Operator
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Sturm, Ruger & Company Fourth Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Mark and I'll be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host for today, Michael Fifer, Chief Executive Officer. Please proceed, sir. Michael O. Fifer - Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thank you. Good morning and welcome to the Sturm, Ruger & Company year-end 2015 conference call. I'd like to ask Kevin Reid, our General Counsel, to read the caution on forward-looking statements, which will be followed by a quick overview of 2015, including the fourth quarter, and then we can get right into your questions. Kevin? Kevin B. Reid - Vice President & General Counsel: Thanks, Mike. We want to remind everyone that statements made in the course of this meeting that state the company's or management's intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations or predictions of the future are forward-looking statements. It is important to note that the company's actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements is contained from time to time in the company's SEC filings, including, but not limited to, the company's reports on Form 10-K for the year-ended December 31, 2015 and Forms 10-Q for the first, second, and third quarters of 2015. Copies of these documents may be obtained by contacting the company or the SEC or of course on the company's website at www.ruger.com or the SEC website at www.sec.gov. We reference non-GAAP EBITDA. Please note that the reconciliation of GAAP net income to non-GAAP EBITDA can be found on our Form 10-K for the year-ended December 31, 2015, and our Forms 10-Q for the first three quarters of 2015, which also are posted to our website. Furthermore, the company disclaims all responsibility to update forward-looking statements. Mike? Michael O. Fifer - Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thank you, Kevin. Financial results. For 2015, net sales were $551.1 million and fully diluted earnings were $3.21 per share. For 2014, net sales were $544.5 million and fully diluted earnings were $1.95 per share. In the fourth quarter of 2014, the company recorded an expense of $41 million related to the termination and settlement of its defined-benefit pension plan. Excluding this expense, 2014's fully diluted earnings were $3.22 per share. For the fourth quarter of 2015, net sales were $152.4 million and fully diluted earnings were $0.88 per share. For the corresponding period in 2014, net sales were $122.6 million and the company realized a loss of $0.77 per share. Excluding the aforementioned defined-benefit pension plan expense, fourth quarter 2014 fully diluted earnings were $0.53 per share. Our 2015 EBITDA was $132.5 million or 24% of sales and our 2014 EBITDA was $126.3 million or 23% of sales. For the fourth quarter of 2015, our EBITDA was $36 million or 24% of sales. These results compare favorably to our fourth quarter of 2014 EBITDA of $17.3 million or 14% of sales. Demand. After a year of declining demand in 2014, demand rebounded in 2015 whilst to slightly higher overall levels and back to typical seasonal patterns. For 2015, the estimated sell-through of the company's products from the independent wholesale distributors to retailers increased 7% from 2014. During the same period, the National Instant Criminal Background Check System background checks, as adjusted by the National Shooting Sports Foundation and commonly referred to as NICS checks, increased 9%. For the fourth quarter of 2015, the estimated sell-through of the company's products from the independent wholesale distributors to retailers increased 24% from the comparable prior-year period. During the same period, NICS checks increased 18%. We've had a strong presence in the 2015 Black Friday advertisements with some national chain accounts reporting significant increases in sales of the company's products to consumers year-over-year. In the fourth quarter of 2015, we observed stronger demand for those firearm products that would typically be used for self-defense such as centerfire pistols. This increase in demand led to increased sell-through at all levels of the channel and helped reduce inventory levels of the company's products both at Ruger and at the independent wholesale distributors. Demand continues to be strong for both self-defense type firearms and for new products through the first month-and-a-half of 2016. New product development. We believe that new products are a key driver of demand. Our major new product launch in mid-2015 was the Ruger Precision Rifle. And at the end of the year, we launched the Ruger American Pistol and shortly thereafter the Silent-SR rimfire sound suppressor. In addition to these new products, we placed an increased emphasis on accessories and licensed products. New accessory of products included the Elite 452 trigger, which fits all modern sporting rifles, several 10/22 barrels, custom replacement stocks and grips, muzzle brakes for threaded barrels and a 9-millimeter conversion kit for our LC380 pistol. We also added Ruger ARX ammunition manufactured by PolyCase and an exclusive line of knives by CRKT to our catalog of licensed products. New products represented $115.4 million or 21% of firearm sales in 2015 compared to $89.4 million or 16% of firearm sales in 2014. New product sales include only major new products that were introduced in the past two years. Production and inventories. In 2015, unit production for the year declined 8% from 2014. The quarterly numbers, however, show an improving trend in the second half of the year. In the third and fourth quarters of 2015, unit production increased 23% and 18%, respectively, from the comparable prior-year period. In spite of that increase in production, inventories at both the company and at the independent wholesale distributors declined in the fourth quarter due to the aforementioned increase in demand. For the full year, the company finished with inventory decrease 16,800 units and the independent wholesale distributor's inventory decreased 55,700 units. We believe that the overall inventory levels are generally sufficient to support rapid fulfillment of retailer demand. However, there is still insufficient availability of certain models that are enjoying strong demand and we are working hard to increase production rates for those models. Balance sheet. At December 31, 2015, our cash and cash equivalents totaled $69 million, an increase of $60 million from December 31, 2014. Our current ratio was 2.3:1 and we have no debt. At December 31, 2015, stockholders equity was $227.7 million, which equates to a book value of $12.17 per share. Cash flows. In 2015, we generated $112.6 million of cash from operations. We reinvested $28.7 million of that back into the company in the form of capital expenditures. We estimate that capital expenditures in 2016 will be approximately $25 million. Our primary focus for investment will be new product development as well as capacity increases for certain established products that have strong demand. Cash returned to shareholders. In 2015, the company returned $24 million to its shareholders through the payment of $21 million of dividend and the repurchase of 82,100 shares of our common stock at an average price of $34.57 per share for a total of $3 million. At December 31, 2015, $73 million remained authorized for future stock repurchases. Our board of directors has declared a $0.35 per share quarterly dividend for shareholders of record as of March 11, 2016, payable on March 25, 2016. As a reminder, our quarterly dividend is approximately 40% of net income and therefore varies quarter-to-quarter. Those were the highlights of 2015. Operator, may we please have the first question?