William Hendricks
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thanks, Andy. Before we get into our third quarter results, I wanted to give everyone an overview of what we're seeing in the market. It's been a challenging year with the overall decrease in U.S. industry rig count, and the third quarter was the quarter with the fastest decline during the year. For Patterson-UTI, the decrease in our rig count was in line with our expectation, while the decrease in pressure pumping activity was greater than we expected.With WTI in the low to mid-50s, operator activity continues to be motivated by staying within budget and therefore, operators that outspend their budget in the first half of the year, are slowing activity in the back half of the year. Both drilling and pressure pumping activity are expected to decline further in the fourth quarter, but recent customer conversations suggested our drilling rig activity will bottom in the fourth quarter and then a modest increase in late December and early January.At this point, there is limited visibility to how 2020 activity will shape up, and we will know more later in the year as operators work on their budgets. As I visit with customers, the way many of them describe their drilling and completion programs going forward is steady. And at Patterson-UTI, we are adjusting our business accordingly.In contract drilling, our rig count during the third quarter averaged 142 rigs, in line with our expectations. Average rig revenue per day for the third quarter increased to $24,240 from $24,200 in the second quarter. The third quarter had a lot of cross currents that affected average daily revenue, including higher-than-expected early termination revenue; an increased proportion of rigs on standby, which is dilutive to the average and improving rig mix and some pressure on leading-edge dayrates.When excluding the impact from rigs on standby and early terminations from both the second and third quarters, average daily revenue increased $160 sequentially in the third quarter due primarily to a more favorable rig mix.Average rig operating cost per day during the third quarter increased to $14,440, due primarily to lower fixed cost absorption related to the steep drop in the rig count during the third quarter as well as increases in items, such as workers' comp. and medical insurance, which we assume will not recur in the fourth quarter. At September 30, we had term contracts for drilling rigs providing for approximately $645 million of future dayrate drilling revenue. Based on contracts currently in place, we expect an average of 73 rigs operating under term contracts during the fourth quarter and an average of 55 rigs operating under term contracts during the 12 months ending September 30, 2020.We have retired 36 non-APEX rigs. Given current market conditions and our customer strong preference for super-spec rigs, we believe these rigs have limited commercial opportunity going forward. Our current rig fleet of 216 rigs includes 198 APEX rigs, of which we consider 150 to be super-spec.Turning now to our contract drilling outlook. We expect our rig count to average 126 rigs in the fourth quarter, essentially in line with our current rig count. We expect that our rig count stabilizes near current levels and bottoms in the fourth quarter with some increase in the first quarter as operator budgets reset in 2020. Average rig revenue per day for the fourth quarter is expected to be $23,500. Approximately $280 per day of the decrease in the fourth quarter average revenue per day is related to an assume decrease in the early termination revenues.With the expectation of rigs going back to work, we are going to have to carry some additional labor expense in the fourth quarter as we have employees ready to go to work when these rigs are reactivated.Despite these higher labor cost, we expect our fourth quarter average rig operating cost per day to decrease approximately $200, as some of the items that affected the third quarter are not assume to repeat in the fourth quarter.Turning now to pressure pumping. Gross margin of $32.3 million on revenues of $209 million was lower than we expected as activity fell more than expected during the quarter. We reduced our active spread count and ended the quarter with 14 active spreads. Activity continues to decrease, and we idled an additional spread early in the fourth quarter. Lower activity levels are negatively impacting pricing, such that we believe industry pricing for spot work is at an unsustainably low level.With the reduced activity and increased white space in the calendar for active spreads, we expect fourth quarter pressure pumping margin to be approximately $8 million with revenues of approximately $150 million. We have been and continue to reduce operating locations in order to scale the business for current market conditions.We're seeing an increase in the number of operating operators looking for frac spreads in early 2020, but it is unclear whether this work will materialize and if the pricing on the work would be economic. We will continue to evaluate the economics of working versus idling spreads on a spread-by-spread basis. The pressure pumping market is oversupplied, and it has been since the end of 2017. Improvements in completion efficiency have exacerbated the problem of all the additional horsepower added to the market over the past 2 years.At Patterson-UTI, we remain capital disciplined and focused on things within our control. During the third quarter, we undertook a thorough process to evaluate the economic opportunity for our fleet and decided to permanently retire 300,000 horsepower of pressure pumping equipment. We concluded that in the current market, the cost to reactivated this equipment would be prohibitive and with oversupplied market conditions, the best course of action would be to rationalize this equipment. Any components from this equipment with a remaining value will be used as parts to support our active equipment.We believe this equipment rationalization will optimize our fleet in a manner that is capital efficient. More importantly, we believe that equipment rationalization provides a path to improving utilization in returns for the entire industry. Our remaining fleet of 1.3 million frac horsepower is more than capable of undertaking today's most challenging completion jobs in an efficient manner. We believe that the write-down and retirement of horsepower by a number of companies in the industry, along with the Q4 stabilization in the rig count and expected slight increase in the rig count in early 2020 is positive for pressure pumping market over the long term.Turning now to directional drilling. Excluding $17 million of write-offs, third quarter gross margin was $7.8 million with revenues of $47 million. For the fourth quarter, we expect directional drilling revenues of $39 million with the gross profit margin of $8 million. Outside of unusual items, percent margin in this business has increased steadily over the last year.Within our directional drilling segment, I would like to call out the success of Superior QC, our real-time data analytics and survey correction business. The market for survey correction has increased despite the falling rig count in 2019, as customer adoption of this technology has increased. This month, Superior QC surpassed a major milestone with remote data analytics services on more than 100 rigs.Over the past year, Superior QC has provided survey correction for nearly 1,400 wells or more than 25 million feet of wellbore. The technology behind Superior QC survey correction software is being incorporated into our forthcoming bit guidance and drilling automation offerings. Leveraging this technology to help Patterson-UTI further differentiate itself from other peers without similar technology offerings.Turning now to our other operations, which includes our rental technology and E&P businesses. In our Warrior Rig Technologies business, we made the decision during the third quarter to transition away from our engineering and manufacturing efforts in Calgary. This decision resulted in a $12.4 million charge in direct operating cost as well as a $2.2 million of severance expense in SG&A. Excluding these charges, the gross profit margin for our other operations during the third quarter were $6.4 million on revenues of $25.7 million. For the fourth quarter, we expect operational results similar to the third quarter.With that, I will now turn the call back to Mark for his concluding remarks.