Glenn Brandt
Analyst · RBC. Please go ahead
Thank you, Tony and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. I'm pleased to report that Rogers ended 2024 with another strong quarter. Our results reflected healthy service revenue and EBITDA growth, continued strong margins and stable ARPU, all of which are characteristic of the disciplined pricing and balanced approach we have maintained in the marketplace for wireless and cable loading. Wireless service revenue was up 2% and adjusted EBITDA was up 6%. Our wireless margin was up by 250 basis points year-over-year at industry-leading levels of 66%. Through 2024, we have added 512000 net postpaid and prepaid phone additions, leading the Canadian wireless sector for a third consecutive year. As expected, the wireless market remained highly competitive through the fourth quarter reflecting the holiday season and the lower growth environment. In the fourth quarter, Rogers delivered on its disciplined approach with 95,000 net postpaid and prepaid phone additions, down from 111,000 last year reflecting the smaller market size. Postpaid mobile phone churn was 1.53%, a 14 basis point improvement over last year. As reflected in our prepaid loading, we used our flanker brands to effectively compete with very aggressive promotions in the marketplace. Importantly, our strong aggregate net phone additions throughout 2024 combined with our solid financial results, stable ARPU and increased wireless margin demonstrates Rogers' emphasis to balance subscriber growth without compromising financial performance. Moving to our cable business. I am pleased to report, we met our target and returned cable revenue back to slight year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter. This is no small feat, given that we started the year, at an organic revenue decline of negative 4% year-over-year. Cable adjusted EBITDA was up a healthy 5% year-over-year and our cable margin continues to reflect our focus on cost efficiency, reaching 59% for the fourth quarter, which is up 290 basis points from one year ago. Internet net additions were up by 30% year-over-year reaching 26,000 in the fourth quarter, reflecting the strength of Canada's most reliable Internet combined with the scale of our national footprint, both of which we will continue to leverage in 2025. Sustained growth in our Internet subscriber base remains critical and will continue to be underpinned, by leading technology and disciplined pricing in the market. The ongoing trend for customers to adjust their video viewing preferences was reflected in our year-over-year decline of video subscribers, which was down 35,000 year-over-year. We continue to focus on efficiency initiatives to offset the impacts of this decline, which has driven, a 7% decrease in operating costs this quarter compared to the prior year. This focus combined with the stabilized revenue for cable, has driven our 5% increase in cable EBITDA versus the prior year. Additionally, we are investing in the video experience for our customers, with enhanced content and capabilities. These initiatives include broader content with NBCUniversal and Warner Bros. Discovery, bringing the most watched lifestyle and entertainment content to Canadians. This along with rolling out the Rogers Xfinity suite of services will ensure our customers experience the best in entertainment today and for years to come. Finally, our sports and media revenue was up 10% and adjusted EBITDA was $53 million compared to $4 million last year. This improvement was driven by higher sports and entertainment related revenue, including higher subscriber and other revenue, as well as some benefit from the Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Toronto concerts hosted at Rogers Center. In Q4, advertising revenue was softer than originally anticipated, which contributed to our updating of full year consolidated service revenue growth to 7% versus the 8% low end of our guidance range, which we first provided back in February, last year. Notwithstanding the lighter advertising revenue, our media business delivered strong results in Q4 and for the full year, with full year revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth of 6% and 9%, respectively. As we look to 2025, we enter the year with a very strong underlying media and sports business even before completing the purchase of the additional 37.5% stake in MLSE. On a consolidated level, total service revenue was up 2% in Q4 and adjusted EBITDA was up 9%. These results reflect the strong performance and efficiency efforts across all three of our businesses. As a result, Rogers delivered consolidated margins of 46% in the fourth quarter, which is up 250 basis points from the prior year. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $1 billion, reflecting our ongoing investment coast-to-coast in our Canadian wireless and wireline networks. Free cash flow was also very strong at $0.9 billion, reflecting a 7% increase year-over-year. Turning to the balance sheet at year-end. We had $4.8 billion of available liquidity, comprised of $900 million in cash and short-term deposits on hand and $3.5 billion available under our bank credit facilities. Our weighted average cost of all borrowings was 4.6% and our weighted average term to maturity was 10 years. We ended the year, with a debt leverage ratio of 4.5 times. This is below our previously targeted level of achieving 4.2 times, by year-end, which was primarily impacted by lower service revenue and adjusted EBITDA, as well as slower-than-expected progress on asset sales originally anticipated in the 2024 outlook. As you recall last quarter, we announced that we entered into a non-binding term sheet with a leading global financial investor for a proposed $7 billion structured equity investment. The equity investment, if completed would result in the investor acquiring a minority stake in a subsidiary that will own a portion of our wireless backhaul transport infrastructure with Rogers continuing to maintain operational control. Substantially all of the net proceeds are expected to be used to reduce debt and further strengthen our balance sheet. As an update, we continue to consider evaluate and work on definitive agreements with respect to the proposed equity investment. Completion remains subject to entering into binding definitive documentation with the investor. Please note that, as we are in the midst of this process, I won't be providing any further commentary nor update on this transaction during this call. And finally, we continue to move forward on our agreement to buy the 37.5% additional ownership stake in MLSE for $4.7 billion. Rogers will pursue the appropriate funding options for this transaction, aligned with maintaining our investment-grade balance sheet, including among other options raising an equity investment in our Sports and Media holdings. Importantly, and just to be clear, we are not considering issuing RCI common shares to fund this purchase. For our 2025, outlook based on our current economic assumptions, we anticipate single-digit growth for total service revenue and adjusted EBITDA strong free cash flow, and continued investment in our networks coast-to-coast across Canada. We anticipate the environment for our businesses to remain competitive in the coming year with continued moderating wireless subscriber growth versus 2024 as Canada's immigration and foreign student levels decline. We anticipate total service revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth both in the range of 0% to 3%, capital expenditures of $3.8 billion to $4.0 billion, and free cash flow of $3.0 billion to $3.2 billion. I will also highlight that, this guidance excludes any impacts associated with our pending MLSE transaction. 2024 has been a very busy and competitive year and Rogers outperformed its peers in terms of financial performance and disciplined wireless and cable subscriber growth. Our teams have worked tirelessly to execute effectively on our core businesses, while also moving forward on our longer-term priorities. This has included integrating the Rogers and Shaw operations and driving growth in Canada across all of our core assets, while remaining focused on driving down leverage. These are the priorities Rogers has consistently executed against and remains committed to. Tony and I are very proud of the dedication and commitment of our entire team of Rogers' employees. Together against the backdrop of a highly competitive marketplace, we have once again delivered sector-leading operating and financial performance in 2024 for the third consecutive year. And we have done so, while investing in bringing industry-leading technology and innovation and world-class entertainment to Canadians and the best is yet to come. Thank you for your time this morning. And with that, Galene, may we please commence with questions and answers. Thank you.