Ray Hatch
Analyst · Amit Dayal with H.C. Wainwright
Thank you, Laurie. There are many important updates I'd like to cover today. Before I get into the actions we've taken, I want to give a little background in terms of how we are being affected by COVID-19. It's important to understand that we service commercial, not residential, customers. Unlike residential service, which typically charges a flat monthly fee, much of our revenue is ultimately based on volume of waste generated. Lower economic activity and lower volumes directly translate into lower revenue for us. On the positive side, we have focused on maintaining our customer relationships, working with them as partners. Almost all of our customers are deemed essential businesses and remain at least partially, if not fully, open. While certain customers may have lower volumes of waste, they still have the same waste stream and the need for our services. We believe this flexibility and commitment to partnership is consistent with our value proposition and should continue to serve us well into the future. We expect the impact of the lower economic activity will be much greater during the second quarter, when we will see the full quarter's effect of the downturn. Since the end of the first quarter, the economic activity of our customers in the grocery retail industry has remained relatively stable. However, economic activity in many of the other end markets that we serve has dropped significantly. While in the last few weeks we've heard some of the evidence of stabilization and modest recoveries from these lower levels, it's still too early to tell how long these conditions will last and how quickly these end markets will recover. Next I'll review in more detail what we've seen in terms of economic activity in our major end markets. I will note that we have several-week lag in how we see the revenue that flows through our business. To gain more timely insight into the current business trends, we are staying in close contact with our customers and closely monitoring market conditions. In the grocery retail end market, most of our customers remained open, with the exception of a few traditional retail accounts. Grocery customers have stayed strong throughout this entire period and in some cases experienced modest growth. While a few of our traditional retail customers have been temporarily closed, other specialty retail customers that are classified as essential have remained open, and in certain cases have also seen gains in volumes. We saw a significant decrease in the automotive repair and maintenance market beginning in mid-March, as there has been a significant decrease in consumer-focused automotive maintenance during the pandemic. Industry data would suggest that there was a 40% to 50% decrease in miles driven at the end of March and into early April compared to the end of February. One publicly traded automotive service provider reported that their sales trends decreased by 40% in the first half of April, but has seen an uptick from these levels. Anecdotally, we've heard similar trends from other consumer-focused customers in this end market. While we're discussing the automotive sector, it's also important to make a point about the decrease in oil price and its effect on our business. A large part of what we do in the automotive maintenance space is picking up and recycling used motor oil. I would note that our profit contribution is based on the pickup and disposal service and are not tied to the price of the commodity. As such, the price of oil does not create a significant disruption in our margin profile. Consumer demand has had less of an effect on the customers than the industrial end market; however, certain industrial customers have curtailed production and temporarily closed some of their plants due to breakouts of the virus. Most of our industrial customers are considered essential, and we expect that volumes will come back with the overall economy. The restaurant vertical is a smaller and newer end market for us, but it's also one of our fastest growing areas -- our growth areas, prior to the pandemic. Obviously restaurants have been significantly impacted overall, but the extent has varied depending on the type. Most of our customers are casual dining and quick-service restaurants and have seen significant declines in business during the month of April. We expect that volume levels will pick back up as restrictions have begun to lift in most states. Moving on to a discussion of the actions we are taking. First and foremost, we've taken several actions to protect the health and the safety of our employees. We were very fortunate that we are considered an essential business along with most of our customers and remain operational. More than 90% of our staff is working remotely. There's a skeleton crew that continues to work from the office. We're following CDC guidelines to protect the health and safety of those workers, and we're grateful, but not surprised, by all our employees' willingness to do what it takes to deliver uninterrupted service for our clients. This change in our operation has been seamless and was facilitated by investments we made last year to move our technology infrastructure to the cloud. Our call center has been remote for about 2 months now and we've seen no performance issues. Next I'll talk about the actions we've taken to mitigate the effects of COVID-19 on our business. We reacted quickly when we saw market conditions changing. Laurie discussed the actions that we've taken to address on the cost side. We play a vital role in supporting our customers during this crisis, and it's important that we preserve the continuity of our workforce for the near term and to ensure the long-term viability of our business. Reducing costs and receiving the proceeds from the Paycheck Protection Program is helping us to do just that. In addition to cost, we've positioned ourselves to grow. I want to cover our new customer pipeline first. The new business pipeline remains intact. We have a number of sustainability-focused pilot programs that have commenced with new and existing customers that look very promising. However, in this current environment, prospects have slowed their evaluations and many have delayed decisions until they are less bandwidth-constrained. Given that we've put ourselves on solid footing, we are continuing to pursue opportunities that have arisen in the current environment. We've developed marketing programs focused on industries and customers, while our flexibility of service levels and financial strength all position us to differentiate ourselves. And without getting into specifics, we are developing programs that will customers more quickly reopen their businesses, as well as services designed to help them comply with new regulations to protect the health and safety of workers and/or patrons. Regarding our M&A efforts, as we discussed in our last call, this is a new strategic initiative that we introduced this year. During the first quarter we hired a corporate development resource in this area and are committed to enhancing shareholder value through disciplined acquisitions where they make sense. In summary, we are unable to give specific guidance; clearly, we are expecting a significant decrease in revenue and profitability during the second quarter. We are seeing early indications that during the second quarter our customers in certain end markets may begin to bottom out and that economic activity levels will begin to recover as states' economies reopen. However, it's impossible to definitively predict the timing or the extent of that recovery. We've taken several actions to mitigate the extent of the downturn in economic activity. The first actions are those that we've completed during the last several years. We set our priorities and launched a disciplined process for driving shareholder value with a focus on diversifying our customer mix and pursuing differentiated business. Our approach has allowed us to enter this period of uncertainty in a position of relative strength and financial stability. As we described, we have also taken actions to cut costs, introduced new programs and services, and are actively working to keep our pipeline of new business intact. With these actions, combined with the flexibility of our asset-light business model, a strong balance sheet, the strength of our customer relationships and the essential nature of our services, we believe we are well positioned to weather this difficult period. Longer-term, we believe the trend toward sustainability will continue, and we believe Quest is well positioned to benefit and in some cases take a leadership role in effecting the [indiscernible] growth trend. While our customers and prospects may be temporarily distracted by the COVID-19 virus, we believe that companies will continue to deploy sustainability programs in order to divert more waste from the landfill and reduce their environmental footprint. I look forward to updating you on our progress. We'd now like the operator to provide instructions on how listeners can queue up for questions. Operator?