Dorvin Lively
Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open
Sure, Randy. We use a company called Buxton as you know, and we’ve using them now for the last five years or so. And we were really kind of a dream client for them. Because if you think about us versus a QSR, where you know who’s walking in the door, maybe, if there’s a royalty program, we know where every member lives. And therefore, when we were able to give them back in that day probably 500, 600 stores so we could give them a very broad cross-section of America. From urban to rural to East to West, different ethnicities, et cetera. So what they were able to do then was to plot those members in and around, call it, 500-plus stores to see what kind of market penetration we were getting in that time on a store by store basis. And then based upon those demographics, based upon those store sizes in terms of member accounts, we were able then to plot out the rest of the U.S. What I would say today is that there is clearly markets where we over index in terms of a higher market penetration. As you mentioned, and as Chris was talking a while ago in New Hampshire we have like 10% of the population. In the Northeast, we’re about 4.5% to 5% of the population. And then you go out West, it’s barely 1.5% or so in terms of market penetration. But there is very distinct markets in some of these different regions of the country where we already have 8%, 10%, 12% market penetration in the market. And so the way we look at it then, is now we can plot the 1,400 stores and we can see where our market penetration is doing very well. Maybe we have a lot more stores there and we’ve been there longer. But then we go to other markets, like in LA, which we haven’t been in LA for a long time now. But as we put more and more stores, we see that those stores continue to perform. To Chris’ point earlier, which we believe is driven by the benefits of the Black Card, the value proposition that you get from a $10 membership, from the $21.99 and rest of processes, et cetera. So we still feel very confident in our ability to hit that 4,000 number.