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Plug Power Inc. (PLUG)

Q1 2014 Earnings Call· Wed, May 14, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Plug Power Incorporated 2014 First Quarter Financial Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host for today, Ms. Teal Vivacqua, Director of Marketing. Thank you. You may begin.

Teal Vivacqua

Management

Good morning, and welcome to the Plug Power 2014 first quarter earnings conference call. This call will include forward-looking statements including but not limited to statements regarding our expectations for future business and financial performance, bookings, product shipments, revenue margins, EBITDA, geographic and market expansion and inorganic growth. We intend these forward-looking statements to be covered by the Safe Harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. We believe that it is important to communicate our future expectations to our investors. However, investors are cautioned not to unduly rely on forward-looking statements because they involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those discussed as a result of various factors including, but not limited to the risks and uncertainties discussed under item 1A Risk Factors and in our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2013; as well as other reports we file from time-to-time with the SEC. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the day on which the statements are made, and we do not undertake or intend to update any forward-looking statements after this call. At this point, I’d like to turn the call over to Plug Power’s CEO, Andy Marsh.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Thank you, Teal. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining the call today. During our first quarter of 2014, we’ve had several significant events there were good news, both in the short term and in the long-term as we improve upon the foundations we were laying for our continued growth. I would like to start out by discussing our recent stock offering. Two weeks ago, Plug Power closed a public stock offering that resulted in $116 million of new capital for the company. We’ve raised these funds working alongside Morgan Stanley and Barclays. The capital raise gives Plug Power to over $174 million in cash on its balance sheet to support continued business growth. With this funding, we can now execute activities associated with accelerating revenue and enhancing margins. I want to reinforce that Plug Power is building a business for long-term substantial growth, and we believe being properly funded for this growth is in the best interest of the company and its investors. Our strategic objectives include growing the sales force to address increasing demand for Plug Power products, directing capital expenditures and expanding into new markets including Europe and Asia, completing opportunistic acquisitions; and focusing on hydrogen generation and distribution opportunities. First, I would like to discuss the importance of hydrogen fueling. Plug Power is the first hydrogen fuel cell company to address the conundrum that applies to development of the entire fuel cell industry, what comes first, the fuel cell infrastructure of the vehicle. Plug Power addressed this issue by focusing on powering a type of fleet vehicles, a forklift truck, which consumes hydrogen at a rate comparable to the consumption at a present-day gas station. The cost of the infrastructure on a per mile fuel basis become less significant as more hydrogen is consumed. Full utilization…

David P. Waldek

Management

Thank you, Andy, and good morning, everyone. Before I jump into the first-quarter numbers, I want to reiterate a few financial updates. Our cash balance today is approximately $174 million. As of March 31, our working capital was $72.6 million. Subsequently, we received net proceeds of approximately $116.3 million from a public offering completed last month. During the first quarter of 2014, we shipped 165 GenDrive units. And as of March 31, our backlog was comprised of 3,063 unit orders. Product and service revenue for the first quarter was $5.3 million compared to $6 million for the first quarter of 2013. Research and development contract revenue for the quarter was $346,000 compared to $400,000 during the first quarter of 2013. The gross margin for products and services for the first quarter was a loss of $2.2 million compared to the gross margin loss of $2 million for the first quarter of 2013. The gross margin loss in the first quarter of 2014 resulted primarily from fixed overhead costs associated with the number of units shipped compared to our capacity, as well as costs incurred to service the installed base. In our operating expense categories, selling, general and administrative expenses were $3.3 million for the quarter compared to $2.9 million in the first quarter of 2013. Research and development expense for the quarter was $1.3 million compared to $750,000 during the first quarter of last year. The operating loss for the quarter was $7.4 million compared to an operating loss of $6.4 million in the first quarter of 2013. Our net loss for the quarter included a $68.4 million non-cash charge related to the change in fair value of common stock warrants. Including that charge, the net loss was $75.9 million or $0.57 per share on a basic and diluted basis.…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Matt Koranda with ROTH Capital. Please proceed with your question. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Good morning, Andy. Thanks for taking my questions.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Good morning, Matt. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Just wanted to start out with Q1. Looks like you guys broke out product and service revenues separately this quarter which is helpful. Can you talk about service revenues for a moment? Was a portion of that associated with GenKey contracts, and if so, how much?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Dave, do you want to take that? I’ll take it quick. Very little of that was with GenKey contracts. As I mentioned on the call, Matt, we’re at the moment turning up the first GenKey site at Walmart’s facility in Pottsville. So, we’ll start seeing the GenKey revenue for the infrastructure and the hydrogen really filling in second, third and fourth quarter. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Okay. That’s great. And then the service gross margins looked kind of low, can you just talk about what happened there?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

I think that one – I think the key item, Matt, is that we have been building up the service team to support the GenKey offering as we move into more and more facility in 2014. For example, the teams for the Walmart sites both in Pottsville and Johnstown are already on staff because we want to make sure that the execution is flawless when we turn it over. So, that is the primary reason that the service revenue as we build up some fixed cost prior to the revenue being recognized. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Okay. So it’s fair to expect that service revenue should improve as we head through 2014 kind of quarter-by-quarter?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

So, when we think about the service business, and I’ve said this before, it’ll be the fourth – the product business will be as a head of the service business in reaching gross margin positive. And we expect the service business to be gross margin positive by the fourth quarter. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Okay. That’s helpful. And then 2014 outlook, you guys said $75 million for the year, any updates on sort of the quarterly pacing of those revenues? I know the last call you provided a bit of color. Any updates there?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

So, I would expect, as Dave said, the second quarter will come in, in the $16 million to $18 million range. And on the third quarter, I would expect that number to be, I would think in the terms of the mid-20s, I would say. And I’d use the mid-20s, I would think in the range of 22 to 25. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Okay. That’s helpful. Then, I guess, for 2015, I think I heard you say potentially product revenues of $100 million to $135 million, did I hear that right?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Total revenues. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Total revenues. Okay. So, the total revenues, 2015, $100 million to $135 million.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Well, yes, I, one of the reasons, Matt – look, company recently had the opportunity to raise capital and we’ve taken a look and said to ourselves, for us not to be thinking as a company, how to grow this business quicker for our investors, we would think would have been foolish. So we’re putting additional $2.5 million in sales. I have big sales meeting next week with everybody coming in as we build out the sales team. And we’ve been on record that we expect next year to be around $100 million in revenue. And with the increased interest, increased demand, and being able to reach customers, we feel that number should be around $130 million today. And we wouldn’t be able to do it unless we had sales people in place with the customer. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Okay. That’s helpful. A couple more here. One on sort of the pipeline, if you will. You’ve highlighted some potentially large deals similar to the recent Walmart deal in the past. Can you discuss where things stand on the larger potential orders in your pipeline? What stage of the pipeline are they in, and when could we see another potential announcement on one of these larger GenKey orders?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

I would, Matt – just to give you a feel for the first big GenKey order, it took me six, seven months from start to end, but I would start thinking third quarter. I would think that by the end of the second quarter, we’re probably close to two-thirds of the way towards our goal for bookings for the year and that we’d be targeting a significant announcement of third, fourth-quarter-type timeframe. But I’d circle late third quarter at the moment. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Okay. Great. One more here. Sorry. Go ahead.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

And, Matt, obviously, that’s speculative, but there’s a good deal of work that’s been going into it, and I think you always highlight why I’m investing more in sales, too, because I find these big deals require one salesperson full time to make sure they happen. And that’s what we did with Walmart, and one of the reasons I’m actually assigning individuals who would just have responsibility for a single account to accelerate and close those deals. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Okay. Good. That’s helpful color. One more here, on the last business update call, I think you said you had about $80 million in bookings year-to-date. I know it’s only a few weeks ago, but it looks like it kind of still stands at about $80 million today. Can you just clarify for us; have you booked any orders since the last update call? I mean what’s going on there?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Yeah. We have and because I don’t have the numbers exactly in front of me at the moment. But we booked some orders. The orders come in chunks, Matt. I expect that you’ll probably, as I mentioned before, by the end of the quarter, see us about two-thirds on the way to our $150 million bookings all for the year. Matt Koranda – Roth Capital Partners LLC.: Okay. Thanks, Andy. I’ll jump back in queue.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Okay. Thanks, Matt.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Rob Stone with Cowen & Company. Please proceed with your question. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Hi, Andy. What’s going on?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Hey, Rob. How are you? Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Good, good. I have quite a few questions also, but I wanted to follow up on your comments about next year. So, you had, as I recall, $50 million in backlog at the end of last year, and you’re targeting $150 million in bookings this year. So, if we deduct $75 million in billings, you would enter next year with $125 million or so in backlog. It seems like putting the low end of a range at $100 million for next year is pretty conservative. Are there some issues around timing? Or help us understand what could drive the range of revenue for next year. Thanks.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Remember, Rob, about 30% to 40% – say 30% of our revenue is going to be recurring revenue for GenKey and GenFuel. And that revenue will be recognized over a five-year-type timeframe. So, if you’re walking into – with a backlog up $125 million, think about for hardware-type products, that’s equivalent to about the $90 million product backlog. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Okay. And…

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

And then Rob, just to be clear, so that product backlog is GenDrive and the GenFuel infrastructure. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Okay. With respect to your target for 650 units or so this quarter, can you say how linear those shipments are likely to be? Are product spikes sort of halfway through?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Yeah. Actually, I don’t have my exact numbers out, but I can tell you by the end of the week, I’ll have over 270 units out for Walmart and I’ve shipped additional units already. So I’ve shipped over half the quarter so far. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Okay. You talked about increased....

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

And people walk – the factory has never been this active. And it’s actually been running – I measure how well it’s running by how often I have to get involved in issues and the factory has been running incredibly smooth. Components are coming in time. The units are running through tests well. I know units that had been put online at sites, even this morning, I was getting reports how cleanly the products are coming up. I’m pretty pleased with that, the factory and our service team’s execution so far this quarter. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: With respect to the increased investment in operating expenses for sales, do you have a comment on what you are expecting for total OpEx this year and linearity of that? It was a little higher than we modeled in Q1. Should we expect it to just be rising quarter-by-quarter? Is there a significant second half waiting? Any color there would be great.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Yeah. So, let me look at my numbers here, Rob, just to make sure I give you some accurate numbers. So, if I look at operating expenses, I would think we would leave the fourth quarter somewhere between $675 million and $725 million. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Okay.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Okay. And that includes, Rob, stock compensation, depreciation and amortization. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Okay.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

From a cash basis, I would subtract out of that $1 million. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Okay. Alright. With respect to the hydrogen fuel opportunity, can you give us a sense of the GenKey deals that you’ve signed before, I guess, nine of them? What that represents in kind of annual – once they’re all up and running I recognize that’s going to be a while for now, but once they’re installed, what is the level of hydrogen consumption on an annualized basis?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

So, I would think in terms of, Rob, that the infrastructure itself depending upon the complexity is probably somewhere between $800,000 to $1.2 million initial revenue. And I would think that based on the size of the site, hydrogen revenue would be between $250,000 to $500,000 a year. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: That’s per site?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Per site. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Okay, great. Final question is on ReliOn, which I guess accounts for the delta between your prior target of $70 million and now $75 million, how should we think about external sales for ReliOn versus using that technology internally going forward?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

So, I guess the primary reason we acquired ReliOn was for the stack technology to reduce the cost and provide us a second sourcing for low-power stacks. We look at the wireless backup business where there are some customers with people like AT&T, Sprint, Verizon. I think about that business as, if we can find a solution for hydrogen distributions for retail stores, there could be an opportunity to expand that business more rapidly. Our intent is to run that, the product portion of that business, in the – by the fourth quarter this year at an EBITDA breakeven type level. We don’t view the telecom business as core to our activity every day, but if there’s a way that we can leverage that acquisition via our hydrogen distribution model, there is a potential we could grow that into not only a technology offering to the company, but also an opportunity to expand revenue. I mean, as I mentioned in the talk today, I think fuel cells are reliable and dependable and its how one delivers fuel to the fuel cells which are important. And ReliOn has a very reliable product. Their challenge is how to bring fuel to wireless sites. It’s fundamentally why I exited that business four or five years ago, but we think that GenKey and some simple bumping technology, there’s a possibility that we could develop regions where fuel cells make a logical choice for telecom operators to replace diesel or batteries with fuel cells. As you know, Rob, I spent about 30 years of my life in that business exactly. 30 years of my life in that business and I do see the value fuel cells can bring. It’s how you bring fuel to those products that are really critical. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Great. My final question Andy is, in the prepared remarks, there were something about a delay in government funding. Is that related to some of these funded R&D efforts in the new segments like ground support equipment? Any comment on what’s going on in those...

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

No, Rob, that’s actually – there were some 1603 funding from deferred revenue that we expect at the second quarter, and we now see that going into the third quarter. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: So, any update on the expansion segments, ground support equipment and range extenders and TRUs?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Sure. So, I don’t think I’ve said this publicly. So, I’ll say it publicly at the moment. We had the FedEx facility, we are actually doing the hydrogen infrastructure at the Memphis airport. So, we are planning to have that online in the third quarter and starting deployment. So, that’s exciting. At the Walmart facility in Jonestown, we are actually putting in place the hydrogen infrastructure to support the transport refrigeration units. So, not only are we providing some demonstration products, we’re also putting a fueling station in place. And I think that Federal Express is really important because at Memphis, we’re putting in hydrogen on site that can support hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of units that they have. So, their initial plans were to put a small system in place. We convinced them to put a larger system in place using GenKey which I find quite exciting. Robert Stone – Cowen & Company, LLC.: Excellent. Thank you, Andy.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Thanks, Rob.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from Craig Irwin with Wedbush Securities. Please proceed with your question. Craig Irwin – Wedbush Securities Inc.: Good morning. Andy, it seems like some of your more interesting orders have come out of customers that have significant experience already with your product. Can you update us on your discussions with existing customers? How many of the roughly 25 are considering follow-on orders at this point? And what do you expect in your guidance as far as any contribution from additional follow-on orders this year or would these potentially be incremental to the guidance that you’ve discussed on this call?

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Good question, Rob. There were – again, it’s actually another reason that we’re investing more heavily in the sales scene, Craig. If I step back, we have about 12 or 13 customers who have been repeat purchasers of the product. People like Mercedes, BMW, Walmart, Kroger, Cisco to just to name a few. And with many of these customers we have discussions going on about the drawing out a larger segment, larger number of products. And I think as I mentioned to Matt earlier, we expect to announce a significant deal by the end of the third quarter. I think what’s also important is that there are about – we have about 20 customers. I would say 10 to 12 are repeat buyers which we want to increase the take rate. And I can tell you the stronger balance sheet is going to help us a lot. I hired a new salesperson this week, who was working with one of the leading battery companies, and he said that their sales pitch against us is we’re going to run out of business. I don’t think that’s the case at the moment. So, if you look at the 12 to 15 repeat customers, I think that we’ve actually taken the financial risk issue completely off the table. With the increased sales force to focus, I think there’s an opportunity to close more deals quicker. And the general question to me is why not all the Walmart sites and I think that through execution and the possibility that more and more – Walmart is kind of a company that does the same thing over and over again. I think that can grow with Walmart. I think people like Kroger doing two sites this year. Obviously we’re in discussions about more. People like P&G…

David P. Waldek

Management

I think it’s a question of servable addressable market, Craig. If you think about it, the distribution centers are probably going in manufacturing facilities. New ones probably get built at rates close to the growth in GDP or population growth rate. So, the opportunities for greenfields are much less than they are for brownfields. I think last time I did a look, we win quite honestly a higher percentage of greenfield sites when we go after them versus brownfields. They’re just less of them. And I can tell you that a few customers have said to me, and I kind of enjoyed the one told me it’s just a no brainer for greenfield. The question is there’s just – if I base this business on just chasing greenfield site, we would not have the revenue growth rate that we’re experiencing at the moment. Craig Irwin – Wedbush Securities Inc.: Great. Thank you for taking my questions.

David P. Waldek

Management

It was pleasure talking to you, Craig.

Operator

Operator

At this time, I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. Marsh for closing comments.

Andrew J. Marsh

Management

Well, thank you for joining us today on Plug Power’s first quarter 2014 business results and financials. And everyone, have a good day. Thank you.