Earnings Labs

Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. (PNFP)

Q1 2018 Earnings Call· Tue, Apr 17, 2018

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Pinnacle Financial Partners First Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. Hosting the call today from Pinnacle Financial Partners is Mr. Terry Turner, Chief Executive Officer; and Mr. Harold Carpenter, Chief Financial Officer. Please note, Pinnacle's earnings release and this morning's presentation are available on the Investor Relations page of their website at www.pnfp.com. Today's call is being recorded, and will be available for replay on Pinnacle's website for the next 90 days. [Operator Instructions]. Before we begin, Pinnacle does not provide earnings guidance or forecasts. During this presentation, we may make comments which may constitute forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Pinnacle Financial to differ materially from any results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Many of such factors are beyond Pinnacle Financial's ability to control or predict, and listeners are cautioned not to put undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. A more detailed description of these and other risks is contained in Pinnacle Financial's most recent annual report on Form 10-K. Pinnacle Financial disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In addition, these remarks may include certain non-GAAP financial measures, as defined by SEC Regulation G. The presentation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and the reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP measures will be available on Pinnacle Financial's website at www.pnfp.com. With that, I am now going to turn the presentation over to Mr. Terry Turner, Pinnacle's President and CEO.

Michael Turner

Analyst

Thank you, Operator. As we do these quarterly earnings call, I'll begin with this dashboard, which is intended to give the investors a quick snapshot of our performance during the quarter, highlighting not only the absolute level of performance during the quarter, but the trends which are so important to a growth company like ours. These measures on these slides are all presented on a GAAP basis. I believe it's been demonstrated that the measures' most probably correlated with share price performance over time or revenue growth, earnings growth and asset quality. So on this slide, I think I'm going to focus on revenue growth and asset quality. In this chart on the top left, we see total revenues continue to set a new high each quarter, up 3.5% on a linked quarter basis. Netting out securities gains and losses, total revenues were flattish compared to 4Q '17. Unfortunately, there's a lot of noise that are not [indiscernible], things like the BNC merger, restructurings in conjunction with the tax law change and so forth. But whenever I review the quarter in greater detail, I think you'll see that there's a lot to be excited about in terms of the revenue growth like nine basis points of expansion in the core margin and exceptional growth in volumes. Regarding volume growth, looking out just below the revenue chart at the loan chart, organic loan growth during the quarter was nearly $700 million, which is an annualized growth rate for the quarter of 18%. And then immediately below the loan chart is a row of 3 charts, which indicate in my judgment, that asset quality remains pristine. While these measures generally operating within or better than their historical ranges, in the case of the NPAs and classified assets, are better than the targeted…

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Thanks, Terry. Revenues, excluding security gains and losses for the quarter, were essentially flat with the fourth quarter at $219 million, which was a similar occurrence for the legacy Pinnacle franchise last year, as first quarter 2017 revenues were essentially flat with the fourth quarter 2016 revenues at $119 million. An interesting statistic here is that quarterly revenues has increased almost $100 million in the first quarter of this year over last year. Most, but not all, is attributable to the BNC acquisition. This management team is always mindful of the trust our shareholders place in us, so we hope the shareholder base is pleased that with this meaningful growth in revenues, we also experienced a decrease in our efficiency ratio from 51% to 47.5%. We take our historical reputation of being good operators very seriously around here. Total net interest income was flat at $174.5 million comparing the first quarter to fourth quarter. The impact of fair value accretion decreased $3.7 million during the quarter to $15.4 million, which is about where we expected to land in the first quarter. We anticipate further decreases in discount accretion in future quarters, as the level of acquired loans and recent merger becomes less impactful and post-merger prepayment slowed. Best guess at this point is that fair value accretion is likely to be $11 million to $14 million in the second quarter. We expect this accretion will continue to decelerate over time. At the end of March, we've got $149 million in loan discount accretion remaining on our balance sheet. Our operating thesis is that we will continue to increase our earning asset base, as we did this quarter, such that we more than offset the ongoing reduction in quarterly discount accretion. We just have to be operating in markets where that…

Michael Turner

Analyst

All right. Thank you, Harold. Let me tell you about way of completion. We try to be as clear and explicit as we can be about our growth intentions. My belief is that this quarter's results demonstrate our ability to continue the current model for, number one, outside of organic growth; and number two, outside of profitability. We've also outlined the high-growth markets around the Southeast and have appealed to us. And along with that, we've outlined the merger criteria, one of which is minimum earnings accretion of 3% to 5%. In answer to the question, how should we think about the timing of any future acquisitions? I'll just make these points. First of all, I honestly don't care if we make any acquisitions at all because of outside organic growth opportunities that I feel we have. That said, I am relatively confident we'll have opportunities to do meaningfully accretive transactions in targeted desirable markets. So thirdly, I'm not trying to make any deals right at this minute, but I believe banks are sold. They're not bought, which is just another way of saying that you have to buy them when they're for sale. And so while I'm not necessarily trying to make a deal right at this minute, if a targeted transaction were to come up, and it could be done on a meaningfully accretive basis, I feel comfortable moving forward on that. So I guess, finally, I think one of the objectives of these calls is for you to gain some insight in the -- my perspective of our performance during the quarter and where I think we are as a firm. So [indiscernible] is that we have a firm that's growing, earning 36% year-over-year, having extraordinary success dragging top talent, is growing earning assets at a record level, which courses our primary method for growing future earnings. We expanded core margin 9 basis points in the quarter. We increased our profitability target for ROAA to a new range of 1.50% to 1.70%, and we're operating squarely in the middle of that range with an ROAA of 1.60%. And we've elevated our ROTCE to nearly 19%, which just means that our current price stays of tangible value multiple has plenty of room to expand. So operator, we'll stop there and take questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Jared Shaw with Wells Fargo.

Jared Shaw

Analyst

Maybe to spend a little time on the deposit discussion. I appreciated the color you gave there. But as you're seeing the strong loan growth, as we're waiting for that to -- as we're waiting for the deposit growth to come in behind it, is how willing are you to continue to put on higher levels of borrowings? And do you have an upper limit in terms of a loan-to-deposit ratio you'll be comfortable with as we're growing out those deposits?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, sure. This is Harold. We like questions about do we have a policy around loan to deposit ratio. We don't. We've got guidelines around 100%. We're at 98%. So yes, we understand the task at hand, and we don't like operating above 100%. I don't know if we'll approach that or get over that, but we will be employing a lot of tactics to stay below it.

Jared Shaw

Analyst

And then as you look at the growth opportunity on the deposit side, is it more consumer focused at this point or commercial? And is it more Tennessee versus the newer markets? Or I guess maybe a little more detail on how that works out over the next few quarters?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, I think I would say it's a pretty balanced approach, perhaps a little more commercially-oriented than consumer. In our commercial marketing themes inside the country, we always talk about we're aimed at businesses, their owners and their employees. And so that's principally, where the consumer for us comes is in some of our offerings, like group banking to employees and our private banking efforts to business owners and so forth. So the real important for us as a company is commercial. In terms of how we see that playing out, again, I think you know if you sort of think through the linkage here, we are bankers. As they book some business, they move their clients, which means they move their deposit books with them. And many times, a loan will come first. They'll bring that -- the entire relationship with them. And then from that, you drive down into the rest of the business owner and the employees. I would expect that to be a balanced approach throughout the footprint, meaning not only in Tennessee, but in the Carolinas and Virginia. I would say in the Carolinas and Virginia, you have a little more of consumer opportunity there than in the Tennessee footprint. And our folks are visibly about mobilizing those folks as well. But I think when you get down to what you do in the short range, again, we believe, because our relationship managers know our clients so well, they know where the money is. In many cases, the money's scattered around, not just at Pinnacle, but at other banks, and so they know where the money is and how to round it up. So that's the way we work.

Jared Shaw

Analyst

Okay. And then on BHG, as we look out over the year, you said the 12% to 15% growth rate, is that full year over full year? And if so, should we expect to see the seasonality, I guess, mimic what we saw last year with maybe just the overall growth rate quarter -- or year-over-year slowdown from here?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, Jared, I think, that consistent with my expectations for share in this year. We have a lot of conversations with BHG. As a matter of fact, there's a board meeting tomorrow, so we'll get an update tomorrow with those guys. But yes, we're still expecting the seasonality in their numbers in 2018 just like 2017.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Stephen Scouten with Sandler O'Neill.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

So wanted to get an idea on the composition at growth from North Carolina, that $195 million. I'm assuming that was still pretty heavily weighted towards CRE and then most of the strong C&I growth came from Tennessee, just as you're ramping up the hiring. But I just want to get some conformation on that and kind of think about when you think that actual C&I growth from those new hires will begin to deliver. Is that more of back half '18? Or flowing in the '19 more so?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Well, yes. If you look on Slide 8 in the presentation, state that -- basically you're right, there in the $195 million, it would be a higher growth volume associated with CRE than C&I. But if you look at percentage growth rates, you can see that we grew the CRE business roughly 15%. We grew their C&I business roughly 26%. So we think that we are turning the corner at a pretty rapid pace. But I do think if we continue to make the C&I higher, is that their growth rate will accelerate in the latter half of the year.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

And what would that be like on a ballpark dollar basis just on that $195 million, is that $20 million, $30 million on the C&I? As I said, I am not sure what base we're starting off with.

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Stephen, I can't tell you the number on the top of my head.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

Okay, no problem.

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Okay.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

And then maybe thinking a little bit more about the deposit costs moving forward. I know, I guess, first, are you guys seeing competition from the biggest banks yet? Is that still -- or do you think that could still be a driver of further increases here? And then specifically on the noninterest-bearing deposits, anything unusual that caused the end of period decline there in the quarter?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, I don't think there's anything unusual with noninterest bearing. I think we had a big year last year in noninterest-bearing, so we're still kind of trying to drive operating account growth for the franchise. I don't think we're seeing anymore enhanced competition coming out of the large regional franchises occasionally on a one-off basis. With some of those negotiated rate class, we'll see something. But I think by and large, I think you'll see kind of a slow and steady kind of consistent increase.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

Okay, great. And then maybe lastly for me, just kind of thinking about expenses as we head into 2Q '18. I appreciate the color around the incentive comp but, I guess, two things maybe. Can you tell us where you guys actually fell short of your corporate targets, because obviously had a really good quarter, so just curious that where that lag was there. And do you think you'll -- based on what you saw in 1Q that you'd expect some sort of a catchup in the coming quarter?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, I'll be open and candidly the fee revenues numbers for the first quarter were less than we had hoped. There was probably a slight negative variance in the margin, but most of that was probably in these.

Michael Turner

Analyst

This is Terry. If I could, I might just say this. Harold jhas been pretty [indiscernible] that there on the incentive growth and all that sort of stuff. I'd just say, Harold is accruing at a rate higher this year than it was last year at the same point, we ultimately paid at greater than 100% for the year. So I'll just put that in perspective.

Stephen Scouten

Analyst

Yes, I know. That's really helpful, Terry.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Tyler Stafford with Stephens.

Tyler Stafford

Analyst · Stephens.

I want to start on loan growth. So I think one of the big bear cases out on the stock right now is just the slowing growth from the remix of the BNC portfolio. So as -- obviously, as Stephen has said, it's nice to see that 18% loan growth this quarter. So on the back of that strength in the hiring success you've had, can you just clear the air for us on your loan growth expectations are for this year? And what you could expect to see in the next couple of years?

Michael Turner

Analyst · Stephens.

Well, let me think what we've communicated here. I guess -- Harold, I don't think we've communicated loan growth targets in any way, have we? Well, what we keep talking about is low double-digit loan growth is kind of where we think our -- we should be consistently performing. So that will put you -- I mean, if you apply dollars to that, Tyler, you're talking about $2 billion plus kind of numbers. We still think our franchise can produce that kind of number here today.

Tyler Stafford

Analyst · Stephens.

Got it. Okay.

Michael Turner

Analyst · Stephens.

If I could, I might -- I think [indiscernible] what about for the remainder of this year and what about next year? I mean, we would expect that growth rate to continue next year as well.

Tyler Stafford

Analyst · Stephens.

So even with the larger balance sheet size with BNC, a double-digit growth expectations for the next foreseeable future is still pretty reasonable?

Michael Turner

Analyst · Stephens.

Yes.

Tyler Stafford

Analyst · Stephens.

Great. And then just, Harold, you mentioned that the 5 to 10 basis points of core loan yield expansion that you would -- thought you would see following the December hike. So obviously, you guys came in better than that this quarter. Is the 5 to 10 expansion in the core loan yields from the March hike, is that still the right way to think about it?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Stephens.

Yes, I think so. Obviously, we're hopeful that we'll be able to replicate first quarter and the second quarter. We think we've got a couple of things going for us. One is we've got an extra day in the calendar. That's always helpful. But we'll also probably have less accretion income. So the quarter may go up. The GAAP number is going to get hit by the fair value number. But -- so all things considered, all will cancel each other out. So then, we get to like what the rate environment is doing. I think we'll pick up a lot of that Fed funds increase in our prime book portfolio. I think we'll pick up a lot and the LIBOR increase in the LIBOR book. I don't see any kind of indications that we're going to reduce spreads in at least 50 -- call it, 55% of the loan book.

Tyler Stafford

Analyst · Stephens.

Okay. Very good. And then I just wanted to make sure I understood one of your prior comments to Stephen's question. So you did have a slight negative variance from the incentive comp related to the margin expansion this quarter. Is that what you said, Harold?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Stephens.

Yes.

Tyler Stafford

Analyst · Stephens.

So you had previously expected maybe stronger than 9 basis points of core margin expansion in your model?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Stephens.

Well, I think what we expected was a little more net interest income. I can't recall where we ended up on margin specifically, but yes.

Tyler Stafford

Analyst · Stephens.

So going back to last quarter, I believe you said in your margin outlook for the year, you're modeling in, I believe, 50% deposit rate. Is that right?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Stephens.

Yes.

Tyler Stafford

Analyst · Stephens.

Okay, so that would have been in that expectation. Got it. And then just last one for me. David Spencer, he did a nice job with the bond repositioning this quarter. Just curious if we're all done on that. If there's left -- if there's more repositioning to come?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Stephens.

No. I think we're done on all of that. We've -- he got all that basically accomplished by the end of February. So we've got some dollar pickup coming here in the second quarter from all of that.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jennifer Demba with SunTrust.

Jennifer Demba

Analyst · SunTrust.

Terry, you said about 29% of your deposits are negotiated rates mostly with commercial customers. Do you know what the beta on that has been since the Fed started raising rates?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · SunTrust.

Jennifer, this is Harold. I really don't have that number. That's probably an interesting number to go through that, but I wish I could tell you what it is. But it was -- I would imagine, it's a higher beta, or I would know. I'd be pretty certain. It's a higher beta than what's going on, on the sheet rates.

Jennifer Demba

Analyst · SunTrust.

Okay. All right.

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · SunTrust.

And I think most of that is due to the size of the depositors to focus on those numbers, the interest income they get on their P&L is more meaningful. So it's all those kind of circumstances.

Jennifer Demba

Analyst · SunTrust.

Okay. And you had a bit of an NPA increase this quarter. Was there any room in that increase?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · SunTrust.

Yes, I do know there was one, call it the $9 million credit that they put on nonaccrual towards the last half of March.

Jennifer Demba

Analyst · SunTrust.

What industry would that be in?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · SunTrust.

Oh, geez. I don't even know.

Michael Turner

Analyst · SunTrust.

It's a [indiscernible] process.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Will Curtiss of Piper Jaffray.

William Curtiss

Analyst

Maybe just quickly going back to the discussion about the securities restructurings. How much of this quarter's, the core NIM expansion was related to the securities restructuring?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, we think probably about five basis points was that. So of the 13, we've probably got five of it out of the security book.

William Curtiss

Analyst

Okay. And then in terms of, maybe, just as we look out over the course of the year, I mean, is the expectations for the core NIM to the whole -- to be relatively flat? Or do you think we -- this is possible we might see a little bit of modest lift as we continue through the year?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Well, we're hopeless, we don't see a modest lift. We don't think the GAAP margin's going to decrease very much. So in order for that to happen, we've got to see a lift in the core margin. So we're hopeful that we'll be able to continue this for the rest of the year in spite of the fact the rates up.

William Curtiss

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then you guys mentioned -- had some commentary on mortgage banking. I mean, you still feel good about year-over-year growth this year. And then also I think you guys had talked about leveraging your -- the mortgage across the rest of the franchise. And just curious if there's any update on how that progress has been?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, I think we're still projecting growth year-over-year in mortgage. The second quarter will be a real important quarter for them because they're going into the spring buying season and all that. But mortgage -- the leadership and mortgage had been about hiring people in the Carolinas, kind of, remixing over there. We think we've got a lot of good people in the right markets, in the right seats, so -- but that's still a work in progress.

William Curtiss

Analyst

Okay. And then last one for me. I know there's obviously a lot of attention on the newer markets but maybe, Terry, if you can talk about Nashville trends and the competitive environment. Anything that you guys are watching closely?

Michael Turner

Analyst

I think in the Nashville market, I wouldn't say there's any difference in this quarter than in the previous quarter. I think, sometimes I get asked about where are you on certain commercial real estate categories like hospitality and multifamily, particularly in the core Nashville? And so we've been relatively cautious on those 2 categories and continue to be. But the growth continues to be strong in Nashville as a market. And our position in the market seems to be extraordinary. I just make this comment from sort of anecdotal. But the growth that we're seeing in Nashville, say in the last 2 quarters, we're moving large market accounts that had been long-term relationships to some of the large regional banks and multi duration relationships, some of these are banks that we've really been able to pick up in the last 2 quarters. And so again, the market has momentum but our position in the market also has momentum.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Rose with Raymond James.

Michael Rose

Analyst · Raymond James.

Just a question on the loan growth for low double digits this year and maybe into next year. Obviously, the first quarter was a great start but it implies, just from a straight map point of view, the growth would slow from here. But it seems like hiring is ahead of schedule. Those producers will start to ramp as the year moves on. Can you help me reconcile why it wouldn't be closer to mid-single digits? Or just kind of what the push and the pull factors are?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Raymond James.

Yes, I believe you're just -- maybe a little conservatism on that part. I'm sure Terry would have a bigger number than me. That's just the way the things operate around here. But I think we can handle our numbers with low-double digit loan growth. That's not to say that Terry is going to put the kludge here or anything, but you're right, particularly in the Carolinas, we've been really pleasantly surprised with how that hiring platform is shaping up over there.

Michael Rose

Analyst · Raymond James.

Maybe just a follow-up, too, on the types of hires that you're making. Historically, Pinnacle in Tennessee is hired from the biggest banks. But clearly, in the Carolinas, there's been a lot of upheaval with this significant amount of mergers in the past year, 1.5 years. Are you still hiring primarily from the larger guys? Or are you picking apart maybe some of your closer to equal-sized competitors? Or is it a blend of both? And then finally, Terry, you've talked historically about the capacity of the hires that you brought on. I wouldn't expect you to do that today. But is that something we could expect you to again provide us some guidance on as we -- as the hiring plays out over the next couple of years?

Michael Turner

Analyst · Raymond James.

Let me get clear on the last question first, Michael, what you're asking about relative to the capacity of the lenders?

Michael Rose

Analyst · Raymond James.

Yes, I mean, a couple of years ago, you guys have brought on, I don't remember the number. It might have been 10 or 15, and you gave what you thought they could produce over a period of time. And obviously, 65 is a big number over the next couple of years from what you have hired previously. I just want to know if we move forward, can we expect you to provide some sort of capacity on what those hires could generate in terms of loans?

Michael Turner

Analyst · Raymond James.

Yes, I think so. I mean, and again, I don't mind to say things that I view, a conservative estimate of the mature loan book for the hires that are being made there to be $80 million per relationship manager. So if you have 7 of those, 5 C&I and 2 private bankers, then that production over a 4-year period of time, would likely be $560 million. And again, what's important is to understand that, that expense burden is already on our books for that group of 7 that I just mentioned there. And so that we did 5 and 2 in the second quarter, quarter before that, we did 6. So again you begin to see the pace of hiring there. Again, if it's 13 people and $80 million above that would be a little more than $1 billion in production. So I don't know if that helps you if I'm talking about you're interested in, but that sort of how we see the numbers. And again, you get the profit leverages pretty dramatic out of those 13 guys that have already been hired, $80 million in a loan book would be a reasonable assumption over a 4-year period of time. So $1,040,000,000 or whatever that math is. On the other question, Michael, what were you looking for on that one?

Michael Rose

Analyst · Raymond James.

Just the types of lenders that you're hiring, historically prior from the bigger banks.

Michael Turner

Analyst · Raymond James.

That's a really good question because you're right. I think, over the years in the Tennessee footprint, I would guess, and it is a guess, but I would guess 90% of our hires that come out of the larger regional banks that have sort of traditionally dominated the markets that we were in that it might -- it could be -- even be higher than 90%, I would say. I think when we launched in the Carolinas and Virginia, we would have a similar assumption, meaning that we would hire primarily from those large banks that we view to be vulnerable, and we have had good success hiring out of those banks that dominate the North Carolina market. But you made a great point, we have also made a reasonable number of hires that have been dissatisfied in the transitions that are going on over there with sort of similarly sized companies also going through integration efforts and so forth. So that sort of been our ability to hire people.

Michael Rose

Analyst · Raymond James.

That's very helpful. I'm sorry if I missed this, but maybe one more for Harold. You guys perhaps some swaps this quarter. If rates were to move higher a couple of times, would there be more to do there? Or is this kind of it?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Raymond James.

Yes, I think I don't know if this is it or not. We've taken advantage of the somewhat flatter yield curve with this transaction. So I'm not going to say we won't do anymore, but we might. We just have to see, Michael, where our model kind of, when we go through all of our interest rate sensitivity testing, where it all comes out to see where we need to be.

Michael Rose

Analyst · Raymond James.

So is it fair to say if the curve further flatten, but you would put on some more swaps?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Raymond James.

We could. We could for sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Catherine Mealor with KBW.

Catherine Mealor

Analyst · KBW.

So most of my have been asked and answered, but I would like to circle back to the deposit growth just real quickly. As we think about deposit growth will presumably pick up as we move through the year, can you just help us think about the composition of that deposit growth? And then Harold, you mentioned that you think CD growth is going to pick up this year probably. And then also how should we think about the C&I ramp and the treasury management platform building in the Carolinas and Virginia? And how that should ultimately impact the composition of deposit growth as we move through the year?

Michael Turner

Analyst · KBW.

Catherine, first of all, let's talk about the CD comment. We are actively pursuing some, call it, traditional CD depositors. You've got depositors, and that's just kind of their mode. They want to get -- they want to go on CD ladder. And particularly in the Carolinas. And I think Rick and his team are about calling those folks and making sure that if they move money away from us, what we got to do to bring it back to us because, I think we had comments, or we talked about this last quarter when the sites were being transitioned over to Carolinas, that gave everybody kind of an opportunity to revisit deposit rates and so on and so forth, but Rick has got his folks actively calling some of those traditional CD depositors to try to get that money back to the bank. And I think you'll be really successful there. As far as growing the rest of the deposit base, I think it's going to be shoe leather. I think we've got to get our commercial lenders, our private bankers out in the market, and they are going to have to go plow that money, as Terry was talking about, and try to get it moved over to you.

Michael Turner

Analyst · KBW.

And Catherine, what was the second part of your question?

Catherine Mealor

Analyst · KBW.

That was it. It was just -- it was more of just the timing of as you build out the Carolinas and Virginia and overlay the treasury management platform as, I mean, because my gut would be that you -- that maybe earlier part of this year, you see maybe more in CD growth but as you continue to build out your treasury management and your C&I platform in the Carolinas and Virginia, we should see more noninterest bearing kind of core non-CD growth in the back half of the year. Would that be an appropriate way to think about it?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · KBW.

Yes, well, that's what we're thinking about. And I think as this hiring -- we bring in all these C&I lenders, that will absolutely take place.

Catherine Mealor

Analyst · KBW.

And then what sort of on expenses, you got $2 million from the incentive comps that presumably if you kind of hit numbers better next quarter, then you maybe -- you'd get that back. It feels like we're through all of the cost savings from BNC and so maybe we're at a kind of a good run rate this quarter. So is there a way to think about a core expense growth rate just given your hiring expectations for this year?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · KBW.

Yes, sure. Let me see if I can help you out. We probably were $2 million, to call it, call it $3 million under what wouldn't be a normal kind of run rate. There were a few people that left the firm during the quarter that are part of the synergy case. Traditionally, and you can go back and test me on this, our expense base doesn't ramp-up all that much through the year other than more hiring and increased incentives. So you can kind of project what the expense load is going to be for the rest of the year once you get the good start point in the first quarter.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Andy Stapp with Hilliard Lyons.

Andrew Stapp

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

Most of my questions, they have been answered. Just had a couple of ticky-tack like questions. One of which would be -- just wondering how much did the prepaid penalties benefit to Q1 net interest margin versus Q4?

Michael Turner

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

Yes, Andy, I don't have that number in front of me. Call it, the scheduled fair value accretion was probably in the $12 million to $13 million range, and we ended up in $15 million. So it's probably about a $3 million number. I'd have to go dig around and find out what that number actually was.

Andrew Stapp

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

And when talking so much of purchase accounting is loans, prepayment nowadays from loan payoffs.

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

I thought you're talking about prepayments on fair value. Yes, I don't have any idea on the prepayment. I'd say, it's a small number.

Andrew Stapp

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

Okay. And wealth management revenues were up nicely despite unfavorable market conditions. Could you talk about the drivers of the outperformance?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

Yes, sure. It's all people. We had a very nice hiring. We hired a group of people in the late, call it, third quarter last year. And they're building their book. They're moving quite a few clients from their former employer. And so we've got the benefit of that here in the first quarter.

Michael Turner

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

We lifted out a team late last year that had $600 million in assets under management. So that's a big [indiscernible] and there are other hires in there, I will tell you, but that would be meaningful.

Andrew Stapp

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

Okay. And lastly, to what extent have loan pay downs moderated?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Hilliard Lyons.

I think loan pay downs have slowed. A lot of that has to do with revolving rate environment and all that stuff. But we're not seeing quite the volumes in loan pay downs here in the first quarter and are not likely to see it in the second quarter that we might have experienced, call it, second, third and fourth quarter of the last year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brocker Vandervliet with UBS.

Brocker Vandervliet

Analyst · UBS.

Just to confirm, Harold, you'd mentioned the expense growth rate was $2 million, $3 million under, would it be a normal run rate? Is it that correct?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · UBS.

Yes, I think so, Brock. I think that's a fair number for the first quarter.

Brocker Vandervliet

Analyst · UBS.

Okay. On the FHLB advances, what's -- what is the base rate there that, that's linked to that we should look toward?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · UBS.

Most of that is short-term kind of numbers. Probably, 90 days to 180-day kind of borrowings. Hopefully, we'll get this deposit engine cranked up here in the second quarter and we'll get some of that paid off. I know we've paid off some of it already, but we'll be focused to try to get that $1.9 billion or there's something less.

Brocker Vandervliet

Analyst · UBS.

Okay. And broken record on the deposit topic. Is deposit generation or -- and deposit retention, is that an explicit part of loan officer compensation?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · UBS.

No. No, Brock. Everybody's paying off the same incentive plan. It's all based on revenue growth and earnings growth. What we do is we aim our private bankers and aim our commercial bankers at, call it, deposit rich segments and get them to go after that money. It's just how we operate around here.

Brocker Vandervliet

Analyst · UBS.

Would you consider making the change? Or you're happy with your plan as it is?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · UBS.

Yes, Brock, we're happy with the plan as it is. It's to say it's a -- it has served us well for 20 years. I wouldn't think we're going out of that now.

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · UBS.

Yes. As recently, as two weeks ago, I was talking to regulators about it, not about deposit growth per se but about our incentive systems and how they work and why we like how they work. And what we have around here are people -- the hiring model would have -- you have that 10 years' experience to come to work here are granted with mergers, you don't know where you get that but at the end of the day, that's where we're headed. And so with that comes people who know where clients are. I think that's different than what's goes on at, call it, regional franchise or a large national franchise where they're looking for people where there's a strong, strong sales culture. And when you get the sales culture embedded in your franchise, what you get into is, with these dynamics where it's about doing this for that, doing this for this incentive, or doing whatever for whatever incentive. And we think that doesn't play well over the long way -- over the long term because what we're trying to do is accomplish a service culture, and we think that one of the biggest to service and the management and financial services industry is turned over. And so what we want are people that have a lot of experience, that know where clients are, that like to serve clients and don't need a kind of a -- an incentive system that is based off of this program or that program. Does that make sense? It is [indiscernible] all the difference.

Brocker Vandervliet

Analyst · UBS.

Yes, I think it's important. And lastly, going back to Jennifer's question on the NPA. Was that a BNC credit for Pinnacle?

Michael Turner

Analyst · UBS.

That was a Pinnacle credit.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Nancy Bush with NAB Research.

Nancy Bush

Analyst · NAB Research.

Couple of regulatory questions. Can you just give us your view of the proposed changes to Dodd-Frank? And do they help, hurt, do nothing as it regards Pinnacle?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · NAB Research.

Well, it would certainly be a help to us. I think there are several benefits. I think the one that stands out is the -- reduce in the stress testing and all those sorts of things. So it will be a help to us if that bill will ultimately pass.

Nancy Bush

Analyst · NAB Research.

Do you have a quantifiable amount that you'd get from that?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · NAB Research.

No, I don't think so.

Michael Turner

Analyst · NAB Research.

I'll just tag on here, I know we're running long but what really Dodd-Frank and [indiscernible], where it occupies a lot of time and attention is with people who weren't necessarily directly related to that particular task. So call it out managers, liquidity managers and audit managers and all of those kind of folks, it's a very significant time burden on those people. And so that's where the real, I think, the real cost, the hidden cost and all that really is.

Nancy Bush

Analyst · NAB Research.

Okay. And secondly, just as you guys move into sort of a different segment of community bank, I mean, obviously, you've gone beyond the $10 billion, well beyond the $10 billion, sort of moving toward the $50 billion, and you're not the only one in the Southeast, although you have done it more quickly than some of your competitors. Are regulators looking at you in any kind of a different way? Do you get a different regulator? A different quality of regulation? Is your -- I mean, is there a recognition that this new class of banks is being created?

Michael Turner

Analyst · NAB Research.

Well, I don't want to represent or speak for the regulators about their recognition, but I would say that, certainly, of course, our primary regulator is FDIC and that we've obviously regulized company by the Federal Reserve. And I would say about the growths do use the $10 billion threshold, there is sort of a line of demarcation later on when you move into a larger regional group. And so we have passed into that growth and that when we crossed $10 billion. And so the conversations are maybe slightly different but Harold and I wouldn't be meaningfully different than the conversations that we've had here before.

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · NAB Research.

No, I don't think so. Yes.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian Martin with FIG Partners.

Brian Martin

Analyst · FIG Partners.

I'll be short. I know it's getting long, so just a couple of last-minute things. Just going back to the deposits just for 1 minute. It sounds like from what you said earlier, I don't know if it's Terry or Harold, but just the -- some of the lack of deposit growth this quarter was the strength last quarter but also the timing issues with -- on these new producers, the loans come may be a little bit earlier than deposits. Does that seems fair as far as how we're thinking about things and as it plays out over the balance of the year?

Michael Turner

Analyst · FIG Partners.

I think it is through that loans typically will [indiscernible] the deposits. I think that's accurate.

Brian Martin

Analyst · FIG Partners.

Okay. All right. And Terry, you talked about just the M&A. You kind of addressed that in your prepared remarks. But just as far as it sounds like you're at least in a position to do a deal or something came along, like you said banks are sold. How would you characterize the opportunities today? Seems like there is been a little bit of slowdown in some bank M&A year-to-date. But just the opportunities that you're seeing out there, how would you characterize those today?

Michael Turner

Analyst · FIG Partners.

I would say that there are still a meaningful number of people that are at least in a mode to consider. [Indiscernible] get out of price in multiples and all those kinds of things but just maybe to give you something to think about, Harold, I'm not sure, but I think probably from the time that we announced the BNC transaction, we've had either 3 or 4 opportunities to sign an NDA, had we wanted to pursue transaction with somebody. So again, that's a pretty meaningful volume of opportunities and ideas, but again, it wasn't the right time for us. But anyway, is that helpful to you?

Brian Martin

Analyst · FIG Partners.

Yes. And I guess, just from the multiple standpoint, there is nothing that will prevent you, I mean, I guess, from where your multiples at today to consider if you are making something work, I guess, it seems -- or I guess as you say the stock has to be meaningfully higher before you'd likely think something could work out?

Michael Turner

Analyst · FIG Partners.

Yes. I don't put it in terms of what my stock has to be, I put in terms of what the earnings accretion has to be as those to function my stock and their stock. And so if earnings accretion is what we're looking forward, then that we'd be willing to consider a transaction.

Brian Martin

Analyst · FIG Partners.

That's helpful. And just the last 2, just Harold, just on the expenses side. I'm clear the under incentive this quarter as a lack of incentive. I guess, the $2 million or $3 million number you're, I guess, mentioning, is that an annualized number? So it's really only $0.5 million to $750 million this quarter? So I mean, have you had the full accrual in this quarter, what the -- I guess, what I'm asking is what the expenses have been 106 or -- 106 to 107? Or would it have been closer to 104.5?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · FIG Partners.

106, 107.

Brian Martin

Analyst · FIG Partners.

Okay, 106 or 107.

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · FIG Partners.

The $2 million is definitely a quarterly number.

Brian Martin

Analyst · FIG Partners.

Quarterly number. Okay, fair enough. Got it. And then just the last thing was on the -- you guys talked about may be the miss or, I guess, the underperformance of the fee income. When you look at the quarter, I guess, was it really a mortgage issue that was hurting the fee income outlook? I mean, the other component seem -- there was some seasonality with service charges but, I guess, the other -- we're also when we be looking as far as the future performance, it should kick up a little bit on the fee income side?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · FIG Partners.

Well, I think mortgage will come back to us. I think it's -- they will find their way. I think also BHG will find a way to get to 12% to 15% earnings growth for the year. So 9.5% might have been less than we anticipated in the first quarter, but I think they're well on their way.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian Zabora with Hovde Group.

Brian Zabora

Analyst · Hovde Group.

Just a question on average earning asset growth. On an average basis, it looks like security are down a little bit, cash down a little bit. I'd like to get your thoughts about kind of growth of average earning assets, is that going to be tracked closer to loan growth maybe with some deposit increase? Or just could you use some of those other categories to fund loan growth?

Michael Turner

Analyst · Hovde Group.

I'll answer it this way. We're at about 13% securities to total assets at the end of the first quarter. We all see that number going up very much at all. In fact, it will probably come down. So the move from, call it, short-term liquid assets to securities this quarter was fairly meaningful. It's doubtful you'll see that in the rest of the year. We'll see some average balance increase in the second quarter because of just timing in the first quarter. But yes, we will see quite the same kind of escalation in the second quarter that we saw in the first quarter.

Brian Zabora

Analyst · Hovde Group.

Understood. And then just lastly, a question on CRE concentrations. As you expected, it came up a little bit above that 300 threshold. Just wanted to get your updated thoughts. Do you expect still to be kind of temporary above that 300 threshold? Or could you operate for a longer period above that level?

Harold Carpenter

Analyst · Hovde Group.

Yes, we still believe that the 300 level, we'll stay -- we'll be above that in first half of the year and then we'll drop down. All construction, construction jobs up and the 100, we didn't breach the 100. We don't anticipate breaching the 100. But we'll likely to see construction begin to come down here in the second quarter and go down from here as the percentage of total risk-based capital.

Operator

Operator

And there are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to our host.

Michael Turner

Analyst

All right. Well, we appreciate being involved with some of the call today. We look forward to next quarter. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's presentation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.