Arun Menawat
Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open
Thank you, Rashed. Beginning with our financial performance, our recurring revenue continues to meet expectations and was the sole driver of this quarter’s revenue increase compared to Q4 2021. We reported no capital equipment sales for the quarter largely due to continued COVID-19 related headwinds in select markets such as Japan and China. While we do not believe this is representative of the future, we cannot predict when international capital sales will resume at or above the rate we have reported in previous quarters. Regardless, our main task is about driving utilization of TULSA in the United States. As you know, it is a game changing technology and the hurdles that we have faced mostly relate to the changes required to instill the new practice of a substantive new technology. We believe that the flywheel of adoption of our technology is finally turning and it will gain speed in 2023. By the end of Q4 2022, the utilization of TULSA began to grow at the rate of about 5% per month. And now with the installed base of 35 systems, we believe that growth rate is sustainable and will likely increase as our urologists continue to gain more experience. Now, that we have done over 3,000 cases, we have also analyzed what type of cases are being done commercially, as that is a critical early indicator of the potential of the adoption of our technology. From the very beginning, we have indicated that our technology has the potential to treat a significant part of the prostate cancer patient population, and now our commercial patient treatment data is proving it. Over 50% of patients being treated with TULSA have prostates larger than 40 CC, and we have treated prostates as large as 250 CC in size covering the full range of the potential patient population. As for the stage of the disease treated, approximately half of the patients we have treated are those with mid-stage disease, but I’m particularly pleased to see that over 30% of patients being treated belong to higher risk categories from grade group 3 up to 5 or very high risk patients, and we have even treated many palliative patients. About 60% of our patients treated received whole gland ablation, about 35% received greater than 50% prostate ablation, but less than whole gland and about 15% received focal ablation, which is less than 50% of the prostate. All the data put together clearly indicates that TULSA can be used to treat a vast majority of the prostate cancer patient population. Bottom line, we believe that the precision of TULSA, which enables our clinicians to treat cases with confidence, the flexibility of TULSA, which allows them to use it for a variety of patient population and our compelling clinical data are all factors that continue to give us confidence in driving widespread adoption of TULSA. 2022 was also an unusual year in certain sense. Dr. Scionti, our first commercial user hardly did any cases in the year as he was busy switching from his own practice to becoming the Chief Urology Officer at HALO Dx. Now that he’s there, he’s looking to start using TULSA again for majority of his cases. He’s also training his colleague at four sites to make TULSA their first line treatment option for prostate cancer. In another situation, our RadNet site, which was slow to start finally finish their first 50 patients. Pleased with their outcomes, they have opened their second site in Arizona, which is off to a very good start. Similarly, a number of sites that were cautious when they started have now completed their first 30 to 50 cases and have confirmed that their clinical outcomes are as good as that in the tech trial or better as they have the flexibility to customize treatment in commercial settings. Generally speaking, these sites are now looking to increase utilization and are open to treating a wider variety of patients. Another growth driver that we are seeing is that the number of teaching sites continue to increase and the teaching sites that have done about 50 cases are adding at least one more urologist to use the technology, which has the potential to increase the overall site usage at that site. Summarizing on the usage of TULSA in the U.S., no doubt it has been tough. But as I mentioned before, the flywheel of adoption is turning in the right direction. As our physicians gain more experience and the number of sites continue to increase, we believe that the adoption rates will increase. The other key main driver of adoption, as you know, is reimbursement. At least 12 of the hospital systems began to use the temporary C-Code approximately in 2022. These sites are also getting payments in the range that they are satisfied with. Our goal is to continue to educate the sites on the proper use of the code, and we find that the sites that are using it has – have a backlog of patients in the approximate range of three to four months. As for the permanent code, the CPT Category 1 code, the next AMA CPT committee meeting is scheduled to be in Chicago from May 4 to May 6, and consideration of the unique TULSA code is on the agenda. According to this agenda, the summary of the results and actions of this meeting will be published on or before June 2. You might recall last year, we pulled back as the utilization data that was submitted reflected only 2021 data, but this year 2022 data is included and we believe that it is substantially higher and sufficient to get over the utilization threshold. Another difference this year is that the application is completely sponsored by the relevant societies, and Profound is not a co-sponsor, which may give more credence to the application and the process. We are now less than two months away from this milestone and a potential major inflection point, and we’re looking forward to discussing it further on the Q1 analyst call in early May. In addition to the progress we have made in driving utilization of TULSA in U.S., and on the revised filing of the CPT code application, we’ve also made progress on the clinical front. We expect at least three additional substantive publications this year in peer-reviewed journals, as well as at least eight podium presentations at relevant conferences, including the AUA. Four podium presentations regarding TULSA took place earlier this week at the Society of Interventional Radiology Annual Meeting. Our CAPTAIN trial recruitment continues and we remain confident that preliminary results from this prospective randomized comparative trial with radical prostatectomy can be announced in early 2025, which will coincide with the effectiveness of the permanent CPT code if approved. Increasing utilization of TULSA in U.S., achieving approval of the permanent CPT code and continued recruitment in CAPTAIN trial remain the main agenda of our company. I’m also pleased to tell you that we have submitted our first TULSA AI software to the FDA for clearance. I encourage you to visit our website that describes this product in our updated corporate presentation that was posted a few minutes ago. I know that AI has become a big buzzword in the recent past. Our program is more than two years old, and it is designed to have the specific purpose of improving TULSA treatment planning times, as well as making it a continuous learning system. As I mentioned before, we have a significant amount of image-based patient data. We have set over 54 million parameters from over 7,000 images into our AI engine, along with validated 1,300 treatment plans that were manually produced by our expert physicians to treat their patients. The TULSA AI is now an add-on software module that can be added to TULSA-PRO, and the module has the ability to produce suggested treatment design based upon its learning from the database. The suggested design is primarily about saving treatment planning time, but given that it is based upon prior successful treatments, it also gives our urologist additional confidence in the automated plan. We have reviewed the module with the FDA and have received clear guidelines as to what it will take to achieve clearance, which include testing for alignment of the suggested design with physician treatment plan on a prospective basis. We believe this is doable by summer this year, at which point we will submit the final data sets to the FDA for approval. We’re very excited about the first AI product as this internally developed capability will serve us to make TULSA a continuous learning system as we automate various aspects of the TULSA-PRO system as well as the patient care continuum. Summarizing, we believe that the flywheel of TULSA-PRO adoption is accelerating at the rate of 5% per month growth and we will [indiscernible] in the second half of the year. We also believe that achieving an install base of 55 [ph] systems in the United States by end of 2023 is very possible. We look forward to reporting on the progress of the application of the category one CPT code, which we believe will be a major inflection point for our company. We expect that the CAPTAIN trial, which is already recruiting at a pace faster than any other comparative trial in prostate cancer, will continue to recruit at a good pace to enable preliminary results in early 2025. And finally, we are excited about our TULSA AI initiative. If cleared by the FDA later this year, it has the potential to not only significantly reduce treatment planning time, but also give our clinicians substantial added confidence further driving adoption. This ends our prepared remarks for today. With that, Rashed and I are happy to take any questions you might have. Operator?