Operator
Operator
Please stand by. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the PVH Corp. Second Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. This webcast and conference is being recorded on behalf of PVH and consists of copyright material. It may not be recorded, rebroadcast or otherwise used without PVH's written permission. Your participation in the question-and-answer session constitutes your consent to having anything you say appear on any transcript or replay of this call. The information being made available includes forward-looking statements that reflect PVH's view as of August 26, 2015, of future events and financial performance. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties indicated in the company's SEC filings and the Safe Harbor statement included in the press release that is the subject of this call. These risks and uncertainties include PVH's right to change its strategies, objectives, expectations and intentions and its need to use significant cash flow to service its debt obligations. Therefore, the company's future results of operations could differ materially from historical results or current expectations. PVH does not undertake any obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statement including, without limitation any estimate regarding revenue or earnings. Generally, the financial information and guidance provided is on a non-GAAP basis as defined under SEC rules. Reconciliations to GAAP are included in the referenced earnings release, which can be found on www.pvh.com and in the company's current report on Form 8-K furnished with the SEC in connection with the release. At this time, I am pleased to turn the conference over to Mr. Manny Chirico, Chairman and CEO of PVH. Emanuel Chirico - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thank you, and good morning, everyone. I'd like to introduce also on the call Mike Shaffer, our Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer; Dana Perlman, our Head of the Investor Relationships and our Treasurer; as well as Ken Duane, who run all of our Wholesales businesses throughout North America. Overall, we were quite pleased with our results for the second quarter, which exceeded the top end of our earnings guidance by $0.07. In the second quarter, on a constant currency basis revenues increased 2% and EPS grew 11%. In the first half of 2015 there were significant sales shifts into the first quarter and out of the second quarter that makes comparisons to the prior year somewhat confusing. So from a brand and business perspective, I plan to review the first half results in order to give you a better sense of the underlying sales trends, rest assured that, Mike Schaffer, in his comments will quantify and break down all of our second quarter financial results. Overall, for the first six months of 2015 on a constant currency basis, revenue increased 3% and EPS grew 16%. This outperformance was driven by strong underlying results in our International Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger businesses. At the same time, we did see softness in our U.S. Calvin and Tommy retail businesses where a strong U.S. dollar negatively impacted international tourist traffic and spending in some of our largest stores located in tourist destination locations like Orland, Las Vegas, Miami and the New York Metropolitan area. At the same time, our retail stores located in U.S. permanent population locations continue to post low to mid single-digit same-store sales increases, which we were very encouraged by. Moving into each of the brands; Calvin Klein, looking at the first half. On a constant currency basis, our CK revenues increased 4% over the prior year's first half driven by strong performance of our international businesses. From a retail comp sales perspective, international comps increased 6%, while North American comps increased 2% in the quarter and the half despite being negatively impacted by the international tourist traffic and spending. The Calvin Klein brand continues to gain traction and is increasingly becoming more visible both digitally and at point-of-sale. Our fall marketing campaigns are out now with in-store signage and media and marketing launching as we speak. We have major initiatives before holiday. For jeans, our Meet Me campaign is about sexting and hooking up where we are digitally connecting with our customer which is right up the Calvin Klein DNA. For women's underwear, our campaign, The Original Sexy features Kendall Jenner. Both campaigns are creating a lot of buzz around the market and we are connecting with our consumers to drive our commercial business. Globally, the underwear business continues to gain share in each market. Interestingly, our women's underwear sales trends for the first half are outpacing our men's sales trends worldwide. Men's, with our key spring launches of Intense Power and Air FX have been very well received with great sell-throughs. And for fall, we just launched our magnetic wait-band product with positively early indicators from sales. In North America, we have seen our 2015 men's market share grow by over 200 basis points with growth across all of our major retail partners. Moving to women's, our Modern Cotton logo product continues to be the big story for women's, especially those under the age of 30. Along with our tailored bra offering by region, in which we have significantly grown over the last 12 months with our push-up styles leading the business in Asia, our Perfectly Fit style leading the business in Europe, and our new invisibles bra in North America driving sales gains. In North America, we have seen our 2015 women's market share grow by over 100 basis points with growth across all of our major retail partners. Moving to jeans. We continue to make very good progress around the jeans turnaround in North America and in Europe. Women's jeans are still performing better than men's, but our women's business is significantly gaining traction. Over the last 12 months, we have installed in North America over 180 men's shops and over 100 women's shops, which are performing well above last year's levels. In men's, we're looking at sales increases in those shops in excess of 30%; and in women's, the sales are in excess of 25% in those shops. We have also expanded our distribution to include Urban Outfitters globally and Topshop in Europe. These two retailers target a younger consumer than our traditional department store consumer. We've delivered some initial capsules first 625 (07:21) and have seen significant sell-throughs with great performance at Urban, and we have seen significant re-orders and expansion of doors as we move into the holiday season. We're very excited about this business as it opens up our brand up to a much younger consumer. In Europe, we have seen a significant improvement in same-store sales as well as where we have installed new shops or have re-fitted our existing base, particularly in London and Rome our sales performance is running well ahead of our comps which are in the double-digit area. Our Calvin Klein Asia jeans business continues to be very healthy with solid performance throughout the first half, which is best documented by our comp store performance in that region. We have also seen very strong performance in many of the other Calvin Klein product categories. For the first half of 2015, our Calvin Klein royalty revenue has increased by over 11%. This strong performance is driven by our women's apparel, our women's footwear, and our accessory businesses in those areas. These categories are posting mid-teens sales increases in all the major retailers throughout North America. This business is predominantly run by Jimlar and (08:52) and they are seeing great sell-throughs at this time on those product categories. Moving to Tommy Hilfiger. The business there for the first half of 2015, revenues on a constant currency basis increased 3% over the prior year. The increase was driven by solid performance in our international businesses, which grew 4% in the first half of 2015, including a 6% comp store increase throughout Europe. At wholesale, our Tommy European business continues to outperform the competition. As an indicator, our 2015 full year European order books, excluding Russia, are running up 5% for the year. The strongest markets continue to be Germany, the UK, France, and the Middle East. In North America revenues increased 1% resulting from retail square footage growth partially offset by a 2% decrease in retail comp store sales. Our Tommy business continues to perform well despite the pressure on the retail business in the U.S. market, primarily driven by the lack of international tourists in our tourist destination locations. As we have previously mentioned, this fall we have Rafael Nadal as our brand ambassador. And, boy, did he make a big splash in Bryant Park on Tuesday for the kick-off our fall underwear and fragrance campaign. We believe that Rafael's association will be a positive for our overall men's business, but certainly will lift our underwear business globally. Our fall order books reflects this uptick in our underwear business, and Rafael will continue as our brand ambassador for spring 2015 where the focus will be on tailored clothing, and our initial order results in that category continue to be very strong. Moving to our Heritage business. First half revenues for the Heritage businesses were relatively flat while operating income increased about 3%. This increase was driven by our Heritage Sportswear businesses which continue to perform well both at wholesale and retail. We've also seen strong performance in our Warner's core intimate business particularly in the mid-tier channel distribution where we have seen our year-to-date market share grow by over 100 basis points. Our dress shirt business continue to perform – underperform in the first half of the year. However, we believe that business will significantly improve in the second half of the year. New fall product deliveries, especially our Van Heusen Flex Collar has seen stronger sell-throughs in August and give us confidence in our second half sales increases for dress shirts. Let me take a moment and talk about our early third quarter back-to-school sales trends. Our International Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger business continues to post strong sales. By region, we are seeing very strong performance for Europe and China for both brands. In Korea and Brazil, where we have a large Calvin Klein business, sales trends continue to be challenging as we are being negatively impacted by the macroeconomic environment for each of those countries. Overall, international same-store sales are up mid-single digits at Tommy Hilfiger and are up low-single digits at our Calvin Klein business. Moving to our wholesale business in Europe, our order book for spring 2016, excluding our Russia business is projected to be up 4% to 5% at Tommy and is up about 15% at Calvin Klein as our marketing initiatives are starting to pay dividends along with our new product deliveries. In North America, we are dealing with a later back-to-school selling season, due to a weak later Labor Day Holiday, which is making it more difficult to read the business. Our retail same-store sales are running negative low-single digit at Calvin Klein and negative mid-single digit at Tommy Hilfiger. Those two businesses are running on plan given the later back-to-school season and are continue to be impacted by international tourist traffic and spending. Before I turn it over to Mike, I just want to focus on some of the key initiatives we outlined at the beginning of the year. As we move over the next three years, our objectives will be capturing the long-term revenue and profit opportunities for our Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger brands. There are really four key initiatives that we hope to accomplish over the next three years that you should be monitoring as we go forward. The first is to continue to invest in product, presentation and the marketing of the Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger brands. Second, we continue to invest in our global operating platforms to support our growth strategies, including key investments in our digital commerce systems and platforms. Third, significantly improving operating results of the Calvin Klein European business over the next three years. Although we have seen strong performance there, we believe we have a long way to go to reach the comparable levels of profitability that exist at our Tommy Hilfiger business for the – in the European market, and this is a big opportunity for us as we move forward. And fourth is to continue to invest in the expansion of the presence of both brands in Asia and Latin America, including more direct control over the Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger licensing businesses, where we can maximize our core competency to increase sales and improve the overall profitability of both brands. With that, I'd like to turn it over to Mike to quantify some of the second quarter results. Michael A. Shaffer - EVP, Chief Operating & Financial Officer: Thanks, Manny. The comments I'm about to make are based on non-GAAP results and are reconciled in the press release. On a constant-currency basis, revenues for the second quarter were up 2% versus prior year and ahead of our guidance. Driving our revenue increase was our Calvin Klein business, which delivered a 3% constant currency increase over the prior year. Our Calvin Klein International business was up 7% in constant currency, driven by strong wholesale shipments and international retail comps at 3%. Our Calvin Klein strategies are taking hold and we are seeing improved performance, particularly in gross margin and in our international businesses. Tommy Hilfiger revenues were up 5% in constant currency, also ahead of our guidance with strong revenues in our international business, which had revenues up 6% in constant currency, and Europe comps up 9%. Our Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein U.S. retail stores located in international tourist destinations continue to be under pressure from a lack of traffic and spending, but these declines were more than offset by performance in other areas of these brands. Our Heritage business revenues were down 6%, also ahead of guidance and heavily influenced by the earlier-than-planned wholesale shipments, which benefited quarter one as well as the launch of IZOD at Kohl's in last year's second quarter. Earnings per share for the second quarter was $1.37, a $0.31 negative impact related to foreign currency and expected weakness in our Russian business. Excluding this negative impact, EPS would have increased 11% over the prior year. Our Q2 EPS was $0.07 ahead of the top end of our guidance. The $0.07 beat was comprised of $0.10 related to business outperformance, which was predominantly at Calvin Klein, and an interest expense benefit of $0.02, partially offset by $0.05 of headwinds related to taxes and FX. For the full-year 2015, we raised our guidance and are now projecting earnings per share at $6.90 to $7, which includes an additional $0.05 hit for foreign currency versus our previous guidance. If we exclude the negative impact related to foreign currency and weakness in our Russia business of $1.30, our earnings per share growth is projected to be 12% to 14% over the prior year. We also raised our revenue guidance. We are now projecting revenues to grow approximately 4% on a constant-currency basis. Overall, operating margins are expected to increase about 10 basis points to 20 basis points, excluding a negative impact of about 60 basis points due to foreign currency. Driving the growth, when excluding foreign currency, is continued improvement in the Calvin Klein business, which is projecting revenues to grow 8% on a constant-currency basis. We are also planning Calvin Klein operating margins to increase 80 basis points to 90 basis points, excluding a negative impact of approximately 40 basis points of FX. Tommy Hilfiger revenues are planned to increase 4% on a constant-currency basis with operating margins planned down 60 basis points to 70 basis points, excluding a negative impact of approximately 80 basis points of FX. Tommy Hilfiger International operating margins are planned up with North America operating margins planned down after excluding FX. This is due to pressure on U.S. stores located in international tourist locations. Our Heritage businesses plan to have a revenue decrease of 3%, due mostly to our exiting of the IZOD retail business in 2015. Operating margins in our Heritage business are planned to increase about 70 basis points to 80 basis points. The impact of foreign currency in our Heritage business is relatively immaterial. Interest expense for the year is planned to be about $120 million when compared to the prior year amount of $139 million due to our average lower debt balances. Also favorably impacting interest for 2015 is the debt refinancing we did in last year's first quarter. We currently expect to generate approximately $450 million of free cash flow in 2015. This will be used to pay down debt of about $350 million and allow for opportunistic stock repurchases and our license buybacks. Our tax rate for the year is planned at about 21.5%. Our revenue for the third quarter is planned at 3% on a constant currency basis. By business, we're estimating that third quarter revenues on a constant currency basis to increase 7% for Calvin, 4% for Tommy Hilfiger, and to decrease 5% for Heritage brands. Heritage brands' revenues are being negatively impacted by the closing of our IZOD Retail Division. Third quarter earnings per share is planned at $2.45 to $2.50 and includes approximately $0.40 of estimated negative impact from foreign currency and a decline in our Russia business. Excluding this negative impact, EPS is projected to increase 11% to 13% over the prior year. Interest expense for the quarter is planned at $30 million and taxes about 18% in the third quarter. And with that, we'll open it up to questions.