William Heissenbuttel
Analyst · HSBC. Please go ahead
Thanks, Tony. On Slide 8, we first compare March quarter versus December quarter gold equivalent ounces on the right side of the slide and also year-over-year results on the left. Relative to last quarter the big story is that we had higher GEOs from Mount Milligan. Moving forward we will be receiving gold from Mount Milligan based on final settlements only for all future shipments, which by agreement must be no more than five months after it leaves the mine. As Tony stated, we expect our June quarter volume to be down slightly from the March quarter. You’ll also see in the chart that Voisey’s Bay production is lower than the prior quarter. Historically, we’ve received nickel and copper concentrate shipment data from Vale on a regular basis, which allowed us to estimate our Voisey’s Bay royalty revenue for financial reporting purposes. When actual quarterly payments differed from our estimates, we adjusted the estimates during the subsequent quarter based on actual payment information received. We did not receive nickel and copper shipment data for the December 2014 and March 2015 quarters. For the March quarter estimate reported today we used historic concentrate shipment data and then made an adjustment for our December quarter estimate based on the actual royalty payment we received in February. From this point forward, we intend to recognize Voisey’s Bay royalty revenue on a cash basis. This means that Voisey’s Bay revenue we recognized for the June quarter may only include whatever adjustments to the March quarter estimate are necessary based on the actual payment information we receive next month. And finally, volume at Peñasquito was fairly flat from the December quarter, and Goldcorp has disclosed that they expect 2015 volume to be back-end weighted. Now, in the comments that follow I will compare third-quarter production versus the prior year quarter which is summarized on the right of the chart. Mount Milligan production increased 18% to 46,100 ounces of payable gold during the quarter. However, throughput and production were impacted by frozen and plugged feeders, and unscheduled maintenance issues in the March quarter. Thompson Creek implemented action plans to address the issues. Mill throughput averaged 39,500 tonnes per day during the quarter, compared to 33,000 tonnes per day for the prior year quarter. Throughput improved during the last half of March 2015 achieving 50,000 to 54,000 tonnes per day. Thompson Creek continues to guide to design throughput of 60,000 tonnes per day by calendar year-end. At Andacollo, payable gold production in concentrates decreased 8% as a result of lower mill production over the last few months. Harder ore and unplanned maintenance downtime in the concentrator impacted copper concentrate shipments early in calendar 2015, while a failure of the tailings thickener and scheduled maintenance impacted mill production late in the March quarter, which may impact what we receive in this current quarter. We are expecting a stronger second-half of the year at Andacollo. At Cortez, production increased 59% over the prior year quarter as surface mining activity increased at the Pipeline Mining Complex, where our royalty applies, while no significant mining activity occurred in these areas during the prior year quarter. Production subject to our royalty interests was about 201,000 ounces in all of calendar 2014 and Barrick is forecasting about 132,000 ounces in calendar 2015, most of that front-end loaded. We have long waited for Crossroads pre-stripping to begin and we’re excited to learn Barrick is commencing stripping this calendar year. Crossroads is an area of approximately 3 million ounces subject to Royal Gold’s 5% NSR royalty interest. At Mulatos GEOs attributable to our royalty interests increased 24% aided by the timing of final settlement of gold that was produced at the end of the fourth calendar quarter of 2014, but for which settlement with the refinery had not yet occurred. Alamos announced an increase in 2015 production guidance from calendar 2014 levels as a full year of mill production is expected to more than offset lower heap leach ore grades during calendar year 2015. At Peñasquito, gold production subject to Royal Gold’s royalty interest, which lags Goldcorp’s reported production due to the timing of concentrate shipments, increased nearly 50% over the prior year quarter to approximately 174,000 ounces, while silver, lead and zinc production decreased by 16%, 13% and 8% respectively, over the prior year quarter. Goldcorp expects the gold production for calendar 2015 to be weighted to the second-half of the calendar year, as mining will move into the higher-grade portions of the Peñasco pit beginning in the June quarter. On Slide 9, we provided operator estimates where available for calendar 2015 on the area subject to our interest. The important takeaways for 2015 is that we expect, A, a stronger second-half of the calendar year at Andacollo, Mount Milligan, Mulatos and Penasquito, these operations comprised about 65% of our revenue in the third quarter and their performance should more than offset a weaker remainder of the year at Cortez; and B, we have no volume guidance available from Voisey’s Bay, but point out that it was a normal percentage of our revenue in the March quarter. Today, we are also reporting our 2014 year-end reserves. Gold equivalent ounces reserve were 5.3 million ounces at year-end 2014 compared with 5.6 million ounces by year-end 2013. The reduction was due mainly to depletion. And I’ll turn the call over to Stefan.