Earnings Labs

Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)

Q3 2009 Earnings Call· Fri, May 8, 2009

$237.12

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name Ken and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time I'd like to welcome everyone to the Royal Gold Fiscal 2009 Third Quarter Earnings Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there we'll be a question and answer session. (Operator Instructions). And now I'd like to turn the call over of Ms. Karen Gross. Ma'am, go ahead.

Karen P. Gross

Management

Thank you, operator and hello everyone. Welcome to our third quarter fiscal '09 conference call that's being webcast live today. You'll be able to access a replay of the call on our website at www.royalgold.com. Also on the website, you'll find our release detailing our financial results. As always, this discussion falls under the Safe Harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. A discussion of the company's current risks and uncertainties is included in the Safe Harbor statement in today's release and is presented in greater detail in our filings with the SEC. Participating on the call today are Tony Jensen, President and Chief Executive Officer; Stefan Wenger, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; Bill Heissenbuttel, Vice President Corporate Development; Bruce Kirchhoff, Vice President and General Counsel; and Stan Dempsey, Chairman. A Q&A will follow our comments. We will also be discussing the company's free cash flow which is a non-GAAP financial measure. There is a free cash flow in reconciliation in today's press release. Now, let me turn the call over to Tony.

Tony Jensen

Management

Good morning. And thank you for joining us today. There's been quite a bit of news during the quarter and certainly additional news has come out this morning. So we very much look forward to updating you on all those issues. Our portfolio of assets once again generated strong revenue during the period as we reached an all-time quarterly high of nearly $21 million. Goldstrike, Leeville and Mulatos achieved solid operating results and with combined revenue of $5.4 million. Taparko provide at another $5 million and received about $3.6 million from the royalty interest that we acquired this past October from Barrick. Combined these assets more than offset revenue declined at Cortez and Robinson, which together contributed $5.6 million. This continues to demonstrate the strength of our diversified royalty portfolio. Our Royalty interest, we're focused on precious metals. This quarter gold production contributed to 89% of revenue, while silver contributed an additional 3%. Now; let me turn the call over to Stefan for a more detail discussion on our financial results.

Stefan L. Wenger

Management

Thank you, Tony. Highlights for the quarter include revenue of 20.8 million, compared with revenue of 18.7 million for the comparable period. Net income of 4.1 million or $0.12 per share, compared with 6.9 million or $0.11 per share for the third quarter of fiscal 2008. The decrease in net income was due mainly, to increased DD&A cost of $4 million in the quarter. Free cash flow of 17.5 million or 84% of revenues, compared with free cash flow of 15.5 million or 83% of revenues for the prior year period. And we ended the quarter with the cash balance of 51 million and no long term debt. Our current cash balance as of April 30, was approximately 292 million; reflecting the proceeds from our recent equity offering. Of course, about 218 million has been set aside for the closing of the Andacollo transaction. For the nine month period, royalty revenue was 51.5 million. Net income was 31.3 million or $0.92 per share and free cash flow was 42.3 million or 82% of revenues. Revenue of Robinson was down by 2.6 million on a quarter-over-quarter basis. This was primarily due to the impact of lower copper prices, a decrease in copper and gold sales and a final negative pricing adjustment for the quarter totaling approximately $200,000. As we discussed last quarter, our Robinson royalty will continue to be impacted by positive and negative pricing adjustments in future periods. Our DD&A cost increased to about 10 million for the third quarter, compared with about 6 million for the comparable quarter of fiscal 2008. This quarter's increased depletion cost is the result of lower production at Cortez. And strong revenues from our recent royalty acquisitions, which carry a higher cost per ounce in our more mature properties like Cortez and Robinson. Now, I'll turn the call back to Tony to review the operational and development elements of the business with you.

Tony Jensen

Management

In reviewing our portfolio this quarter Goldstrike, Leeville, Mulatos and Siguiri all turned in solid performances. Our production at Cortez was lower than expected during the period, mainly due to lower grades been mined. Barrick reported that they expect production to improve in the coming quarters as higher grade ores mined. Production continues to ramp up at Dolores and just this morning Minefinders announced that they reached commercial production at the end of April. This stretched hold is important to us as it triggers the payment of our 2% NSR royalty and gold and silver production; which is in addition to our 2.15 -- sorry, our 1.25 NSR royalty on gold that is currently providing us revenue. Recovery on the leach pad is meeting or exceeding expectations. The mine produced 14,000 ounces of gold and 282,000 ounces of silver during the quarter resulting in gold royalty revenue of $200,000. Production at Taparko has been improving; despite the mill only achieving 68% availability. Sales of 23,000 ounces resulted in record relative revenue for the quarter. Extensive maintenance on the mill was completed during two shutdowns; one in January and another in March. To further reduce drive train vibrations and improve the contact between pinion and the bull gear. Turning to the development stage properties; just this morning Barrick formally announced the go ahead decision at Pascua-Lama; following the resolution of cross border fiscal issues and provided some keys statistics on the project; including a reserve of 17.8 million ounces of gold and 718 million ounces of silver, a mine life of greater than 25 years. Average production over the mine life of 600 to 700,000 ounces of gold and 20 to 25 million ounces of sliver at a total cash cost of 200 to $250 per ounce. Production rates in the…

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. (Operator Instructions). And your first question comes from Andy Schopick from Nutmeg Securities.

Andrew Schopick - Nutmeg Securities

Analyst

Tony, hi. I have a couple of question I'd like to ask you. If you could first just give any additional color on the situation in Taparko beyond what you've communicated in the press release, is there anything new that you could add on that?

Tony Jensen

Management

Andy, the operation has been performing better. The vibrations are going down, and I think they very seem to be manageable at this point. I don't know that we could ever expect the mill to probably achieve availability, somewhere to what we'd expect in North America. But nonetheless, we understand that the finances, of Samira, the holding company at Taparko are sound and the operation continues do improve ever since when you give about gearbox one in November. So we're pretty pleased with it. I think $5 million with only, $5 million in royalty revenue with only 68% availability, kind of shows you the power of that royalty in the early years on that project. So, we're pleased with what's happening there. And I think they are just making some steady progress start towards resolving issues.

Andrew Schopick - Nutmeg Securities

Analyst

Okay. Let me ask you couple of more general type questions. I'm just curious to get your comment on these. How does the current conditions in the credit markets affect the prospects for doing any new royalty deals? And secondly, how does the current low interest rate environment impact your rate of return analysis or expectations on any new royalty type negotiations?

Tony Jensen

Management

Well. The first that I think, when you talk about the current macroeconomic financial conditions, I think this is really the stage that set us up well to be able to the Andacollo transaction, while base metals kind of came off, some of those companies became stressed with leverage. At the same time, we were pretty much capable and able to exercise new opportunities. So, I don't know if there is additional time in a window, we're still open to do additional gold string with base metal companies that might need to restructure their balance sheet. But that certainly has been a focus of hours during this macroeconomic condition. So, I think there is -- it's a wonderful time. We see a lot of good deal flow. There is companies that are in the gold only sector that aren't able to excess capital. Our capital is to expensive for them. And so we see us been able to really compete nicely at this time. With regard to the low interest rates environment, I think that's the low interest rate is really only available for some and not many. If you look at some of the cost of capital that's coming out in the bond issuance, in even some major mining companies. The cost of capital, I think is going up pretty substantially and it's more of a cost of funds to the lenders rather than a cost of capital. So, I do think that these are all good things for us to continue to grow our business with them.

Andrew Schopick - Nutmeg Securities

Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Tony Jensen

Management

Thanks, Andy.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Victor Flores from HSBC.

Victor Flores - HSBC Securities

Analyst

Yeah, good morning Tony and everyone. I have three questions. The first sort of a follow-up to the previous question regarding Taparko. It looks like, I mean to try to frame it, it looks like we're sort of in a half pregnant sort of situation with them. Because the mine isn't performing the way its suppose to, which means that they're technically in violation of the covenants. On the other hand, it's working well enough that you've got 5 million bucks during the quarter. So, I'm just trying to understand sort of more from a legal point of view, what happens going forward? Nothing but --

Tony Jensen

Management

Yes, Victor. We haven't forbear on any of our defaults. We haven't stood down on any of those. There is the major one there is that they did not reach commercial production as required. I think it was back in the end of September. So, we still have maintained all of our legal rights. We still hold the collateral and the securities that we have access to. We still can take, we still have the pledges both at the Samira level, which is Burkina Faso entity and the Cayman Island level as well. So, we really would like to continue to see the project make strides towards improving, and that's really where our focus has been. And I think you really famed it quite nicely, it may not be up to the expectations, but it's still performing reasonably well for us on a royalty basis.

Victor Flores - HSBC Securities

Analyst

And perhaps to press you a bit. How bad would things have to get for you to perhaps get a bit more grumpy with them?

Tony Jensen

Management

You know Victor, I can't be really specific on any issues. But let me just be general and say as long as you see good progress going the right direction, I think point to support.

Victor Flores - HSBC Securities

Analyst

That's fair enough. Thanks. Second question goes to the Andacollo transaction and for the life of me, I meant to ask you this question several times and I keep on forgetting. Is this royalty kicking upon the production of the first gold in concentrate or do you have to wait for them to achieve technically commercial production to get paid?

Tony Jensen

Management

No, it's every ounce that comes out of the property. So, it's the first ounce.

Victor Flores - HSBC Securities

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks and then the final question goes to the other royalty properties. You're getting 3.5 million bucks there from various projects. And I see from the footnotes that Benso and El Chanate were quite good contributors. Were there perhaps one or two other royalties within that other which are in the Barrick portfolio that are noteworthy?

Tony Jensen

Management

You know I'm looking at Stefan just now. You hit on two nice ones. Capital Gold's done a fabulous job for us and that's been producing good revenue for us. And Benso, I think came up with about a $1.5 million this quarter. So they had a really, really good quarter. Stefan, apart from those, does any come to mind?

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

Victor, the Troy contributed about $500,000 for the period as well and as we look towards the fourth fiscal quarter, we would expect to be close to our cap on that 7% GSR. But, Troy is producing at a pretty good rate there. Really no other notables to comment that had significant revenue during the period. One I point out I guess is Twin Creeks that did, that had a pretty good quarter as well.

Victor Flores - HSBC Securities

Analyst

Great, thank you very much.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

Thanks, Victor.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). And our next question on the line is Imaru Casanova from BJM.

Unidentified Company Speaker

Analyst

Hi, Imaru.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Yeah, hi. I had a lot of the questions on Taparko that has been asked. But I was wondering if I could ask any sort of guidance on next quarter's production? I am not really sure if the 23,000 ounces; how they were distributed, production is still ramping up. Should we expect this same level for next quarter or a little better, I guess I'm a bit under dark and what you expect there?

Tony Jensen

Management

Imaru, are you specifically talking about Taparko? Yeah, we think that 23,000 ounces was a really good quarter for them. I don't know if they're going to be repeat those --

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Okay.

Tony Jensen

Management

Numbers, but I do think that we're seeing some good revenue flow there. I would just hasten to guess and say somewhere around 15,000 ounces is probably closer to maybe little bit north of that.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Okay.

Tony Jensen

Management

Where we would expect to be.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

That's good. That's helpful. Now, regarding the production reporting in the past you -- and I realized the number of properties have gotten very large. So, you might be changing the way you report. But, in the 10-Q, should we expect a little bit more detail on what's was produced where, and what the revenue from each asset, where are we going to -- are you're going to keep at same formats to the other category?

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

Imaru, this is Stefan.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Hi, Stefan.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

In our 10-Q, you'll see similar format as what you saw in the press release.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Okay.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

With the other footnote and in the footnote, we've broken out in the other sort of significant ones within that other category. Everything in that category was 5%, and not really a meaningful contributor to our revenue.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Okay.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

You'll see that same level of detail.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Okay. So, we shouldn't expect to see all the line-by-line production on each of the -- for example, I guess we can back calculate it truly what the production there was et cetera. But you won't be reporting that going forward?

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

That's correct.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Okay. And just to clarify on the rate at Dolores is now that the commercial production has been reached. Should we assume that this was the starting today, you'll step up that royalty rate to 3.25 for gold and 2% for silver?

Tony Jensen

Management

You got it Imaru. That's right.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

This rate is effective immediately now, I think?

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

Correct.

Imaru Casanova - BJM Research

Analyst

Thank you very much. I think that's it.

Tony Jensen

Management

Thank you, Imaru.

Operator

Operator

Our next question then comes from John Doody from Gold Stock Analyst.

John Doody - Gold Stock Analyst

Analyst

Hi, again guys, two easy questions item. Stefan might have mentioned, but what're the numbers of shares out now?

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

John, we're at about 40.7 million.

John Doody - Gold Stock Analyst

Analyst

40.7, okay. And the underwriters over allotment was at $38 and that, they have through the close of today to exercise that?

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

Yeah, John. That overlap and it we'll not be, the option will not be exercised.

John Doody - Gold Stock Analyst

Analyst

Even though stock's at almost $40.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

The entire shares outstanding after this deal is 40.7. So, there'll be no more.

John Doody - Gold Stock Analyst

Analyst

Okay.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

No more share dilution associated with the over allotment

John Doody - Gold Stock Analyst

Analyst

Okay, good. And the other question, I know it's a familiar one from me. But would the revenues up this year versus last year's adjusted number, so, we'd be looking for a dividend increase perhaps?

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

John, I'd be disappointed if you didn't ask me that question. It seems that I get that from you at least once a year. But, we don't have a set dividend policy as far as the yield or a payout ratio goes. And we are very proud as a Board is stepping that up in a reasonable sense. As I said many times in the past, we don't want to have to back away from that. But this is a very, very good growth opportunity for us at the present time. We see good things in front of us. And as we access the cost of capital and having to come back to the market to raise capital, we very much like to grow our business out of cash flow. And so we still want to keep a lot of that cash flow around as long as there's good business to be done.

John Doody - Gold Stock Analyst

Analyst

Okay. I'll take that as a dodge, but also a maybe.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

All right.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Greg Orel from Orel Capital (ph).

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hey, guys. I have one question really and it has to do with strategy and going forward. The Andacollo transaction is certainly, it's gold deal associated with base metals and what is the plan in terms of doing similar deals in the future, do you have plans to do that?

Tony Jensen

Management

Greg, we have all kinds of different entry levels for our royalty and acquisition from exploration all away through to development and buying existing royalties. And also buying precious metal streams off of base metal companies and we're evaluating all those at the same time and I would hasten to guess what our next transaction would be in what area. But we very much would like to continue to do similar types deals as we did in Andacollo as opportunities present themselves.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. So there is no concern of having too much of revenue try to project of mostly base metals components and the potential that base metals prices could go down and therefore that mine would shutdown and your revenue stream would shutdown?

Tony Jensen

Management

Greg, I understand the question and the concern. I think the bigger issue is that we have to make sure we do business with properties that have good stand power. And that's where we spend a lot of our focus. We're not concerned about that at the present time. But I do understand your issue and that's how we'd address that.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Great. Andacollo, what would be the, kind of the breakeven on copper do you see that you guys --

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

I think after we talk, after pull our gold credits out that would put Andacollo somewhere around a $1.10. I am looking at Bill Heissenbuttel here and he's confirming that. And we look at that as being an upper third quartile type of producers, so see that a different way. They'd have to be about 25% of the world's production come offline before it wouldn't impact and to Andacollo.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Great. Yeah. I'll take a sense. Yeah. I appreciate it.

Tony Jensen

Management

Thank you, Greg.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yeah.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Adam Schatzker from RBC Capital Markets.

Adam Schatzker - RBC Capital Markets

Analyst

Hello everyone.

Tony Jensen

Management

Hey, Adam.

Adam Schatzker - RBC Capital Markets

Analyst

Just a quick question, actually I guess it's a continuation of the last one. What kind of competition are you seen when you look at royalties that are I guess put out for a bids. Is it getting more intensive? Are you're finding the returns are getting skinnier?

Unidentified Company Speaker

Analyst

I'm just going to turn to Bill and ask Bill Heissenbuttel, our Corporate Development fellow to answer that question.

William Heissenbuttel

Analyst

Yeah, actually I mean it is a very competitive market. We see a lot of opportunities. But I can assure you there's an opportunity that we look at. That we're assuming that isn't being reviewed by the Francos and IFCs of the world.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

So, I think that another point that I would like to make there Adam is that well, the competition might be getting more pronounced. I think lots of the opportunities are there, I just don't know that there's enough capital for one company to do all the things that are available in the market today. There's, with more companies coming in this whole space has become much more credible, both from an industry standpoint and from a counterparty standpoint. As we do Andacollo type deals, I think that just brings more business the entire sector. So, I think both of those things would balance out. There might be more competition, but I think there's more opportunity.

Adam Schatzker - RBC Capital Markets

Analyst

All right. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Cosmos Chiu from CIBC.

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

Are you there Cosmos?

Cosmos Chiu - CIBC World Markets

Analyst

Yeah, hello can you hear me?

Tony Jensen

Management

I can.

Cosmos Chiu - CIBC World Markets

Analyst

You cannot or you can?

Tony Jensen

Management

Yes, we can hear you, just fine.

Cosmos Chiu - CIBC World Markets

Analyst

Yeah. Hi guys, got a quick question here. Have you received the cash of 5.1 million coming from the royalty revenue from Taparko? I don't know, if you have given the difficult financial situation or the operator?

Stefan Wenger

Analyst

Cosmos, this is Stefan. Thanks for the question. We have received that cash there. That payment's due by the 10th business day of the month. And they've, Taparko has paid us sometime since production started. So, there's no issue there.

Cosmos Chiu - CIBC World Markets

Analyst

Great, thank you. That's all I have.

Tony Jensen

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And I have no further questions in queue. I'm turning it back to you for any closing and final remarks

Tony Jensen

Management

Thanks very much operator. And thank you all for joining us today. We appreciate your interest and continued support of Royal Gold and look forward to updating you on our progress in the next quarterly conference call. Thanks much.

Operator

Operator

This now concludes your Royal Gold fiscal 2009 third quarter earnings call. You may now disconnect.