Chad Swanson
Analyst · Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets
Thanks, Gene. Let's start on Slide 9. Prasinezumab is a humanized IgG1 monoclonal antibody designed to selectively bind aggregated forms of alpha-synuclein to reduce neurotoxicity and slow disease progression of Parkinson's disease by blocking further accumulation and propagation of these toxic aggregates. Based on the consistent results from 2 Phase II clinical trials, PADOVA and PASADENA and our open-label extensions, our partner, Roche, made the decision to advance prasinezumab to Phase III, bringing this potential first disease-modifying therapy one step closer to patients. In fact, Roche made this decision based on a number of important questions. First, is there an unmet need? Yes, there are over 10 million patients globally, and it is the fastest-growing neurodegenerative disease with no approved disease-modifying therapies to slow progression. Second, does it address the foundational target? Yes, alpha-synuclein is a known biological driver of PD progression and the clinical evidence to date demonstrates efficacy potential and supports a favorable safety and tolerability profile. Third, is there a meaningful therapeutic differentiation? Yes. The totality of data suggests clear evidence of delayed motor progression even on top of the standard symptomatic treatment levodopa. And finally, is there a strong commercial rationale? Yes, Roche believes prasinezumab represents a global peak sales opportunity greater than $3.5 million. For Prothena, our deal includes up to $620 million in potential future milestone payments and sales royalties tiered to high-teen percentages. In the fourth quarter of 2025, Roche initiated the Phase III PARAISO clinical trial, which will enroll approximately 900 participants with early Parkinson's disease with primary completion expected in 2029. Moving on to Slide 10. This is an important data set from the Phase IIb PADOVA trial, which Roche presented at ADPD 2025. Here, they show progression on the MDS-UPDRS Part III scale from baseline, which is used to measure disease progression on motor symptoms. This figure shows the results for an exploratory endpoint looking at the subset of participants, approximately 75% of the trial population were on stable levodopa treatment comparing 24 months of prasinezumab treatment versus placebo. What we see is a 40% relative reduction in progression with a nominal p-value of 0.0177 on this exploratory endpoint. These were very important results as they were used to further optimize aspects of the Phase III PARAISO trial design. On Slide 11, let's review key aspects of the Phase III protocol that were optimized to increase the relative probability of successful outcome. First, increased patient population. The Phase III trial is evaluating 900 patients, whereas the Phase IIb PADOVA trial enrolled 586 patients. Second, all patients in the Phase III trial are required to be on stable symptomatic treatment with levodopa. In the prior Phase IIb PADOVA trial, the approximately 75% of patients on levodopa treatment were nominally statistically significant on the primary outcome and exploratory endpoint shown on the previous slide. Third, the duration of the Phase III trial is a minimum of 24 months versus 18 months in the prior Phase IIb PADOVA trial. In the PADOVA trial, the patients who are on treatment for at least 24 months had greater separation from placebo on the exploratory endpoint shown on the previous slide. We believe Roche will continue to communicate clinical results from its completed Phase II trials and ongoing open-label extensions at upcoming medical conferences. We look forward to the primary completion of the Phase III PARAISO trial expected in 2029. Moving to coramitug on Slide 12, potential first-in-class amyloid depleter antibody for the treatment of ATTR cardiomyopathy being developed by Novo Nordisk. ATTR-CM is a rare, progressive and potentially fatal disease characterized by deposition of abnormal non-native forms of transthyretin amyloid in vital organs. Coramitug is thought to deplete both the positive amyloid and circulating non-native TTR to prevent further deposition and to improve organ function. This mechanism of action has the potential to provide benefit for all ATTR-CM patients, even those patients currently receiving treatment with a stabilizer or silencer. Novo Nordisk completed its Phase II clinical trial evaluating coramitug in ATTR-CM in 2025 and presented those positive results in a late-breaking session at the American Heart Association's 2025 Scientific Session with a simultaneous publication in the journal circulation. The results demonstrated reductions in NT-proBNP and echocardiogram improvement suggested of cardiac remodeling, all with a favorable safety profile. It's important to note that these results were demonstrated on top of standard of care with over 80% of patients across coramitug and placebo controlled arms receiving concomitant TTR stabilizers. Based on these results, Novo Nordisk initiated a Phase III CLEOPATTRA trial, which is intended to enroll approximately 1,280 ATTR-CM patients, primary completion expected in 2029. Based on peak sales estimates for the currently approved ATTR-CM drug, we believe that coramitug represents a multibillion-dollar market opportunity, allowing Prothena to potentially capture future milestone payments of up to an additional $1.13 billion. Let's review the Phase II results on Slide 13. This was a 12-month 105-patient Phase II trial randomized to placebo, 10 milligram per kilogram coramitug or 60 mg per kg coramitug. The co-primary endpoints were change from baseline versus placebo and NT-proBNP in the 6-minute walk test. The 60 mg per kg dose of coramitug resulted in a statistically significant reduction in NT-proBNP versus placebo with a 48% difference and a p-value equal to 0.0017. In addition, coramitug actually reduced NT-proBNP below baseline values in the 60-milligram per kilogram group. For the 6-minute walk test, the 60 mg per kg coramitug group demonstrated an encouraging numerical improvement but was not statistically significant, likely due to small sample size and short study duration. Additional analyses included a wide range of echocardiogram parameters, including measure of left and right ventricular systolic function, diastolic function and estimated pulmonary arterial pressures. Across these measures, coramitug at 60 mg per kg was associated with improvement compared to placebo suggested of cardiac remodeling. These results were the basis for advancing coramitug Phase III. As we see in Slide 14, the Phase III CLEOPATTRA trial is anticipated to enroll approximately 1,280 ATTR-CM patients randomized 1:1 to coramitug plus standard of care, placebo plus standard of care. The trial is available to New York Heart Association Class 1 through 4 patients with some additional inclusion/exclusion criteria. The primary endpoint is a composite endpoint of either the number of cardiovascular deaths or recurrent cardiovascular events such as hospitalization or an urgent heart failure visit. We look forward to the primary completion of the Phase III CLEOPATTRA trial expected in 2029. Moving on. Let's now discuss BMS-986446 on Slide 15. This is our potential first-in-class anti-tau antibody being developed by Bristol Myers Squibb. BMS-986446 was specifically designed to target key epitope within the microtubule binding region or MTBR of tau, protein implicated in the causal pathophysiology of Alzheimer's. Tau tangles along with amyloid beta plaques are core hallmarks of Alzheimer's pathology and tau is strongly linked to clinical and cognitive decline. To date, BMS-986446 has completed its Phase I MAD in sales as well as an open-label single-dose trial to assess the subcutaneous formulation. In addition, BMS-986446 was granted Fast Track designation by the U.S. FDA for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease. Bristol Myers Squibb completed enrollment in the ongoing Phase II TargetTau-1 clinical trial in approximately 310 patients with early Alzheimer's in 2025, and we expect study completion in the first half of 2027. Alzheimer's disease represents a multibillion-dollar market opportunity. And in our partnership with BMS, we have the potential to earn up to an additional $562.5 million in future milestones as well as tiered sales royalties up to high teens percentages on a weighted average basis. Slide 16 illustrates the various areas where antibodies have been developed to target tau. Tau is a large protein comprised of approximately 440 amino acids in some forms with multiple phosphorylation sites, truncation sites and multiple splice variants. One of the long-standing challenges in the field has been how to best target the tau protein in order to provide functional benefit in the context of disease. We took an approach called empirical epitope mapping in order to identify an antibody that delivered consistent robust effects. This work led us to target the MTBR domain, which was the only area that satisfied our internal requirements. The field has since clarified that MTBR domain is central to fibropmation, feeding and cell-to-cell transmission of tau pathology. MTBR-tau-243 has been shown to be highly correlated tau-PET and disease progression. In preclinical studies, MTBR-targeting antibodies demonstrated blocking of internalization and spread of tau, leading to the reduction of tau pathology. Ongoing Phase II clinical trials, including the Phase II TargetTau-1 for our partner, BMS, are underway. A different anti-MTBR-tau antibody recently demonstrated positive trends on biomarkers, including MTBR-tau-243 and tau PET in a small number of patients. Slide 17 highlights the Phase II TargetTau-1 trial design, which enrolled approximately 310 patients with early Alzheimer's disease, randomized 433 and placebo low-dose BMS-986446 and high-dose BMS-986446, respectively. The primary endpoint is change from baseline in brain tau deposition as measured by tau PET at 76 weeks with secondary endpoints measuring functional and cognitive changes, including CDR sum of boxes and iADRS. We are excited to learn the results from this Phase II trial with primary completion expected in the first half of 2027. And finally, I'll briefly review PRX019 on Slide 18. For our agreement with Bristol Myers Squibb, we are conducting the Phase I trial, both single ascending and multiple doses evaluating safety, tolerability, immunogenicity, PK and pharmacodynamic effect. We expect to complete the trial in 2026 and are eligible for a potential milestone for BMS decide to further develop PRX019. In total, we have the potential to earn up to $617.5 million in future milestones, tiered sales royalties up to high teen percentages. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Phil Dolan to discuss our wholly-owned preclinical portfolio.