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AVITA Medical, Inc. (RCEL)

Q2 2024 Earnings Call· Fri, Aug 9, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AVITA Medical Second Quarter Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Jessica Ekeberg, Director of Investor Relations.

Jessica Ekeberg

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Welcome to AVITA Medical’s second quarter 2024 earnings call. Joining me on today's call are Jim Corbett, Chief Executive Officer, and David O'Toole, Chief Financial Officer. Today's earnings release and presentation are available on our website, www.avitamedical.com. under the investor relations section. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that this call includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are neither promises nor guarantees and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. That could cause actual results to differ materially from any expectations expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Please review our most recent filings with the SEC for comprehensive descriptions of the risk factors. Any forward-looking statements provided during this call are based on management's expectations as of today. I will now turn the call over to Jim for his comments.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Thank you, Jessica. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today. I will begin today's call by discussing our financial and business results for the second quarter, followed by our priorities and outlook for the remainder of 2024. Following this update, I will turn the call over to David, who will provide commentary on our financial performance for the quarter before opening the call to Q&A. During the quarter, we focused on addressing the challenges we faced in the first quarter by implementing enhanced coverage strategy and other strategic initiatives focused on execution. Our commitment to these efforts and sustaining growth are reflected in our second quarter commercial revenue of $15.1 million, which was at the higher end of our previously provided guidance range of $14.3 million to $15.3 million. Additionally, one week ago, we entered into an exclusive multi-year development and distribution agreement with Regenity Biosciences. Through this agreement, following 510(k) approval by the FDA, we will hold the marketing, sales, and distribution rights to an AVITA Medical labeled collagen-based dermal matrix manufactured by Regenity. I will discuss it in more detail later in the call. To further support our growth and strategic initiatives, we have significantly strengthened our management team with the addition of Robin Vandenberg as Senior Vice President of U.S. Commercial Sales. Robin, who joins us from a distinguished career at Smith & Nephew is an accomplished executive with a proven ability to drive new product adoption and growth across multiple specialties. Make her the ideal leader of our sales organization. She officially joined us earlier this week and we were confident that her vision and industry experience will be instrumental in expanding our market presence with the RECELL GO driving adoption of our portfolio products and accelerating growth. In addition to implementing enhanced coverage…

David O'Toole

Analyst

Thank you, Jim. For the three months ended June 30, 2024, our commercial revenue reached $15.1 million, which is an increase of approximately 29%, compared to the same period in 2023. As you can see on slide eight, the revenue growth trajectory over the last eight quarters has been significant and we believe it will only accelerate over the remainder of the year and subsequent years. RECELL products accounted for approximately 98% of our commercial revenue, while our other wound care products contributed approximately 2%. With our two new products, Permioderm and our dermal matrix, the revenue for other wound products will increase in subsequent quarters. Our revenue results for the quarter, plus improved commercial and VAC processes and the hiring of Robin VanDenburgh positions us well for sustained revenue growth for the remainder of the year. Gross profit margin for the quarter was 86.2%, compared to 81.2% in the same period in 2023. This 500 basis point increase is in line with our expectations for the full-year 2024 as revenues and volume of production continue to provide a healthy and improving gross margin. Total operating expenses for the quarter were $28.7 million, compared to $21.2 million in the same period in 2023. The increase in operating expenses is primarily attributable to an increase of $6.3 million in sales and marketing expenses due to employee-related costs, including salaries and benefits, commissions and travel expense collectively as a result of an expansion of the commercial sales organization in the second quarter of 2023 and again in Q1 2024 to support our growing commercial operations. G&A expenses increased by $1.4 million as a result of higher salaries and benefits and an increase in severance benefits partially offset by lower stock compensation and professional fees. Additionally, R&D costs decreased by $0.2 million, due…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will conduct the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ryan Zimmerman at BTIG.

Ryan Zimmerman

Analyst

Hey, guys. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking our questions. Can you hear me okay?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Yes, we can Ryan. Good to hear from you.

Ryan Zimmerman

Analyst

All right. Well, I wanted to ask about the guidance. You know, I appreciate you guys took a prudent approach with the adjustment to guidance here. Maybe David, talk to us about kind of what underpins your view, particularly for the fourth quarter. It's still a sizable step up from what we saw this quarter and how much contribution are you expecting from full thickness skin defects? Jim, if I recall last quarter, your goal as you entered this year was about 15 accounts per month. We're still not there yet, so I know July is off to a good start, but talk to us maybe a little bit more about kind of what that means from July?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Yes, Ryan, I think maybe I'll take this simply first. Fundamentally, the big drivers, the number one driver, is the RECELL GO conversion, which we expect to substantially complete within the quarter. And if you were able to see the slides, you would note using RECELL GO has a consequence of greater utilization. So that is one of the underpinning efforts. During the quarter, we did, you're correct, we did not average 45. However, we had a total of 37 approvals, 31 who ordered and six who got approved who were going to order. So we substantially improved that. We also have 85 in the VAC decision stage of one of two different stages we categorized them in. So that's 85 in the pipeline that have schedules, evaluations or decisions during the quarter. So we have a lot there plus the Permioderm, you know, the launch of it takes a little time. It was really a beginning of Q2 launch. So we've just starting to get our legs under our feet. At the moment, we have just under 29, I believe 19 in the backstage, and we're getting progressively more activity with that. So we do have a lot of wind at our back in terms of execution materials, you know, the things you need to make the number grow the way that it needs to. So that is fundamental to what's driving our guidance for the next two quarters.

Ryan Zimmerman

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then, David, you've repeated the guidance that you would be cash flow, I think, break even by the third quarter of ‘25. But your expenses are up. Cash burns down a healthy bit. You know, what are you going to cut back on potentially? Where can you cut back just to get to that point? Or is it all predicated on top line revenue growth, particularly in 2025, as an acceleration off the levels you're seeing this year?

David O'Toole

Analyst

Yes, thanks, Ryan. For the most part, it's all driven by top line growth revenue. We are still projecting 86% greater margin. And so just for example, even with our guidance for this quarter, which is around $20 million, you know, at 86%, you know, that's about $18 million of gross margin. And you're right, our operating expenses are up, but the operating expenses also include non-cash items of stock comp and depreciation amortization. And so if you project out sequential revenue growth over the next few quarters, and you can pick a number that you would like to as far as whether it be 30%, 20%. And you can see that we can get there and we can get to covering our operating expenses in three to four quarters.

Ryan Zimmerman

Analyst

No, I appreciate it, David. And yes, I understood. Okay, I'll hop back in queue. Thank you for the color, guys. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Joshua Jennings at TD Cowen.

Joshua Jennings

Analyst

Good afternoon.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Hey, Josh. How are you doing?

Joshua Jennings

Analyst

Good, thanks for taking these questions. Good to catch up here. I wanted to just ask Jim, I think I know the answer to this, but just early days of the full thickness skin defect indication launch and just what you're seeing out in the field, are you still as optimistic as you were pre-launch, and any different thoughts just in terms of the TAM and the opportunity here in the U.S. for reselling that indication? Hello?

Operator

Operator

One moment, the speaker has or having some technical difficulties.

Joshua Jennings

Analyst

Okay. I thought they were on my end. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

[Technical Difficulty] Okay, our speakers are back on.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Okay, Josh are you still there?

Joshua Jennings

Analyst

I am, Jim, thanks. I'm not sure if you caught my question or not.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

I think we solved it. Okay, back to your question. With regard to full thickness, so what have we learned and what have we done? So simple answer to your question is we're just as optimistic about the TAM and the potential for it as we were. What we've learned is that there's a -- we're going to centers where RECELL is a very new idea, where they've known about it in the burn world for a long time. So that results in really three forms of VAC processes and two of them dominate. We'll get a conditional VAC due in evaluation before we give you full approval, or they'll say, prior to VAC, do an evaluation before we approve you at VAC. And a smaller number than those two gives us approval straight away. So that's really created that longer VAC approval period. And you can see, though, the interest. Our numbers of accounts last quarter that we converted were 22. We have 37 approvals, 31 have ordered this quarter, and we have 85 additional in the pipeline. Now, further to what we've also learned, it caused us to develop, validate, and submit the data for the RECELL Go Mini for the smaller, under 480 square centimeter of wounds. So I think that's going to continue to build the adoption. But those are things we learned. And we remain quite bullish on the market potential. And of course, we get to add Permioderm as a dressing addition, excuse me. And of course, with our dermal matrix, we'll have that and it won't be tandem, because it'll be three product lines that can potentially be used on each of these patients.

Joshua Jennings

Analyst

Oh, that's great to hear. And I wanted to -- it's nice to see just the build out of the portfolio and addressing the continuum of this wound care action. I wanted to hone in on the Regenity dermal matrix product and maybe just help us think about the competitive landscape there, the size of that segment, and anything you can share in terms of pricing expectations per case. Thanks for taking the questions.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Yes, it's a multiple layer question so let me let me give you a range. The competitive marketplace has approximately a price range of let's say $14 to $15 a square centimeter on average in the hospital, okay? So if you extended that, and that would be the market leader with the most data. And if you extended that, it would be $28,000 for a 2,000 square centimeter wound. Okay, so that's a substantially significant potential sale. Now, in our case, we have some expectations. First of all, selling it with a 510(k), we will have to sell it for less than that at the outset. As we build our data and achieve two-stage comparability, we'll be able to achieve a higher DSP, okay? Now, stepping through that one more time, we have a high belief and based on the validated large animal, their pigs models, where we've compared the dermal matrix that we've had designed for us versus the competitors in the market, the two key measures are the time it takes to become graft ready and the time it takes to fully close. And obviously that first one is when you apply the graft over the thermal matrix is key. Now in our non-clinical animal studies, we close at nearly half the time of any other product on the market, which will naturally lead, so that's graft ready in under half the time. And that obviously is going to lead to an earlier closure time, which is incredibly valuable for patient care, for the patient getting out of the hospital, for the cost of care. And if you take one further step, which we intend to still have to validate, the other qualities of this dermal matrix include its absorption and histological integration with the wound. We believe that one of the studies we're going to run is going to be a single stage closure with RECELL, where you apply the dermal matrix with RECELL and split thickness skin graft all in one procedure, and then you don't have two procedures. So it's really a rather, you know, if we achieve parity on the two stage, but we do it much quicker, that has huge market competitiveness. If we can validate the size of wound that will respond to a single stage closure, we redefine patient care. So this is really a big potential.

Joshua Jennings

Analyst

That's super helpful. Thanks for all those details.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

You bet.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Brooks O'Neil at Lake Street Capital Market.

Aaron Wukmir

Analyst

Hey, guys. This is Aaron on the line for Brooks. Thanks for taking our questions. Just going back to the guidance real quick, you know, with this new range, I guess, are you guys feeling any sort of heightened pressure from the debt governance as you sort of move forward to the back half of the year? I think with the new range, you're just a tad above the first revenue governance at the end of the year? I guess just how are you sort of thinking about that as we sort of approach the back half of the year here?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Well fundamentally what we're thinking about is executing well. You know, in Q2 we improved our execution really significantly over Q1. Q3 we're off to a, you know, when we set this guy, you should keep in mind July's behind us. So we had a very strong July. When we look forward to the year, yes, there's a debt covenant there. Are we thinking much about it? Candidly no. What we're thinking about is executing Q3. We execute Q3. Q4 will take care of itself and we don't think there's much challenge there. Yes, it's tighter, but we're not focused on that. We're focused on executing our plan, building out our portfolio, and getting back on the growth track and being reliable in our guides.

Aaron Wukmir

Analyst

Yeah, okay, that makes sense. Thank you for that. And then I guess maybe just a little bit more color on the international expansion. I know you mentioned a few countries that you were starting to enter there in your prepared remarks, but maybe just what does that process sort of look like long-term? Do you have any areas specifically where you want to focus more or maybe just how are you sort of thinking about that experience moving forward? Thanks, guys.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Sure. Sure. That's a good question. So let's recall the filter. The filter was, number one, to have a healthcare system that can utilize RECELL. So there's really not that many of those. The second filter was to have a population that made it worthwhile to go there and the ability to pay is the third filter. So that largely confines you to Australia, Japan, and most of the European Union. What we're focused on right at the moment are approximately 10 countries in the European Union. Well, we described it. There's the Nordic countries, U.K., which is not in the EU, of course, but it's nearby. Little change in geopolitical world, but so Belgium, Holland, Germany, Austria and Switzerland are with a single distributor. We're close with Spain and we're close with Italy. But in fact, we expect all those to happen this quarter. One of the things that has paced our entry is the approval of RECELL GO in the EU under the new MDR. We do expect that within the quarter. So that is going to make a breakout because really it's much less training to use RECELL GO than to implement the coverage strategy we took here in the United States and that amount of case coverage and training that's required has been substantial in our history and we already see the difference. So we're going to be principally focusing on the countries I just named. Australia, we're not quite there yet. We're on the market in Japan, as you know, with the burn indication. RECELL GO is well behind the rest of the geographies that we intend to operate in. But we're going to focus EU, Australia, Japan internationally through third-party distributor partnerships.

Aaron Wukmir

Analyst

Okay. Thanks for that, colorship. I'll leave it in. Thank you.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

You bet.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ross Osborne at Cantor Fitzgerald.

Ross Osborne

Analyst

Hey guys, thanks for taking our questions. So, looking at your full thickness indication, which is clearly a broad indication, are you seeing adoption for any particular defects within it more so than others? And then, with the launch of dermal and combination with RECELL, is that particularly useful for certain defects more so than others, again, within that broad full thickness indication.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Okay, two broad questions. So what I'll say about full thickness is we are much more seeing the responsiveness in acute wounds, degloving, necrotizing, [Indiscernible], those types of wounds, severe trauma, let much less focus in the moment in chronic wounds, like diabetes, foot ulcers, or VLUs, for example. So we're seeing them in acute wounds. That's where the initial, as we've been in the market now, just about a year, that's really where the action is for us at the moment. Now, turning to our dermal matrix, where will it apply? It will actually apply to our burn world in a big way. It will apply to all of the full thickness cases. It will also apply to the chronic wound market as will Permioderm. So both the dermal matrix and Permioderm will fit the whole full thickness continuum. RECELL and chronic takes a bit of study to figure out how to identify which patients will be responsive to that. So we're doing some work on that. And what's in question in terms of effectiveness is chronic wounds are chronic for a reason. They have an underlying condition, for example, a venous to leg ulcer is a failure to have venous return, because of an incompetent deep vein bowel failure, right? So without a solution to that, you have difficulty finding which patients will be responsive and have a durable skin graft as a solution. So there's work to do there. But it's a broad and rich and deep market, that is for sure, especially with our new portfolio.

Ross Osborne

Analyst

Okay, great. That's very helpful. And then one more on the international side of things. Could you walk through the reimbursement dynamics, broadly realizing, you know, made very by geography. And then in terms of the amount of sales force you think you'll need to support growth, and is that contemplated in your 3Q ‘25 cash breakeven Guide? Thank you.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Sure. Let me take the reimbursement in those 10 countries is different in each of them. All of them have sufficient healthcare systems and ability to utilize RECELL and achieve a reimbursement, which of course we share with our distributor. That said, reimbursement is a reflection of social system. So it's a really complex question. Maybe we can have a separate call to talk about it, because it is different. We do expect to average an ASP at end customer that will be somewhere in the area of 75% to 80% of our U.S. ASP and which will be splitting in each of these cases. So that's I think one answer that helps you is that I think it's a less complex reimbursement system. Now with regard to salesforce, since we're using third-party internationally, we don't -- of course we don't need it. In the U.S., we have no plans to expand our U.S. commercial head count over the next 18-months. No plans. We think we've got sufficient headcount to sufficiently cover and penetrate the accounts, particularly with our broader product line. We'll have a lot to sell over the next 18 months.

Ross Osborne

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks for taking our questions.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

You bet.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Lyanne Harrison at Bank of America.

Lyanne Harrison

Analyst

Hi Jim, hi David. Can you hear me okay?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Yes, we can hear you. Good morning.

Lyanne Harrison

Analyst

Good morning. Sorry, it's good evening for you over there. But can I talk about your slide three and the pipeline that you've currently got there, something in the vicinity of, you know, 89 accounts in the pipeline? Can you tell me how long it's taking currently to get through the VAC evaluation stage, the VAC decision stage, and also for this quarter, you've got some that are VAC approved but no orders yet. How long does it normally take once they're approved for them to put orders through?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Perfect. You're helping us break down, there's a few stages there. So in the VAC decision stage, the multiple VAC stages, let me characterize it this way. There are VACs that have a pre-case evaluation clinical use where the VAC is given that direction, and then they were subsequently approved. There's a category, which is in there, that is VAC has said, we provisionally approve, do an evaluation, and report back to us before we officially do it. That's a subtle difference between the two, but that's the difference. And that is the majority, those two together. And the third is we occasionally get a VAC approve all straight away, but it is a minority of our experience. Now, how long is it taking this group in general? It's between four and six months. So what you see is that of like, for example, the 31 and six this quarter, that of course is up from 22 Q1 to 31 plus six, 31 ordered. Six didn't. They were approved late in the quarter. So typically, following back approval, we'll get an order within a week or two. So it's usually quite quickly. Getting through to process, however, is taking us rather consistently four to six months. So 85 is building, so our pipeline, if you go back, will or well achieve more than 200 new accounts this year at our current pace. So it's happening a bit longer than we expected and as much as we work at it we are able to shorten it and make it more consistent and more understandable. It still takes time.

Lyanne Harrison

Analyst

Okay and just to understand that as well, so if I'm looking at, you know, four to six months and where you were at the process earlier in the year, has that process gotten shorter? Has it gotten more efficient for you? I'm just trying to understand, you know, if we get to this time next year, do you think it would still be taking four to six months to get through a VAC process?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

So what I will say is we have a much better understanding of it. Do I expect it to get shorter? I do. One of the things that we realized as we launched into it this, you know, it's been a year at this point, we had not applied to a VAC of any regularity for more than two years. So it became a new skill and experience for our organization. So I do expect it to get shorter. Also, I expect the number of accounts to diminish. You know, at some level, if you take all trauma centers, you're in the order of, let me see, something in the order of 700 to 750 accounts in the United States. And if you reverse back to where we currently are, we've got somewhere around 220, 230. We've got 85 in the pipeline for Q3. So we'll end the year well over 300, three-quarter, 350. And mostly those are the bigger accounts. So there will come a time when penetration is the bigger name of the game, and one of the benefits of RECELL GO is that it makes it much easier to adopt. Hopefully you saw the slides, if not I'll send them to you. But also the RECELL Go Mini will be applicable to many more smaller full thickness defects. So in combination those give us a lot of opportunity. And of course, many of them need a dermal matrix and all of them need addressing like Permioderm.

Lyanne Harrison

Analyst

Okay. And previously you spoke about approval rates or essentially the rates that didn't approve, or back communities didn't approve RECELL. Can you talk to us about that, you know, what happened through the second quarter of ‘24 and to the extent that there were any non-approvals, have you gone back to them and did those change and become approvals eventually?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Yes, we've had a very small number historically. We had no turn downs during the quarter, for example, and we have historically still had only four or five out of now nearly 200 ads. So it's a statistical just unlikely event for us as we've learned.

Lyanne Harrison

Analyst

Okay, thank you. And then, Permioderm sales. So are you able to give us an indication? I know it's still small, but for the second quarter, how much of total revenue was Permioderm sales?

David O'Toole

Analyst

Yes, this is David. So thank you for the question. It averaged around 2% for the quarter. So a very small amount in the second quarter. We see that picking up very substantially over the rest of the year.

Lyanne Harrison

Analyst

Okay. And then you mentioned you weren't adding any more headcount to your sales force in the United States. But I'm just trying to understand how much of your sales force time is currently spent promoting or selling RECELL versus Permioderm. I guess, I'm trying to understand, yes, I think it's great that you've got a wider product of a wider root portfolio, but could you perhaps have that salesforce time more directed towards selling resale and getting that top line traction?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Well, the fortunate thing around this strategy is first of all, the center of our strategy is RECELL. So, from a sales person point of view or any person in the field's point of view, they basically get to sell in the moment, if I may put it that way. If you are covering a case with RECELL, RECELL is what is being trained on or coached or supported at that moment. Upon the application of RECELL, the next thing you do is you put a dressing on it, which is when you would promote cell Permioderm. The third thing you would do is we follow-up with our customers around aftercare. So using RECELL has some very important requirements around aftercare so you don't change the dressing in a manner that disrupts the healing process. During the aftercare interaction, whether whoever you're talking to, that is when you get to talk about Permioderm also. If you apply that to a future dermal matrix, it will happen right after the breedment of the wound. That's when you use a dermal matrix. You then apply a split thickness skin graft combined with RECELL in the moment and in the moment after that you apply a dressing. So it doesn't -- they don't conflict with each other from a time point of view, same patient, same doctor, same procedure.

Lyanne Harrison

Analyst

Okay, thank you. And just one last question around, you know, if I think about costs over the next few quarters. You know, you mentioned that there were going to be some clinical studies using the dermal matrix and RECELL, how should we be thinking about that in terms of additional cost?

Jim Corbett

Analyst

I think comparatively year-over-year it won't cause a significant increase in cost, because of course we conduct clinical studies, for example TONE was one that we've been investing in, which is now winding down from a cost point of view. And the size of these studies will not be greater than what we've reflected in the past because, of course, we did clinical research in R&D related to RECELL GO, then we did it related to RECELL GO Mini. Those will get replaced from an R&D point of view, which is where clinical goes, in a similar fashion. We're not expecting a big uptick in expense.

Lyanne Harrison

Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you very much. I'll leave it there.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

Thank you, Lyanne.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn it back to Jim Corbett for closing remarks.

Jim Corbett

Analyst

First of all, thank all of you for attending the call. I appreciate the questions. We're looking forward to our future meetings, communications, and next quarter's call to report our Q3 results. Thank you again. Operator Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.