Richard J. Johnson - Chief Financial Officer
Analyst · Banc of America
Thank you very much Tim, and good morning everyone. Now this was another solid quarter for PNC with earning of $1.22 per diluted share or $1.25 when adjusted for integration costs. I want to give you a couple of key takeaways for this quarter. First, a strong performance by our primary businesses was partially offset by week results in private equity and training activities, and a cross-border lease impact, which is why I believe PNC's adjust... PNC's core earnings were much higher than the $1.25 adjusted results reported above. Second, despite these softer items, we continue to create positive operating leverage with customer revenue growth and disciplined expense management. Third, our risk profile continues to be well positioned to deliver solid results in this challenging market environment. And finally, our fourth key takeaway, which is we remain confident in our ability to grow earnings, fund our investments, including Sterling and continue to commit to an $800 million share repurchase program for 2007. Now, let's take a look at slide five, and take a look at our revenues. First, the fee-based businesses, which account for a 58% of adjusted revenues, grew 10% in the first half of the year, compared with the first half of 2006. Second our low cost deposit franchise, which accounts for 20%... 6% of the adjusted revenues, grew 30% year-to-date. Third lending, the smallest contributor at 16% grew 13%. Of course, each of these growth percentages are impacted by market scale, but to a much greater extent in net interest income rather than fees due to the current business mix. Overall, we are differentiated by well balanced, higher quality, diverse revenue stream which requires a relatively less credit capital than our peers. Now digging deeper into non-interest income, our organic growth and Mercantile acquisition contributed to increases in most of our fee income categories. The most important is that each of our customer-driven fee income categories increased, both on the linked quarter and year-over-year basis, with or without Mercantile. For example, asset management revenues increased 14% on a linked quarter basis from a combination of client acquisition and market growth in our wealth management franchise, strong growth from BlackRock and of course the Mercantile acquisition. Brokerage revenues also increased 9% on a linked quarter basis. Fund servicing revenues increased 3% linked quarter, due to the successful conversion of two new significant client wins during the quarter, growth from existing clients and market appreciation. We saw high teen increases in consumer service fees and service charges on deposits versus the linked quarter, attributed to the success we've had in growing our customer base, deepening existing relationships and focusing on being a leader in the payment space. The Mercantile acquisition of course also added to this growth. In corporate, service fee revenue grew 11% over the last quarter due to growth in commercial mortgage servicing income, and higher treasury management fees, and M&A advisory services. On the other hand, private equity gains and trading, net expectations for the first half were down considerably in the second quarter versus a very strong first quarter. Although private equity results can be lumpy, we still expect full year private equity revenues to reach $60 million. And while our client trading activity was stable, our proprietary trading activity was down from the strong first quarter. We still believe we can expect to see an average of $45 million of trading revenue on a quarterly basis. So, all in all, we delivered double-digit non-interest income growth, despite the weaker results in private equity and trade. Our next largest contributor to revenue is our deposit franchise, where we again are differentiated by our ability, to get our low cost deposits through multiple channels. And we have been successful in growing on non-interest bearing deposits in each of our major channels, including consumer, business banking and Midland. Our smallest contributor to revenue is lending, where the market is still characterized by narrow spreads. However, we continue to see good origination volumes and we continue to sell credits that don't meet our risk/return criteria. Now regarding net interest margins, we performed as expected. On a year-to-date basis, our margin increased 7 basis points, primarily to the benefit of markets here. In summary, I'm pleased to our business mix, the 15% growth in year-to-date revenues, and the revenue growth momentum we have created. These trends demonstrate the strategic value of building a diverse revenue stream that when assembled can produce strong consistent growth and confidence in our outlook for the future. Our second key takeaway today is that while revenue growth is essential, the other important component of creating positive operating leverage is disciplined investing and expense management. This has been accomplished with 12% adjusted expense growth, only 3% of which is attributable to PNC without Mercantile. As you can see, this has produced strong positive operating leverage for the first six months. Relative to One PNC's initiative, I'm pleased to report, we delivered on the $400 million goal. We launched this initiative 2 years ago, not only as a heightened recognition to deliver better results for our shareholders, but also because we knew that the prevailing winds such as low credit cost will not be at our backs for long. This quarter is a great example. But the most important outcome of the One PNC initiative is the culture we have instilled with our continuous improvement program and how it is delivering positive operating leverage, while we continue to fund investments in our business, such as branch expansion, online banking, branding, new enhanced products in areas like credit card, similar to mortgages and emerging products in treasury management such as EL and PFPC's such as alternative investments. Going forward, we expect to see the cost saves related to the Mercantile transaction in the fourth quarter, following our September conversion, and we should recognize a pre-tax gain between $20 million to $30 million resulting from the BlackRock issuance of shares in the pending acquisition of Quellos Group. It all depends on where the BlackRock share price is at on closing day. Now despite the industry climate, our outlook for the year-over-year growth has not changed. We still expect that adjusted taxable equivalent net interest income will grow in the mid 20% range and adjusted non-interest income, to grow in the low teens. This will deliver total adjusted revenue growth in the high teens. On the other hand, adjusted non-interest expense growth is expected to grow in the low teens. Thus, we are still positioned to reach our goal creating positive operating leverage from 2006 to 2007, on an adjusted basis. And as we previously disclosed, we still expect further merger and integration costs to impact PNC's earnings in 2007. These one-time charges will be approximately $30 million after-tax in the third quarter and $8 million after-tax in the fourth quarter. We also expect to take a one-time after tax charge of $27 million related to the Yardville transaction in the fourth quarter of 2007, and we will continue to exclude gains or losses related to the mark-to-market of our BlackRock LTIP obligation from our adjusted earnings. Now let's turn to the third key takeaway for today's session. PNC is well positioned from a risk perspective. If you'll recall last quarter, we lowered our expectations on the full probabilities, resulting in a lower provision for credit loses than originally anticipated. This quarter, our provision as expected, returned to a more normal level of $54 million and our net charge-offs were $32 million. Now, unrelated to the provisioned increase, NPAs increased also, principally as a result of aligning Mercantile's credit exposure with PNC's risk rating criteria. Essentially the reserve levels of Mercantile's credit portfolio were adequate. Overall exposure to remain granular and FTA's total loans and our reserves total loans remain consistent with our disciplined approach to credit. Our exposure to sub-primes borrowers on and off our balance sheet continues to be relatively low and we will continue to expect minimal losses. The residential mortgage loans we've recently added to our balance sheet are of the highest quality. The bottom line is that, our asset quality remains very strong. Now turning to interest rate risk; our duration of equity at the end of the quarter was at approximately 3.2 years positive. The increase from the prior quarter was primarily driven by the increase in interest rates and the addition of the higher quality residential mortgage loans. We continue to believe we're well positioned for the current interest rate environment and an adequate balance sheet flexibility to change... to respond to changing market conditions. Our fourth and final key takeaway relates to our capital flexibility. We are in excellent position as it pertains to capital. We have created capital flexibility both from an economic and a regulatory standpoint. This flexibility allowed us to return $395 million of capital to our shareholders by buying back 5.4 million shares in the first half of 2007; increasing our second quarter common dividend by 15% and then at the same time we've been investing in our business, expanding our product capabilities through the acquisition of ARCS and preparing... then preparing to expand our distribution capabilities to the pending acquisitions of the Yardville and Sterling. As it relates to Sterling, this will be another effective use of our capital, and consistent with our strategy of in-footprint acquisitions with a 50% internal rate of return. Given our earnings momentum, our demonstrated ability to execute on our disciplined use of capital, we remain confident that we will have the capital flexibility necessary to complete the 800 million share repurchase program in 2007. So in summary, despite very challenging market conditions we are confidant we will continue to deliver solid results for the remainder of 2007. With that, I will turn it back to Jim.