Peter Kirlin
Analyst · UBS. Your line is open
Thank you, Troy and good morning everyone. Earlier this morning, we released our fourth quarter results, which are in line with our preliminary results posted early November excluding the tax benefit. Still this quarter was the lowest we have seen since early 2014 before forming the joint venture in Taiwan. We experienced a double-digit decline in sales and corresponding decline in operating income. Needless to say, we are very disappointed in these results and did not anticipate the decline in demand we have provided the fourth quarter guidance in August. I will explain why demand for our products was so immediate during the fourth quarter before providing our 2017 outlook. Over the last decade, Photronics has been extremely successful of building a leading presence in the merchant photomask market. This was achieved by concentrating our high-end products that offer higher growth potential. One downside to the high-end business is that the customer concentration is much greater. For example, our high-end FPD business is primarily weighted to two large customers. Similarly high-end IC sales are generated by handful of customers. Tipping a fleet, if we see soft demand from one high-end customer, stronger sales from one or more of the others with different end-market exposure offset that decline. However, during the most recent quarter, demand from essentially all of our high-end customers, was soft. Some of this was expected as we stated during our last conference call, but some of the softness was not expected, which drove the shortfall in sales. Sean will provide more granularity in his comments, but the weaknesses fell across all markets. In FPD, the industry is transitioning from LCD to OLED, leading our largest customer to announce the retooling of a second factory in Q4. In addition, this same customer redirected significant manufacturing capacity to produce millions of AMOLED displays as a result of a product recall thereby significantly reducing the mass demand. In logic, 14-nanometer and 28-nanometer RAMs were choppy driven by end-market demand and/or customers yield and loading and did not play out favorably for us during the quarter. And in memory, one of our largest customers is between new transfers in both NAND and DRAM and new devices have not yet appeared in especially memory market, which is also making a node transition. Combining all of these factors resulted in very weak demand in contrast to the fourth quarter of 2014 just 1 year ago when all our markets were strong and we achieved record results. As always, we have reacted by reducing cost to minimize the impact to margins. Given the high fixed cost of our operation, you must pull a lot of small levers have a meaningful impact on cost and we are working very hard to maximize profitability. You can see this in our income statement where operating expenses for the quarter were down sequentially and year-over-year. The good news from the quarter is the cash flow remained relatively healthy allowing us to strengthen our balance sheet, which is crucial as we continue to evaluate opportunities to consolidate our industry or diversify our business. While we want to take the needed time to respond to your questions on our near-term performance, we also want to remind everyone of our long-term opportunities and where we are heading as an organization. Our long-term strategy consists of three primary objectives: winning new high-end business; expanding market share in mainstream; and extending our presence geographically. There are several drivers in 2017, which will help us advance in meeting these objectives. The flat panel display industry is in an inflection point as technology for the most advanced mobile devices transitions from LCD to OLED. New technology offers improved visual quality and lower power consumption, two important characteristics for consumers. While estimates vary OLED penetration in the smartphone displays today is approximately 20%. By 2020, this penetration is expected to more than double to between 40% and 50%. The biggest driver of this shift is expected to be the adoption of AMOLED by Apple beginning in 2017. We are investing in additional capacity to prepare for this increase in demand and look to ramp production at the end of our second quarter. Our expectation is that by the end of 2017, the new tools we install will be running near full capacity. Beyond 2017, we believe OLED penetration to not only smartphones, but also other existing and new display applications will continue to be a source of growth for us. Turning to memory IC, it is encouraging to see price improvements for both DRAM and NAND, the producers of leading edge memory who are already reporting better sales. A healthier price environment has triggered many of the specialty memory companies to ramp up design activity as they transitioned to 2X DRAM technology. It will take some time for these designs to make it to the manufacturing floor and drive demand for new masks, but we do expect to see this demand beginning in our second quarter. Additionally, the leading edge memory producers are expected to continue moving to new nodes and to introduce new memory architectures. This should also provide us opportunities that are likely weighted towards the second half of the year. High-end IC logic has to be more volatile than any of our other high-end markets. The typical pattern is that a customer installs new capacity, that capacity is filled at a speed dictated by yields and this drives new mass demand. Then orders pause until additional capacity is installed. This last quarter was one of those pauses between capacity availability for new designs. Over the cycle the trend is up until the rate as we have seen over the last few years high quarter-to-quarter variability is the way that smart segment behaves. Looking forward, we see growth occurring in the traditional areas of Taiwan and Korea with more and more tilt towards China. Speaking of China, our investment there is moving forward. We anticipate breaking ground in February and capital outlays in 2017 will be primarily directed at the facility and clean-room. The majority of the spending for the first wave of equipment is planned for 2018. A second wave of equipment spending is anticipated in the 2020 timeframe. Our plan provides the flexibility to delay or accelerate orders based upon market conditions. We are also continuing to evaluate the possibility of increasing the percentage of redeployed tools, which will reduce overall cash outflows for the project. We see China as the next phase of growth for our business and are managing our corporate wide capital investments accordingly. Therefore, we do not expect our capital spending to deviate from historical norms as a percentage of revenue moving forward. Overall view of the China market has not changed since we announced the facility last quarter. We remain excited about the opportunity and we are coming for our company, our customers and our shareholders. In November, we announced a relatively small acquisition of manufacturing assets, intellectual property from internet graphics. While the financial impact is not expected to be material to our 2017 results, there are several reasons we like this transaction. First, it provides us with the toolset with the cost structure needed to profitably manufacture large area IC masks. These are primarily 1x lithography products, similar to our display masks, but through the IC packaging market at a lower price point. Second, we have obtained intellectual property for both advanced packaging and 3D microstructure arrays. Together, these capabilities provide us with an entry into the advanced packaging space. An area that is in the early stages of what we believe to be a secular growth phase over the next several years. As Moore’s Law slows, advanced packaging technology such as TSMC’s wafer level standout packaging, were enabling device makers to shrink the size and/or power consumption at the system level, which is a clear differentiator for mobile products such as mobile phones like tablets. And as advanced packaging develops, we believe 1x lithography complexity will advance which plays directly into our core capability. As you can see the prospects in front of us during the next 12 to 24 months providing ample growth opportunities, while I would like to see a more positive demand environment now, I like our position in the market and the growth opportunities ahead. There is a lot of work on you to get there, but I remain confident we are on the right path. With that, I would now turn the call over to Sean to provide more detail on our Q4 performance and outlook.