Eric Langan
Analyst · Sidoti. Please go ahead
We have two people that we are working on Bombshells right now. I have talked to some club owners about equity. Because now everybody wants stock. Nobody wants when it’s 15, everybody wants when it’s 70, which is a fine buy, because we wouldn’t issue at 15 and I don’t know that we issued at 70 or 60 or whatever. We have to be very comfortable with the deal that is equity, because we still think equity is cheap. We are going to kind of lay out as we move in through May and June I think we are going to get a much better idea with everything open. So that by the July, September quarter, we will have a good idea of a – hopefully at least a 12-month run rate. I am getting more and more confident. I kind of thought Bombshells could slow down a little bit. It did after a big quarter, now slowed down a little bit, but then we had two quarters in a row, where we are sitting here with $13 million run rate. So, I thought maybe Texas would slow down or Florida would slow down, they are not slowing down and they are just getting busier. And so, I am getting very confident on the numbers that the numbers will continue to stay high for this 12 to 18-month period. And maybe forever, I just don’t know, I don’t – it’s hard to see past that point right now, because it’s so early. It’s kind of early in its recovery and what not. But we are also seeing inflation kick in. We are going to have some wage inflation, I think, chicken has gone up tremendously. I think we are going to see, you are seeing certain shortages catch up – market shortages, I mean. So, when does all this kind of steady out, get back to a deal where we can project going forward. That’s the hard part right now, is projecting going forward. In the mean time we can safely say I think we’ve got $52 million to $54 million of revenue for April, May, June in the bag. If we have a huge, June, we open May 31, we have a huge June in New York typically it’s taking three weeks from the time when a curfew ends to build up the business. But New York gave us a 30-day window on when no curfew, like Minneapolis was completely a surprise. On Wednesday afternoon, they came out and said, starting Friday, you can stay open. So that location will take a little bit of time to build up, right? Because the employees did not know ahead of time, so now we got to make calls. We got to get people in. We’ve got – so that – those locations typically are taking three weeks to get back to what I call ahead of pre-‘19 numbers. So, within three weeks we are outgrowing what we were doing in 2019. In New York, I think we can start up June 1 beating 2019 numbers because we have 30 days advertised market to bring the girls back in, to bring – we like the customers, know, hey you can party all night again. And so, I think the New York numbers will happen very quickly and maybe they want. So, we’d like – there we got a few things we’ve got to kind of work through there. If everything hits right, I mean, it could be $55 million, $56 million and if you look at the cash flow generation of 20.4%, for this quarter, if it’s a lot of the IT spend, it could be a little higher maybe the free cash flow generation percentage goes up a little bit. We generate a little higher free cash flow. But we are definitely on – at least short-term – on free cash flow that we’ve never seen before. I think we will have record free cash flow this quarter probably in the July to September quarter and then we get our prime season, October to May. So, it could be a very good year for the next 12 months, 18 months for sure.