Glenn A. Brandt
Analyst · RBC
Thank you, Tony, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. We are proud to report that Rogers' second quarter results reflect continued leading operational and financial performance, combined with transformative progress on our major strategic initiatives of delevering our balance sheet and moving forward on consolidating and monetizing our sports assets. Most critically, though, we have once again delivered disciplined leading financial and operating performance across all of our core businesses in a highly competitive marketplace. In wireless, we continue to deliver service revenue and EBITDA growth combined with industry- leading margins, solid market share and lower churn. Wireless service revenue and adjusted EBITDA each grew 1% year-over-year driven primarily by subscriber additions, customer base management and lower churn over the last 12 months. Our Wireless margin is up 10 basis points compared to the prior year at just over 65%, reflecting our sustained emphasis on driving efficiencies while balancing moderating subscriber and service revenue growth. In the quarter, Rogers delivered a combined 61,000 net new Wireless subscribers, down from 162,000 last year, again reflecting the moderating market size associated with reduced immigration. Importantly, churn improved once more to 1%, reflecting continued improvement around base management. Blended mobile phone ARPU of $55.45 is down 3% from the prior year, reflecting continued competitive intensity but also affected by lower outbound roaming revenue driven in part by reduced travel to the U.S. Also affecting ARPU this quarter, we have reversed or added back in the remaining prior year base adjustments for approximately 100,000 subscribers who have been retained and transitioned off discontinued plans. Moving to our Cable business. Service revenue is up 1% in the quarter, primarily reflecting steady retail Internet subscriber growth and disciplined customer base management, including moderating losses of video subscribers. Modest price increases introduced in the quarter have also contributed. Cable adjusted EBITDA is up 3% year-over-year driven by the flow-through of 1% service revenue growth combined with a 3% decrease in operating costs from our ongoing cost efficiency initiatives. We delivered this increase even as we continue to invest in our advertising and marketing investments around our new Xfinity platform. As a result, Cable margins are just over 58%, a very substantial 150 basis point increase from the prior year. Internet net additions of 26,000 are level with the prior year, and our performance coast-to-coast remains solid in a highly competitive market across all regions. Finally, in Rogers Sports and Media, we delivered very strong revenue growth and improved EBITDA. Revenue was up 10% to just over $800 million for the quarter, driven in-part by Sportsnet's success with the NHL playoffs, combined with higher Toronto Blue Jays revenue and a very competitive division-leading Toronto Blue Jays team is carrying that success into the third quarter. Additionally, Media saw higher year-over-year revenue growth associated with the launch of the Warner Bros., Discovery suite of channels. And finally, Media EBITDA was up $5 million year-over-year. Operating costs were up 9% reflecting higher programming costs, most notably including those related to the launch of the Warner Bros., Discovery suite of channels and higher Toronto Blue Jays expenses, including player payroll and game day related costs. On a consolidated level, service revenue and adjusted EBITDA each grew by 2%, respectively, year-over-year. Our drive to lower capital intensity while still investing in our network infrastructure and growth markets continued in the second quarter. Capital expenditures were $831 million, down 17% from $1 billion in the prior year, and consolidated capital intensity is down 370 basis points to 16% for the second quarter. Free cash flow of $925 million is up a very substantial 39% year-over-year driven by the higher adjusted EBITDA, lower capital intensity and lower interest paid. Turning to the balance sheet. At quarter end, we have delivered very significant delevering while maintaining strong liquidity to fund our operating and strategic capital priorities. We ended the second quarter with just under $12 billion of available liquidity compared to $4.8 billion at December 31, 2024. This included $7 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $4.8 billion available under our bank and other credit facilities. The very substantial increase in our liquidity was driven by the late quarter closing of our previously announced $7 billion equity investment led by Blackstone and backed by leading Canadian institutional investors. We expect to distribute approximately $0.4 billion annually to the Blackstone-led fund over the first 5 years of investment, reflecting an effective cost to Rogers of roughly 6.25% over that period with a substantial offset to that amount driven by the lower interest expense resulting from the debt repayments. These distributions and the lower interest expense both commenced from July 2025 and will be fully reflected in our third quarter reporting. We have also benefited from organic delevering in the quarter from available free cash flow growth. As a result, our debt leverage improved to just over 3.5x, roughly a full turn improvement since year-end and essentially returning Rogers to our prevailing leverage prior to acquiring Shaw. And with that, we have achieved our Shaw delevering target of 3.5x, approximately 9 months ahead of our initial 3-year target, originally expected to be completed by the second quarter of 2026. We remain firmly committed to maintaining our investment-grade balance sheet while investing in growth in our core markets. With the integration and delevering of the Shaw transaction nearing completion, our focus now turns to the long-term capital funding of the additional 37.5% ownership stake in MLSE, which closed effective July 1. The $4.7 billion purchase price was primarily funded from bank credit facilities together with cash on hand, and we are now the largest owner and controlling shareholder of MLSE with a 75% controlling interest. As Tony has highlighted, Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment operates a world-class collection of Toronto sports teams and entertainment assets and is one of the largest and most significant sports ownership organizations in the world. Starting with our third quarter report, MLSEs financial results will be consolidated in with our Media reporting segment. To help clarify the impact from this transaction, our press release this morning includes full year 2025 consolidated pro forma view of the total scale of Rogers Sports and Media operations. On this basis, we estimate Rogers pro forma calendar 2025 Sports and Media revenue and adjusted EBITDA would have been approximately $3.9 billion and $0.3 billion, respectively had we consolidated MLSE with our Sports and Media business from January 1. Our focus now is on two key items in our Sports and Media strategy: delevering our balance sheet following the MLSE purchase and pursuing all options as we look to monetize and surface the very substantial unrecognized market value of our Sports and Media assets, currently not at all reflected in Rogers' stock price. We will provide updates on our progress as appropriate. Finally, moving to guidance. We have updated our 2025 outlook to reflect the consolidation of MLSE from July 1 as well as the completion of the equity investment for the remaining 6 months of 2025. Total service revenue is now expected to grow by 3% to 5% versus our prior outlook of 0% to 3%. Adjusted EBITDA is unchanged at 0% to 3%, which reflects the seasonality of MLSE results in the second half of the year versus the first half. As noted a moment ago, the full calendar year impact will be accretive to EBITDA in 2026. We expect capital expenditures for 2025 to be at the very low end of our guidance range of $3.8 billion to $4 billion. And finally, we anticipate free cash flow of $3 billion to $3.2 billion unchanged, and this includes the distributions of the equity investment transaction. Overall, Q2 represents a significant quarter of progress on our commitments: delivering strong and consistent financial and operating performance across each of our businesses, combined with substantially reduced leverage at just over 3.5x. We have transformed and strengthened our balance sheet with leverage restored back to where we were prior to our investment in the Rogers Shaw transaction. And we now have full control of a leading world-class collection of sports and entertainment holdings. Our focus and priority now turns to the long-term capital structure and monetization of those highly valuable assets in our Rogers share price. We believe Rogers has the best team in our sector and the best set of assets for near-term value creation. I want to join Tony in thanking our team of dedicated employees for their tremendous efforts and commitment to serving our customers and driving our long-term strategy and success. And with that, Gaylene, may we please commence with the questions and answers. Thank you.