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Portland General Electric Company (POR)

Q2 2017 Earnings Call· Fri, Jul 28, 2017

$51.47

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning everyone and welcome to Portland General Electric Company's second quarter 2017 earnings results conference call. Today is Friday, June 28, 2017. This call is being recorded and as such, all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer period. [Operator Instructions]. For opening remarks, I will turn the conference call over to Portland General Electric's Manager of Investor Relations and Corporate Finance, Chris Liddle. Please go ahead, sir.

Chris Liddle

Analyst

Thank you Candace. Good morning everyone. I am pleased that you are able to join us today. Before we begin our discussion this morning, I would like to remind you that we have prepared a presentation to supplement our discussion, which we will be referencing throughout the call. The slides are available on our website at investors.portlandgeneral.com. Referring to slide two, I would like to make our customary statements regarding Portland General Electric's written and oral disclosures. There will be statements in this call that are not based on historical facts and as such constitute forward-looking statements under current law. These statements are subject to factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements made today. For a description of some of the factors that may occur that could cause such differences, the company requests that you read our most recent Form 10-K and Form 10-Q. Portland General Electric's second quarter earnings were released via our earnings press release and the Form 10-Q before the market opened today, both of which are available at our website at investors.portlandgeneral.com. The company undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. This Safe Harbor statement should be incorporated as part of any transcript of this call. Leading our discussion today are Jim Piro, President and CEO and Jim Lobdell, Senior Vice President of Finance, CFO and Treasurer. Following their prepared remarks, we will open the lines for your questions. Now, it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Jim Piro.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Thanks Chris. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us. Welcome to Portland General Electric's second quarter earnings results. On today's call, I will provide an update on our financial and operating performance, the economy in our operating area, an update on our Carty Generating Station litigation, our 2016 integrated resource plan and finally the status of our 2018 general rate case. I will then turn the call over to Jim Lobdell who will provide more details on our financial performance and guidance. Before we get started, I would like to share with you that I am retiring from Portland General Electric at the end of the year. It's been my great honor and pleasure to serve as President and CEO for Portland General Electric for the past eight years. My 37 years with the company has been incredibly rewarding and I want to express my appreciation to all of the employees at PGE who make this a great place to work. We have continued to raise the bar on providing value to our customers, community and to you, our shareholders. We have also continued to invest in our coworkers and our system to ensure we are providing safe, reliable and affordable energy to our customers. I am pleased share with you that Maria Pope has been selected by PGE Board of Directors to serve as PGE's new President and CEO. She will become President on October 1 and then will assume the additional role of CEO and join the PGE Board of Directors beginning January 1. Over the next few months, Maria and I will focus on making this a smooth transition for the company. Now let's move into the quarter's results. As presented on slide four, we reported net income of $32 million or $0.36 per diluted…

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Thank you Jim. Turning to slide 10, as Jim mentioned, for the second quarter of 2017, we recorded net income of $32 million or $0.36 per diluted share, compared with net income of $37 million or $0.42 per diluted share for 2016. This slide represents a walk-through of the income statement changes year-over-year. A few things to note on this slide are, first, revenues increased $13 million for the quarter. This was largely the result of increased retail deliveries due to favorable weather and was partially offset by a reduction in prices from our 2017 annual update tariffs. Second, a $5 million decrease in power costs as a result of a decline in the average price of purchase power driven in part by favorable hydro conditions which was partially offset by an increase in total system loads and a 20% reduction in wind generation. Third, generation, transmission and distribution costs increased by $10 million due to restoration efforts related to the severe April wind storm as well as maintenance cost at our Carty, Beaver, Port Westford and Boardman generating stations. Fourth, administrative and general expense increased by $3 million due to approximately $1 million of Carty litigation expense and $2 million in other A&G expenses. And finally, an increase in other miscellaneous expenses such as depreciation and amortization expense due to Carty being placed in service in July 2016 as well as a decrease in AFDC equity due to a lower balance. On to slide 11, which shows earnings drivers for the quarter. First, gross margin increased earnings by $0.11 due to the following, an $0.08 increase due to more favorable weather and a $0.03 increase in the estimated collection under the decoupling mechanism. The next driver is a $0.05 decrease due to plant maintenance costs comprised of $0.02 due…

Jim Piro

Analyst

Thanks Jim. In summary on slide 15, we continue to focus on successful execution of initiatives that drive value for our customers and our shareholders. First, maintain a high level of operational excellence with a continued focus on employee and public safety and meeting our operational and financial goals. Secondly, working collaboratively with all our stakeholders to obtain acknowledgment of our 2016 integrated resource plan and its associated action plan to meet our customers' future energy needs. And third, achieve a fair and reasonable result on our 2018 general rate case. And now operator, we are ready for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Paul Ridzon of KeyBanc. Your line is now open.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

Good morning guys. Congratulations Jim.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Thanks Paul.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

The bilateral discussions, are you talking about contracts? Are you talking about actually buying capacity from these owners?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Yes to both. We are looking at all options. We are investigating all options and we are talking to both people who would provide us capacity on our contracts and potentially assets that we could potentially purchase. So we are working through that right now and in detailed negotiations with a number of parties.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

How much liquidity are you seeing in that market for assets?

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

I would say, we are well aware of all of the generation that exists in the marketplace because we are a very nimble player out there and as such, we recognize that there is some available capacity. It is somewhat limited, but there is enough that we think that we could accomplish most of what we need to do.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

Okay. And what was the capacity factor on wind in the quarter? And is that down 20% versus the benchmark? Or is that versus last year?

Jim Piro

Analyst

That's quarter-over-quarter, Paul. And I think the capacity factor was in the 30% range for wind for the quarter. I will need to confirm that because that's off the top of my head.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

And do you know what the wind was versus what's in the benchmark?

Chris Liddle

Analyst

It's in the 2018 filing.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

I have to go back.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Paul, I will get back to you that.

Chris Liddle

Analyst

It is like 20% down.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

Okay.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

A little over 20% against the 2018.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

Okay. And then lastly, a little bit of noise on the line. I do want to make sure I understand what the Ninth Circuit did. Did they threw out a ban? And if that action stands, you will have to international arbitration? Is that correct?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Right. If the Ninth Circuit Court stands, then we would go to ICC arbitration to determine the arbitrableness of the claim and then we would go through the actual merits of the case. So the ICC has to determine the jurisdiction issues first and then we have to, if they decide they have jurisdiction, then we would work through them on the merits of the case.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

Would you call that an incremental negative?

Jim Piro

Analyst

No. I just think it's the nature of the court system that they tend look at arbitration as a ore favorable way to solve these issues. We still think we have a good argument that it should be resolved in the Ninth Circuit. The merits of our case are still very strong.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

Do you think this will affect the timeline if the Ninth Circuit stands?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Hard to tell at this point. Those are fairly lengthy process.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

We still think it is going to take two to four years to resolve the clients that are out there.

Paul Ridzon

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Thanks Paul.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Thanks Paul.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Brian Russo of Ladenburg Thalmann. Your line is now open.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Hi. Good morning.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Good morning Brian.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Good morning Brian.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Could you just tell us what the PCAM or how far below the benchmark you are with the dead band in 2Q?

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

We are about $5 million below.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Okay. And the renewable benchmark you referenced for, can you elaborate at all? Is that a self build? Or is that an existing asset? Or build on transfer?

Jim Piro

Analyst

It's subject of confidential negotiations. So we really can't talk much about it.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Okay.

Jim Piro

Analyst

But we still want to do what we did with Tucannon River Wind Farm in terms of the opportunity.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And do you have a storm cost recovery mechanism? Or do you have to absorb those costs from April? And why aren't you deferred?

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Brian, we do have a mechanism. We get $2 million a year that goes into a balancing account to cover Level III storms. We have exhausted that balance in last year and we have the $2 million this year. So the fund is now empty and there is nothing else to offset future storm. We have filed for a deferral for the excess storm cost this year. That would be subject to a review by the commission probably next year. In the current rate case, we are working on a settlement, I don't know if that's public yet, but the settlement on potentially increasing the amount of the storm reserve costs and once that becomes public, we can share that. But we have been having dialogues with the commission staff on this issue and other parties.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Okay.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

But right now, the fund is empty and we have filed a deferral for the excess cost this year. But have not reflected that in our earnings.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Got it. And so it likes the two big headwinds in the second quarter was the lower wind output and the storm costs yet you reaffirmed your guidance. So are there some positive offsets that kind of allow you to reaffirm your guidance? Or are you biased towards the lower end? Just some granularity on that?

Jim Piro

Analyst

So Brian, a couple of good things happened. We obviously had good load growth due to favorable weather this year. So the loads have been higher than we expected in terms of due to weather. That's one good thing. And we had very good hydro conditions that have kept prices low in the region. And so those low prices allowed us to take advantage of lower prices and offset our thermal operations. So those are the two positives that have kind of worked in our favor.

Brian Russo

Analyst

Okay. Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Travis Miller of Morningstar. Your line is now open.

Travis Miller

Analyst

Good morning. Thank you. Congratulations as well, Jim.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Thanks Travis.

Travis Miller

Analyst

A quick question. I wanted to make sure I caught you correctly. Is there 500 megawatts of new win that you have identified outside of the IRP?

Jim Piro

Analyst

No. It's 500 megawatts nameplate. So that would be around 170 megawatt average, more or less. So that's where we have identified the benchmark resource that would hopefully compete well in an RFP, if we go to an RFP.

Travis Miller

Analyst

Okay. And is that still within the IRP?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Yes. We would have to get acknowledgement from the Oregon Public Utility Commission on an action plan that included acquiring new renewable resources and that's what we are waiting from the commission. Hopefully we will get that decision on or before August 31 of this year.

Travis Miller

Analyst

Yes. Okay. And would you then, you say bid competitively as a self build as well as an RFP?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Yes. If they agree that we should add more renewal to take advantage of the production, the value of the production tax credit, we would work on an RFP with the stakeholders. We would issue that RFP. We would hope to include a benchmark resource in that RFP. But again, that's subject to completing negotiations with third party on that benchmark resource.

Travis Miller

Analyst

Sure. Okay. And is any of that in your CapEx plan in terms of the self build?

Jim Piro

Analyst

No.

Travis Miller

Analyst

Okay. Very good. Thanks so much.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Thank you.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Thanks Travis.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Gregg Orrill of Barclays. Your line is now open.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Good morning Gregg.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Good morning Gregg.

Gregg Orrill

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. Thank you. Regarding the general rate case, can you talk about what you are seeing in settlement discussions and where do you see that headed?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Jim, you want to cover this?

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

We have got additional settlement discussions, Gregg, going on in August 3 and 4 and we will be talking about the issues that we haven't currently settled. As Jim mentioned, we settled net variable power costs, myself depreciation and a few other items. So we still have quite a ways to go and we will see how those discussions turn out next week.

Gregg Orrill

Analyst

Thank you.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Thank you Gregg.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Thanks Gregg.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Andy Levi of Avon Capital. Your line is now open.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Hi guys. How are you?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Hi Andy

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Good morning Andy.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Sorry to see you leave, Jim.

Jim Piro

Analyst

It was a great career.

Andy Levi

Analyst

It was good career. I should be so lucky.

Jim Piro

Analyst

After you put 44 years in it, it's early, you can do that.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Yes. I am working on it. But yes, you did a great job. So again, sorry to see you go, but I remember Maria. So I think she will do a great job. Just to be clear, just on this whole regional resource thing, for no better way to put it, so basically just off the wind, I mean I you are negotiating on either buying or buying capacity or buying a power plant, a gas-fired power plant or buying power from a gas-fired power plant. Is that kind of what you are trying to say?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Or from other regional players who have excess capacity. So both from existing thermal resources as well as potentially from existing hydro resources. So we are examining both.

Andy Levi

Analyst

And then -- go ahead, I am sorry.

Jim Piro

Analyst

In terms of the contracts, those would tend to be shorter duration and obviously you buy the thermal resource, that would be longer duration.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Okay. And the part about the waiver, does that go for the entire, any type of scenario or only if you were to purchase a plant?

Jim Piro

Analyst

It would only come into place if the agreement that we entered into had greater than 100 megawatts capacity and longer than five year term. So its under those two conditions we require to get a waiver under the competitive bidding guideline.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Okay. So it has nothing to do with either purchasing power or purchasing a plant itself?

Jim Piro

Analyst

It's really related to the nameplate of the capacity.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Right. I understand. Okay. And can you categorize in any way where you are leaning towards or where the negotiations on the various different opportunities you have? Are you leaning more towards buying a plant or just buying power doing a PPA?

Jim Piro

Analyst

No. It uses the same criteria we would do in an RFP. So we look for RFP process. We are looking at lowest cost, least risk and that's our stand and we want to ensure that we can deliver value to our customers and we want ensure that the actions we take provide the best balance of cost and risk.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Okay. And then separately, just to understand you are also in negotiations, as you said, on a renewable resource, which is separate, right?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Yes.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Okay. And we should hear something? If I am reading this correctly, we should hear something from you guys sometime in August on both? Is that what you are saying?

Jim Piro

Analyst

We would hope to get a commission decision on our IRP on or before August 31.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Okay.

Jim Piro

Analyst

And that action plan, if they approve, will give you an indication whether we are going to move forward on an RFP for renewable energy.

Andy Levi

Analyst

But on the gas-fired capacity?

Jim Piro

Analyst

The capacity will be more related to whether they have proved that we get a waiver on the ability to find a short duration capacity contract or potentially thermal resources that might be already in existence. So watch the waiver process, the waiver process we hope to file in mid-August. That would give you an indication of what actions were taken on the capacity side and on the renewable side, I would look toward the end of August to see what the commission action is on our IRP.

Andy Levi

Analyst

So will you only file the waiver once you have a resource in mind?

Jim Piro

Analyst

We want to get --

Andy Levi

Analyst

Or is it based on the IRP outcome?

Jim Piro

Analyst

No. It's really based -- we know what the need is. I think we feel fairly comfortable that we need 500 megawatts of flexible capacity. So that's the first piece. And so we think the need is there. The waiver really is necessary to obviate the need for an RFP in terms of duration and quantity on the actual agreement.

Andy Levi

Analyst

Okay. I understand it now. Okay. Thank you very much.

Jim Lobdell

Analyst

Thanks Andy.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from Ashar Khan of Verition. Your line is now open.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Hi Ashar.

Ashar Khan

Analyst

Good morning. How are you guys doing? Jim, congratulations, a long career. But I wanted to a question strategically. If I am right, on Bloomberg I have your date right. It said, you started on January 1, 2009 and over these, I guess, nine years coming up, I guess, by the time you retire, the sector has changed and especially small-cap companies like yours have been sold. The only area that is left in the U.S. is the Northwest and we just saw a neighbor of yours just go out about two or three weeks. So as the Board went through the succession planning process and you know, the utility multiples are at the highest, you couldn't get better multiples now than ever in the history, has the board strategically looked at putting the company up for sale? And if not, why not, in this environment and just with your size left in terms of the competition as we go through this succession?

Jim Piro

Analyst

Well, Ashar, we don't really comment on mergers and acquisition conversations. That's just our standard policy. I will assure you that the Board is always having conversations around all regional issues and we are aware of what's going on in the region. And that's really well in the conversation. I think, we believe in our strategy, we believe in the direction we are going. We have opportunity to grow value for our customers and our shareholders and we will continue to pursue that path.

Ashar Khan

Analyst

Okay. So you can't share whether this is being, have you considered this or not considered it at all?

Jim Piro

Analyst

We can't comment on that.

Ashar Khan

Analyst

Okay. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And that concludes our question-and-answer session for today. I would like to turn the conference back over to Jim Piro for closing remarks.

Jim Piro

Analyst

Thank you. We appreciate your interest in Portland General Electric and invite you to join us when we report our third quarter 2017 results in late October. Thanks a lot. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program and you may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.