Adam Wyden
Analyst · ADW Capital
I would just want to clarify 1 thing on -- 2 things, actually. On Yaron's comments, he said, "Well, Adam would be an advocate of selling the stock for $45." I mean, look, if you guys really want me to, I can do it on Twitter. I can pencil it out why this is a triple-digit stock easy today, and that's before using our imagination on Bombshells. So by no means am I indicating that you should sell for $45. What I'm saying is if you're Apollo or some sharply private equity firm, right, why don't you step in there, buy a bunch of shares and make a public offer, right? You and I both know that one of the great things about being a United States citizens and the SEC and the public markets is that like this is a country -- and this is why I'm in the hedge fund business. This is a country of manifest destiny. If I want something, I go out and freaking get it. And if I'm moving on black or one of these guys, I'm going out and buying all these shares. And I'm contacting Renaissance and Adam Wyden and all these people telling us why Aaron can't get the stock up, and he's infinite and, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. You should sell at $45. I mean, look what's happened to the Great Canadian Gaming. Apollo is fueling the company.
Now I'm -- by no means am I saying that you're some patsy, I mean, freak, no. I mean you've done the unbelievable. I was just implying that like there aren't these types of value opportunities. I don't see a lot of companies that can do 100 of EBITDA coming out of COVID and then have this unbridled 500-unit franchise company-owned Chipotle, Buffalo Wild Wings, Lollapalooza in front of them. I mean what the f***. I mean that's pretty incredible. And so like I'm, by no means, saying, I mean look, I didn't buy 1 million shares because I wanted to sell it at $45. I want to sell it at $400.
So I don't believe that. I was just saying, "Look, I'm not that smart of a guy," and if someone like me who's got a basic -- like you said, who can do fifth grade math and get on Google to see, why can't some Harvard MBA in New York City? So I was just saying, look, it's a value -- a cream rises. How do you want to say it? Cream rises to the crop. Numbers don't lie, people do, however you want to say it, this is going to become obvious to folks. And I just -- I want us to be able to get the full scope of that opportunity. That's what I was saying. And then I wanted -- you can answer that.
And then the other question I had was, you mentioned that you have a refinance coming in the end of December. And you said roughly $400,000 a month in savings. That was not in my free cash flow analysis in exiting 2019. So as far as I can tell, that's about $5 million of free cash flow at even a 10 multiple. Now we can argue why we should trade at a 5, right? I mean if you're growing free cash flow at 15% a year and you trade at a 5, that's a 20% total return on bucket maps. That's an acceptable return for most investors.
So I mean I can easily tell you why this thing does $5 of free cash flow, and I think it will do much more. At a 20 multiple, that's $100 stock, and that doesn't really discount any growth at Bombshells. So that's how I get to my $100.
But as it relates to the refinance opportunity, that alone, I mean, even if you don't believe in the multiple, at a constant 10 multiple, that's $50 a share at 9 million shares outstanding. That's -- what is that? It's in $0.5, a little less than $6 a share. I mean I were -- if someone was actually listening to their conference call, I wouldn't expect the stock to go up by some fraction of that. I don't know, 75%. I mean it's just completely ludicrous. I mean I follow this company as well as anybody. I didn't really think about a $5 million refinance. I mean that's almost $6 of equity share that just falls on our lap. You don't have to do anything other than make a phone call.