Andy Marsh
Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Teal. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining the Plug Power’s third quarter 2016 earnings call. Before I get started, I want to highlight that beginning this quarter, Plug Power’s quarterly financial results will no longer include the non-GAAP measures, adjusted revenue, adjusted gross margin, adjusted EBITDA, or adjusted EPS to reflect the impact of deployed Power Purchase Agreements transactions under alternative financing arrangements. However, we will continue to provide supplemental information to all external stakeholders as we believe it’s important we convey the company’s overall progress in growth and cost-downs and to maintain complete transparency. Now, turning to the third quarter. We’re very pleased with our performance as it validates our ongoing commitment to deliver ongoing improvements through our operating model as driving margin expansion as we move towards sustainable positive cash flow to grow market share among our blue chip customer base, expand the globe for opportunity to grow our customer base, and identify partnerships and other opportunities to expand the market for hydrogen and fuel cell energy solutions, and lastly, to effectively manage our balance sheet. Now, let me go into a little more detail of our third quarter performance, which is indicative of our strong business model and operating fundamentals. We recorded over $170 million in year-to-date contract bookings, which is a third of the pace we saw in the first three quarters of 2015. Our booking mix is healthy, as we closed two new mobility customers, both of whom are perfect fit with our target audience of blue chip customers with a substantial supply chain network. Quarterly activity also included expansion from our existing customer base, including Walmart, Sysco and Home Depot. Looking ahead, we remain encouraged that the trajectory of our booking pace and the pipeline remains robust in the fourth quarter, including ongoing discussions with customers on long-term multi-site agreements. Our booking pipeline is not only critical to our long-term success, but also adds a level of predictability to the business model, which is important to all stakeholders. The underlying success of the business is also translating into tangible top and bottom line returns for our shareholders. Plug Power recognized 14 – $17.6 million as GAAP revenue during the quarter. Activities include the commissioning of four new GenKey sites and it’s a deployment of of 950 GenDrive units. Three of the sites were deployed under PPA arrangements with the latest systems having a value of approximately $17.3 million. And they continue revenue growth, we’re focused on leveraging our scale and controlling costs, which is leading to continued margin improvements. Third quarter GAAP margins were 2.2%, to approximately break-even this time last year, representing a meaningful improvement in our operating model. We anticipate this will improve dramatically as we see a more non-PPA mix in future results. Additionally, systems deployed under the PPA arrangements have values in excess of cost of $5.8 million. We continue to benefit from large margin expansion of our GenDrive products. This margin levels approached 40% during the third quarter. And the latest example of the impressive progress we are making with the product, our newest version the Class 2 model represents a cost reduction nearly 50% from the prior version. Improvements will result switching to a Plug Power stack, which directly lower costs, while greatly reducing the complexity of the system. These changes not only improved margins, but also improved reliability and efficiency of the units. We estimate for the second-half of 2016, over 70% of the units shipped will contain Plug Power stacks. We remain committed to executing on the goals we shared at the beginning of the year. As a result of eliminating certain non-GAAP measures in our reporting process, combined with a heavier than expected mix at PPA deployment, we’ve adjusted our full-year 2016 guidance metrics to more appropriately reflect the long-term health of the business. Execution year-to-date has been on track with our internal expectations. And as I mentioned earlier, our sales pipeline remains robust. As we think about how we see the full-year 2016 shaping up, we anticipate GAAP revenues coming in between $85 million to $95 million, value of PPA deployments coming in between $60 million to $65 million, GAAP gross margins coming in a range of between 6% to 10%. contract bookings coming in at $275 million or better in line with the original guidance and deployed GenDrive units of between 3,800, to 4,000 units. Regarding cash, our goal remains to use less than $20 million in operating cash for 2016. As we saw in the third quarter, the timing of cash collection can impact this metric. We’re maintaining tight control costs and keeping our eye on timing of deployment and our efforts to achieve this goal. ‘ Given the growth and margin expansion we’re seeing, coupled with our confidence in the expansion of the investment tax credit, we expect to be cash flow positive in 2017. Our long-term goal of material handling remains to drive industry-leading growth in customer deployments through new sales and long-term engagements with existing customers, while expanding margins across all product lines resulting in a sustainable growing enterprise that is reliably cash flow positive and profitable. As we think about the core business continues to evolve and improve one really exciting initiative or how we’re leveraging the industrial Internet of Things or IOT to improve the overall performance of the systems we deploy to our customers, by allowing all devices to be connected, including GenDrives, hydrogen dispensers, and our GenFuel infrastructures we’re not only able to control these devices remotely, but more importantly can collect and analyze the data when the health for the systems in real-time. Our goal is to be invisible to our customers. This is we want our systems to work and work better than the power solutions they previously utilized. Collecting critical data from our system allow us to more – be more effective in the way we service our customers. First, we can see the data in real-time, allowing us to identify issues early and giving our service team the ability to address problems before they have a chance to cause any disruption to our customers’ operations. Second, we can track and analyze the data over time, allowing our team to predict that there will be an issue before it happens. This allows us to be better managed and spread our service resources to reduce costs and improve performance. This initiative is creating significant value for both Plug Power and our customers one driving lower service costs. As you can see in our third quarter results, service gross margins were positive for the first time. While there may be some variability in the next few quarters based on mix and timing, the reality is the application of these tools and data combined with improvements in product performance and reliability is driving meaningful progress towards our goals of better than 30% gross margins for service in the long-term. This will also be enhanced through leveraging increased customer concentration in certain geography, such as, Chicago and Ohio, where we have new service centers that can spread the cost of service among notable sites in those areas. Two, improving uptime. Over the past three years, the GenDrive fleet is nearly triple and we’re seeing the number of breakdowns per unit dropped by nearly 70%, as a result of improved design in the beginning effects of our IoT strategy. Cost per units deployed to maintain our 97% or better upside for our customers continues to drop, as evidenced in our improving service margins. And lastly, customer service, which is a significant element to our success of expanding our solutions among our existing blue chip customers, folks such as Walmart and Home Depot. Moving on to the future Plug Power, I have a pleasure speaking to you today from just outside of Shanghai, China, which represents a major long-term market opportunity for Plug Power, while we remain focused on the near-term goal of maintaining our growth rate and reaching sustained profitability by applying our technology within the Material Handling segment. We must continually explore new market opportunities in order to both maintaining our industry-leading position in fuel cell technology and a lot and massive opportunity for long-term growth. Our rationale for dedicated resources in this region is based on the following. First, China has made the hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, a key component report on the country’s energy revolution program, which includes over $100 million in investment and runs through. As a result, China is projected to be the largest mobile fuel cell market in the world within the next two to three years. Second, state local governments were committed to significant subsidies to increase user adoption of fuel cell-based technologies. Specifically, the program’s initial focus is on fuel cell power fleet vehicles, including regional and private buses and light-duty trucks, as well as the hydrogen infrastructure required to make the systems work. Third, China hydrogen fuel cell initiative is a perfect complement to Plug Power’s experience, technology, and suite of products. We can enter the market with a technology and cost structure advantage that’s not matched by anyone else. And lastly, our ability to innovate and meet the Chinese market demand will enable us to be more competitive in our existing material handling market as we expect substantial product synergies. While the China’s market – Chinese market opportunity is abundant, we know that we must be prudent in how we address it in order to effectively allocate resources. I’m exploring potential partnerships and customers to facilitate an effective entrance into the market and we look forward to updating you on our progress in the near future. Finally, I’d be remiss, if I didn’t take a moment to address the investment tax credit. As we mentioned on our call last quarter, we fully expect the issue to be resolved by the end of 2016. Given our continued conversations with representatives very close to the situation, support for the bill exist on both sides of the aisle. And we are optimistic that it will be signed during the lame-duck session in December with a resolution is to slip past December there remains a high probability it will be completed after January 1, and we’ll be retroactively applied. Although, we have every reason to believe, we will achieve the desired outcome. We have been judicious in developing a contingency plan, and we’ll continue to drive the business forward in the event the credit is not renewed. The lacerative tax credit will push out our timetable for sustained positive cash flow from 2017 to 2018 but do not impact the growth for the potential we see in the market. We remain committed to executing our strategy of continuous improvement and driving customer value and satisfaction that we believe will yield sustainable growth for our shareholders in the future. And with that, let me now turn this call over to Plug Power’s CFO, Paul Middleton.