Alton E. Yother - Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Finance Group
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Thank you, Dowd and good morning again to everyone. As Dowd said, we are pleased with this quarter's earnings, especially given the fact that the results do not include the approximately $0.02 per share contribution of the 52 branches we divested in the first quarter. Linked-quarter, the earnings per share loss from divested branches was offset by good expense control, including strong merger-related cost saves, by fee gains primarily Morgan Keegan and service charges and also aggressive share repurchases. All in all, operating results were solid. Nonetheless, it was another noisy quarter due to divestitures, merger-related items and a couple of other special items. As a result, my goal for the next few minutes is to provide you with some clarity on our first to second quarter of core operating trends. Fully taxable equivalent net interest income dipped $64 million linked-quarter, impacted by lower net interest margin and a smaller earning asset base. Branch divestitures negatively affected both margin and earning asset levels, accounting for about $30 million of second quarter's drop in net interest income. Our net interest margin contracted to 3.82%, over half of the linked-quarter decrease was related to the branch divestitures. The explained divestitures not only reduced low cost deposits by $2.7 billion, they also necessitated the reversal of a portion of an earlier positive purchase accounting mark-to-market on these deposits. In addition to the divestitures, narrowing spreads and our capital management efforts namely, an increased level of share repurchase activity and the issuance of long-term debt further pressured the net interest margin during this quarter. The pace of margin compression should slow as we move into the second half of the year, leading to an estimated 3.8% average margin for the full year 2007. And this estimate assumes continued narrower spreads on new balance sheet growth, lower purchase accounting benefits as we go throughout the year and no significant change in the short end of the yield curve. Of course the deposit pricing from a competitive stand point as well as the mix of deposits between low cost and term deposits will play a critical role in the level of the net interest margin. On an average basis, low cost deposits excluding the divestitures grew an annualized 3.8%, helped by new marketing campaigns and shifts in the money market accounts from certificates of deposit. As higher-cost certificate of deposits mature, we are either shifting the funds into lower-cost money market accounts or allowing them to not all, given the limited balance sheet growth and our own willingness to leverage our balance sheet in the current rate environment, we are using cash flows from investment securities portfolio run off to reduce the higher-cost certificate of deposits as they mature. Average loans declined slightly during the quarter. Linked-quarter annualized commercial loans up however was 8.8%, but it was effectively offset by a drop in commercial real estate outstandings, which reflected not only a reduced demand but an increasingly competitive market and our unwillingness to compromise underwriting standard to capture volume. In the case of home equity lendings, strong production of $2.59 billion in the quarter was offset by equally high pay downs of $2.61 billion, thus preventing any net balance sheet growth in that product. For the year as a whole, we now expect minimal loan growth and low single-digit increase in deposits. From a growth standpoint, the banking industry is currently experiencing a challenging environment, but we are convinced that we are doing the right things to position ourselves going forward, trying to strike a good balance between what we provide current return without sacrificing long term profitability. Turning to credit quality, net loan charge-offs remain low at $54 million, or an annualized 23 basis point of average loans, which is up 3 basis points during the quarter. Our outlook for the full year of 2007 for net loan charge-offs remains in the mid 20 basis point area. Our credit loss reserve as a percentage of loans remains strong in 1.19%, which is a 1 basis point increase from the first quarter. Non performing assets rose to 62 basis points of loans plus other real estate, primarily driven by commercial real estate loans as a result of weaker demand or condominium in more than four construction projects. Also, in a quarter part of the integration process is been a recognition of our need to make modifications in the combined lending and credit review processes, specifically we implemented a new more prescriptive credit approval process, we placed tighter restrictions on selected types of real estate lending, we began requiring commercial real estate lending specialist to be involved in every commercial real estate loan. We established a more rules-based environment for all lending and credit functions, through increasing standardization especially in small business lending. We strengthened the overall approval process by requiring the approval of a credit officer in most instances. We separated the sales process from the underwriting and approval functions and finally, we implemented a company-wide credit servicing review of all loans $3 million and above, which we finished this quarter. Now these changes in the combined company's lending and credit review process coupled with the previously mentioned weaker demand for certain types of commercial real estate projects, led to the increase in non-performing assets in the quarter. We believe that we are adequately reserved for any potential losses on these credits and we are comfortable with our mid-year loan loss reserve level. Going forward, we are confident that the underwriting-related issues affecting the increase in non-performing assets will not reoccur, given the changes in the approval process that I just described. And importantly, we still expect our net charge-offs to be in the mid 20 basis point level for the year as we previously mentioned. Now turning to non-interest revenue, Morgan Keegan produced another excellent quarter. The company earned a record $50.1 million, which is $4.6 million above first quarter, on revenue of $328.8 million. Sales were strong across the board, but particularly in the fixed income and equity capital market period. Since closing the merger, we have 118 new offices and our sales force has increased by over 200 in Morgan Keegan in order to more effectively leverage opportunities provided by our expanded customer base. Second quarter's performance suggest that these actions are already providing solid results. Service charges were also strong, up $13.5 million or annualized 19% linked-quarter growth despite the absence of approximately $7 million of service charges that we recorded in the first quarter related to the divested branches. These little factors along with higher NSF and interchange volume largely explained this increase. Regions mortgage fees improved slightly first to second quarter, but remained still somewhat weak, given the ongoing market and industry challenges. Additionally, in the second quarter we realized $32.8 million loss of the sale of approximately $1 billion of securities. Without increasing duration we were able to reinvest the majority of these proceeds in higher yielding securities. Non-interest expenses, excluding merger charges increased $62 million; I am sorry, excuse me, decreased $62 million linked-quarter. Although there were a number of other smaller moving parts, the overall decrease can be attributed primarily to a $38 million mortgage servicing rights recapture and an increase of $33 million in cost saves in the second quarter. The second quarter merger-related cost saves, most of which were personnel-related totaled $84 million, bringing the year-to-date total to $135 million in cumulative cost saves. As Dowd said, we are ahead of plan on 2008 realized cost saves and are likely to exceed the net $150 million run rate from now originally forecast to be achieved by the end of 2007 by as much as $100 million. And this would bring our total net saves to approximately $500 million as compared to the originally estimated $400 million, and we will be keeping you up-to-date each quarter as the year progresses on our cost save benefits. In addition to the cost saves, we are also very pleased with the level of merger cost that we are experiencing. As you may recall, back at the original announcement of the merger with AmSouth, we estimated that we would spend about $700 million to put up two companies together. We are now confident that we will spend less than that amount, and although this improvement won't entirely hit the bottom line, it is a real savings that would directly benefit our capital. Finally, efficient use of capital does remain a top priority. During the second quarter, we repurchased 19.7 million shares including a late April accelerated buyback of 14.2 million shares. And this leaves 34 million shares available for repurchase under our current authorization. Our plan is to continue to repurchase shares aggressively in the second half of 2007. In summary, to be sure, 2007 has had its share of challenges including the effects of the implementation of FIN 48 in the first quarter, lost earnings from divestitures and industry issues like narrowing spreads and modest balance sheet growth. But given the additional cost savings that we have been able to identify and capture along with the actions we've taken to maximize the profitability of our balance sheet, the year is shaping up to be very solid and gives us great confidence as we continue to take advantage of the many opportunities afforded to us by the merger. Operator, I think we will now be ready to take questions.