Michael Nierenberg
Analyst · RSB Capital Markets
Thanks, Mandy. Good morning everyone and thanks for joining us. You know, for us in the quarter quite frankly, it was a relatively uneventful quarter despite the fact that the markets were extremely volatile. You know, during the first quarter we saw huge swings in oil prices, the equity markets gyrated and had very large moves. Bonds markets rallied and then sold off, and then we saw the commodity markets move around pretty broadly as well. So as we thought about this and, you know, quite frankly doing this for many, many years, we are extremely cautious around our capital deployment versus what we initially thought we would do when we came into the beginning of the quarter. So throughout the quarter we maintained a greater level of liquidity as we were watching to see what the markets would do. We have seen markets like this before and quite frankly usually you are rewarded to be patient. So most of our capital deployment came towards the end of the first quarter versus early on when we thought we would deploy a fair amount of capital in the beginning of the year. It is important to note that while we waited towards the end of the quarter to deploy a bunch of capital the underlying core business lines have been performing extremely well. In a way, as I pointed out our quarter was fairly eventful, away from the acquisition of the remaining spring capital equity position which was an add-on to an existing investment that we had in our portfolio. When you think about this and the fact that the cash flow generated from our business generates terrific earnings, it is something worth noting as we have yet to deploy as much capital again as we thought we would have in the beginning of the year. With our existing liquidity and more volatility environment we are extremely excited about what we think the next couple of quarters will, you know, will present to us from a capital deployment standpoint. I will now refer to our supplement which has been posted online. So I will begin with page two. Page two is, again, our summary of our Company. Our three core investment strategies continue to be excess MSRs, servicer advantage, and our non-Agency business with associated call rights. Our Company currently trades at a 15% dividend yield. We continue to try to maintain stable dividends and increase them when we can. Our year-over-year growth in Q1 core earnings is 11%. We have maintained through Q1 excess liquidity of approximately $1 billion. We have $175 billion in Call Rights. That is down, just purely due to amortization and some of the activity we have done around our calls. To date we have paid out lifetime dividends of $805 million and our excess MSR portfolio is $388 billion. Again, that is lower just as a result of purely amortization. For the quarter we had core earnings of $112 million or $0.49 per diluted share. We had GAAP net income of $111.7 million or $0.48 per diluted share, and our common dividend that we paid we maintained at $0.46 or $106 million. As you compare that to Q4 of 2015, one of the big things just to note on the difference in our core earnings has to do with our servicer advantage accounting, which we get incentive payments on some of our servicer advance financings that we do and based on the move in rates and in forward LIBOR that cost us unfortunately roughly $0.07. So if you think about it that way realistically if rates were unchanged, we would have had a core number of something in the mid $0.50s. The rise our GAAP net income was due to the monetization, or really the mark to market of our, not monetization of our mark to market of our string capital equity position, and that was a result of the again the acquisition of the remaining equity that we acquired from one Maine. On page four, New Residential today; this is a snapshot of our balance sheet. Excess MSR is $1.5 billion of net equity investment. That does include financing of $180 million. We did pay down $90 million of that $180 million subsequent to Q1. Our servicer advance equity is $124 million. That is down from $365 million. I will get into that in a bit, but it is purely due to advance balances coming down, and the group doing a terrific job around increasing our advance rates on our existing facilities. On a non-Agency business we increased our equity position there. We went from $447 million as of the end of 12/31 to $538 million. And we have done some additional investing subsequent to Q1. On a residential and consumer loan portfolio, the way I would think about that we have roughly a couple hundred million dollars of equity in performing and non-performing loans. We have $48 million in EBOs. This was as a result of the acquisition from HLSS and cover there, that investment was paid down already by 25%. So that has been a good one. We have a small amount in a legacy reverse position of $9 million. Cash on hand at the end of Q1 was $259 million. Page five is really just a, is a snapshot of the markets. As I pointed out on my opening remarks, the markets obviously we saw a lot of volatility in the first quarter. I think a couple things to note here. Upper right side of the page Non Agency spreads had widened quite a bit. When the markets see the turmoil that they did in the first quarter, typically spreads widened pretty good and we did see that and again, I would tell you now the Non-Agency mortgage market on the residential side is probably fairly close to where we were towards the end of 2015. So spreads have come back quite a bit. We will continue to deploy capital as we see fit there and, again, that capital deployment is consistent with our Non-Agency strategy as it relates to our Call Rights. High yield spreads, you know, there is, they got hammered early on in February. We have seen them come in quite a bit and then on the CMBS, side we have seen spreads widened quite a bit. It was very difficult for a lot of conduit deals to get done and we have seen spreads come back quite a bit there. On page six, we just talk again about our activity. As I pointed out it was a fairly uneventful quarter, which quite frankly is something I think we are pretty proud of that the portfolio stands on its own. Just to give you a sense, free cash flow from the quarter or the cash flow generated from our existing portfolio is something on a run-rate today about $140 million to $150 million. So after paying our dividend, if you think about it that way we generate something around $200 million in excess liquidity. So the portfolio continues to perform well. As it relates to our consumer loan portfolio, again we invested $56 million to acquire an interest in the spring castle equity. We did that along with another large private equity firm. We now own 54% of that JV. As a result of that we did consolidate that a, that asset class on our balance sheet and we recognized a GAAP gain of approximately $71 million. The existing position prior to that was marked at zero, as a result of our refinancing that we had done in a prior period. On the Non-Agency side we executed clean up Call Rights on 13 deals in Q1. We have not securitized that $71 million yet. In March, we completed a $261 million securitization. I will get into that in a bit, and then during the quarter we purchased about $1.1 billion of Non-Agency Securities. On a servicer advance business, again it is, the group has done a terrific job improving our advance rates. We have extended maturity dates on some of our existing facilities. We are very, very cognizant of roll dates, how we think about financing that business, and I think our next roll date on the servicer advance business is in August of 2016. On the excess MSRs I think we have been very vocal about our desire to be a fully licensed MSR owner, not necessarily an operator, in all 50 states. We currently are licensed in 46 states. We are working on the remaining four. We have applications into the different agencies in it DC to get fully, again, fully licensed with FHA, Fannie, Freddie, Ginnie; so we are working on that. We expect that to be a late first quarter if not early second quarter, you know, achievement and I think that just gives us a lot of flexibility around our Company. As far as pipeline and MSRs I think it is going to be, or I know it seems like it is going to be fairly robust. We are, I believe we are going to have opportunities to deploy a bunch of capital in the sector. There is an article written I think this morning by Moody's regarding servicer consolidation. You know, I can’t tell you what is going to happen, you but I do think we are un a great position to be able to acquire more MSRs whether that be from the large money center banks who will continue to have a desire to sell legacy MSRs, as well as from some of the non-bank mortgage companies and servicers. With that I will now talk a little bit about our portfolio and now I am on page eight. You know, as you look at the number of the earnings from our counterparts in the mortgage servicing sector, there has been some fairly reasonable-sized impairments. I would say on their portfolios. You know, why we are different quite frankly is that our portfolios are very much seasoned. When you look our average seasoning is about 112 months. We have a real -- I would say that our portfolio is more credit-impaired than most. Our average loan size is $156,000 versus an industry loan size of $197,000. Our FICO scores are of 662 versus an industry average of 731 and our LTVs are typically higher and that is 84% versus 78%. When you look at our portfolio as well when you think about, again the mortgage servicing counterparts, we are able to from an accounting perspective we have recapture in our marks. The mortgage -- the non-bank mortgage servicers are not able to do that so as a result of that -- you know, and I will gets into our CPRs in a bit, our overall CPRs quarter-over-quarter actually lower after including recapture. So we love this asset class. It has performed extremely well. Clearly with rates rallying we are very -- you know, we try to be as aggressive as we can with our partners at Nationstar. As it relates to their recapture and they have done a great job increasing their recapture rate. So while rates have rallied, our portfolio has continued to perform extremely well. On page nine, you can see really our net CPRs and how that compares relative to the industry. The industry average for the first quarter of March was 19%. Our net CPR -- or our gross CPR was 13% or net of 12%. As you look to the right side of the page if you look at where actual mortgage rates were and how we forecasted this. Our actual net CPR on our portfolio with recapture was 11.6% versus an estimated 11.5%. Just to give you some metrics from comparing to Q4 of 2015, our speeds on our Fannie portfolio of 2015; Fannie portfolio was 10.6% and -- I am sorry -- 2015 Q4 our speed for Q1 was 9.7%. On our Freddie portfolio was 10% -- it was 10 CPR in Q4, 9.9% in Q1. Ginnie portfolio was a little bit quicker; it was 15.9% in Q4 and it was 17.5% now. Our PLS was 12.9% in Q4 and 11.9%. So I guess the net of it is what I want to illustrate to you is that yes, we are in a period where seasonality comes into effect as you are in the winter months, but let us recapture our portfolios due to the credit -- you know, the credit impaired-nature of our portfolio continued to perform extremely well. On Page 10 our servicer advance business, again it is -- we have not really add Servicer Advances and what we are seeing is as a lot of these portfolios season you are going to see delinquencies trend lower and I think the advances to the UPB on our existing portfolio should continue to trend lower. Couple that with the increase in LTV on our advanced financing, the amount of equity was reduced to roughly $125 million in the quarter. Our life-to-date return on the portfolio has been 25%. Again, one of the reasons being this is not only good for us, but it is also good for the mortgage servicers. As they call back some of these that have been made by other servicers. The amount of capital that our counterparties have outstanding gets reduced and our capital gets reduced. So their interest cost goes down and our capital gets reduced so it is a win-win not only on our part but also for our servicer -- our servicing partners. Current advance balances $7.2 million funded with $6.9 billion of debt for 94% LTV and a 2.7% interest rate. And, again, that is a business that we like. Over time that will be -- the amount of equity will continue to trend lower is our belief. Page 11, we talk about our Non-Agency Securities and Call Rights. Again, this is our slide that we try to put in quarter after quarter. This is a deal that, we called a bunch of deals in December. We pointed out before the $261 million deal in March. This breaks it down a little bit. So again, just to frame it we buy discount bonds or we buy Non-Agency agency mortgage bonds at a discount. We then call the deals at par. When we call the deals at par, we pay par plus expenses plus you have to pay for the advances. We then do a securitization, which could trade something between 105 and 106 depending upon market conditions. So for example, as the bonds market rallies we are going to achieve higher proceeds and then we retain the non-performing loans at a discount. We work that out over time. In this example we are slowing that we made approximately 2 point on a $300-and-change million deal, of $7 million. Page 12 again this is a slide that we put in; what we want to illustrate here our pipeline is now what we believe it is approximately $175 billion in Call Rights. That is down again due to purely due to amortization, and some of the prior call activities. On the bottom right side we show how we are going to be able to accelerate that. I think we have grand plan to try to change the legacy mortgage market quite frankly over time. That will take a lot of work. That will be extremely fruitful for our shareholders and that is something that we are very much focused on. Today we have roughly $30 billion of deals that are callable; as delinquencies and advances come down, we should be able to call a significant amount more of those deals and that will happen over time. On a consumer loan portfolio, again, just to point out taking into real quickly in 2013 NRZ invested $241 million. We purchased at that time a 30% interest in a spring cash flow JV, which related to a portfolio of consumer loans which was $3.9 billion. In March what we invested an additional $56 million along with another firm to acquire the remaining interest from One Main. It has helped them de consolidate. We consolidated this on our balance sheet and generated GAAP gain of $71 million during the quarter. The return on this investment has been fantastic. Life to date IRR of 88% and we believe this investment should continue to be a good one. On page 14 we just put in a slide just to talk a little bit about more of our liquidity, and how we kind of think about some of the funding stuff that we are doing. We currently have north of $3 billion of additional funding capacity. We have north of 15 different financing counterparties. We continue to increase that number, in a meaningful way. Our range of funding sources can be either bank lines, repo facilities; we have variable funding notes on our servicer advance. We also have the ability to do term debt. One of the things we did subsequent to Q1, which we had thought we were going to do early in Q1, was we did a $225 million financing on our agency excess MSRs. We did that, again, it is kind of working capital and deploying that capital into the market and are in an accretive way for our shareholders. The cost of funds on that is give or take around 5%. So if we can invest capital give or take at 15% in that range, obviously it is a guideline for, for our Company. On the servicer advance side we have at least an additional $700 million of additional financing capacity and as I pointed out earlier we extended the maturity date on over $1 billion of our servicer advance financing. Page 15 talks a little bit about our license, or about where we are from a licensing prospective. Again, this is something that will give us the ability to own MSRs, not necessarily operate a servicing company. This will give us a lot more flexibility, for example, if Company X decides they want to sell $20 billion of MSRs, one of our servicing partners does not want to acquire those with us, we are able to acquire those in our name and then we can sub service those at a number of different counterparties. So again, it is more strategic to give us much more flexibility in our business and, again, that should be completed towards the end of Q2 if not into early Q1. Page 16, we talk a little bit about prior achievements, but really what I would say to wrap up kind of this part of our presentation, from a liquidity standpoint we still have plenty of liquidity. We have not tapped into all of our liquidity, just because, again, market turmoil and the desire to preserve capital for other potential opportunities. We still have all of our, you know the Call Rights is going to be a good one. We want to accelerate that. We get asked that question all the time. We are working on different strategies to do that. I think overall what you can see from our portfolio we are well-positioned in all kind of interest rate cycles. If rates ever do go up or MSRs we will do better. If they do not go up we have the recapture provision with our servicing partners and that is really like insurance and then, again, we will be licensed in all 50 states. So with that I think I will, you know, already some additional portfolio updates. I think I will turn it back to the Operator now and we could open it up for any questions.