Andy Hendricks
Analyst · Simmons & Company. Please go ahead. Your line is open
Thanks Mark. First I’d like to say that our hearts go out to the families and colleagues that were impacted by the accident in Oklahoma. Our primary efforts have been focused on providing support for the families. Turning now to our business in the fourth quarter, in contract drilling despite widespread concerns of an industry wide drop in the rig count during the fourth quarter, our rig count proved resilient and rebounded during the quarter. Even with the typical holiday related slowdown in Canada our rig count ended the year near the highest level of 2017. Our average rig count for the fourth quarter was 161 rigs and we have seen some strength in the rig count in early 2013 such that our rig count average 165 in January. Averaged rig margin per day for the fourth quarter increased $280 sequentially to $8010 that $630 increase in average rig revenue per day offset a $350 increase in average rig operating costs per day. Average rig revenue per day of $20,950 was better than expected as the market for super spec rigs remains tight. Average rig operating costs per day of $12,940 increased as expected from an unusually low level in the third quarter. At December 31, we had term contracts for drilling rigs providing for approximately $540 million of future day rate drilling revenue, an increase of approximately $70 million from $470 million at September 30. This increase in our backlog was a function of both an increase in the number of rigs under term contracts, as well as higher average term day rates. Based on contracts currently in place, we expect an average of 96 rigs operating under a term contract during the first quarter and an average of 67 rigs operating under term contracts during 2018. Turning now to our outlook as mentioned, we are seeing further strength in our rig count and the market for super-spec rigs remains tight. We estimate there approximately 550 super-spec rigs in the industry in the U.S. with utilization likely exceeding 95%. Within our own fleet, we have 130 super-spec rigs of which 98% have contracts. We completed the seven previously announced rig upgrades to APEX-XK all of which are currently working. The APEX-XK continues to be one of the most modern land rig designs in the industry and the rig of choice for many of our customers. Additionally, we've also seen customer interest in incremental APEX-PK rigs. As such we have customer contracts to support upgrades on five additional rigs, two of which will become APEX-XK rigs and three will become APEX-PK rigs. All these rigs are expected to be delivered in the first half of 2018. Given these upgrades, as well as the reactivation of additional rigs, we expect our rig count for the first quarter will average 169 rigs. With an increasing proportion of super-spec rigs, as well as the favorable repricing of short-term contracts, average rig revenue per day is expected to increase sequentially by approximately $300 in the first quarter average. Average rig operating cost per day is expected to be higher in the first quarter due in large part to the typical first quarter increase in payroll taxes. For the first quarter we expect average rig margin per day of approximately $7700. Turning now to pressure pumping. During the fourth quarter pressure pumping revenues increased 12% sequentially to $407 million. Gross margin was $83 million or 20.4% of pressure pumping revenues, an increase from 0.9% in the third quarter. While revenue growth for the fourth quarter exceeded our expectations, gross margin did not improve as much as expected and still has room to improve. In order for us to fully benefit from the expected strength in our pressure pumping, we have several initiatives underway. First, we are working to optimize our average spread size in order to gain an extra active spread from already active equipment. We ended 2017 with 1.25 million horsepower active comprising 23 spreads. Early in the second quarter we expect to go to 24 active spreads with the same 1.25 million horsepower. Second, we plan to reposition two active spreads out of the Mid-Continent region to more profitable markets. Finally assuming demand remains a strong as expected, we plan to reactivate additional spreads from our currently idle equipment later in the year. Turning now to our outlook for the first quarter. Pressure pumping revenues are expected to be down slightly to approximately $400 million. This decrease is due in part to the weather as we estimate weather related downtime in January alone negatively impacted first quarter revenues by approximately $9 million. Despite this revenue decrease, pressure pumping gross margin is expected to increase by approximately $5 million in the first quarter. Turning now to Directional Drilling. We completed the acquisition of MS Directional on October 11, and as such fourth quarter results include 81 days of post-acquisition contribution from MS. For the fourth quarter Directional Drilling contributed $45.6 million of revenues with a gross margin of 29.4%. For the first quarter we expect Directional Drilling will contribute approximately $47 million of revenues with a gross margin of 28%. Before I turn the call back to Mark for his concluding remarks, let me provide an update on several other financial matters. Our other operations include Great Plains Oilfield Rentals, Warrior Rig Technology and our E&P business. For the first quarter we expect other operations to generate revenues of approximately $21 million with the gross margin of 17%. For all of Patterson UTI, depreciation expense for the first quarter is expected to be approximately $205 million. SG&A for the first quarter is expected to be $32 million excluding expenses related to the accident in Oklahoma. We are still assessing the financial impact of the accident in Oklahoma, but we want to share the following based on what we know at this time. We maintain insurance coverage of types and amounts that we believe to be customary in the industry, including but not limited to Worker's Compensation, Employer's Liability, General Liability and Equipment coverage. While we care collision insurance coverage, we were not aware at this time of any meaningful environmental impact from the accident. Based on the information we have available at this time, we believe that we have adequate insurance to cover any losses excluding the applicable insurance deductibles and expenses related to the investigation. This expectation is preliminary and subject to information that may become available after today. Moving on to taxes for the fourth quarter, our effective tax rate exclusive of the benefit from the re-evaluation of our deferred tax items was 25.8%. Please remember that as our pre -tax earnings approach breakeven, relatively small items have the potential to have an outsized impact on our effective tax rate. Based our current understanding and recent interpretations of the new tax law, we are currently projecting our effective tax rate to be approximately 28% for 2018. During the fourth quarter, we spent approximately $237 million on CapEx, bringing our full year 2017 CapEx to $567 million. With the increasing rig count and activity levels we expect for both drilling and pressure pumping in 2018, our CapEx budget for 2018 is approximately $675 million comprised of $330 million for drilling, $260 million for pressure pumping, $40 million for directional drilling and $45 million for other operations and general corporate CapEx. We expect to generate strong free cash flow in 2018. The $330 million of CapEx spend for drilling includes approximately $130 million for maintenance with the remainder budgeted for growth opportunities, including rig upgrades and reactivation. We are not budgeting for any new builds in 2018, but this budget allows for 12 major rig upgrades for delivery in 2018, of which 3 were previously announced. Of these 12 rigs, one has already been delivered and another five are already contracted and scheduled for delivery in the first half of 2008. The remaining six provides optionality to deploy additional super spec rigs into what we believe will be a strong rig market during the second half of this year. In addition to the major upgrades, we have budgeted for additional upgrades including 7500 PSI, high pressure circulating systems, locking systems, larger diameter drill pipe, as well as additional mode times and generators as we need to grow and demand for super-spec rigs. The $260 million for pressure pumping is budgeted primarily for maintenance and spread reactivation. At this point we do not have plans to add incremental horsepower to our fleet. The $40 million for directional drilling is primarily growth CapEx as we expand our fleet of drilling motors and MWD equipment to keep pace with the growing market for directional drilling. With that, I will now turn the call back to Mark for his concluding remarks.