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Ribbon Communications Inc. (RBBN)

Q1 2016 Earnings Call· Wed, Apr 27, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Sonus Networks' First Quarter 2016 Conference Call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question and answer session. As a reminder this conference is being recorded, Wednesday, April 27, 2016. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Mark Greenquist, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thanks, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Sonus Networks' first quarter 2016 financial results conference call. Joining me on the call today is Ray Dolan, President and Chief Executive Officer. Today's press release and supplementary data have been posted to our IR website at sonus.net and submitted to the SEC. A recording of this call and the transcript will be available on our IR website after the call. During our prepared remarks, we will be referring to a presentation with supporting information. Please take a moment to locate these documents on our IR website. As shown on slide two, please note that during this call we will make forward-looking statements regarding items such as future market opportunities and the company's financial outlook. Actual events or financial results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements, and are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including without limitation economic conditions, market acceptance of our products and services, the timing of customer purchasing decisions and revenue recognition, difficulties leveraging market opportunities, and the impact of our cost containment efforts. A discussion of these and other factors that may affect future results is contained in our most recent Form 10-K filed with the SEC and in today's earnings release. Both of which are available on our website. While we may elect to update or revise forward-looking statements at some point, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so. During our call, we will be referring to certain GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP to comparable GAAP financial measures is also included in our press release issued today. So, with that, let me turn it over to Ray Dolan. Ray? Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thank you, Mark, and welcome to everyone on today's call. Let's turn…

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thanks, Ray. As a reminder, gross margin, operating expenses, operating income and earnings per share are all discussed on a non-GAAP basis and have been reconciled for you at the end of today's press release and presentation. So now turning to slide six, total revenue of $59.2 million, slightly exceeded our guidance range of $58 million to $59 million. Total product revenue was $34.8 million and total services revenue was $24.4 million in our first quarter. With regard to product revenue, we continue to see strong performance by our flagship SBC 7000 product, which has been extremely well received by our large Tier-1 service provider customers. Our total services revenue were down slightly, $900,000 year-over-year, primarily due to lower professional services revenue. Maintenance, however, was up slightly year-over-year. First quarter 2016 non-GAAP gross margin was 68.4%, which was almost 200 basis points above our guidance of 66.5%, and 690 basis points better than a year ago. As I just mentioned, our SBC 7000 product had a very good quarter and that was the main driver of our strong margin performance. Our operating cost structure was down by over $5 million this quarter versus a year ago as we had non-GAAP operating expenses of $38 million in the first quarter of 2016 compared to $43.5 million reported in our first quarter of 2015. This reduction in operating expenses was due primarily to the impact of our 2015 cost reduction initiative and I should mention our head count remained around 1,050 employees during the first quarter of 2016, basically flat from the end of the year. Our non-GAAP first quarter diluted earnings came in at $0.03 per share, which was well above our guidance of a loss per share of $0.03 to $0.01. Finally, cash and investments totaled $142.4 million at the…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please, for our first question. And our first question comes from the line of Jess Lubert with Wells Fargo Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Jess Lubert - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Hi, guys. Good morning. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Hey, Jess.

Jess Lubert - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Can you give us the enterprise and carrier breakdown? I didn't see that in the supplemental. And then I was hoping if you could talk a little bit more about what you're hearing from a customer spending perspective across both of the verticals? And perhaps given the bookings strength, how come you aren't expecting to see a little bit more sequential growth in Q2, given that June period has seen at least mid-single digit improvement in each of the last three years?

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah. So just with regard to the enterprise, percentage of revenue was 18% in the quarter – of product revenue, 18% of product revenue. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: So, Jeff, I'll talk a little bit about spending trends. I think there is still a tremendous amount of confusion out there, so most of the large service providers' spend is struggling to find an OpEx architecture that really scales nicely. That's why I spent a good bit of my prepared remarks on our drive to software centricity in cloud. I do expect that will probably accelerate either in the back half of this year or next year. We're not calling that. We've actually maintained our guidance for the year just because until we see that we're not going to change that. But for now the spending trends are, most of the large telcos are doing the best they can to really constrain their CapEx until they find that right new architecture. On the enterprise side, most of their spend is still in traditional next-gen firewall security as well as in WAN proliferation because everybody is moving their software applications and workloads into the cloud. I think that will evolve towards UCC. Again, like the service providers, that will evolve to UCC and SIP-based architectures later this year or into next year. So both of those major spend patterns are, I would just say, it's steady as she goes right now, but we should see some acceleration over 12 months from now. So that's why we're really not calling Q2 any stronger than where we see it. We see our backlog building nicely, we see our bookings momentum building nicely, but the patterns of our seasonal business remain. I hope I've answered your questions there, Jess. I'm happy to take the follow up.

Jess Lubert - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Yeah. Just following up on that, I mean it seems like a lot of the strength in the quarter came from the legacy business relative to some of the growth assets. Would the expectation be that legacy remains strong into Q2 as well and we don't really see the uptick in growth products until we get into the second half? How should we be thinking about that dynamic?

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah. I'm not sure that I agree with the contention that the strength was in the legacy products. I mean, in Q1, the total legacy revenue was just over $22 million. The growth-related revenue in total was just shy of $37 million, so from a year ago, virtually all of the growth. I mean, the legacy was up maybe $1 million versus a year ago, the rest of the revenue growth from a year ago was all growth-related product. And much of that was dominated by the SBC 7000, as we mentioned. It had a very good quarter. In fact, even versus the fourth quarter, the SBC 7000 was up a touch sequentially despite total revenue being down considerably from the fourth quarter of 2015. So that was the main driver of results, continued strength in the SBC 7000. Like I said, being up just a touch from the fourth quarter, being up considerably versus a year ago and providing extremely good product mix with regard to gross margin. I mean, that's essentially also what drove the overage in gross margin versus what we had guided back in February.

Jess Lubert - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Helpful. Maybe if I can just squeeze one more in. Can you share any information with us at this point in time as to what percentage of the product revenue is coming from virtual, where you think that might be as we look out 12 months, 18 months, 24 months from now? Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Yeah. Jeff, this is Ray. Good question. It's still very small when you're talking about just purely a virtual instance set up in somebody's cloud architecture on bare metal. I think the industry is still at least a good year from evolving to that model, but everyone considers that to be table stakes to drive fundamental architectural decisions, and most large spenders are in architectural discussions with us and other players. However, I will say that since we're ready for that, our fundamental designs are largely software content sitting on optimized hardware. It's true of our SBC 1000, SBC 2000, it's true of our SBC 5000, and it's true of our SBC 7000. And I think you can see that in our fundamental margin progress that we've made over the last several years. We're still selling a great deal of software. It's just right now sold on optimized hardware. It's going to be a little while. People are not just going to move their network functions to software. They're going to reorganize the stack before they reestablish a pure virtual growth strategy, and I think that's still a good 12 months away. It's possible that it's even further out. I hope that's a helpful response to your question, Jeff. Okay?

Jess Lubert - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Thanks, guys. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Dmitry Netis with William Blair. Please proceed with your... Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Hey, Dmitry. Dmitry G. Netis - William Blair & Co. LLC: Thank you. Good morning, gentleman. Nice results here in Q1. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thanks. Dmitry G. Netis - William Blair & Co. LLC: I wanted to follow-up on the competitive environment a little bit and see what you're seeing out there with regard to Oracle, maybe Alcatel-Lucent now being acquired by Nokia. Is competitive environment easing at all? Do you see Oracle maybe stepping on the gas a little bit more now that they're getting their act together under the new management team there? So anything you can talk to as far as the competitive environment for the growth product set would be a great help? And then I have a couple of follow-ups. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Sure, Dmitry, it's Ray. I'll take them in two stages. Nokia, Alcatel-Lucent, I don't see any change and I don't expect to see much of a change there. With regard to Oracle and their acquisition of Acme and Tekelec, there has been some confusion. I don't believe they're as focused as we are on this space, and I believe that confusion is going to continue. I don't see it to be meaningfully different this quarter from last quarter. I don't expect it to change much over the next, say, six months. But we are going full bore after the virtualization of the entire cloud software stack, and I like our odds. So I don't see much competition change there from either side. Dmitry G. Netis - William Blair & Co. LLC:…

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I would say... Dmitry G. Netis - William Blair & Co. LLC: It was a third last quarter. Yeah. Go ahead.

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, of the total product revenue, it's probably getting close to be a third of it, not quite there. I mean like we said last call, the SBC 7000 was in the fourth quarter just over $10 million, and that was the same thing in the first quarter. So, not quite a third of the total product revenue, but it's starting to get pretty close. Dmitry G. Netis - William Blair & Co. LLC: Very good. Thank you very much for that; appreciate it. Keep up the good work.

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thanks, Dmitry. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Hutchinson with Guggenheim. Please proceed with your question.

Ryan Hutchinson - Guggenheim Securities LLC

Analyst · Guggenheim. Please proceed with your question.

Hey, good morning, guys. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Hey, Ryan.

Ryan Hutchinson - Guggenheim Securities LLC

Analyst · Guggenheim. Please proceed with your question.

So a couple of questions. Hey. So first on clarification, I think you guys just said that the growth was $37 million and legacy $22 million; what was the split? I think you gave it on the last call. What was SBC product or growth related product revenue?

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

It was close to $25 million. It was like $24.8 million.

Ryan Hutchinson - Guggenheim Securities LLC

Analyst · Guggenheim. Please proceed with your question.

$24.8 million. Okay. All right.

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

And the legacy product was just under $10 million.

Ryan Hutchinson - Guggenheim Securities LLC

Analyst · Guggenheim. Please proceed with your question.

Just under $10 million, okay, great. All right. And then, Ray, you touched on it in your prepared remarks on potential partnerships in 2016, specifically on the security side. Maybe could you expand on that and when do you think that could materialize and then how that could change your go-to-market, potentially? Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Sure, Hutch. So what I am trying to talk about now so that we can build momentum, if you will, into the future, I'm probably going to stop short of naming names, but I'm happy to talk about this structurally, is we've spent several years evolving from first from gateway to SBC to our hybrid product. Then we built some standalone SBCs, so we've got tremendous traction there, and we've moved into software and we've improved our margin and the company's really well positioned. But basically we still are and are perceived to be a SIP-based player, a voice-based player, a telco-based player. Yes, we've made reasonable penetration into the enterprise, not enough, but we are pushing as hard as we can. And now that we're in software, we are starting to align with what I believe is a very, very big trend, and by the end of the year should be – where we should be in partnership with companies and talking about it. But it is the following; is that in order to unify communications, you've got to unify security, and right now there are two edges to the network, there's the real-time SIP-based edge of the network and there is the next-gen firewall edge of the network and neither sees both sides, but both, in software instances, can become part of a new cloud architecture. Now if we are right, you should see us partnered…

Ryan Hutchinson - Guggenheim Securities LLC

Analyst · Guggenheim. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. Great. I appreciate the color, yeah. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Anything else we can help you with, Ryan? Okay, thanks. Go ahead.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Greg Mesniaeff with Drexel Hamilton. Please proceed with your question.

Greg Mesniaeff - Drexel Hamilton LLC

Analyst · Drexel Hamilton. Please proceed with your question.

Yeah. Thanks, good morning. A couple of things I wanted to ask you. First, Ray, in the call today, you mentioned that you pretty much have a software-only version of every product family or every product that you sell, and I am curious what the take rate on the software-only version of each product family is at this point, and how it's trending? Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Okay, so, Greg, I did say major products, because we didn't turn our old iron gateway into a software-based product (30:24) there.

Greg Mesniaeff - Drexel Hamilton LLC

Analyst · Drexel Hamilton. Please proceed with your question.

Right, right. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: But when it comes to all of our SBCs and our signaling architecture, from the core to the edge of the network, we've evolved that into software-only. Also, I think this is part of Jess's prior question, so I'm happy to clarify it again, but I don't want to be repetitive. Very little of the market is in a software-only bare metal uptake. I mean, we've spun up in virtually all of the cloud environments and there have been a small number of customers that have turned out to small instances, and for example at Amazon cloud environment, but they're not meaningful to move the revenue needle for us yet. There are good indications of the technical viability and the commercial viability of spinning up our session layer, and enforcing an end-to-end network layer across an enterprise. But the majority of our sales, and I believe this is true for the rest of the industry. But I can speak for Sonus, the majority of our sales are in hardware right now, and probably will be for 12 months, and potentially longer. But I simply want to provide some context. I'm okay with that being the case given that we're continuing to make margin improvement at a major goal here. And so to the extent that we can drive to and through 70-point gross margin quarters towards the back end of this year as we did last year, I'm comfortable with the industry buying software-only and I'm also comfortable with the industry buying from us on a hardware basis as well.

Greg Mesniaeff - Drexel Hamilton LLC

Analyst · Drexel Hamilton. Please proceed with your question.

Sure, but I guess you could foresee at some point that there could be a significant shift in that model where it's really the software that people are going to be starting to buy, right? Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Yes, it's hard to call the timing on that, but when it happens, we'll all look back and say it was obvious. What I believe will need to happen is that all of the network functions that these operators use are all going to have to move into software. When they are, they're going to have to realign the stack, and when they realign the stack, that's really what SDN is all about. I think SDN in its full form is at least 12 months from now, if not further. In my prepared remarks what I tried to indicate is that I believe the orchestration layer of SDN is going to be the security layer and that the rest of the network functions are going to enforce the decisions made by that security layer. And I think that's going to take a while for people to migrate to, and adopt to, but I think it will have profound impacts on networks going forward.

Greg Mesniaeff - Drexel Hamilton LLC

Analyst · Drexel Hamilton. Please proceed with your question.

Got you, Ray. Thanks, that's very helpful. Just one quick follow-up. In the Q&A, it came out that your enterprise revenue split was about 18%. I was just curious if you can give us a little more color as to what type of enterprise customers you are talking about? I assume it's the larger ones? And as a part two of that question, any efforts to kind of target the lower end of the enterprise market like some of your competitors are doing? Thanks.

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Sure, Greg. Yes, you're correct that the majority of our results in the enterprise side are with large spenders. That would make sense, because we're revolving from, if you will, a telco architecture into the enterprise, and we've had some very strong success with large industry verticals that run very, very large communications networks. We also do go after the low end or less dense, if you will, smaller side of the marketplace. We do that predominantly through the channel in our linked relationship with Microsoft, and it's maintained a healthy footprint in our enterprise play as well. But we'll probably evolve more towards that in the future.

Greg Mesniaeff - Drexel Hamilton LLC

Analyst · Drexel Hamilton. Please proceed with your question.

Thank you. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mike Latimore with Northland Capital. Please proceed with your question.

Unknown Speaker

Analyst · Northland Capital. Please proceed with your question.

Yes, hi, this is Vijay Devar (34:17) for Mike Latimore. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Hey, how are you doing?

Unknown Speaker

Analyst · Northland Capital. Please proceed with your question.

Good. A couple of quick questions. I guess obviously you can't talk much about the Verizon project, but if you could give us some insights about how this is progressing and was there any impact from, I mean do you see impact from the recent Verizon strike that could potentially impact your second quarter or the full year revenues? Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Yeah, I don't see any impact at this stage for the Verizon strike on our business.

Unknown Speaker

Analyst · Northland Capital. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. If you look at the pipeline opportunities currently and versus the previous quarter, do you see any incremental improvement in the pipeline or is this kind of flat? How do we read about it? Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Well, I think we expect the pipeline to continue to be pretty solid. I mean, as we said in our remarks and that reflects our view that revenue is going to grow sequentially as we go into the back half of the year. So I wouldn't say that there's like major changes that we see from February. I think what we're seeing are things, kind of fall into line consistently with what we had expected. And that's why we think revenue in the second quarter is going to be pretty consistent versus what we were talking about in February. And revenue in the second half of the year we think is going to be consistent versus what we were talking about in February.

Unknown Speaker

Analyst · Northland Capital. Please proceed with your question.

Right. And finally, do you expect the SBC 7000 revenues to kind of grow sequentially for the next few quarters? Or do you see some flattening over time?

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

So I think the SBC 7000 is going to continue to be strong. I mean, I don't know that they're going to grow sequentially. We had a very good first quarter. That would have been the one thing that, if I was going to say that was surprising to me, I didn't think that we were going to have a strong product mix even with the SBC 7000. So that was great that that happened, and I think it continues to show that for any kind of customer out there who is looking for a high performance SBC, especially large service providers, the SBC 7000 seems to be essentially running everybody else over in that segment of the market. So I think we're going to have continued success with that product, but it is a large service provider product, so the revenue is going to tend to be lumpy. But I think when we look back over the course of 2016, we're going to see that that product performed extremely well and was a big driver to not only growth, but improved margin over the course of the year.

Unknown Speaker

Analyst · Northland Capital. Please proceed with your question.

Yes, thank you. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Steven Cohen with Provo Partners (37:17). Please proceed with your question.

Unknown Speaker

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Two questions. First on Level 3 and AT&T, can you give us some sizing of what the revenue contribution was in the quarter? And then second question, shifting to the margin, which clearly the strong gross margins have been kind of recurring story over the last few quarters, and Ray, you commented, you expect to see that back into the 70%s in the back half of the year. Just trying to get an idea of what you think steady state in that particular business could turn out to be? I mean could gross margins get as high as 75% down the road? Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Mark, you go ahead and take the first question, I'll take the second.

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah, on Level 3 and AT&T, I don't have the exact percentages right offhand; they're going to be in the 10-Q, which we're going to file, if not later this week, then early next week. I want to say that Level 3 was – I'm thinking it was about 14%, although again, I might be off on that number. And then I think AT&T was just over 10%, like something like 11% or so. But, Steve (38:30), those exact numbers are going to be in the 10-Q, and we're going to file that over the next few days.

Unknown Speaker

Analyst

Thanks. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Okay, Steve (38:38), with regard to long-term opportunity on margin, I would not expect in 2016 to see numbers like you quoted at 75% gross margins. But as to the future beyond like 2017, 2018, 2019, as the industry moves towards software, I don't see really any reason why we couldn't go to that and perhaps beyond. It really will depend on how fast the industry moves to a software-based architecture, what our channel strategy involves towards. But I am very pleased that when I walked into the company six years ago, we were basically varying around a high 50%s gross margin with the perception that that was the long-term margin trajectory of the company. And as we've evolved from a gateway to an SBC company and towards a software-based architecture for the cloud, we have methodically moved through the 50%s into the 60%s, and now from the 60%s with an opportunity to touch the 70%s. And we did that late last year. I do expect we could do that again at the end of this year if we drive the seasonal patterns that we saw last year. And so I'm really pleased with our margin progress. Because for us to drive to profitability, we've got to get to gross margin first, we can't just shrink our OpEx footprint. So I'm very pleased with the profitability in the first quarter, albeit off of a small revenue number like $59 million. But as we start to see the seasonal patterns of our business evolve, which we're going to do everything we can to drive to, we should see increased profitability going forward in the back half of the year. Okay?

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Hey, Steve (40:10), it's Mark again. While Ray was talking I actually looked up in the draft 10-Q what the numbers are going to be. So for AT&T I was right, it's 11%. But for Level 3, I was a little low, it's actually 19%, as opposed to what I just told you, 14%. So 19% for Level 3, and 11% for AT&T.

Unknown Speaker

Analyst

Thanks a lot for that (40:33).

Mark T. Greenquist - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thanks, Steve (40:35).

Operator

Operator

And Mr. Greenquist, there are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call back to you. Please continue with your closing remarks. Raymond P. Dolan - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Okay, everyone, this is actually Ray Dolan. Thank you very much for your time. Have a great day, and we look forward to speaking with you between now and July. And of course, we'll all be back on the call in July announcing our second quarter. Have a great day.