Operator
Operator
Good morning, and welcome to Ryder System, Inc. Second Quarter 2016 Earnings Release Conference Call. All lines are in a listen-only mode until after the presentation. Today's call is being recorded. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. I would like to introduce Mr. Bob Brunn, Vice President, Corporate Strategy and Investor Relations for Ryder. Mr. Brunn, you may begin. Robert S. Brunn - Vice President, Corporate Strategy & Investor Relations: Thanks very much. Good morning and welcome to Ryder's second quarter 2016 earnings conference call. I'd like to remind you that during this presentation, you'll hear some forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations due to changes in economic, business, competitive, market, political and regulatory factors. More detailed information about these factors is contained in this morning's earnings release and in Ryder's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Presenting on today's call are Robert Sanchez, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Art Garcia, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Additionally, Dennis Cooke, President of Global Fleet Management Solutions; John Diez, President of Dedicated Transportation Solutions; and Steve Sensing, President of Global Supply Chain Solutions, are on the call today and available for questions following the presentation. With that, let me turn it over to Robert. Robert E. Sanchez - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. This morning we'll recap our second quarter 2016 results, review the asset management area and discuss the current outlook for our business. Then we'll open the call for questions. With that, let's turn to an overview of our second quarter results. Comparable earnings per share from continuing operations were $1.56 for the second quarter of 2016, down 5% from the prior year. Second quarter 2016 comparable results exclude $0.09 of non-operating pension costs, as well as $0.09 of pension-related charges from certain benefit improvements made in 2009 that were not fully reflected in our projected benefit obligation. Last year, comparable earnings excluded $0.05 of non-operating pension costs, $0.02 in professional fees associated with cost savings initiatives, and $0.03 in benefits from state law changes. Despite a challenging freight environment that impacted our rental and used vehicle businesses, results were modestly above our comparable forecast range of $1.50 to $1.55, reflecting organic growth in our contractual businesses and lower overheads. Operating revenue, which excludes fuel and subtracted transportation grew by 4% to a record $1.4 billion for the second quarter, and was higher in all business segments. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange, operating revenue grew by 5%. Total revenue increased by 2% and was impacted by lower fuel costs passed through to customers. Page five includes some additional financial information for the second quarter. The average number of diluted shares outstanding for the quarter increased slightly to 53.4 million shares, up from 53.3 million shares last year. We began implementing our previously-announced 2 million share anti-dilutive repurchase program in the second quarter, earlier than originally anticipated. The plan allows management to purchase up to 1.5 million shares issued to employees after December 1, 2015, and another 500 shares from the former plan that were not repurchased prior to expiration. During the quarter, we bought approximately 322,000 shares at an average price of $68.05. Excluding pension costs and other items, the comparable tax rate was 36.9%, largely consistent with the prior year. Page six highlights financial statistics on a year-to-date basis. Operating revenue grew 6% to $2.9 billion. Comparable earnings per share from continuing operations were $2.68, down 1% from last year. The spread between adjusted return on capital and cost of capital decreased 120 basis points, down from 140 basis points in the prior year, driven primarily by lower performance in commercial rental and used vehicle sales. For the full-year 2016, we now expect this spread to be 100 basis points at the low end of our prior forecast range of 100 basis points to 110 basis points, reflecting lower expected commercial rental performance. I'll turn now to page seven and discuss some key trends that we saw in the business segments during the quarter. Fleet Management Solutions' operating revenue, which excludes fuel, grew 4%, driven mainly by growth in full-service lease. Lease revenue increased 9% due to fleet growth and higher rates on replacement vehicles, reflecting the higher cost of new vehicles. The lease fleet grew organically by 6,500 vehicles year-over-year, excluding the impact from the planned reduction of UK trailers. Sequentially, the lease fleet increased by 1,300 units excluding UK trailers, bringing our year-to-date lease fleet growth to 3,000 vehicles. We continue to benefit from favorable outsourcing trends, as well as our sales and marketing initiatives. So far this year, approximately 40% of our new lease sales came from customers new to outsourcing, up from about a third last year. Contract maintenance revenue increased 4%. The average contract maintenance fleet grew by 6,200 vehicles from the prior year and 1,500 sequentially, reflecting new customer wins. Contract-related maintenance revenue was up 11% from the prior year. Included in contract-related maintenance are 7,600 vehicle serviced during the quarter under on-demand maintenance agreements, a decrease of 8% from the prior year, but sequentially up 7%. Commercial rental revenue was down 10% for the quarter. Global rental demand was lower by 9%, driven primarily by lower demand for tractors. Global pricing on power units decreased nearly 1% for the quarter. The average rental fleet decreased 7% year-over-year. The ending rental fleet was down by 3% or 1,400 vehicles sequentially from the first quarter, and down 11% or 5,000 vehicles year-over-year, as our centralized asset management team executed our plan to shrink the rental fleet in light of softer demand. We've downsized the rental fleet by both redeploying vehicles into lease contracts and taking vehicles to our used-truck centers for sale. Vehicles redeployed into other applications nearly doubled from last year. This activity reduced the amount of capital needed to fulfill new customer contracts, which benefited cash flow. Rental utilization on power units was 74.7%, down 340 basis points year-over-year, primarily reflecting lower tractor demand. Used vehicle results were down year-over-year due to lower used vehicle pricing, primarily on tractors. I'll discuss those results separately in a few minutes. Overall, FMS earnings decreased due to lower commercial rental results and lower used vehicle pricing, partially offset by higher full-service lease results. Earnings before taxes in FMS decreased 9%. FMS earnings as a percent of operating revenue were 11.2%, down 160 basis points from the prior year. Used vehicle performance negatively impacted year-over-year EBT margins by 200 basis points. I'll turn now to Dedicated Transportation Solutions on page eight. We continue to see strong revenue growth in Dedicated driven by up selling lease customers into driver services, as well as new out sourcing activity. Total revenue grew 16% and operating revenue was up 10% due to new business, as well as higher pricing and volumes. DTS earnings increased 32% due to lower self-insurance costs and operating revenue growth. Segment earnings before taxes as a percent of operating revenue were 8.5%, up 150 basis points from the prior year. I'll turn to Supply Chain Solutions on page nine. Total revenue was up 1%, as higher operating revenue was partially offset by lower third-party purchase transportation costs and lower fuel costs passed through to customers. Operating revenue grew 4% due to new business, increased volumes and higher pricing. SCS earnings before taxes were up 2%, primarily driven by new business. Segment earnings before taxes as a percent of operating revenue were 8.6% for the quarter, down 10 basis points from the prior year. At this point, I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Art Garcia, to cover several items, including capital spending. Art A. Garcia - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Thanks, Robert. Turning to page 10, year-to-date gross capital expenditures were just over $1 billion, down $439 million from the prior year. This decrease primarily reflects lower planned investments in our rental fleet, as well as greater amount of used equipment to fulfill leased contracts. We realized proceeds primarily from the sale of revenue-earning equipment of $252 million, up $40 million from the prior year. The increase primarily reflects higher sales volume, partially offset by lower used vehicle pricing. Net capital expenditures decreased by almost $500 million to $763 million. Full-year 2016 gross capital expenditures are now expected to be $1.9 billion, down from $2 billion in our initial forecast. This primarily reflects a greater proportion of used equipment fulfilling lease contracts. Turning to the next page, we generated cash from operating activities of $763 million year-to-date, up 16%. The increase was driven primarily by lower working capital requirements and higher cash-based earnings. We generated around $1.1 billion of total cash year-to-date, up $155 million or 17% from the prior year. Cash payments for capital expenditures decreased by about $200 million to $1.12 billion year-to-date. The company's free cash flow was negative $62 million year-to-date versus the prior year of negative $425 million, reflecting lower capital expenditures, higher operating cash flow and increased sales proceeds. We are increasing our full-year 2016 forecast for free cash flow to $200 million, up from our previous forecast of $100 million. This change primarily reflects the cash flow benefit from the redeployment of used equipment to fulfill new lease contracts. Page 12 addresses our debt-to-equity position. Total debt of $5.6 billion increased by $131 million from yearend 2015. Debt-to-equity at the end of the first quarter decreased to 275% from 277% at the end of the year and is at the top end of our target range of 225% to 275%. Despite a stronger free cash flow outlook, yearend debt-to-equity is forecast to be higher than initially planned due to foreign exchange rates and the pension impact to equity from lower interest rates. We now expect to end the year with a debt-to-equity ratio of 255%. That's 10 percentage points higher than initially planned and just above the midpoint of our target range. Equity at the end of the quarter was just under $2.05 billion, up $60 million from yearend 2015, primarily due to earnings, partially offset by foreign exchange and dividends. At this point, I'll hand the call back over to Robert to provide an asset management update. Robert E. Sanchez - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thanks, Art. Page 14 summarizes key results of our asset management area. The used vehicle inventory held for sale was 9,100 vehicles, up from 5,900 vehicles in the prior year, and up sequentially by 500 vehicles. Current inventory levels are above our target range of 6,000 to 8,000 and reflect actions taken to reduce the size of our rental fleet. We expect second quarter to be the peak for used vehicle inventory, which should decline to around the top end of our range by yearend. We sold 5,100 used vehicles during the quarter, up by 9% from both the prior year and sequentially. Proceeds per vehicle sold were down 15% for tractors and down 4% for trucks compared to peak prices a year ago. From a sequential standpoint, tractor pricing was down 4% and truck pricing was down 6% versus the first quarter 2016. The number of leased vehicles that were extended beyond their original lease term increased versus last year by around 775 units year-to-date, but was similar to the levels from the prior few years. Vehicles redeployed into other applications nearly doubled to almost 2,700 units year-to-date. This reflects our actions to place excess rental vehicles into lease or dedicated contracts as we downsize the rental fleet. Early termination of leased vehicles increased by around 250 units this year, reflecting higher customer bankruptcies. I'll turn now to page 16 to cover our outlook for 2016. During the second quarter, we continued to focus on mitigating the impact of a challenging environment in our rental and used vehicle sales by growing our contractual businesses, taking timely action to right size the rental fleet and managing our cost. Revenue grew in all business segments, driven by growth in our contractual product lines. In May, we launched two new flexible maintenance products, ChoiceLease Preventive and ChoiceLease On-Demand, which are first for our industry. These products provide customers with new options to obtain leasing and maintenance services as we continue to find innovative ways to penetrate the large, non-outsourced market. In full service lease, we grew by 3,000 vehicles year-to-date, excluding UK trailers. We're increasing our full-year outlook for the lease fleet growth from 3,500 vehicles to 4,000 vehicles, reflecting higher levels of redeployment activity in the first half of the year. We're also pleased that around 40% of new trucks added this year have come from customers outsourcing for the first time. In rental, we lowered our demand outlook for the balance of the year in light of the soft conditions in the Class 8 tractor market and now expect rental demand to be down by 9% for the full year versus 7% in our previous forecast. July demand trends to-date have been slightly worse than June and we're forecasting this to continue into the third quarter. We believe year-over-year demand comparisons will bottom out in the third quarter as we move into easier comparisons later in the year. Despite weaker demand expectations in the third quarter, we expect less negative earnings impact due to the actions we've already taken to reduce the fleet size. We've largely completed the rental fleet reductions needed to account for a softer demand environment, but are planning an additional normal, seasonal de-fleeting in the latter part of the year. We now expect our yearend rental fleet to decline by 11% as compared to our prior expectation of down 8%. The full-year average fleet should be down by 8% versus our prior forecast of 7%. We expect global rental pricing to be flat in the second half of the year. In our asset light maintenance products, we're pleased with continued growth in contract maintenance and market interest in our on-demand maintenance service. We're emphasizing growth in these products as a way to drive revenue and earnings with no additional capital investment required. In used vehicle sales, we expect pricing to be generally consistent with recent trends on somewhat lower sales volumes. Our outlook for Class 8 tractor pricing remains unchanged at 16% to 17% down for the full year. We believe our used vehicle inventories have peeked in the second quarter and should decline in the second half to around 8,000 vehicles. In Supply Chain, we expect mid-single-digit operating revenue growth with stable earnings for the balance of the year. In Dedicated, operating revenue is expected to grow by high-single digits for the full year, although year-over-year growth rates will be lower in the second half due to the timing of new sales. We expect solid year-over-year earnings comparisons to continue for Dedicated. We're reducing our full-year comparable EPS forecast to $5.90 to $6.05, from $6.10 to $6.30, primarily due to our lower outlook for rental demand and used vehicle volumes, particularly Class 8 tractors. Our third quarter comparable EPS forecast is $1.65 to $1.72 versus the prior year of $1.74. That concludes our prepared remarks this morning. At this time, I'll turn it over to the operator to open the line for questions. In order to give everyone an opportunity, please limit yourself to one question and one related follow up if clarification is needed. If you have additional questions, you're welcome to get back in the queue, and we'll take as many calls as we can.