Kevin Stevenson
Analyst · JMP Securities. Your line is now open
Thanks, Steve. In the Americas, cash collections continue to feel the impact of declining cash flow from our U.S. bankruptcy pools. The Americas insolvency business continues to face headwinds of low supply as well as price competition. However, as Steve mentioned, we saw the largest buying quarter since 2014 Q1, and while pleased, let me be clear, this does not necessarily make a trend. We see a very competitive environment on the U.S. insolvency side of the business. New York is core. Our call centers are operating well and we saw things pickup substantially in Brazil. Average payment size in the U.S decreased 3%, largely due to fewer payments coming through the legal channel, which typically to the higher payment amounts. Additionally, cash collections per score point declined this quarter by 7%. Similar to last quarter, score point results were driven by declines in the legal channel that eclipsed some gains in the call centers. As a result of our ongoing review of operation strategy, we are closely assessing our collector staff levels. The ever evolving effort to optimize staffing levels; we believe we may have reduced staffing too far. So we are currently hiring in our most productive call center locations. Now although we continue to test our hypothesis, we believe the situation may have had some level of detrimental impacts to our cash collections over the last few months. I cannot quantify this amount for you at this time, however. As we discussed on prior calls, the issue in our legal collections area are generally the result of regulatory and legislative changes and they remain a challenge, however as you saw this quarter, our legal collection costs increased by 9% sequentially. This is being driven by our internal legal collection group, adapting more quickly than we anticipated and these operating complexities that are largely related to documentation requirements. We see compliance as job one. And this is particularly important in the U.S. and UK. Compliance is a complex area in terms of judgment, interpretation and process implementation. This is driving some of the delays and challenges we've experienced in the U.S. legal collection channels. However in the long-run, we feel as though our approach is best for the customer, our relationship with regulators, especially the FCA in the UK and the CFPB in the U.S. And as a result, best for our business as well. Related to all of this, we have seen document expenses, which are included in the legal collection costs line item remain at elevated levels. During Q2, document expenses were $1.7 million, which is consistent with 2016 Q1. Looking into the past and specifically in the quarter’s preceding 2015 Q2; we saw document expenses dropped dramatically to the $4,000 to $5,000 range from approximately $1.7 million plus in the quarters’ prior. This was a result of either sellers including documents upfront or not charging for documents in their contract. Today, these elevated levels have largely been driven by document ordering for accounts purchased through older contracts that include document provisioning charges. Legal collection fees also increased in the quarter driven by legal investments we've made in Europe. External legal collection fees in the U.S. continue to be down considerably as external law firms shore up their processes and procedures. As in Q2, legal collection costs and fees totaled $34 million combined and that can vary from period-to-period depending on many factors. So looking forward based upon the initial investment in Europe and where our processes stand here in the United States, we believe that Q3 legal collection costs and fees combined could be in the $40 million range and then trend down around 10% in Q4 from that Q3 level. These numbers could change based on volumes, but I wanted to give you a feel for where we think things are currently. We also remind you that we are incurring and expensing these items upfront in order to generate future cash collections. Moving on to the financials. To better analyze our ongoing operations, we've adjusted for just a few items. For the quarter, these items include expenses related to the acquisition of DTP and eGov of $600,000 and legal expenses not associated with normal operations of about $1.6 million, which includes the defense of our position in the IRS case. Lastly, we have adjusted to reflect a constant currency with Q2 of 2015, which was not overly impactful this quarter. I will specifically refer to non-GAAP for currency adjusted when discussing these results; otherwise all metrics will be GAAP. There is a full reconciliation of these non-GAAP items to the most directly comparable GAAP item in our press release filed earlier. Total cash collections for the quarter decreased 1% to $387.2 million. Currency adjusted cash collections were $391.3 million, an increase of about $2 million or just under 1%. Core collections in the Americas were $213.7 million, a decrease of 2% from last year. Collections outside of legal recovery grew 10% largely due to performance in Brazil. Currency adjusted core collections were $216.1 million, a decline of 1%. Global insolvency collections were $70.5 million, a decline of 25%. While this expected decline continues, collections were better than our expectations. Currency adjusted global insolvency collections were $70.6 million. European core collections were $103 million, an increase of 34% over last year. And this is attributable to increased buying we’ve been in Europe. Currency adjusted core collections in Europe were $104.6 million, a growth of 37%. Portfolio amortization including allowance charges was again elevated in the quarter at 47.3% of cash collections. As Steve discussed earlier, we saw the same two pools in Italy are non-accrual, meaning that all $6.7 million in cash collections went to amortization. In the Americas, we incurred a net allowance charge of $12.5 million, more than 70% or almost $9 million of that charge came from our 2013 tranches. During Q2, we significantly increased the charge on our 2013 pools from approximately $6 million in Q1 as we adjusted the forecasted curves. The 2013 Q2 tranche alone incurred a charge of $4.5 million. And just for frame of reference, this pool has about $40 million carrying value in NFR, or net finance receivables. In terms of ERC, it currently forecasts about $114 million in estimated remaining collections. And in Q2 alone, it collected $8.4 million. This particular tranche was purchased with an expected deal multiple of 2.23 times and it’s currently tracking to 2.59 times, or nearly 16% more cash than we expected at purchase. And it currently bears an accounting yield more than double where we booked it. But, yes, while these charges impact the EPS, you can see why I don't focus on non-cash allowance charges on over performing deals. That said, as we sit here today, we believed we faithfully implement the current U.S. GAAP methodology in spite of our dislike for it. And we look forward to 2020, the date that FASB has set for new methodology, new method which will recognize gains along with losses. The new proposed rules are voluminous and have morphed somewhat over time, so I cannot give you much more color, but we will keep you apprised as our understanding and the date draws closer. In the last 15 months, which coincides with the same period in time where we had elevated net allowance charges, we have added almost $0.5 billion to estimated remaining collections by updating future cash estimates on portfolios. The average quarterly reclassification for that time period has been almost $95 million. So as you review our 10-Qs and 10-Ks, or hear us talk about this is rather complicated sounding phrase, reclassifications from non-accretable difference to accretable yield. Just think about us adding incremental ERC that translates directly to additional future revenue. Again to reiterate, all of the allowance charges incurred during the quarter on yielding pools in the U.S. on vintages that are still outperforming their underwritten levels. In Europe, we incurred $500,000 allowance charge in the quarter. Moving on, net finance receivable, or NFR revenue, was $204 million, a decrease of 7% from Q2 2015. Fee income increased significantly to $22.3 million from $13.9 million, due to improved performance at the three U.S. fee-based subsidiaries, PLS, government services and CCB. Other revenue decreased to $2.1 million from $3.3 million due primarily to fund revenue from some of our European investments that vary quarter-to-quarter. The European investments are legacy active capital deals and are not part of our ongoing strategy. Total revenues in the quarter decreased 4% to $228.5 million. Operating expenses were $155.7 million, up 5% from Q2 2015. Operating expenses were 38% of cash receipts in the quarter. The increase in operating expenses are primarily driven by increased outside fees and services and agency fees, offset by a decrease in compensation and employee services. Agency fees have increased mainly due to growth in international collections, where we utilized third party agencies. Outside fees and services increased largely due to previously discussed non-GAAP items. Compensation and employee services decreased the majority of which is due to a decrease in discretionary bonus and other incentive compensation related expenses. Operating income was $72.8 million and our operating margin was 31.8%. Our effective tax rate was 32% for the quarter compared to 34.7% for full-year 2015. Part of this is due to U.S. taxable income becoming a lower percentage of consolidated income. Net income was $36.5 million compared to $51.4 million in the same quarter last year and diluted EPS was $0.79 versus the $1.06. Our net income margin was a healthy 16.1% compared with 21.7% for Q2 2015. Non-GAAP net income was $38.3 million compared to $52.2 million in the same quarter last year and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.83 versus $1.08. Our non-GAAP net income margin was 16.7% compared with 22% for Q2 2015. Moving to the balance sheet, cash balances ended the quarter at $117.1 million compared with $56.8 million a year ago. The NFR balance was $2.4 billion, up from $2.01 billion at June 30, 2015. These balances do not include the equivalent of NFR from our Poland portfolios and securitized funds that are recorded in the investment line. Our estimated remaining collections were $5.33 billion at June 30, 2016. Net deferred tax liabilities were $276.4 million at quarter end compared to $252.6 million a year ago. Borrowings totaled $1.91 billion a quarter end. Our debt-to-equity ratio at period end was 216%. If you include the deferred tax liability and interest bearing deposits in the debt number and exclude the accumulated other comprehensive loss impact from FX on equity, the debt-to-equity ratio would be 204%. After quarter-end, we did utilize our U.S. revolver to pay off the note payable of $170 million. Most of you recognize that note as the seller note and was related to the active capital acquisitions. ROE for the quarter were 16.4% and non-GAAP ROE were 17.3%. Pete Graham, our new CFO, starts Wednesday, and we're looking forward to what he brings to the table. Pete’s background in managing finances in over 30 currencies, complex hedge accounting and middle structures, and sophisticated team should be helpful as we enter new markets and continue to expand globally. He will step in and immediately takeover all CFO functions allowing me to focus more on my other responsibilities. On the IR side, I will continue to work with Darby, as Pete comes up to speed with both the investment community and PRA’s accounting and finance functions. Finally an update on the IRS case. In late June, the IRS moved for a continuance of the trial, which we objected to two days later. Their motion was granted and we are now set for trial in May of 2017. Operator, we are now ready for questions.