Stuart Rose
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thank you, Doug. Going forward, we expect the earnings to be approximately flat in the ethanol segment and for the next quarter for the first quarter than when we're currently in, and after-tax earnings to be significantly better versus the first quarter of last year. The primary drivers are going to be a lower tax rate in our after-tax earnings in the refined coal segment. Ethanol, as Doug mentioned earlier, the crush spreads are basically running slightly up over the fourth quarter. We do have more capacity this year based on expanding our plants wherein prices have come down from the fourth quarter. There's still legislative uncertainty out there. Waivers have been granted to some small refiners, but overall, the Trump administration appears to be rejecting major changes in the RINs. But EPA still has a possibility to make those changes, and we're in a wait-and-see mode on that. DDG prices are up over the fourth quarter. Corn also was up over the fourth quarter. Gasoline prices continue to be considerably above ethanol prices, and that should fare well for both our -- both the industry's export demand and also increased blending and increased E85 sales. In terms of refined coal, we entered the business last year. It's a business that loses money on a pretax basis. But based on a tax credit-related reduction in NOx and mercury, it makes money overall. The tax credit allows the overall business to be profitable, and all increases related to that business are accretive. As we were not in that business last year, so every -- all increases will go to the bottom line -- or go to increases over last year during the first quarter and also in the first half. We continue to generate large amounts of cash. Our cash -- our consolidated cash balance was approximately $190 million. The ethanol plant expansions have gone well. Zafar will talk to you a little bit about that after -- next after I finish. We've increased our buyback by 500,000 shares. We will be buying on dips. We look at that as the best way to return cash to shareholders. It's worked for us in the past. As we reduce the number of shares, our earnings per share go up and we hope to stockpile us up. Sometimes it does, sometimes it doesn't. But we have looked -- we have done this historically, and it's worked out well for us over the years. And again, we will look to buy on dips. We don't just buy the stock to buy the stock. We continue to look for ethanol opportunities. At this moment, we don't have any, but we're out there always looking to try and find other really good plants to buy. So far, we haven't been successful. At least in the last year, we haven't been successful in finding any but we keep looking. We continue to look for other profitable energy ventures. The refined coal, for example, was one we found last year. Again, we look for operations that can be accretive to shareholder -- to earnings per share and this was a perfect example of something that met our criteria. Zafar Rizvi, our CEO, will now talk about our ethanol expansion and talk about the ethanol business itself. Zafar?