Leslie Hale
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital
Thanks, Nikhil. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. During the third quarter, we continued to build on the momentum from our portfolio transformation. We made meaningful progress by executing on a number of fronts and generated solid operating results amid slowing operating trends. This includes closing on the sale of the 18-asset noncore portfolio that we previously announced and selling 1 additional hotel in September; executing the final termination agreement for 8 Wyndham hotels; repurchasing $47 million of shares during the quarter; maintaining a low levered balance sheet with net debt at only 3.2x EBITDA; and despite choppy fundamentals, achieving RevPAR which was largely in line with our expectations. We are pleased with the progress we made in light of the moderating economic trends in the third quarter, which were hampered by the uncertainty associated with the trade wars and geopolitical events. Key indicators such as business investment softened further, which continued to constrain business transient demand. And although the U.S. consumer remained healthy, the growth in the consumer spending decelerated from prior quarters, which likely impacted leisure transient demand. These trends resulted in overall lodging demand softening during the third quarter, especially in the urban and top 25 markets. Against this backdrop, our third quarter RevPAR declined slightly by 0.3%. Our performance was also impacted by Hurricane Dorian as a slow-moving hurricane constrained demand for several days around the heavily traveled Labor Day weekend, diminishing the positive lift we expected from the Jewish holiday shift in September. Additionally, consistent with the broader trends in the industry, we experienced a softening in the corporate transient segment across most of our markets. Despite these headwinds, we are pleased that we outperformed the urban segment of the industry as well as the top 25 markets and also gained market share. Our outperformance was led by strong growth in a number of markets, including those where we invested significant capital last year. Among our top markets, Louisville achieved robust RevPAR growth of 43% driven by our Louisville Marriott Downtown, which benefited from a strong in-house group base, and the ramp-up of a newly renovated convention center. We expect this strong performance to continue through the fourth quarter. In Austin, with our improved footprint in the CBD, our hotels achieved strong growth of 11%, which significantly outperformed the overall market. Our hotels benefited from the compression created by strong citywide and healthy business transient demand. We expect some of these positive trends to continue through the remainder of the year. Our hotels in D.C. achieved solid RevPAR growth of 3.2%, benefiting from strong in-house group demand and compression created by a number of events in the CBD. During the quarter, we improved our geographic footprint in this market by selling one additional noncore hotel. Looking ahead, we expect growth to moderate in the fourth quarter due to fewer citywides and renovations at one of our hotels. Denver is another market where our growth profile improved due to the sale of several noncore assets. Our hotels achieved 3.2% RevPAR growth during the third quarter, benefiting from one large citywide and strong corporate demand. Looking to the fourth quarter, we expect our performance to moderate due to fewer citywides. Our hotels in Southern California also achieved positive RevPAR growth of 0.9% during the quarter, helped by a strong in-house group base and leisure demand over the weekends. However, in light of the softer citywides in San Diego and one hotel under renovation, we expect our RevPAR to contract in the fourth quarter. In New York, our RevPAR declined by 2.4%. Although September benefited from the timing of the Jewish holidays, July and August were weak due to a combination of soft business transient and leisure demand. With Jewish holidays falling in October, we are expecting a soft fourth quarter. Our Chicago and Northern California markets were both impacted by fewer citywides this quarter, with RevPAR declining by 2.6% and 3.2%, respectively. Although we had expected softer business transient trends during the third quarter in Northern California, we experienced incremental softness, which has continued into the fourth quarter. We expect Chicago to remain soft during the fourth quarter given fewer citywides. Finally, our South Florida market was impacted by approximately 350 basis points from Hurricane Dorian and one renovation. Given the softness in international travel trends and new supply, we expect RevPAR to contract during the fourth quarter. Hurricane Dorian also impacted a number of other markets such as Charleston, Tampa, New Orleans and Atlanta. Despite these headwinds, we are pleased that many of these markets achieved robust RevPAR growth, with Tampa, New Orleans and Charleston achieving solid RevPAR growth of 15%, 10.2% and 5.3%, respectively. With the sale of the noncore assets, our increased concentration in these long-term growth markets further amplifies the overall improved geographic footprint of our portfolio. Now with respect to transactions and capital deployment. As expected, we closed on the sale of the 18-asset portfolio in August and sold an additional noncore hotel in our D.C. market for almost $13 million. We've been pleased with the execution of our noncore dispositions this year, which achieved the strategic benefit of elevating our growth profile, unlocking meaningful embedded value and positioning us to drive NAV appreciation over time. Our current portfolio is largely aligned with our long-term vision. Our successful asset sales have created significant investment capacity. With a number of levers to pull, we are actively working to deploy this capacity thoughtfully by continuing to repurchase our shares which we regard as a highly accretive tool; by investing in ROI and brand conversion opportunities, including the Wyndham portfolio, where we are making significant progress and see strong interest from brands; and by pursuing incremental opportunities to reduce our cost of debt such as exploring the refinancing of the 6% FelCor bonds, which are callable in mid-2020 and represent an opportunity for substantial interest expense savings. We expect the deployment of our investment capacity to benefit our 2020 earnings. As we deploy capital, we will continue to take a highly disciplined and thoughtful approach to capital allocation. Turning to our outlook for the remainder of the year. We expect the softening in the lodging demand that the industry experienced in the third quarter to continue throughout the fourth quarter. We also expect international travel in many markets to remain constrained and the weakness in corporate demand to be amplified by the shift of the Jewish holidays to October. These factors are expected to disproportionately impact the urban and top 25 markets. As it relates to our portfolio, we expect recent industry trends to more than offset the strength in citywides and in-house group in many of our markets such as Northern California, Louisville and Tampa during the fourth quarter. As a result, we are reducing the top end of our RevPAR guidance, which implies a 50 basis points reduction at the midpoint from our previous guidance. Despite slowing fundamentals, we are very pleased with the successful transformation of our portfolio, which has improved our platform and strengthened our balance sheet. We are well positioned with a portfolio of rooms-oriented, high-margin, premium-branded hotels in growth markets. Further, we have substantial investment capacity and are working to unlock the embedded value within our portfolio. Therefore, we believe that we can generate incremental shareholder value despite of a choppy macro environment. I will now turn the call over to Sean for a more detailed review of our operating and financial highlights. Sean?