Edward Goldberg
Analyst · UBS
Thanks, Haitham. Before I address the quarter, I'll briefly touch on 2 high-level topics, primarily for the benefit of new investors who aren't as familiar with Perimeter. First, I'll briefly summarize the long-term growth framework for our Fire Safety business, starting with volume growth. Using the 5-year trailing average, U.S. acres burned excluding Alaska, have increased approximately 5% per year over the past 25 years from a 5-year trailing average of approximately 2 million acres in 1995 to a 5-year trailing average of approximately 7.3 million acres in 2021. Assuming this trend continues, we expect this mid-single-digit growth in the U.S. acres burned, excluding Alaska, to form the baseline for growth in Perimeter's retardant volumes. In addition to growth in acres, we've also experienced consistent historical growth in retardant use per acre. This is due to a combination of factors, namely an increasing wildland-urban interface that puts more lives and property at risk from wildfires, a behavioral shift by our customers toward more aggressive initial aerial attack and a larger air tanker fleet. We generally expect these trends to continue going forward, and we, therefore, expect to continue to grow retardant used per acre in addition to the growth in acres burned. Finally, we expect to grow our international volume faster than our U.S. volume as more countries build out aerial attack capability and become Perimeter customers. In conclusion and looking forward, combining our expectations for: one, increasing acres burned; two, increasing retardant use per acre; and three, our strong growth in our international markets, we expect to deliver high to mid-single-digit annual volume growth in our Fire Safety business. In addition to mid- to high single-digit volume growth, we expect to deliver consistent price growth in our Fire Safety business to reflect the increasing value we provide to our customers. The next high-level topic I'll address is the typical quarterly cadence within each of our 2 businesses, starting with Fire Safety. The first quarter is typically our smallest quarter in Fire Safety and one in which the business typically produces modestly negative adjusted EBITDA. The next smallest Fire Safety quarter is typically in the fourth quarter. Q4 is usually notably larger than the first quarter and is typically adjusted EBITDA positive, but it is [indiscernible] modest relative to the full year. The second and third quarters are our most significant Fire Safety quarters as they capture the heart of the fire season in the majority of our markets. Note that the third quarter is typically significantly larger than the second quarter as it typically captures the heart of the North America fire season. Oil Additives, on the other hand, typically operates at a steady quarterly cadence. Quarterly variations in the Oil Additives business are primarily tied to the timing of customers' annual maintenance-related facility outages. Specifically, if several of our large customers happen to schedule their maintenance-related outages in the same quarter, will experience a slower volume quarter, which will typically make up for over the balance of the year. Now turning to our first quarter performance, starting with Fire Safety. First quarter revenue more than doubled year-over-year, while our adjusted EBITDA loss improved from $4.6 million in the first quarter of 2021 to $3.3 million in the first quarter of 2022. Year-over-year revenue growth in the first quarter was driven in roughly equal parts by our fire retardant and fire suppressant businesses. Incremental margins in our Fire Safety businesses were somewhat impacted by incremental public company costs, the impact of a more benign COVID environment on expense items, including travel and office expenses; and the impact of cost pass-throughs primarily related to transportation. I'd also like to go behind the numbers and briefly note a few of the things that we accomplished in the first quarter that once again demonstrate our commitment to serving our customers and highlight the value that perimeter solutions brings to our stakeholders. Once again, early season fires threaten communities in Mexico. Working with 10 Tanker Air Carrier with whom we have a long, very successful relationship, we provided close-in retardant capability to support DC-10 operations in Mexico. Deploying one of our custom-designed mobile retardant bases to Texas, we loaded tens of thousands of gallons of retardant that were applied to safe lives and property in Mexico. The operation was very successful and demonstrates once again the exceptional response that Perimeter always provides. Second, Perimeter partnered with the National Guard, to provide the equipment and systems to build out a large, high-capability retardant base in the Channel Islands in California. This base will allow the National Guard to support firefighting operations with a fleet of 8 C-130 Hercules aircraft equipped with Modular Airborne Firefighting Systems or MAFFS as well as other large and very large air tankers. The Project was completed as promised and is ready to fight fire in California this season. Finally, recognizing the extreme supply chain challenges the world continues to experience, we took steps to accelerate supply of raw materials and production, bolster our distribution and transportation network and ensure we are ready to support firefighting operations with the reliabilities our customers demand and expect of us. Turning to Oil Additives. First quarter revenue increased 50% year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA increased 97%. We focused intently on the implementation of our operational value drivers in the Oil Additives business over the last 2 quarters. These value drivers include winning profitable new business, both with existing customers as well as with new customers and in new applications, delivering productivity gains to improve our cost structure and support our margins and pricing to reflect the value we provide to our customers. We saw tangible progress around each of these 3 value drivers in the first quarter and are pleased to report the impact on our operating results. We are operating in a uniquely dynamic macro environment. And as such, as Haitham mentioned, I'll reiterate that we're encouraged by developments in the Oil Additives business and believe that we'll see upside in 2022 relative to our historical performance as well as to our expectation of roughly flat revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Finally, I'd like to take this opportunity to introduce Chuck Kropp as our recently promoted Chief Financial Officer. Chuck has been with us as Corporate Controller for 4 years and previously served as Corporate Controller at Aclara and Watlow. Chuck has been an integral part of our successful transition to becoming a public company and a key partner in the initial implementation of our value driver-based operating philosophy. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Chuck.