Bruce McClelland
Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed
Great. Thanks, John. Following the last several quarters of strong bookings, our outlook and visibility for the second quarter is very good with substantially higher backlog than in previous years even as we continue to optimize expenses. In our Cloud & Edge segment, we're projecting approximately 20% sales growth in the second quarter year-over-year. Key trends underpinning this increase include the following areas. First, we expect another very good quarter with Verizon, similar to our record level in fourth quarter last year, as the voice network modernization program continues to perform well and other network upgrades continue. We're in the first year of this three year program with significant opportunity for multiple years beyond this, as well as a large potential opportunity as Verizon completes their acquisition of Frontier. Second, in addition to the deals delayed from Q1, we have a very good funnel of U.S. federal network modernization opportunities with several sizable deals expected to close this quarter that include both expansion of current projects and new project wins. Despite some delays in decision making, these programs look very solid for the quarter. Third, we're projecting several new enterprise wins in the quarter; including the Fortune 500 customer I mentioned that's at the forefront of leveraging AI to enhance contact center effectiveness. Another obvious area of focus for us is related to Metaswitch replacement opportunities, with a primary focus around the top 25% larger installed base. In the first quarter, we closed new replacement deals in the UK and in the U.S. serving both residential and commercial customers. Similarly, we also had a very nice win and award with a Tier 1 provider in Central America to replace a high profile Cisco, Broadsoft government services deployment. So I'm pleased with the progress we're making to grow our share in multiple markets. In the IP Optical segment, we're projecting 5% to 10% sequential growth in the second quarter, which would result in revenues similar to the second quarter last year, which still included a partial quarter of sales to Eastern Europe. The key trends in this business include the following areas. We expect continued momentum in Asia with strong sales in India and South East Asia similar to the last several quarters but with a better mix from a margin perspective. Bardi, Vodafone Idea, Tata and others continue to expand network capacity and we see additional opportunities related to expansion of rural Internet access and data center interconnect. We have a lot of activity in Europe and in the Middle East with both critical infrastructure and defense agency projects expanding secure command and control networks. We also have very good momentum with customers like MTN in Africa where there's a lack of fiber infrastructure and significant projects underway to improve connectivity across the continent. And finally, we expect a stronger quarter in North America with both critical infrastructure and regional service providers. Longer-term innovation and new product development is the key to our future growth. We have several important areas in focus for this year, including enhancements to our routing platforms to support an expanding set of TDM elimination use cases. This has become a great entry point for us in the U.S. market in an area where we're proving to be very differentiated and highly synergistic with our Cloud & Edge voice portfolio. We're also investing in additional routing platforms and features to support the growing trend of IP directly over optical networks. We have a great example of this with a significant new IP over DWDM win in Africa to support data center expansion. We recently launched our latest new routing platform at Mobile World Congress, the NPT 2714 that is a metro core router supporting up to 14 terabit per second traffic levels. At the OFC optical show last month, we received the Lightwave Innovation Award for the platform and are seeing increased customer interest. And finally, automation has become table stakes for managing complex networks and for improving the delivery of new capabilities. For the Cloud & Edge portfolio, this means adoption of cloud native technologies and processes, which is the key focus behind the project I mentioned last quarter with the Tier 1 service provider in Europe. As we indicated earlier, we're expecting improved margins for both segments in the second quarter. The first quarter was unusually low given the customer and product mix, and the mix for the second quarter is expected to be much better. There remains a lot of uncertainty on where U.S. tariffs will settle and any reciprocal trade barriers that may be implemented. At the current time, we're not expecting a material impact on our business, but it's a dynamic situation. We have some agility to change the manufacturing location for our -- the optical products, and we benefit from the USMCA Free Trade Agreement for the Cloud & Edge products we currently manufacture in Mexico. We're working closely with our manufacturing partners to anticipate multiple scenarios and react quickly and hope to minimize the cost impact passed on to our customers. Also, given the substantial amount of revenue that is tied to software and services, we believe we're relatively immune at a more macro level. Now on to guidance. As already mentioned, we expect a strong second quarter with sales growing more than 10% year-over-year as we complete enterprise deals delayed from Q1 and the continued momentum in our Cloud & Edge business. Based on the assumptions I've outlined, we're projecting revenue in a range of $110 million to $220 million a year-over-year increase of approximately 12% at the midpoint. And adjusted EBITDA in a range of $28 million to $32 million a year-over-year increase of 38% at the midpoint. We remain positive on our outlook for the remainder of the year and continue to maintain our full year outlook. Operator, that concludes our prepared remarks and we can now take a few questions.