Earnings Labs

PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT)

Q4 2017 Earnings Call· Sat, Oct 28, 2017

$154.61

-0.59%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to PriceSmart, Inc.'s Earnings Release Conference Call for the Fourth Quarter of Fiscal Year 2017, the three-month period ending on August 31, 2017. All participants are currently in a listen-only mode. After remarks from Jose Luis Laparte, PriceSmart's President and Chief Executive Officer; and John Heffner, PriceSmart's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, you will be given an opportunity to ask questions as time permits. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded on Friday, October 27, 2017. A digital replay will be available through November 3, 2017, following the conclusion of the call by dialing 877-344-7529 for domestic callers or 412-317-0088 for international callers, and entering replay access code 10112016. I would now like to turn the conference over to John Heffner. Please go ahead, sir.

John M. Heffner

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Thank you, Austin, and welcome to our earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year of fiscal year 2017. We will be discussing the information that we provided in our earnings press release and our 10-K, both of which we released yesterday, October 26, 2017. You can find our press release and the 10-K filing on our Web-site, www.pricesmart.com. Please note that statements made during this call may contain forward-looking statements concerning the Company's anticipated future plans, revenues and related matters. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements containing the words expect, believe, will, may, should, estimate and similar expressions. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risks detailed in the Company's annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended August 31, 2017, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 26, 2017. We assume no obligation and expressly disclaim any duty to update any forward-looking statements to reflect the occurrence of events or circumstances which may arise after the date of this call. Now I will turn this over to Jose Luis Laparte, PriceSmart's President and Chief Executive Officer.

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Good morning and thank you for joining our earnings call for the fourth quarter and the full fiscal year 2017. The Company reported sales for the quarter of $711 million, a growth of 3.6% from Q4 of last year, and net income of $19.8 million for an earnings per share in the current quarter of $0.64. This compares to $0.74 per share a year ago when we indicated that the beneficial impact of certain tax related items reduced our effective tax rate and favorably contributed approximately $0.06 per diluted share to our results in that comparable quarter. For the full fiscal year, warehouse sales were $2.91 billion, a growth of 3.2%, with earnings per share of $2.98 compared to $2.92 in fiscal year 2016. We saw a reduction of operating profit in the quarter in both our Central America and Caribbean segments compared to a year ago, largely related to lower sales in our largest market in each of those segments, Costa Rica in Central America and Trinidad in the Caribbean. The other hand, Colombia continued to outperform with sales growth of nearly 21% and operating profit improvement of $2.7 million, from a loss last year of $1.2 million in Q4 to an operating profit this year of $1.54 million. The fourth quarter also had higher expenses, which were recorded in corporate G&A, associated with a specific initiative that we are focused on to drive growth and efficiency in the future but have near-term costs. I will address some of those initiatives in my later remarks. Let me begin with warehouse sales. The 3.6% growth in total sales for the quarter was all driven by a higher number of transactions. The average ticket was essentially flat from a year ago. In Colombia, we saw a strong sales of 20.7% compared…

John M. Heffner

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Thank you, Jose Luis. Let me cover a few additional items. Total gross margins in the period included the effect of the current period lease costs for space in the vacated Miami distribution center that has not been sublet. The impact in the quarter was approximately $450,000 or about 6 basis points of margin, which included a termination fee for 65,000 square feet of space, which we returned to the landlord. We now have about 140,000 square feet remaining of the original 260,000 square feet, with a monthly carrying expense of about $90,000. Overall, for the fourth quarter, net warehouse club margins declined 17 basis points from a year ago, although they were higher by 61 basis points from the prior quarter Q3. Colombia margins were again higher than the year-earlier period by 154 basis points, while Central America and Caribbean margins were lower by 36 basis points and 13 basis points respectively. As Jose Luis mentioned, a number of the investments that we have associated with future initiatives resulted in higher spending in general and administrative expenses in Q4 compared to a year ago. We would expect to operate at somewhat above this – at or above this level of G&A spending throughout fiscal year 2018, as we develop the technologies and capabilities we believe are essential for our future. Compared to Q4 of last year, we had less interest income due to lower cash balances on deposit and higher interest expense largely as a result of the debt associated with the acquisition of the Miami distribution center in Q2. Foreign exchange transactions and the revaluation of monetary assets and liabilities resulted in a $394,000 currency gain in the quarter compared to $119,000 gain in Q4 last year. We continue to face liquidity issues in Trinidad, but have been…

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

John, let me add that I am very appreciative of John's many contributions to the growth and success of PriceSmart. He and I joined the Company at about the same time and have worked together closely over the years. I will miss John's counsel and leadership, but I fully respect his decision and I'm happy for him as he makes plans to move on to his next life stage. It is important that we have an uneventful transition as we continue to grow the Company and execute on our many plans and initiatives. John will continue to play an important role in that process over the coming months. Thank you, John. With that, we will be happy to take your questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ronald Bookbinder with IFS Securities. Please go ahead.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

So, on the cannibalization in Costa Rica, you mentioned 75 to 100 basis point impact. Is that on a Company-wide comp or is that just on the Costa Rican comp?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

That's on the total Company comp or on the Company-wide, yes.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. And on sort of the slowing in Costa Rica, you grew on a local currency basis, but is there anything else going on there, any competitors or how is traffic versus ticket, how should [indiscernible] about Costa Rica?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Yes, let me tell you, Ron, I don't think there is any increase or any difference in competition in that particular market. It's pretty much the same. I think we have been competing for the last few years with the same guys and we haven't really noticed a big increase in competition in that specific market. In terms of our – the economy seems to be a little soft, no question, and obviously the impact of slight exchange rate or a slight devaluation shows better results in local currency. Our transactions are actually not trending bad at all. They are actually up, and we're up about 2% on transactions in that market. So it is more a result of a little bit less spending from the members in general terms. But as I mentioned, [obviously] [ph], and the reflection of our seventh opening in that market demonstrates our commitment, and things hopefully will get better in the economy for us to keep growing our base there.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. And on the G&A, the increased spending as you build out the technology, you said that it should be at or above the current levels. Are you talking about as a percent of revenue or on an absolute dollar basis? Could you just give us a little more color as to what that means?

John M. Heffner

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Yes. It was driven more on an absolute dollar basis. I think the G&A for the quarter, I don't know if I have it right here, about $18 million or something like that, and it will sort of run in that or slightly above that over time. We had about $800,000 to $900,000 of that type of technology and innovation spending in the quarter, of Q4. It will probably increase a little bit from there. We indicated $3 million to $5 million incrementally for the year. So $5 million over four quarters would be a little more than the $800,000 in any individual quarter.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. And then just lastly, you guys, your model, as you ramp up revenue and you leverage SG&A, you usually cut price, lowering gross margin. With this technology spend for the next year or two, should we think that you're not going to be so aggressive on cutting price and squeezing gross margin because we're going to see increased G&A?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

No, Ron. This is Jose Luis. I definitely don't think – that's not our plan at all. We want to continue being aggressive. It's the concept of our business model. It is what makes us obviously a value for our members, and that's what makes the members pay the membership and get those renewals. So we don't want to punish, I guess to some degree, the members because of that. I think we have to work through this gear of investment and obviously do the right things for the long run, and we definitely are not looking at any changes, dramatic changes at all in the margin results, no.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Okay, thank you very much, and good luck going forward.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Rodrigo Echagaray with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Rodrigo Echagaray

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

John, good luck on this new phase, we wish you the best and thanks for your time at the Company. My question is with regards to the gross margin impact from the carrying cost on the DC. Can you just, I think I might have missed it, I think you said about $90,000 carrying cost per month, and is that right?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Yes, it is correct. It is a $90,000 a month carrying expense, Rodrigo.

Rodrigo Echagaray

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Okay, and when do we lap that, when do we see that moderating, would that be until Q3?

John M. Heffner

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

That assumes – I mean, $90,000 assumes we don't have any more subleasing. So we're currently active in trying to sublease the additional space that we have there. But if we don't do anything, it would be $90,000 a month. So, with some luck, we will see that reduced. When you say lap that, I guess we vacated that space in probably March of last year, I think?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Yes, March of this 2017.

John M. Heffner

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Yes, 2017. So I guess we will anniversary, whatever that is, in March or April of next year. Hopefully, at that point it would be less than $90,000 a month because we'll have been successful in subletting more space.

Rodrigo Echagaray

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Right, it makes sense. And then just lastly, I guess congratulations on the Colombia results. I mean, I'm looking at my models here, and essentially at least as of Q2, every single retailer in Colombia has negative same-store sales and nominal. So the fact that you guys are able to grow in that context, that means that the format is working extremely well. And I just wonder, how do you think about when you compare your numbers versus the competition, obviously the currency has stabilized, does that – I mean, you were saying it gets you more excited on the Colombia opportunity, but does that change your overall estimate on potential returns in Colombia and maybe in that region, maybe Peru, given that we have a better macro?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Yes. I would say, Rodrigo, that definitely we are also excited, as I mentioned, with the results of Colombia. I think it took us [indiscernible] the devaluation was very difficult especially for a new player like us to absorb, especially given our high content of imports, I think we passed that. It was a very challenging year, fiscal year 2016. I think now things are stable with the currency, and as you mentioned, the business model, the format is well-accepted in the country. It seems that it's not different from not only from the PriceSmart countries, but other countries where club business operates. And I think that's good. It's good to see that. I think also that other retailers learn how to play with us. We're going to continue being aggressive, as I mentioned, in trying to find more locations, especially in the big cities, say Bogota, Medellin are cities where we believe there is good opportunity. It doesn't change – I think at this point we're not necessarily changing our strategy. We have always believed since the beginning that we wanted to keep growing in that particular market and especially in those big cities. And in relation to other countries, we definitely do recognize that there might be an opportunity. We don't have anything official. We have just been studying a few of the potential countries where this concept can be accepted, but nothing at this point that we can be talking about, no. It is basically just business as usual at this point, but obviously happy with the results in Colombia. It was challenging, as you mentioned, for a lot of retailers and we were able to come up with a good performance for fiscal year 2017.

Rodrigo Echagaray

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Thanks, and just lastly on dividends, I mean you obviously generated a lot of cash and have a solid balance sheet, any thoughts on that in terms of maybe when would you announce the next year's dividend or any thoughts on how you're looking at your balance sheet? You had a big spend in last fiscal year with the distribution center that you will not have next year. So it would seem like the cash may accumulate faster at the current pace of growth in terms of openings.

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Yes. I will say, Rodrigo, that at this point we don't foresee anything. Of course, it will be discussed at the next Board meeting coming up in January when we do the review of the first quarter, and our shareholders' meeting, but nothing at this point that we have been discussing on dividends.

John M. Heffner

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Yes, really if I can add to that, Rodrigo, is that we've mentioned before we don't have a firm dividend policy as a Company and it is considered by the Board in the January meeting each year. Historically, that's when we have made our dividend declaration, and I would see no difference this year as well.

Rodrigo Echagaray

Analyst · Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Jon Braatz with Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

John, best of luck in retirement. We'll miss you.

John M. Heffner

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Jose, returning to Colombia, did I hear you correctly say that Colombian comps were about 4.6% or 5%, something like that, in the quarter?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

For the quarter, including the cannibalization that Salitre had, we ended with a 4.4% comp in Colombia for the quarter. And for the year, we were up in comp, 10%, 4.4% for the quarter and 10% for the year.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Okay. That looked like a deacceleration from the prior quarters. Was there anything specific in Colombia that might account for that?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

No, I think it's just the behavior that we're catching up with the years. Obviously, the beginning of the year, we had – back in 2016, we had more of the impact of the devaluation. So that's what caused the main difference on the numbers being a little higher. Obviously, we knew that at some point they were going to get more normalized. We actually had a good start in the month of September with some clubs like Salitre that is again in double digit now with the effect of the Chia cannibalization gone, and even Medellin growing double digit in September. So we're going to see I think, Jon, a good combination of still probably close to – we would like to continue having close to double-digit comps in that market, assuming the currency helps us, which seems to be right now pretty much equal to what it was last year.

John M. Heffner

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

I would add one more thing, if I could, Jon, the Chia will not be in our externally reported comp until November. While we've anniversaried the opening, the way we [indiscernible] that, it will be in November will be the first month that this cannibalization will not be there.

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Yes, in external reports, correct.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Right, right. John, have you been able to, for tax purposes in Colombia, used your tax loss carryforwards yet?

John M. Heffner

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

To some degree, we have, but not all of them. So yes, we have been able to use those a bit over the last year.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Okay. To the degree that you could fully use them, would that have a meaningful impact on your overall tax rate?

John M. Heffner

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

No, I don't think it will have a meaningful impact. It will certainly help it, but no, will not have a meaningful impact.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Okay, all right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Patricio Danziger with RWC. Please go ahead.

Patricio Danziger

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

Just wanted to understand a little bit more if you can elaborate on the innovation that you mentioned that you're spending more money in innovation, I mean what are you doing there and what is the cost of that?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

As I mentioned, Patricio, the concept I guess, we created a committee from the Board of Directors and we started creating a team that we call it actually innovation team, and the idea for that team, and as we mentioned in the 10-K and I mentioned here in the call, we are looking at a possible investment. We look at this as an investment, but obviously we'll see that we're going to probably be spending for the full year maybe between $3 million to $5 million. And the idea is to invest more and to learn more about what we can do in this omni-channel and online market. We did discontinue, as I mentioned, the efforts that we had before with the electronic international catalog. We used to have an operation online where we were only serving international catalog, meaning items brought from the States to the countries. We discontinued that. And although we learned a lot, we knew it wasn't the direction we wanted to go. So we're now looking at how we see that we can better integrate our traditional brick-and-mortar warehouse clubs with the new trends of online shopping. And obviously we want to create this omni-channel experience for our members, which is where pretty much a lot of the concepts are also going in retail and in the States. So that's the effort of that innovation team, to see how we see that we can come up with new ideas, and obviously this team is working with the regular team of operators and buying and logistics, which are an important part for these initiatives. But that is in general the concept of this innovation team or the plan for this innovation team going forward.

Patricio Danziger

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

Fantastic. And as a follow-up question to that, so DC is basically cost in salaries, correct, and how much was it this quarter?

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

There's a little bit more than just salaries. There are some investments and we're going to see more in licenses and things like that. We're looking at launching a new platform, replacing our old platform that we have before. So there will be additional spending besides salaries for sure. So in that number, $3 million to $5 million we have a component of different things, not only salaries. We're going to start seeing some depreciation. We're going to start seeing investments from different things, consulting. I mean, it's going to be of the different things, Patricio, to make it a right way.

Patricio Danziger

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

Fantastic. And this $3 million to $5 million, is $3 million to $5 million one time or is this yearly $3 million to $5 million?

John M. Heffner

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

I think it's always sort of looked at for this year and what the Board – with the plans that we brought to the Board for this fiscal year. It would not be unreasonable to think that this would continue to some level. But I don't think we would be sort of done, if you will, with this evolving market in how to best serve our members going forward. So I wouldn't cap it as a one-time expense. That's just certainly what we've sort of understood for how we see things working right now.

Patricio Danziger

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

Sounds good. And if I may ask a second question, I understand that you have 39 stores as of August 31. I mean, if you can tell us a little bit more of on how many stores you announced on openings and how many stores you plan to open in the next months? Thank you.

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

For the remaining of the fiscal year, for sure we have the one that is under construction in San Isidro, Dominican Republic. That will be our number 41 because we opened in October just a few days ago, 20 days ago, we opened Santa Ana, Costa Rica. So we will finish the fiscal year with 41. And definitely we are looking at – but we have plans, but nothing official to report, but we are trying to add more clubs in the pipeline, but we haven't started construction on any other projects. So basically for the remaining of the fiscal year, we will only have that one, San Isidro. As soon as we have more, Patricio, we will be releasing that information on potential projects or whenever we acquire property. We're looking for permits in different properties around different countries, so hopefully we will be able to announce those soon.

Patricio Danziger

Analyst · RWC. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you very much, guys.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to John Heffner for any closing remarks.

John M. Heffner

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Thank you, Austin, for helping us out today. So this ends our call. I want to thank everyone on the line for participating with us today. Have a good rest of the day and a nice weekend.

Jose Luis Laparte

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.