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Robert Half International Inc. (RHI)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 23, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the Robert Half Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Today's conference call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] Our host for today's call are Mr. Keith Waddell, President and Chief Executive Officer of Robert Half; and Mr. Michael Buckley, Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Waddell, you may begin.

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Hello, everyone. We appreciate your time today. Before we get started, I would like to remind you that the comments made on today's call contain forward-looking statements, including predictions and estimates about our future performance. These statements represent our current judgment of what the future holds. However, they are subject to the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties are described in today's press release and in our most recent 10-K and 10-Q filed with the SEC. We assume no obligation to update the statements made on today's call. During this presentation, we may mention some non-GAAP financial measures and reference these figures as, as adjusted. Specifically, we present adjusted revenue growth rates, which remove the impacts on reported revenues from the changes in the number of billing days and foreign currency exchange rates. Additionally, we present adjusted gross margin, adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses, and adjusted operating income by combining the gains and losses on investments held to fund the company's obligations under employee deferred compensation plans with the changes in the underlying deferred compensation obligations. Since the gains and losses from investments and the changes in deferred compensation obligations completely offset, there is no impact on our reported net income. Reconciliations and further explanations of these measures are included in a supplemental schedule to our earnings press release. For your convenience, our prepared remarks for today's call are available in the Investor Center of our website, roberthalf.com. For the second quarter of 2025, global enterprise revenues were $1.37 billion, down 7% from last year's second quarter both on a reported basis and on an adjusted basis. Net income per share in the second quarter was $0.41, compared to $0.66 in the second quarter 1 year…

Michael C. Buckley

Analyst

Thank you, Keith and hello, everyone. As Keith noted, global revenues were $1.37 billion in the second quarter. On an adjusted basis, second quarter talent solutions revenues were down 11% year-over-year. U.S. talent solutions revenues were $668 million, down 11% from the prior year's second quarter. Non-U.S. talent solutions revenues were $207 million, down 13% year-over-year. We conduct talent solutions operations through offices in the United States and 18 other countries. In the second quarter, there were 63.2 billing days, compared to 63.5 billing days in the same quarter 1 year ago. The third quarter of 2025 has 64.2 billing days, compared to 64.1 billing days during the third quarter of 2024. Currency exchange rate movements during the second quarter had the effect of increasing reported year-over-year total revenues by $8 million, $4 million for both talent solutions and Protiviti. Contract talent solutions bill rates for the second quarter increased 3.8% compared to 1 year ago, adjusted for changes in the mix of revenues by functional specialization, currency and country. This rate for the first quarter was 4.2%. Now let's take a closer look at results for Protiviti. Global revenues in the second quarter were $495 million, $396 million of that is from the United States, and $99 million is from outside of the United States. On an adjusted basis, global second quarter Protiviti revenues were up 2% versus the year-ago period. U.S. Protiviti revenues were down 1%, while non-U.S. Protiviti revenues were up 11% compared to 1 year ago. Protiviti and its independently owned member firms serve clients through locations in the United States and 28 other countries. Turning now to gross margin. In contract talent solutions, second quarter gross margin was 39.1% of applicable revenues versus 39.3% in the second quarter 1 year ago. Conversion or contract-to-hire revenues…

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Thank you, Mike. The fears of economic recession have eased as worst-case trade policy concerns have not materialized, and proposed tax changes have now become law. Small business confidence levels have also rebounded modestly from recent lows. The U.S. job market remains resilient with the overall unemployment at 4.1%. Labor supply constraints remain. Particularly noteworthy is that the unemployment rate for college-educated professionals is holding steady at just 2.5%, with even lower rates prevailing among specialized accounting, finance and technology roles. Although current hiring and quit rates remain subdued and well below post-COVID highs, job openings continue to be well above historical levels, indicating strong pent-up hiring demand. As business confidence improves, there is a corresponding acceleration in hiring urgency, project demand and the reprioritization of previously deferred initiatives. This natural progression typically places increased demands on client resources that are already operating at or near capacity, creating the hiring and consulting environment that has historically driven substantial growth for our business during the early phases of economic expansion cycles. Protiviti achieved year-over-year revenue growth for the fourth quarter in a row, though growth rates have moderated as a result of continued economic uncertainty. This has extended conversion timelines from opportunity identification to project start and reduced average project size. Despite the lengthening cycles, Protiviti's prospects, including the quality and diversity of its pipeline, remain very strong across all of its major solutions areas. The strategic integration of contract professionals sourced through our talent solutions divisions remains a powerful driver of Protiviti's performance, reinforcing our distinctive enterprise-wide competitive advantage. We remain committed to our time-tested corporate purpose to connect people to meaningful and exciting work and provide clients with the talent and consulting expertise they need to confidently compete and grow. We'd like to thank our employees, who are our greatest asset and what differentiates us in the marketplace, for the significant company recognition we've received in the second quarter. We are proud to have ranked #1 on Forbes' list of America's Best Professional Recruiting Firms. We were also recognized by Forbes as one of America's Best Temporary Staffing Firms and one of America's Best Executive Recruiting Firms. This is a credit to all of our employees and their incredible drive to deliver outstanding service to our clients and our candidates. Now, Mike and I would be happy to answer your questions. Please ask just one question and a single follow-up, as needed. If there's time, we'll come back to you for additional questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your first question will come from the line of Andrew Steinerman with JPMorgan.

Andrew Charles Steinerman

Analyst

This might be not as timely, it's kind of a long-term trend question. I was curious about the bill rate increases, the 3.8% year-over-year that is adjusted for mix. I know it's adjusted for other things like FX as well. But what I'm curious about is if you didn't adjust for mix, how much is bill rates up? And I really -- I'm asking because I feel like there's been kind of a long-term move up the skill sets over many years that sort of like is underappreciated when you just give the mix adjusted number.

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Right. And so since mix positively impacts bill rate increases for reasons you just mentioned, unadjusted they'd be higher. And so that's been a progression that's been in place for years, and wherein we're happy to have continue into the future.

Andrew Charles Steinerman

Analyst

But could you just give us a sense of how much your bill rates have increased because of mix shifts over the years?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

I mean it's not unusual for it to be 100 basis points to 200 basis points difference. I don't remember the numbers right off the top of my head, but clearly, it's part of our story.

Operator

Operator

And the next question will come from Mark Marcon with Baird.

Mark Steven Marcon

Analyst

Just wondering about Protiviti. You did mention that there's an extension in terms of conversion time lines and that the project -- in terms of the project starts and that there's reduced average project size. Could you dimensionalize that a little bit more? Obviously, we're going up against a tougher comp here in the third quarter than we had in the second quarter. So you're basically projecting to a year-over-year revenue decline in Protiviti. And I'm wondering like how much of that seems like it's a temporary function, or how long lasting do you think that trend could end up being?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Well, first of all, it's a slight year-on-year decline. Next, I would say that in the third quarter, there's a small number of very large jobs that completed in the second. And given the overall cautious environment take a little bit of time to replace. And so that, in addition to or as part of the economic environment trend, is impacting quarter 3 Protiviti revenues. While it's seeing in quarter 3, it's typical Sarbanes-Oxley compliance lift seasonally that it always does, the other solutions are somewhat lower for this large project phenomenon that I just talked about. Up temporary versus the longer term, if you look at their pipeline, their pipeline is still up year-on-year. And I think the thing that they're most excited about is that their new opportunities in the last 30 days are up substantially. And as you look back over the last year, the increase of that last 30 days is substantially higher, both sequentially and year-on-year that they've seen in a long time. So we're very encouraged by that.

Mark Steven Marcon

Analyst

Should that -- just to stay on this, should that translate to likely growth by the fourth quarter if we have kind of the normal conversion rate?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Again, because we're so close to year-on-year growth, it doesn't take that much revenue to swing it one way or the other. And so clearly, with that kind of opportunity growth -- new opportunity growth by the fourth quarter, there's a reasonable chance that we return to growth again. But again, we're talking really, really small negative and/or positive growth rates. Generally speaking, Protiviti has been very resilient during this kind of more challenged economic period of the last 2 or 3 years, and that is expected to continue. And whether they have negative growth of 2% or positive growth of 2%, it isn't a huge swing. Protiviti is doing very well.

Mark Steven Marcon

Analyst

Great. And then you mentioned with regards to talent solutions, the fears of economic recession have eased, worst trade -- worst case on the trade policy concerns haven't materialized, and we've seen small business confidence rebound. In terms -- when we take a look at your talent solutions business, we did see a pickup, particularly with regards to technology solutions. I'm just wondering how you're thinking about tech solutions progressing. And should that eventually spill over to finance and accounting as well?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Tech solutions are clearly the strongest part of our practice groups. Tech modernization, ERP upgrades, security privacy, they're all strong. Much of that relates to AI readiness, if you will, and it's been doing very well for multiple quarters now. And we would expect to see some of that trickle into finance and accounting, particularly at our higher management resource levels. And further, it ties in well with Protiviti's technology consulting group such that together our higher-level finance and accounting consulting solutions, our tech solutions, and we've been moving up the skill curve there and technology at Protiviti, they all fit very well together.

Operator

Operator

And your next question will come from the line of Manav Patnaik with Barclays.

John Ronan Kennedy

Analyst

This is Ronan Kennedy on for Manav. I just wanted to clarify some of the statements with regards to macro drivers and demands and the trends that you've seen out of June and the first 3 weeks in July. I think you understandably highlighted that elevated global economic uncertainty, consistent with what we're hearing from other companies, but I think they had pointed out to activity slowed once the tariff rhetoric again ramped up approximately a month ago. I think you had indicated revenue levels fell during the first 2 months and then stabilized in June, but perm placement revenues in June were down 20%. And I think they were down in contract as well. Just wondering how that kind of all reconciles, and if there's any specific drivers there to be mindful of.

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Well, part of this is year-on-year versus sequential. And when we're talking current trends, we're talking sequential. And so what we said was the first 2 months sequentially, we fell modestly and then sequentially, that leveled off. I could also say that for the past few weeks on the talent solutions side, particularly, the tone of the conversations we've had with clients has improved, and we feel good about that. But the year-on-year comparisons also consider what happened sequentially a year ago. And in times like these, we tend to focus more on sequential than year-on-year, and that's how we describe the trends. And so sequentially on the Protiviti side, a nice surge in new opportunities the last 30 days. Talent solutions side, the tone of client conversations has definitely gotten better in the last few weeks. If you take our current run rate in talent solutions through mid-July and you apply that to the full quarter, we're about 2% down sequentially. And our guidance is that we would be down 4% sequentially. So we've added a little conservatism to our guidance relative to where we are at the moment. And again, everything sequentially.

John Ronan Kennedy

Analyst

Thank you for the clarification, I appreciate it. And then if I may as a follow-up, can you just talk about the dynamics of margin drivers, the puts and takes to guided margins, whether that's mix conversion, wage rate inflation, bill pay spreads, et cetera for the guided margin, please, for 3Q?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Sure. On talent solutions side, gross margins pretty consistent, or nothing new there. On the SG&A side, we've pretty much abated the negative operating leverage we've gotten for many quarters in a row. And so there's not much change in talent solutions SG&A as a percent of revenue in our Q3 guidance. And as we said in our remarks, on a progression from Q2 to Q3, talent solutions just had one of the best -- will have one of the best quarters it's had at the operating line than it's had in 4 years. And so we feel good about where we are cost-wise and margin-wise relative to the last 3 or 4 years, frankly, on talent solutions. In Protiviti, we get an uptick in gross margin and segment income sequentially. That's largely driven by the seasonal lift they get from Sarbanes-Oxley compliance work, which they anticipate getting again. However, because of the completion of those small number of large projects, they're not going to get as much revenue lift as they typically do in the third quarter. And all of that revenue lift is almost completely segment income or margin. And therefore, the gross margin and segment margin lift you typically get in the third quarter if they're not going to get as much of this year, still be up, but won't be up as much as it has been traditionally. And again, it's principally related to those handful of small -- large projects that they're having to redeploy for.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from Trevor Romeo with William Blair.

Trevor Romeo

Analyst · William Blair.

I had another kind of macro-related question to start. You talked about the conversations improving for talent solutions in the last month or so. I guess the question I have is, does it feel like the confidence and the tone of conversations are back to where they were maybe a couple of quarters ago? I guess, coming into the year, you did see the post-election increase in confidence metrics. Are we back there yet? And if not, I guess, what do you think will it take to get back to those types of levels of confidence?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst · William Blair.

It's subjective, but I would say we're not back there yet, but we're headed there. And I just -- I'll tell you the last few weeks on the talent solutions side particularly, and as represented by the new opportunities in Protiviti, tone is definitely better. It's not euphoric like it was post-election. But it's certainly going in the right direction, which is a nice change from 90 days ago when we didn't feel this way. I'd say we definitely feel better today than we felt 90 days ago.

Trevor Romeo

Analyst · William Blair.

Okay. That makes a lot of sense. And then I had a follow-up about the entry-level sort of the college grad labor market. We've seen a lot of press lately about some incremental weakness in that area. So just given, I guess, your perspective, would love to hear your thoughts on maybe what's going on in the entry-level white collar labor market? Is it just economic uncertainty? Are you seeing any pressure from maybe advancements in AI or anything like that?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst · William Blair.

Well, first of all, our small business clients typically expect experienced staff when they come to us for contractors. And so we don't really have that many right out of college graduates that we place on the contract side. On AI, we could talk forever. So let me make a few comments. First of all, we know definitively that so far, AI has had very little impact on our revenues. We did a deep dive. We took it all. We took all the roles that were identified by The World Economic Forum as most vulnerable. They would include things like data entry, bookkeeping, customer service, the ones you always read about. And our data says that so far, they haven't performed any differently than the other roles. Interestingly, the NFIB just did a technology survey of its constituents. 98% reported that AI had no impact to their number of employees. There are other studies that have come out recently, and the National Bureau of Economic Research being one of them, that has concluded so far, no association between AI and jobs growth with the possible exception of tech companies that you read a lot about. But part of that, they're selling their own book. And so at least so far, when you look at the staffing industry and Robert Half specifically, we can say AI has not impacted how we've performed. Now as to the future, there are opinions all over the lot. We would say that historically, the staffing industry has been great about being very fluid and pivoting to where the jobs and the skills are old and new. We operate in the spot market every day, and you have to go where the jobs and skills are to survive. I'd say further, with every technology cycle, there's…

Operator

Operator

And we'll take a question from Tobey Sommer with Truist.

Tobey O'Brien Sommer

Analyst

Within Protiviti, in your financial services or the industry customer set, what's your experience been? Is it -- is that part of the business and that customer set performing any differently than the business as a whole?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Well, since it's so large a portion of Protiviti, it's almost half its revenue between 40% and 50% typically, you can almost correctly assume that any Protiviti trend is going to be true of its financial services client base. And in this case, that would be true again. And those large projects that completed FSI is represented there. And so that impacts their -- particularly their Q3 forecast for their revenues. So FSI definitely are very cost conscious, very selective. The decision cycle has been extended. Everything we've said would definitely include FSI clients.

Tobey O'Brien Sommer

Analyst

And what's the internal posture at the company as far as adding internal resources versus sort of being in the restraining and the cutting of internal resources? You say you feel better than you did 90 days ago. So how is that reflected in your decision-making there?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Well, because we think we have unused capacity which we've talked about for some time, we've held on to more of our recruiters and salespeople than revenues would dictate. We think we have a nice buffer and that we can participate strongly in the upcycle without adding to current heads. So at the moment, while we always performance manage on an individual basis, other than that, we're holding the line. And we think we have adequate staff to participate and the fact that we're getting some productivity gains from some of these digital initiatives we have, including the lead scoring, we feel even more confident that we have the capacity we'll need to participate nicely.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Stephanie Moore with Jefferies.

Stephanie Lynn Benjamin Moore

Analyst · Jefferies.

I wanted to -- you talked about this a little bit. You talked about investments that you've been making in AI, in particular, the other investments and maybe your positioning versus your smaller competitors when we eventually get out of this very sluggish environment. So could you talk a little bit about how you think you're positioned to win and take share when we do eventually get out of this pretty sluggish environment? And maybe asked another way, given how prolonged the sluggish environment is in, do you think that actually puts you in a better position for maybe smaller players that have just struggled to compete and might not have the resources available to take advantage of this recovery?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst · Jefferies.

Well, as I said, for technology reasons alone, I think we'll be better positioned to take share in part because at the end of the day, what clients can't care about is the quality of your candidates, and we can present better candidates because of our AI. By the same token, what candidates care about is the quality of your jobs. And we can present better jobs, more relevant jobs to candidates because of the power of AI, neither of which our local and regional competitors can do as well as we can do. And so I feel great in that way. Further, because we've made this commitment to these full-time engagement professionals, the quality of the talent we can provide, even in a very tight, low unemployment market, I think our clients are going to be very happy with, and we can scale that quickly if need be as well. And so the combination of our technology, our brands, which are better known than our local and regional competitors. The fact that we have this bench of full-time engagement professionals that we're willing to commit even more to, I think, just adds to that. And so frankly -- and by the way, that's -- the latter is very margin accretive. And so I believe we're positioned to benefit relative to that competitor set better today than we ever have.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from George Tong with Goldman Sachs.

Keen Fai Tong

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

So perm placement revenues during the quarter and the first few weeks of July declined more than temp staffing revenues. Can you talk a bit about what some of the factors are that may be contributing to this?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

So George, perm has been more volatile than contract forever. And so short-term differences one versus the other are normal frankly, and explanations don't really say much about trends. And I'd say perm in April didn't see the lift we would typically see in the second quarter. But at that lower level, we leveled out in May and June. And so -- and I was talking sequentially again. And so perm is fine. It's just -- it's more volatile. It's always been more volatile and always will be more volatile. As we talked even on the last call, we came out the gate hotter there in perm. And when you looked at the full quarter, that wasn't very predictive of even 1 quarter. And so perm is just more volatile.

Keen Fai Tong

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Got it. That's helpful. And then your admin and customer support business has been declining faster than finance and accounting now for 2 quarters in a row. What may be causing this difference in the rate of decline?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

There's a fair amount of projects in ACS, and large projects tend to impact that more. The comps have been tougher at times in ACS. But again, there are a couple of percentage points different than finance and accounting. They're not hugely different. If you look at a year ago, you'll find that the comps for ACS are tougher than the comps for accounting. And that somewhat gets reflected in the year- on-year growth rates. I don't think there's a big story there, one way or the other. And by the way, when we did that AI impact study, customer service, administrative staff were definitely included and they hadn't performed any differently than other roles.

Operator

Operator

And moving on to Kartik Mehta with Northcoast Research.

Kartik Mehta

Analyst

Keith, I wanted to get your perspective. We've had a couple of starts or a couple of signs this year where it seems as though the industry was going to be on a positive trend. And unfortunately for a variety of reasons, it isn't able to hold the momentum. And I'm wondering if there's anything different you're seeing this time around, especially with some of the sequential growth that you've talked about, that you could point to that might say this is going to last.

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Well, I think the heightened uncertainty is certainly more accepted in the new normal. So I don't think there are as strong of reactions to all the policy changes up and down that seem to happen daily. So it's more settled in that these things are going to happen, and that's the new normal and deal with it and get on with it. And so I think with time, clients, particularly SMBs have gotten a little known to that. And therefore, it would take more to impact their confidence levels than it has in the last few quarters. The tax law has now been done. So that's behind us. The tariffs, while not settled, the view is, I mean, led today, in fact, by Japan, as you know, that are likely not to be as significant as first feared. Not that it's by any means settled, but it seems to be settling at a lower level.

Kartik Mehta

Analyst

And then just moving on to the Protiviti business, any change in the competitive dynamics in that business, especially as maybe there's just a couple of headwinds here than maybe before?

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst

Not. I mean the competition with the Big 4. And if anything, as we've talked about in the recent quarters, that competition, particularly as it relates to price has stabilized. And so I don't think there's a competitive reason that Protiviti has gone to a small negative year-on- year growth rate. I wouldn't say that's about competitive dynamics at all.

Operator

Operator

And your next question comes from Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets.

Ryan Christopher Griffin

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets.

This is Ryan on for Jeff. You mentioned that 70% of the business is SMB. I was just wondering how your larger enterprise customers fared in April and May. Perhaps they were a little bit less sensitive, but I was just curious.

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets.

Well, we don't typically quantitatively break out the difference. But generally speaking, I would say the enterprise -- our enterprise clients have been a bit more resilient than our SMB clients for several quarters. And you see that in Protiviti's results where their client base is very different than talent solutions, where they're principally enterprise clients. So enterprise, a little better than SMB.

Ryan Christopher Griffin

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets.

I appreciate that. Just for the follow-up on non-U.S. Protiviti. The growth there was up quite a bit this quarter. I was wondering if you could break down the drivers there.

M. Keith Waddell

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets.

So first of all, the comps are dramatically different between U.S. and non-U.S. A year ago, U.S. grew 3% and non-U.S. was down 16%. So the comps are dramatically different, point one. But point two, Protiviti in Germany and in Canada have some very large joint go-to-market projects with talent solutions, and they're doing very well and that's expected to continue. So we feel good about Protiviti's international operations, particularly Europe, particularly Germany, and there's a lot of excitement about this defense and infrastructure spending coming, hadn't happened yet, but we feel good about Protiviti non-U.S. Okay. So that was our last question. So thank you very much for joining us.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. If you missed any part of the call, it will be archived in audio format in the Investor Center of Robert Half's website at roberthalf.com. You can also log in to the conference call replay. Details are contained in the company's press release issued earlier today.