Thierry Bernard
Analyst · ODDO BHF
Well, I think we can take this -- both of us Roland and I, and I will appreciate Roland also to give his opinion. We both said in the presentation today that the current forecast for 2022, the full year forecast is completely factoring some visible trend obviously, the situation with the war in Ukraine and the geopolitical tension. So for example, as we communicated, we have suspended our operation in Russia, Russia and Ukraine, and therefore, all this is completely factored. Current trends regarding inflation, current trends regarding tensions on the supply chains are completely factored. But we also insist on 2 things, QIAGEN is a company with pricing power, and we are really very, very granular every year on passing price increase. We do it normally in a normal environment in December and January of every year. This year, we have decided, given the specific inflationary environment to do it twice. So we are passing a second price increase in June and July. And we are already, by the way, preparing the next wave, which would be for the next December and January. This is also factored in our forecast. Obviously, we need to be very clear. We have some customers that have purely annual contract with fixed cost or basically already contracted CPI increase. So the price increase never covers the entirety, obviously, of the revenues or of the portfolio. But any time we can and when it's accepted by customers, we are passing this year a second pricing. We have not factored any improvement in the supply chain constraint. But as we have explained today, perhaps our industry and in particularly QIAGEN, we are slightly more prepared than the rest of the world in those supply chain constraints. Why? Because for us, if you remember, Dan, they started 2 years ago, when we were -- because of the huge demand of COVID testing, we were already under constraints for raw material supply, plastic supply. So we are coming already with 2 years of hard work to strengthen our supply chain. So what does it mean? I think there is no company in the world, no industrial sector, which is completely immune to macro factors and to economic obviously volatility. I believe, overall, health care is always more protected for obvious reason. I believe QIAGEN has taken the proactive measures basically to navigate this choppy environment in a, let's say, optimal way. Now to the second part of your question, what does it mean for 2023. Dan, we know what we know. I mean, I don't believe that inflationary pressure will disappear by magic as of January 1 of next year. I don't know what's going to happen. This is why I'm saying, we are already working and preparing our next price increase, which will be due for December and January, for example. I do not believe that suddenly, even if everything goes back to normal, supply chain is going to drastically improve. So we need to take this into account also when we are going to plan 2023. In our calendar, Dan, we start to work on budget for the next year at this time of the year. So we are actively currently working on 2023. What I can tell you is what you probably already know. We are not going to take extra assumptions on COVID. COVID is volatile. We do not want to have our P&L impacted by that volatility. If it continues, we see it as a bonus on our model. At the same time, we confirm what we said as early as December 8, 2020, when we said that with the exception of Sample tech, our 5 pillars of growth all had to -- different, obviously, level, a double-digit growth profile. And we confirm that, and we confirm that for next year. The exception being Sample tech, where we believe that with our leadership plus what we have been able to add in our portfolio of solution during the COVID crisis, we have a potential of probably low to mid-single-digit growth profile.