark. The strength in leisure demand in our portfolio was bolstered by the continued recovery of urban leases, which is benefiting from hybrid work flexibility, our urban lifestyle, which are located in seven-day a week demand submarkets with multiple demand generators are especially well positioned to benefit from this growth. Additionally, with our recently renovated resort assets, including our Zachari Dunes at Mandalay Beach, our door properties achieved 120% of 2019 ADR, which improved sequentially from the fourth quarter. We believe that our leisure ADR will be more sustainable on a relative basis going forward, given our concentration in urban lifestyle hotels, which are well positioned to capture urban leisure demand from experiential travelers looking to combine work and play. The positive momentum we achieved during the first quarter, led our hotel EBITDA to increase by 44% over last year and achieve 87% of 2019 levels. As we expected, our lean operating model allowed us to achieve efficiency to mitigate some of the inflationary pressures on hotel operating costs which led our hotel EBITDA margins to increase by more than 280 basis points from the prior year. Our strong operating performance and the overall margin profile of our portfolio enabled us to generate significant free cash flow during a seasonally slower quarter. Moving on to capital allocation. We continue to make progress on our internal growth opportunities. Our 2022 conversions are on pace to meaningfully outperform our overall underwriting. This year, we expect the EBITDA generated by these three conversions to accelerate throughout the year and exceed our 2019 EBITDA by over 25%. We are also making progress on our two new conversions. The comprehensive renovation and repositioning of our Houston Medical Center Hotel is expected to begin during the second quarter, which will position the hotel to capture incremental rate through its affiliation with Hilton as a double tree. And we are pleased to announce that our Garden District Hotel in New Orleans recently joined Marriott's tripping portfolio as hotels pronounced. We expect the hotel to immediately benefit from joining the powerful Marriott Bonvoy system with additional ADR lift to come after we complete the repositioning and renovation scheduled for later this year. These conversions underscore the significant embedded value in our portfolio and our ability to unlock incremental EBITDA. We expect these conversions to be highly accretive and further enhance our portfolio quality. Additionally, we have one of the strongest balance sheets among our publicly traded peers, which allows us to pursue multiple channels of growth. We have demonstrated the optionality that our balance sheet provides by pulling multiple levers such as deploying capital towards our new conversion and opportunistically repurchasing shares. So far this year, we have redeployed free cash flow to repurchase $40 million of our shares on a leverage-neutral basis at an attractive average price of $10.22 per share. Given our strong balance sheet and free cash flow profile, we will continue to evaluate incremental share repurchases on a disciplined and leverage neutral basis. This past quarter, we also utilized multiple tools to return capital to our shareholders, which included raising our quarterly dividend by 60%. Looking ahead, while we recognize that the current macro environment is uncertain, there are a number of indicators that allow us to remain constructive for the remainder of the year. We believe that urban markets should continue to outperform the industry during the second quarter, which will benefit our portfolio and reflect in our second quarter outlook. For the full year, we continue to expect year-over-year RevPAR growth to be the strongest during the first half due to easier comps. And we also expect to achieve year-over-year growth each quarter for 2023 given that leisure performance should remain healthy against positive leisure demand dynamics. The recovery of business transient to continue throughout the year with corporate demand broadening as we experienced in the first quarter. Group demand should continue to strengthen, especially small social and corporate group. As previously mentioned, our group segment will benefit from the improving in the year for the year booking trends. Our confidence is bolstered by our second quarter group pace, which is nearly at 2019 levels. Also, as international travel info, it should drive incremental demand throughout the year, especially in gateway urban markets. And finally, the ramp of our three recently completed conversions will further bolster our performance. We believe that these positive trends to further amplify the performance of our urban markets, allowing us to achieve RevPAR ahead of the industry. We are already seeing these trends taking shape during the second quarter. Longer term, we believe that the outlook for lodging fundamentals remains very positive, given the secular changes in the nature of travel demand, which will drive strong growth. This dynamic will be especially beneficial for our portfolio, which is uniquely positioned to drive outsized EBITDA growth given our concentration in urban markets, which have significant run room for growth given a multiyear favorable demand/supply imbalance. Our high-quality diversified portfolio that benefits from seven-day week demand, the upside from our conversions and recent acquisitions, and the execution of incremental internal growth opportunities, including the completion of our next two conversions and our pipeline of future opportunities supported by our strong balance sheet. Overall, we are encouraged with our relative strong conditioning. I will now turn the call over to Sean.