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Ring Energy, Inc. (REI)

Q2 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 8, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Ring Energy, Inc. Conference Call to discuss the 2019 Second Quarter Financial and Operating Results. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. The question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to our host Mr. Tim Rochford, Chairman of the Board of Directors. Thank you, sir. You may begin.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and I would like to thank and welcome all listeners for joining us today on our 2019 second quarter and six months financial and operations conference call for Ring Energy. Joining me on the call today in addition to myself again Tim Rochford, Chairman of the Board; will be Kelly Hoffman, our Chief Executive Officer; David Fowler, our President; Randy Broaddrick, our Chief Financial Officer; Danny Wilson, Executive Vice President of Operations; Hollie Lamb, Vice President of Engineering; and of course, Bill Parsons, who joins us from Investor Relations. Today, we will cover the financials and the operations of the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2019. We will review our results and provide some insight as it relates to the current progress, thus far in the third quarter of 2019. At the conclusion of the review, we will turn the call back over to the operator and we’re going to open up for any questions that you may have. Now, I’m going to ask Randy Broaddrick to give us a review on the financials. Randy?

Randy Broaddrick

Analyst

Thank you, Tim. Before we begin, I would like to make reference that any forward-looking statements which may be made during this call are within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. For a complete explanation, I would refer you to our release issued Wednesday, August 7, 2019. If you do not have a copy of the release, one will be posted on the company website at www.ringenergy.com. For the three months ended June 30, 2019, the company has oil and gas revenues of $51.3 million and net income of $12.4 million as compared to revenues of $29.9 million and net income of $4.7 million in the second quarter of 2018. For the six months ended June 30, 2019, the company had oil and gas revenues of $93.1 million and net income of at $23.5 million as compared to revenues of $59.8 million and net income of $10.4 million. For the three months period of 2019, the net income includes a pre-tax unrealized gain on hedges of $1.5 million, acquisition related costs of approximately $600,000 and a deferred tax benefit adjustment of $600,000. Without these items, net income would have been approximately $11.6 million. The three month period of 2018 net income includes a pre-tax unrealized loss on hedges of $1.1 million. Without these items, net income would have been approximately $5.6 million. For the six months period of 2019, the net income includes a pre-tax unrealized gain on hedges of $1.2 million, acquisition related costs of approximately $4.1 million and a deferred tax benefit adjustment of $4.5 million. Without these items, net income would have been approximately $21.3 million. The six month period of 2018 net income included a pre-tax unrealized loss on hedges of $1.9 million and an additional…

Tim Rochford

Analyst

All right, Randy, thank you. I appreciate that. I'm going to ask Kelly to give us a recap on the second quarter overview and operations. Kelly?

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst

Thanks, Tim. And thanks everyone for joining us on the call. In the three months ended June 30, the company drilled 13 new horizontal San Andres wells. Our Central Basin Platform asset we drilled seven new horizontal wells, five one-mile horizontal wells and two 1.5 mile horizontal wells. And on our newly acquired Northwest Shelf property, we drilled six new horizontal San Andres wells, four one-mile horizontal wells, two 1.5 mile horizontal wells and we're in the process of drilling two more at the end of the quarter. Off the 13 wells drilled, four were waiting on completion that was two Central Basin Platform and two Northwest Shelf. Well seven were drilled completed and are in various stages of testing; five on the Central Basin Platform and two on the Northwest Shelf; and two were drilled on the Northwest Shelf completed, finished testing and had initial potentials as filed. The first one was The Bruce E Gentry JR 647 A 2H had an IP of 359 barrel of oil equivalents per day and that calculates to 88 BOE per thousand foot, and the Sooner 662 at second well, A 2H with an IP of 767 barrel of oil equivalents per day, which is 181 BOE per thousand foot. We’re very pleased with the preliminary results we're seeing on the Northwest Shelf and the continued results we're seeing on our Central Basic Platform assets, all our forecasts are based on average type curve IPs of 86 BOE per thousand foot and the average IP on all of our horizontal wells continues to exceed 100 plus BOE per thousand foot. As a result, net production for the second quarter of 2019 was approximately 976,000 BOEs that equates to about 10,725 BOPD, that's on a per day basis. This is the first time the quarterly operations update combines both the Ring and the newly acquired Northwest Shelf properties. June 2019 average net daily production was approximately 10,800 BOEs per day. A side note for the listeners on the call today, I want everyone to know that we had previously reported, if you remember a differential of approximately $5 per barrel and however July came in into three and when we're looking at the snapshot of August up to this point, it is also looking like around $3, maybe slightly less going forward here. We're feeling pretty strong about that. So with that I'm going to – I’m going to turn it over to Danny and Hollie to give you some current update on operations and a little more detail on our plan moving forward. Thank you.

Danny Wilson

Analyst

All right. Thanks, Kelly and thanks everyone for being on the call. I want to start out by giving you an update on few of our existing wells. Out in the Delaware Basin our Brushy Canyon horizontal wells continue to have impressive production and particularly the Hugin 1H and 2H, which are located in our northeast part of our acreage. They continue to produce at a combined rate of 350 barrels of oil per day and 2.3 million cubic feet of gas. Since the beginning of the year these two wells have combined production of over 105,000 BOE of which 80% is oil. On our North Gaines acreage, our two horizontal San Andres wells, the Ellen B. Peters number 3H and 4H continue to produce at a combined rate of 150 barrels of oil per day. To update you on our Q3 activity, we are currently grilling our sixth and final well of the quarter. We should be finishing it up by the middle of this month. All the wells drilled this quarter as well as those planned for next quarter have been drilled on our newly acquired Northwest Shelf acreage. We’re drilling this area for two reasons. The first being that we have fulfilled our drilling obligations on the Central Basin Platform for the year; and the second reason is due to the early results we are seeing on the Northwest Shelf. As Kelly mentioned our first two wells on the Northwest Shelf, IP at 359 and 767 BOE per day. Results like this are exactly why we bought the Wishbone acreage. The acquisition checks every box we are looking for in a project area. It’s a conventional reservoir over the dolomite, that's a dolomite and not a shale; it’s had a shallow depth of approximately 6,000 feet. It…

Hollie Lamb

Analyst

Thanks, Danny. I like to focus on the economics of the workovers and optimization. Let's start with the workovers. The workovers are associated with some type of downhole obstruction in the lateral portion of the wellbore. These downhole obstructions are not predictable. They cannot be scheduled and they don't happen on every well. They can be identified by various means including changing in their production profile. They can consist of a combination of frac sand and scale and that scale can be either iron based or calcium sulfate. Based on our experience, these occurrences involving scale obstructions are a single event occurrence in a wellbore history. These events happen early in the well's life and are generally associated with the maximum pressure drop from the higher pressure formation to the lower pressure wellbore. These materials can be mechanically drilled out at the wellbore and then the wellbore can be chemically treated. In many cases, these wells return to a normal production profile after the intervention has taken place, but in some cases the production actually exceeds the previous profile. In both areas, we have seen rates have return in excess of 100% with payouts of less than one year. These compare very favorably with our metrics on our new drill wells. Let's switch gears now and talk about optimization. Specifically optimizations of our pumping equipment. Early in the life of a well, we install an electric submersible pump or ESP, which is size to move 3,000 to 4,000 barrels of fluid a day. As a well naturally declined, it makes sense to change out these ESPs to smaller ESPs, reducing the horsepower, draw, electrical demand, and also extending the runtime of the pump since it reduces the wear and tear on the right size pump. Eventually these wells will decline…

Danny Wilson

Analyst

Thank you, Holly. To recap our budget discussions we started with three key goals. First, reaching cash flow neutrality as quickly as possible; second, managing our debt; and third, still maintaining modest year-over-year growth. In early April we took over physical control of the Wishbone property. We immediately started drilling on the property and issued the preliminary budget. We analyze the properties, identified the opportunities in four key areas. First being the working over of underperforming wells. Second, right sizing of existing ESPs lower costs. Third, converting to rod pumps were possible thereby reducing lifting costs, which yields increased EURs and most importantly drastically reduces future pulling costs, which ultimately reduces future CapEx and future LOE. And four, performing infrastructure projects to streamline water handling and facilitate future drilling. And finally in late July, we issued a revise budget which lowered our CapEx and greatly increase the certainty that we could meet all three of our key goals. And with that, I'm going to turn it over to David to cover our leasing and merger and acquisition discussion.

David Fowler

Analyst

Thank you, Danny. As you are all aware we've had an active and exciting second quarter with the acquisition of the Wishbone assets that was truly transitionary for Ring, as it doubled the size of the company. The assets were perfect fit for our core asset base and established Ring as a consolidator on the platform and now on the shelf. Besides being a great acquisition for Ring, we were able to buy the assets during a distressed oil market or what we refer to as a buyer's market for price that was essentially a PDP value. In short, these assets are going to provide Ring and our shareholders a lot of value and growth for years to come. Excuse me. Regarding our leasing, since we now have an acres position on the platform and shelf of almost 120,000 net acres, our leasing activity is somewhat limited and more concentrated in a few target areas on both the platform and the shelf that is mostly focused on grossing up our net acres positions, offsetting or upper tier locations. The land department has done an excellent job assimilating the Wishbone leases into our system, while they worked diligently to stay ahead of operations and the drilling rig program. Now regarding A&D. Since the beginning of the year numerous companies have taken their assets to market across the Permian and elsewhere and have had failed sales indicating that we're still in a retracted A&D market. The bid ask from buyers and sellers continues to be significant enough to make it difficult to get deals across the finish line. Hopefully soon we'll see the market conditions improve and we'll see the door open to more M&A activity. With our ongoing effort to differentiate ourselves from the non-conventional shale operations in the Permian or operators in the Permian what I refer to is being in the shadow of the shale. We're attending several conferences and MDRs between now and the end of the year to tell our story. I hope that I'll see a lot of you there. And with that, I'll turn it back to Tim for closing comments.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

All right. Thank you, David and Danny and Holly and Kelly and Randy. Good job guys reviewing everything. So now I think what we'll do is just turn it over to the operator, because this will now officially conclude the 2019 second quarter and six-month review. So operator I'll turn it back to you and let's open it up for questions that they may have.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, sir. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from John White with Roth Capital. Please state your question.

John White

Analyst

Good morning and congratulations on a very solid quarter.

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst

Thank you, John.

John White

Analyst

Really appreciate it, Holly the detail on the workovers and the pump optimization that was a great – great new information. So now you're on a one-rig program and you're going to do a lot of rework and refurbs on existing wells, you say on both the Northwest Shelf and the Central Basin. Do you have a split of how that – how many on each of those properties?

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst

In terms of the workover and the rod conversions? John, is this correct?

John White

Analyst

Yes, of course the workovers between the Shelf and the Central Basis?

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst

Yes, Danny and Hollie.

Danny Wilson

Analyst

You bet. Now, John that’s a great question. Now it’s really almost about a 50/50 split and so there's not either area that really is out shining the others as far as what needs to be done. Again, the main focus in the – on the Central Basin Platform is the rod conversion. Those are a little older properties. They've been producing longer and we're diligently working on getting those converted over. Up on the Northwest Shelf it’s more of a combination of the two things that – well three things, the ESPs making sure those are the right size, cleaning out the wellbores and returning those to production, and then the rod conversion. So the money is pretty evenly split, but there's a little bit of difference between the two areas as far as the work that's being done.

John White

Analyst

I appreciate that. Makes sense on the Central Basin going to mostly rods due to the age. And then Kelly, did you mention what the production was during the month of July?

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst

No I did not. John, I think what was the best referenced in July was the differential that we were seeing for July.

Danny Wilson

Analyst

It was.

John White

Analyst

Okay. Thanks a lot. I'll turn it back to you.

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst

Thanks, John.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jason Wangler with Wunderlich Securities. Please state your question.

Jason Wangler

Analyst · Wunderlich Securities. Please state your question.

Good morning, guys. Was you mentioned in the prepared remarks about moving to the Northwest Shelf for the rest of this year? As you look at the program, if it's a one-rig program next year, could you maybe talk about how you kind of see the activity between the two properties?

Tim Rochford

Analyst · Wunderlich Securities. Please state your question.

Sure, Danny. You guys want to grab that?

Danny Wilson

Analyst · Wunderlich Securities. Please state your question.

Yes, you bet. Now, down on the – to start out with on the Central Basin Platform. The focus –most of our drilling is focused in the area that we recently purchased from Tessara on University lands acreage down there. We did that acquisition right before the Wishbone acquisition. With the University Land we have a minimum footage that we have to drill. So next year it looks like we're probably going to need to drill about eight to nine wells down there and so that's what we'll do in that area and then the rest of the wells. And we haven't come up with a final number yet, but it's probably going to be in the 30-ish range. That will be – that includes the eight wells on the CBP. There is something in that range, it probably be the remainder of those will be up on the Northwest Shelf.

Jason Wangler

Analyst · Wunderlich Securities. Please state your question.

Okay. I appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Neal Dingmann with SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please state your question.

Neal Dingmann

Analyst · SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please state your question.

Good morning, all. Tim, maybe for you and Kelly I don't need anything too specific here. I'm just wondering, can you give sort of how you all view the magnitude or list of potential of the non-core asset sales? And I guess where I'm going with that is, I'm just wondering sort of general levels, if some sales, maybe once you give that answer, how that might play into, if you would think about going to a second rig or so because obviously you're – you're obviously, very cognizant of as you said we are not going too high on the debt. So just wondering based on what you tell us, the magnitude or potential timing of these other non-core sales? The second part of that question would be how that could play into a potential second rig for the program sometime next year?

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst · SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please state your question.

You bet, certainly. Well there is no question between the Platform and now the Northwest Shelf we have plenty to do for years to come even with the – if you were to deploy multiple rigs. So that re-shifts the focus back to, what about Delaware? The Delaware is a fine asset, but really it has taken second or third place in terms of the line items on priority. So one would seem to think is – is that an opportunity to possibly move off and improve the balance sheet, add some cash available for future acceleration, et cetera, et cetera. And the answer to that is likely, yes. But there's no official marketing effort at this time as it relates to the production profile. There has been some thought given to the – the midstream on the SWD side. In fact, we've had conversations with interested parties, but we've done nothing yet as an official move. But that's something we do keep in mind as we go forward. And you're right there's two things that would become of that, one is to improve our tidy-up the balance sheet and the second provide a cash cushion if you will. In fact, commodity space improves as we go into next year, accelerate into a second rig would certainly boost that opportunity.

Neal Dingmann

Analyst · SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please state your question.

Pretty good. And then just one last one probably for Danny or Hollie. You gave good list of the reasons for the workovers and like John, I appreciate that. I'm just wondering, I mean, I think some thought, for the Kelly for any of you all that – that this was more of a regular item and I'm just wondering if you could just talk about, as you see kind of on a go-forward starting next year and so, when you think about workovers, is this just more on a case-by-case basis? Is it something that you'll think you'll need more often than not? Maybe if you just sort of explain that, I think that would help? Thank you.

Danny Wilson

Analyst · SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please state your question.

Yes, Neal that's a good question. We – one thing people tend to forget is that we operate over 700 wells. It's not just these few that we continually talk about. So there's always projects to be done. There's always going to be a certain amount of our budget, that's going to be allocated to working on existing well. And so moving forward, there's always going to be projects. We don't really ever know typically when well's going to go down and need to be worked on. Do I think it's going to be this magnitude? Possibly, but it's – not probably not as much because we did have a big backlog that we had to deal with and are still dealing with moving forward. But I think largely have that handled by the end of the year. Moving into next year things should – I think the pace will slow down and even out a little bit more.

Neal Dingmann

Analyst · SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please state your question.

And if I could just sneak one, last one and then just based on sort of CapEx, I know you certainly don't have – Tim you and Kelly don't have any guidance out for future CapEx. But I'm just wondering from broad terms, when you think of either – I'll throw workovers into potentially non – just non-typical D&C is that where the infrastructure. How would you think about the non-D&C spend next year versus this year? I got to think it’s going to be – it would be down a bit?

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst · SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please state your question.

Our bet is right on. I don’t think there's any question. I think Danny did a good job by saying listen between the backlog that already started to build on the platform, along with the backlog that came along with the inheritance of the Wishbone because of just no activity for a number of months, that is a bit overwhelming, but it's very manageable once we catch up with that, as Danny said, I think as we go into next year, and as Hollie carefully pointed out, you can't always predict the timing of this and it doesn't happen to every well. So I think next year there's no question as we put out our CapEx. There is going to be a healthy line item for that type of activity, but I don't think it's going to be anywhere near as – to where it's at today in terms of ratio versus drilling and completion.

Neal Dingmann

Analyst · SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please state your question.

Great, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from John Lane with Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

John Lane

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Hey, Tim, how are you?

Tim Rochford

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Good, John.

John Lane

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Congratulations on a fantastic quarter. I'm sure that everybody on this call is smart enough to understand that the stock price is nowhere relevant to what's going on internally with the company and the tremendous assets you've built here or continuing to build here. Can you just discuss a little bit about why you think the price of the stock is getting hurt as bad and maybe a little discussion in regards to some of the insider buying that's been taking place that doesn't seem to hit the price anyway?

Tim Rochford

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Yes, you bet, John. I'd be happy to remark on that. I think I'll start off by letting Kelly address that and then I'll follow up.

John Lane

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Thank you.

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Now, John, I appreciate it. Look there's no question that there's been sort of an increased level of shorts and things that are out there in the marketplace and we've taken note of that and we've started to talk internally about it and we've even had some conversations with outside people, but not to a point where, of course, it would be any type of a distraction for us. We're maintaining our focus on getting to those items that Danny was talking about in the free cash flow and all that. But we do keep an eye on those things and we are taking aggressive approaches to it to the extent that we can. And I would say that, going forward, I think the combination of that along with some computer selling, some things like that, we've probably been a bit of the victim for that. I would say that looking at us this year, we've taken a lot of aggressive approaches to cost management, to concepts like – this revision on our budget was a very aggressive approach to, again, protecting the balance sheet, getting us the cash flow neutrality and still showing growth. We're listening to the street closely and we're trying to pay as much attention to that – those items as we can and be very careful and thoughtful about our approach.

Tim Rochford

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

And John, just as a follow-up with reference to your question. So, as you know, and as everyone on this call knows, there are times and in the life of management in the company during the course of a year that we have our lockouts or blackout periods when it really prevents us from being active at all in the stock. That was a considerable amount of time that took up last year and the same is the kind of the case this year. We did have some insider buying as you know just a number of weeks ago and then that window closed very quickly. I won't elaborate on that, but as David Fowler mentioned on his comments, there are a number of opportunities out there on the platform and on the shelf and we look at these. And anytime there was any discussion, we're very careful of from our own internal policies. We're very careful with reference to our own personal activities pertaining to the stock. So, right now, there is just absolutely no question where this stock trades versus our peers and I follow probably 35, 40 different companies pretty closely and I think you'll look and see that 80%, probably closer to 90% of those companies are all trading at 52-week lows. Some of them beat up more than others and we're in that – we fall into that category, but there's no question that this stock in our opinion is grossly undervalued for a number of reasons. And you can do the metrics and figure that out. So whether you're doing multiples or want to throw out the old NAV, a style of valuation, fine, throw it out, but look at the multiples, look at the projected – just imagine what EBITDA can look like based on this last quarter and going forward. And so you start doing some multiples of that, you look at the production profile. I think everyone would agree that even in the absence or factoring in the debt component that it's a scream and buy, but enough of beating that drum. I hope that answers your question, John.

John Lane

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Yeah. You've always been a shareholder focus and I know that's never going to change and I know that sooner or later the stock price will fetch up, which you've really got going and I just appreciate, you know, your constant effort in making this company stronger and better. Thank you. Thank you, Kelly too.

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst · Lane Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Thank you, John.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from [indiscernible]. Please state your question.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you. I appreciate the opportunity. Based on the conversation where the Delaware Holdings have slipped to a second or a third degree priority and mitigating debt is an issue. Is there a general sense of the valuation of that Delaware Basin holding generally?

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Danny, you might want to reflect on that or Kelly I think we can all kind of have our opinions of that, but we haven't – just let me start off by saying this, Mark. We haven't formally started sitting down and drawing circles in terms of where we think what kind of values. I think we all have ballpark values where that might be. And I don't think we're going to in discussion today talk about those numbers, but maybe kind of give an overall field things. Maybe Danny, you take the first swipe at that.

Danny Wilson

Analyst

The – well, obviously, we're very happy with the progress – the area out there. We love the potential for the horizontal Brushy Canyon. We think that has tremendous upside. Unfortunately, it's hard for that area to compete for the dollars. When we're looking at the returns, we're seeing over on the Northwest Shelf, although they're similar it's still a little bit different. As far as the value of that, I don't know that we really have a feel for what the market value might be. I mean, internally, we have reserve values on it obviously, but the market has been all over the place. With that, I'll let Kelly Hoffman.

Kelly Hoffman

Analyst

So I was going to add that when we talk about that asset out there, people tend to think of it from just an oil and gas standpoint. And frankly, there's a substantial asset out there on top of it's called our saltwater disposal system, which we have done a great job of building. Hollie and Danny have done a wonderful job with the troops of building that from north and south, creating a multiple redundancies. And frankly, we've had people from a private equity standpoint come into our office a number of times over the past two years, actually maybe a little longer than that and they turn around a lot of different numbers, Mark. I mean, I don't know what the value of is today. A couple of years ago people were tossing around $20 million, $30 million and $40 million numbers. I couldn't guess at what it would be today, but I do believe it would be additive to the concept of the oil and gas sale. If we did decide, it was something that we could market or someone came into the office and threw something at us that really we couldn't pass up as an idea. It probably would include an upcharge, so to speak for that system. So we're hopeful that that maintains that capacity going forward and we'll see what happens.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Fair enough. Thank you. The only other question I have and it's probably not fair and it's across all strata. Is there an average general decline curve that would be generally considered appropriate and I know that's not fair…

Tim Rochford

Analyst

For the company?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yes.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Danny or Hollie?

Danny Wilson

Analyst

We do have the type curves out on the – out on our website for each area. So I would just suggest that you look at that.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Fair enough, fair enough.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

We don't really have a combined company.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Richard Tullis with Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

Richard Tullis

Analyst · Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

Thank you. Just one or two quick questions, maybe more for Danny. What’s the outlook given the one rig and the planned workovers and the swapping out of the pumps? What do you expect the production exit rate 2019 could look like, Danny? And then continue with one rig into 2020, what do you expect the production growth profile could look like next year?

Danny Wilson

Analyst · Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

Yes, I think – Richard, I think, internally we're kind of looking at a number in the mid 11,000, could be a little higher, could be a little lower than that for our exit rate for this quarter. Obviously, drilling fewer wells is going to – as I've mentioned into my report we're going to – we're trying to go from modest growth, but the key focus is still on getting cash flow neutral and managing the debt. So, I would say that. And then I would think next year you could probably look at anywhere from a 3% to 8% increase, something in that range. It's kind of the – that's what our models are indicating.

Richard Tullis

Analyst · Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

And that would be based on one rig right, Danny?

Danny Wilson

Analyst · Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

That's based on one rig.

Richard Tullis

Analyst · Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

That's helpful, Danny. And then just lastly maybe for Tim or Kelly, you've stated the target of the free cash flow neutrality by year-end this year. Does that hold for next year as well for the full year?

Tim Rochford

Analyst · Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

It does.

Richard Tullis

Analyst · Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

Okay. All right, well that's all for me. Thanks so much.

Tim Rochford

Analyst · Capital One Securites. Please state your question.

Thank you, Richard.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from [indiscernible]. Please go ahead with your question.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

As a follow-up to the gentleman that asked a question about the stock price. Can you tell me what the net asset value per share of the company is?

Tim Rochford

Analyst

The net asset value?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Are you basing that on the PV10 of total proved?

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Yes, right.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. So Randy, do you have that handy or maybe Hollie you have that handy, total proved combined assets?

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Randy...

Randy Broaddrick

Analyst

Give me just a moment.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Okay. Ivan, just to be certain, you're making reference to 1P and not 3P, is that correct?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I guess, right, yes. I think the stock price is pretty ridiculous myself.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

We would agree. When you look at our website, we – I think we have a slide that seems like it maybe number 24 and I think it's in and around that 1.1 billion range if I'm not mistaken on a PV 10 basis.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. All right, and I appreciate that [indiscernible]

Tim Rochford

Analyst

I was going to add if you want to – you want to give consideration to the stock price of course, when you do that. So you want to – I'm sure there's a footnote there on that page, which refers to what we used in that calculation.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. And I thought you'd have a fine quarter.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Good to hear. Thanks, Ivan.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, there are no further questions at this time. I'll turn it back to management for closing remarks. Thank you.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Okay, thank you, operator. We appreciate it and thank you everyone for taking the time. We know, again, it's a busy time of the year with a lot of reports, a lot of other companies having their calls as well. So thank you. And as always our doors open and of course, Bill Parsons, Investor Relations, is happy to hear from you and we'll look forward to talking to you along the way. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you.

Tim Rochford

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference. Parties at this call have a great day.