Lillian Etzkorn
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open
Thanks Steve. Before taking you through our results, I would like to first say how excited I am to be part of the CPI [indiscernible] team. I've been here for two months and I couldn't be more enthusiastic about the business and the opportunities in front of us. My time at the Company so far has served to further solidify the reasons why I decided to join CPI. From a business perspective, I was attracted to CPI's profile, leading position in the large and attractive Financial Payment Card market, high levels of recurring demand for our products and services, strong customer satisfaction, constant product innovation, and strong free cash flow capabilities. These elements made CPI an incredibly attractive opportunity. When arriving at CPI, it was encouraging to learn that management and the Board welcomed looking at ways to drive continuous and sustainable business process improvement. To that end, I am excited and fortunate to be partnered with Steve and the rest of the management team to build on our leadership position in the market and advance our Company's long-term vision for growth and profitability. Now turning to our financial results, I'll first provide you with a review of our fourth quarter and full-year 2016 results, and then I will provide our guidance for full year 2017 before opening the call for questions. Fourth quarter net sales were $67.4 million and full year 2016 net sales were $308.7 million. On a full-year basis, this is a decrease of 17.5% compared with the prior year and up modestly from previous expectations. Product net sales of $36 million in the fourth quarter reflects a 53.7% year-over-year decrease in the number of U.S. Debit and Credit segment EMV chip cards sold. Services net sales grew 3.7% year-over-year to $31.4 million in the fourth quarter, primarily driven by growth in our Prepaid business and card personalization and fulfillment services. For full year 2016, product net sales decreased by 30.3% and services net sales increased by 5.8%. Moving down the income statement, gross profit for the fourth quarter was $20.4 million, representing a gross margin of 30.3%, compared with a gross margin of 33.6% in Q4 of 2051. The decrease in our gross margin from the prior year primarily reflects both the revenue decline and absorption of fixed costs, partially offset by an increase in our average selling prices and the cost reduction programs we initiated during the second quarter of 2016. For the full year 2016, gross profit was $101.9 million or 33% of net sales, compared with $135.8 million and 36.3% in 2015. Loss from operations in the fourth quarter of 2016 was negative $900,000, compared with operating income of $10 million in the prior year period. The change in income from operations primarily reflects the same factors impacting the gross profit margin, in addition to $1 million of patent and shareholder litigation and related charges, $2.7 million of an intangible asset impairment charge related to the discontinued use of a Company trade name, and $400,000 of severance charges. Offsetting these decreases was a $6.7 million decline in stock-based compensation. As a result, the Company incurred a $7.5 million charge in the fourth quarter – excuse me, as a reminder, the Company incurred a $7.5 million charge in the fourth quarter of 2015 related to the settlement of the Phantom Stock Plan in conjunction with the IPO. For the full year 2016, operating income was $29 million. We reported a net loss from continuing operations of $4 million or a loss of $0.07 per share in the fourth quarter of 2016, compared with a net loss from continuing operations of negative $1.6 million or $0.03 per share in the fourth quarter of 2015. We recorded a tax benefit of $2.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2016, compared to a tax expense of $1.3 million in the prior year. Our tax rate for the full year was 36.8%, which was up from 2015 due to the impact of state income taxes. For the full year 2016, net income from continuing operations was $5.4 million, compared with $31.3 million in the prior year. Now turning to our non-GAAP financial measures; adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2016 was $8.6 million, compared with $21.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2015. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 12.8% versus 23.3% in the fourth quarter of 2015. On a year-over-year basis, the changes in our adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA margin primarily reflect lower net sales and some corresponding impact of absorption of overhead costs from the lower EMV chip card sales volumes. For the full year 2016, we generated adjusted EBITDA of $57.2 million, representing an EBITDA margin of 18.5%, compared with adjusted EBITDA of $96.2 million in the prior year at a 25.7% margin. Adjusted net income from continuing operations was $100,000 for the fourth quarter of 2016, compared with $8.8 million in the prior year period. Adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations in the fourth quarter of 2016 were $0.0 compared with $0.16 in the prior year period. For full year 2016, adjusted net income from continuing operations was $15.7 million, down from $47.3 million in 2015. Full year 2016 adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations were $0.28. This is compared with $0.83 in the prior year, after making the pro forma adjustment to our 2015 shares outstanding for the 15 million shares issued in our IPO. Now turning to a review of our segments in Q4 of 2016; U.S. Debit and Credit segment net sales were $43.7 million for the fourth quarter, a 35.2% decrease from the prior year period. Segment EBITDA was $8.8 million, down from $19 million in the prior year period. The decline in our U.S. Debit and Credit segment results were predominantly driven by the year-over-year decrease in EMV card shipments. Average selling price of $0.97 in the fourth quarter were up slightly compared with the $0.96 in the third quarter of 2016. This increase is primarily due to customer mix. In our card personalization and fulfillment business, we generated a $2.6 million year-over-year increase in net sales during the fourth quarter, partially offsetting the decline in product net sales. U.S. Prepaid Debit segment net sales were $12.6 million in Q4, up 2% on a year-over-year basis. Revenue growth in our U.S. Prepaid Debit business reflected higher volume from sales activity, partially offset by lower prices. U.S. Prepaid Debit segment EBITDA was $3.2 million, down slightly on a year-over-year basis. Finality, our U.K. Limited segment net sales were $7.8 million in the fourth quarter, representing a decrease of 27.7% from the prior year period. Our U.K. Limited segment revenues were impacted by approximately $1.7 million due to the unfavorable foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations from a weaker British pound. On a constant currency basis, sales for the fourth quarter decreased 11.7% from the fourth quarter of 2015, reflecting softened volumes and card sales. U.K. Limited segment EBITDA was $1 million, compared with $1.5 million in the prior year. Moving on to some cash flow and balance sheet items; cash flow from operations for the fourth quarter was $20.2 million, and $60 million for the full year. Capital expenditures in the fourth quarter were $1.9 million and $14.3 million for the full year. 2016 full-year free cash flow was $45.7 million, up from $39.1 million in the prior year when excluding a $13.9 million payment related to the settlement of the Company's Phantom Stock Plan in 2015. We ended the quarter with a cash balance of $37 million and a net debt balance of $275.5 million. The total debt principal outstanding was $312.5 million. Netting the deferred financing costs and discounts, the recorded debt balance was $301.9 million. At December 31, 2016, our net debt leverage ratio was at 4.8x. As of December 31, 2016, we had approximately $77 million of available liquidity, comprised of a $40 million undrawn revolver and $37 million of cash on the balance sheet. In our press release issued this afternoon, we also announced that our Board of Directors approved a dividend of $0.045, payable on April 7, 2017 to stockholders of record at the close of business on March 17, 2017. We made no share repurchases during the fourth quarter, and for the full year we repurchased approximately 1.4 million shares of common stock for $6 million under the present share buyback authorization. Now turning to our 2017 guidance; we came out of a challenging market in 2016 in a strong position and feel very confident as we move into 2017. As Steve reviewed, we see three key areas of growth for our business in 2017. As it relates to our services business, we anticipate this will continue to be an area of growth, driven by solid demand from small and mid-sized institutions for our personalization and fulfillment solutions, ongoing penetration of our Card@Once offering, and growth of our new Print on Demand solution. Additionally, in the Prepaid market, we anticipate growth in 2017 with volume growth in the retail prepaid vertical and stronger growth in the B2B and B2C verticals of the prepaid market, including payroll, corporate incentives and benefits. As Steve reviewed, our recently launched Print on Demand solution positions us well to further penetrate the fast-growing B2B and B2C prepaid markets. As we continue to ramp up, the majority of the revenue for Print on Demand will occur in the second half of 2017. And finally, for the financial card manufacturing area, we expect to see overall industry to be fairly stable in 2017 in comparison to 2016 levels. As Steve discussed, we believe that EMV card penetration in the Debit and Credit markets will increase to about 80% by year-end 2017. We also anticipate that the continuing EMV migration will be balanced by a lower level of card replacement activity by several large issuers who have previously converted most of their cards to EMV. We expect modest growth in our EMV card manufacturing sales in 2017. Overall, we see the market to be stable this year. However, as we have begun the year, Q1 has ramped up slower than anticipated. Historically, Q1 revenue is on average 20% of the full year. Calendarization of the sales volume in both 2015 and 2016 were impacted by EMV card migration patterns, so they are not good comparisons for expected cadence. For 2017 specifically, we expect Q1 revenue to be about 17% to 18% of the full-year results, reflecting both the more typical calendarization and also the slower ramp-up that we have seen in volume. Adjusted EBITDA will also be more heavily weighted Q2 through Q4. In terms of the full year, we expect 2017 net sales to be between $315 million and $340 million, which reflects the growth rate of 2% to 10% over 2016 results. The tempering in growth rate reflects both a higher-level sales of 2016 performance than we previously anticipated and also the slower ramp-up in the first quarter volumes. GAAP earnings per share is expected to be between $0.22 and $0.32 and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.35 to $0.46 in 2017. Our GAAP earnings per share range do not take into account any impact to interest expense for debt repayments, including acceleration of amortization of debt issuance costs and discount. We expect to generate adjusted EBITDA in 2017 between $64 million and $73 million, which is a strong improvement over 2016 results by about 10% to 27%. The 2017 adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to be between 20.3% to 21.5%. In summary, we believe we are well-positioned to grow the business in 2017 and deliver shareholder value. With that, [Takia] [ph], please open the call for questions.