Earnings Labs

RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ)

Q3 2014 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 4, 2014

$8.07

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the RLJ Lodging Trust third quarter earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Ms. Hilda Delgado, Vice President of Finance. Thank you. You may begin.

Hilda Delgado

Management

Thank you, Operator. Welcome to RLJ's third quarter earnings call. On today's call, Tom Baltimore, the company's President and Chief Executive Officer will discuss key operational highlights for the quarter. Leslie Hale, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer, will discuss the company's financial results. Forward-looking statements made on this call are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that may cause the company's actual results to differ materially from what has been communicated. Factors that may impact the results of the company can be found in the company's 10-K and other reports filed with the SEC. The company undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements. Also, as we discuss certain non-GAAP measures, it may be helpful to review the reconciliations to GAAP located in our press release from last night. I will now turn the call over to Tom.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

Thank you, Hilda. Good morning everyone, and welcome to our 2014 third quarter earnings call. I am very pleased to report that our portfolio delivered another quarter of impressive results. This quarter, our RevPAR grew 9.6% and EBITDA margins expanded by more than 200 basis points to 36.8%. In addition to closing out another strong quarter, we acquired two hotels for over $125 million, and also recently announced the completion of a $143 million secured financing that provides us with further room for growth. As a result of our continued positive performance, we increased our quarterly dividends by 36% over last quarter. Overall, we are encouraged by the improving economic climate we saw this quarter despite the extensive media coverage on geopolitical risk and Ebola. We are seeing business expansion and consumer confidence maintain positive trends. Improvements in labor conditions continue to drive the unemployment rate down, which is currently at a six-year low. The positive trends and economic indicators are providing continued momentum for the lodging industry. Over the last 12 months, demand growth outpaced supply growth by approximately 310 basis points. U.S. domestic demand continues to expand and despite weak economic headlines in Europe, international travel continues to accelerate. We expect international travel to continue to increase in the upcoming years and provide an additional catalyst for the sector. Supply growth remains certainly well below historical levels and is expected to stay muted over the next two to three years, supporting the positive lodging fundamentals that we are experiencing. For our portfolio during the third quarter, we generated RevPAR growth of 9.6% and EBITDA margin expansion of 201 basis points. Our steady growth has been the result of our focus on operational excellence and the overall upgrading of our portfolio. This quarter, several of our top markets generated…

Leslie D. Hale

Management

Thanks, Tom. Our results this quarter illustrate that our disciplined investment strategy and our focus on operational excellence continues to drive solid growth for our portfolio. This quarter, our strong performance generated an increase of $15.1 million to $109.4 million in Hotel EBITDA representing a 16% increase over the prior year. Our EBITDA margin expanded 201 basis points to 36.8% as we worked with our management companies to strong positive flow-through. With regards to our corporate results, for the quarter, our adjusted EBITDA increased $20.9 million to $101.6 million, resulting in a 25.8% increase over the same period last year. Adjusted FFO increased $22.3 million to $87.4 million, representing a 34.2% increase. For the quarter, adjusted FFO equates to $0.66 on a per-share basis. Adjusted FFO this quarter increased as a result of strong operating performance and interest expense savings captured from our balance sheet management efforts. Adjustments worth noting this quarter include a $9.2 million impairment charge for certain assets that we are currently marketing for sale. These assets in particular are among the lowest RevPAR assets in our portfolio, are located in secondary markets and have some of the larger capital requirements in our portfolio. In addition to taking a hands-on approach to our overall portfolio, we are also committed to managing our balance sheet. Maintaining a conservative capital structure that provides us with flexibility and a solid foundation for future growth is a fundamental principle for us. We have been exploring various options to address our near-term debt maturities. As a result, we were able to refinance a $143 million tranche of debt shortly after quarter end. A favorable lending environment coupled with our strong banking relationships allowed us to successfully execute this transaction. In doing so, we further staggered our maturities, unencumbered an additional asset in…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time we will be conducting the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) Our first question is coming from the line of Jordan Sadler with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets : Hi guys, it's Austin Wurschmidt here with Jordan. Just –

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

Hi Austin, how are you? Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets : Good, thanks. I wanted to touch a little bit on New York and just across your guys' five hotels it's been a bit of an underperformer from a market perspective. Are you seeing any discrepancy in terms of – or disparity in terms of the performance of those hotels and are there any particular submarkets that are being impacted by supply?

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

It's a fair question, Austin. Couple of things I'd note about New York. Our portfolio ran 97% in occupancy; I think the market was still running 84% to 85%. So certainly the supply is getting absorbed. We do have some tough comps if you look last year at FEMA and Sandy business, I think we had incremental $300,000 in the third quarter, about 83 basis points of RevPAR impact, also 20% of the loans in what we referred to – what we refer to as Midtown East, where the DoubleTree Met is, were under renovation last year. So those are certainly easier comps. Obviously the adjacent Lexington property which is owned by one of our peers obviously had a pretty major renovation last year as well. So they are benefiting obviously from that easier comp. But we like our portfolio, it is well-positioned, we think we are going to do very well over the long term. A little choppy right now, that's probably the one soft market when you compare that across our entire portfolio. New York only accounts for really about 14% of our EBITDA; but we think this is a temporary issue and certainly not a permanent issue. Given our high occupancy we are working in partnership with our internal asset managers and our external management company HighGate to look for ways to continue to shift the mix of business and continue to push rate and we're optimistic about the future. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets : So would you expect that as supply starts to moderate next year that you could see an acceleration in performance or does the low single digits in 2015 feel right?

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

Yeah, I would think the amount of supply, I think approximately 5.8% I think in the third quarter, I think that's probably going to continue through fourth and something comparable to that in '15. I have a hard time seeing New York not being anything more than a low- to mid-single digit in the near term, certainly underperforming what we are seeing in other markets, the West Coast, Houston, Austin et cetera. Long term, we love what's happening in New York and if you look at international arrivals as an example I think from 2000 to 2012 international arrivals were growing at about 2.3%. I think the Department of Commerce just came out recently and has now increased that expectation up to 4% between 2014 and 2018, increasing from about $74 million to about $88 million. Clearly, we would all expect that New York would get more than a fair share of that and that will benefit everyone in that market and we certainly think we'll get more than our fair share. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets : Thanks, that's helpful. And then just switching over to the balance sheet, Leslie, it looks like you got some debt maturing early to mid-next year, which appear to be at above market rates. Just curious, your thoughts on that and any potential for an early refinancing there.

Leslie D. Hale

Management

Yes, I mean that’s debt that we're – obviously is on our radar screen. It's CMBS debt, so the window to be able to prepay is actually relatively short but we are working towards putting a plan in place to refinance that at more attractive rates. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets : And then just one last one for me; in last quarter's release you guys mentioned about a potential special dividend in the fourth quarter. Any update there?

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

Well, a couple things we'd note, Austin. If you look since we've been public I think we've paid out about $2.68 in dividends for about 320 million. As Leslie noted in her prepared remarks, we've grown our dividend 20% a year. We increased it 36% this year. It is our policy to distribute 100% of our taxable income. Obviously some of our tax profile, we will evaluate that at the end of the year and determine whether or not a special dividend is warranted. If it is we clearly will distribute. We see dividends as an important part of being a REIT and an important part of return of capital and I think we've demonstrated that time and time again. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets : Great, thanks for the time guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from the line of Ryan Meliker with MLV & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

Hey Ron. Ryan Meliker – MLV & Co.: Hey, good morning, guys. Just one quick one for me, just give it – I apologize if I missed this early on, I jumped on a little bit late, but you guys have a pretty wide range for guidance for the full year now which implies an extremely wide range for 4Q. Can you just give us an idea if you are more comfortable at the low end, midpoint or high end of that range? I think a $20 million spread on EBITDA relative to consensus in 4Q, which is somewhere in the $90 million range, is a pretty range to be looking at. I was just hoping you might give us a little bit color on how you are thinking about things for 4Q.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

I certainly appreciate that Ryan and to your comment, last night, we did mean to set up an environment that would drive a truck through it. I would encourage you and the listeners, we would really drive you toward the mid, the midpoint of all of the guidance, both in RevPAR, in that 6% to 8% range, the same obviously for margins and the same for EBITDA. We are having a great year, I feel very good about the fourth quarter. Obviously we are going to have a number of renovations, particularly the Hyatt portfolio that we recently acquired; 6 of those 10 assets for about $25 million in capital will be renovated from the fourth quarter through part of the early first quarter, but again we're very comfortable with the midpoint of guidance and we certainly would direct you and the listeners there. Ryan Meliker – MLV & Co.: All right, that's really all I had, thanks for the color; and nice quarter.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is coming from the line of Anthony Powell with Barclays. Please proceed with your question. Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital: Hi good morning, everyone.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

Good morning, Anthony, how are you? Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital: Doing well, how are you?

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

I'm doing well, thanks. Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital: Good, just a question on transactions. You mentioned that you have around 26 assets that are marked there for sale. Are you a net buyer or a net seller at this point in the cycle and do you tend to want to grow your portfolio size or is it keep it where it is right now?

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

I would say at this point in the cycle, Anthony, we are both. I think as you have seen, this year is a great example of that. We have sold 15 assets – obviously these are non-core assets and – for about $130 million; RevPAR, those assets were 30% to 35% below the portfolio average. At the same time we have acquired 15 assets for $630 million and Ross Bierkan and our deal have done an exceptional job particularly with the Hyatt portfolio. And if you look at the assets that we've bought, most of which have been on the West Coast, we continue to improve the quality of our portfolio. So you can see us continuing to look for opportunities; again, there are 26 assets that we're currently marketing. They're at various stages and you can look for us to recycle that capital into higher growth markets. Clearly the transaction environment is more difficult, there is a lot of capital, the debt markets are also pretty accommodating, but I think we've demonstrated time and time again our ability to find deals off-market or limited bid and we're very confident that we'll continue to find really accretive opportunities as we move forward, yeah. Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital: Just a follow-up then, have you seen more private equity or sovereign wealth funds active in the single-asset market in [full] (ph) service? That would be a relatively new phenomenon.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

Yeah, I would say the answer is no. Generally you are seeing the private equity because the debt market is more interested in small to large portfolios, which makes sense given the amount of capital they have. Not inconceivable that you'll occasionally see some of the private equity firms interested in a value-add or a conversion or a de-turn. Those tend to be perhaps a little larger and probably more urban in nature but clearly there is a lot of capital both from private equity and foreign investors that are – and without question, we are passionate about our strategy. It is on one side really nice to see the validation. So many of the investors understand now the real benefits of an all-weather strategy by owning limited service hotels particularly in urban environments. Anthony Powell – Barclays Capital: Right, great, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. It appears there are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Baltimore for any additional concluding comments.

Thomas J. Baltimore, Jr.

Management

We appreciate everybody taking time this morning. We suspect many of you are headed to [Nayweed] (ph) and we look forward to seeing there and continuing our discussions. So safe travel and we'll talk soon.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. We thank you for participation and you may now disconnect your lines at this time.