Tom Baltimore
Analyst · Compass Point. Your line is now live
Thank you, Ian, and welcome, everyone. I'm pleased to report that we delivered better-than-expected performance in the first quarter with RevPAR essentially flat despite a tough comparison to last year when our portfolio significantly outperformed in almost every market, resulting in nearly 8% RevPAR growth compared to the first quarter of 2023. Our Bonnet Creek complex in Orlando and Casa Marina resort in Key West continued to lead the portfolio following their transformative renovations with first quarter RevPAR increasing by 14% and 12%, respectively, and we were very pleased to see broad-based strength in several of our core markets with Miami, New Orleans, Puerto Rico, Washington, D.C. and San Francisco reporting above industry average RevPAR gains. Results from our Hilton Hawaiian Village Hotel, which continues to recover from the labor strike last fall, offset these gains, causing a 420 basis point drag on our first quarter results. From a capital allocation perspective, it was another productive quarter as we remain laser focused on allocating capital to unlock the embedded value in our portfolio and maximize shareholder returns. We initiated over $80 million of capital improvements during the quarter, while we plan to execute the second phase of renovations at both of our Hawaii hotels during the third quarter alongside with the second phase of main tower guest room renovations at the Hilton New Orleans Riverside. We're also excited to announce the upcoming $100 million transformative renovation of the Royal Palm South Beach, Miami. With the hotel having recently suspended operations, construction is expected to begin within the next few weeks. The renovation will include a complete refurbishment of all 393 guestrooms, along with the addition of 11 new rooms. All public spaces will be reimagined, including a new lobby bar, reconcept of food and beverage outlets and expanded meeting spaces designed to enhance the overall guest experience. Forecasted returns are in excess of 15% to 20% and -- with the expectation of doubling the hotel's EBITDA once stabilized. In 2025, we expect to invest a total of $310 million to $330 million on capital improvements as we continue to reinvest in our iconic portfolio with the confidence that we can generate higher development yields compared to acquisition yields. We also achieved a major milestone in the entitlements process for the planned 515 room tower and related campus expansion at Hilton Hawaiian Village. In mid-April, the City Council of Honolulu approved our discretionary entitlement applications for the project, subject to certain conditions, which we expect to be able to satisfy. We also expect to receive final administrative approval of the project by the end of this year. Additionally, given the historically wide disconnect between public and private market valuations, we remain active in repurchasing shares during the quarter at a material discount to net asset value, having bought back approximately 3.5 million shares for a total purchase price of $45 million and approximately 11.5 million shares over the past year. Finally, despite a very challenging transaction market, we continue to make progress toward our strategic initiative of selling $300 million to $400 million of noncore hotels this year. We have several assets in various stages of the marketing and disposition process, including a pending sale of a non-core hotel at very attractive pricing. However, given the current market uncertainty, we make no assurances as to whether or when the transaction will close. As a reminder, since 2017, we have sold or disposed of 45 hotels for over $3 billion, an effort that has materially reshaped our portfolio and strengthened our long-term growth path. Turning to operations. We are very pleased with the performance of our Bonnet Creek complex in Orlando, following our $220 million comprehensive renovation and meeting space expansion project. Results for the complex continue to come in well ahead of expectations with a 32% RevPAR increase in Q1 at the Waldorf Astoria, driven in large part by a surge in transient revenues of nearly 65%, while the hotel grew market share by nearly 30%. Looking ahead, the outlook for our Orlando hotels remains very strong, with group revenue pace up 9%, while the overall market is expected to witness tailwinds from the opening of Universal's new Epic Theme Park, which is anticipated to accelerate leisure transient demand into the market after its expected opening this May. EBITDA for the complex is currently forecasted to exceed $90 million in 2025, a $30 million increase over 2023. In Key West, Casa Marina delivered another strong quarter with RevPAR up 12%, and -- driven by a 680 basis point increase in occupancy and nearly 4% growth in ADR despite lapping an impressive first quarter performance last year when RevPAR growth was over 34% compared to 2023. The hotel also continued to outperform its competitive set, posting a RevPAR index above $112 million. At the reach, RevPAR held steady year-over-year, following a 7% increase in the first quarter of last year over 2023. The hotel continued to outperform, achieving an impressive RevPAR index of 119, exceeding its competitive set in March by nearly 300 basis points in occupancy and nearly $100 in rate. As we move through the second quarter, we are seeing continued solid performance from both Key West properties with RevPAR expected to trend up, low single digits fueled by Casa Marina's continued momentum, strong group booking patterns and the favorable timing of the Easter holiday shift into April. Turning to Hawaii. RevPAR across our two properties declined by 15% during the quarter as our Hilton Hawaiian Village Hotel continues to ramp up following the labor strike in Q4, and -- marginally softer inbound travel from abroad, also weighed on results with arrivals from Japan down 6% and Canada down 1.5%. However, we were very encouraged that U.S. domestic visitation remained flat year-over-year, supported by increased airlift from major U.S. carriers including new domestic routes into Honolulu announced by both Delta and American earlier this year, which continues to drive healthy inbound travel from the Mainland. At our Hilton Waikoloa Village Hotel in the Big Island, RevPAR declined just 2.5% during the quarter, while Q2 RevPAR growth is expected to accelerate to mid-single-digit range driven by the nearly 90% increase in group revenue pace during the quarter. Additionally, we continue to see benefits from our recent capital investments at both of our Hawaii hotels. At Hilton Hawaiian Village, we completed Phase 1 of the Rainbow Tower renovation in February, which included a full upgrade of 392 guestrooms and the addition of 12 new guest rooms at Waikoloa Village, Phase 1 of the Palace Tower renovation was finalized, upgrading 197 guestrooms and expanding the inventory with 6 new guest rooms. We were pleased to see meaningful rate premiums of 25% to 30% with the renovated rooms at both resorts in the first quarter, a clear reflection of the quality and impact of the investments made at both resorts. We plan to kick off the final phase of both the Rainbow Tower and Palace Tower guestroom room renovations during the third quarter, with the project extending into early next year. Looking ahead, the long-term outlook for Hawaii remains very favorable, supported by limited new supply expected through at least 2029, and the anticipated improvement of inbound travel from Japan as the dollar-yen exchange rate normalizes. Hawaii is one of the most dynamic and resilient resort markets in the country with over 3,500 feet [ph] simple guestrooms and a huge discount to replacement cost, Park remains well positioned to deliver above-average long-term growth for shareholders. With respect to fundamentals over the balance of the year, the near-term outlook for U.S. lodging fundamentals remains uncertain as the ongoing global trade war continues to delay decision-making and amplify geopolitical tensions, causing booking windows across most segments to narrow significantly in disrupting cross-border leisure travel load. April results have been mixed with preliminary RevPAR growth of 1.6%, driven by double-digit gains in New York, Orlando and San Francisco, which benefited from exceptionally strong group trends, while preliminary RevPAR in Puerto Rico increased by 25%, offset by weaker performance in Hawaii, Chicago, Seattle, New Orleans and Washington, D.C. Despite the modest decline in a select few markets, we continue to see pockets of strength in many of our resort and urban hotels. While concerns persist about a significant slowdown in both the international and government-related demand, neither has had a meaningful impact on our performance. International demand represents just 10% of total room nights, while government-related business accounts for only 3% of overall room rates. Based on our current forecast, Q2 RevPAR growth is expected to be relatively flat year-over-year or approximately 290 basis points lower than initial forecast with Hilton Hawaiian Village representing roughly 80% of the reduction. Despite ongoing macro uncertainty, we remain laser focused on factors within our control, and continue to work closely with our operators as they develop contingency plans from managing operating expenses in the event of further demand softening. Additionally, while the transaction market remains episodic, we will remain prudent capital allocators, advancing our strategic objective of selling non-core hotels to further deleverage the balance sheet and support our robust ROI pipeline. Sean will provide greater details about guidance in his remarks. Overall, I am incredibly proud of the progress we've made in elevating the overall quality of our portfolio, positioning the company for sustained long-term growth and returning capital to shareholders. Our targeted capital investments are delivering strong results, reinforcing the overall quality of our portfolio and the significant embedded value within our real estate. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Sean.
Sean Dell’Orto: Thanks, Tom. Overall, we are pleased with our first quarter results, with Q1 RevPAR exceeding expectations with reported results of $178, representing a modest 70 basis point decline over the prior year period. Difficult year-over-year comparisons were the primary driver of the decline following last year's nearly 8% growth rate with hot occupancy falling by 210 basis points during the quarter, although offset by continued rate strength with ADR up over 2.3%. Total hotel revenues for the quarter were $608 million and hotel adjusted EBITDA was $151 million, resulting in a nearly 25% hotel adjusted EBITDA margin. Total expenses were up 3.3% during the quarter with the majority of the increase related to nearly $10 million of employment tax credits and other relief grants received in Q1 of last year. Excluding these items, total comparable operating expenses increased just 1% over the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $144 million and adjusted FFO per share was $0.46. With respect to our dividend, on April 15, we paid our first quarter cash dividend of $0.25 per share and on April 25, we declared our second quarter cash dividend of $0.25 per share to be paid on July 15 to stockholders of record as of June 30. The dividend currently translates to an annualized yield of approximately 10%. Turning to guidance. As we navigate the increasingly complex global economic landscape and evaluate the impact of the escalated trade war on global travel, we have revised our full year outlook to reflect a modest slowdown in demand. As a result, we are lowering our RevPAR growth forecast by 100 basis points at the midpoint to a new range of negative 1% to positive 2%, maintaining a wider than normal range to account for the ongoing uncertainty. Note that most of this adjustment reflects a slower-than-expected recovery at Hilton Hawaiian Village, coupled with modestly weaker transient demand over the next quarter or two. Hilton Hawaiian Village, along with the overall portfolio will benefit from easier year-over-year comparisons in November and December following last year's labor strike there and in a few of our other markets. This, along with an 18% increase in Q4 group revenue pace for the portfolio should help to support low to mid-single-digit RevPAR gains during the fourth quarter. With respect to earnings, we are lowering our adjusted EBITDA forecast by just 3% at the midpoint to a new range of $590 million to $650 million. While hotel adjusted EBITDA margin range is now 25.6% and -- to 27.2% or down just 50 basis points from our initial range. And finally, adjusted FFO per share was reduced by $0.11 at the midpoint to a new range of $1.79 to $2.09 per share. Additionally, as a reminder, and included in our original guidance, renovation-related displacement at the Royal Palm South Beach Hotel is expected to reduce RevPAR growth by approximately 110 basis points for the year. This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now open the line for Q&A. To address each of your questions, we will ask to limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Operator, may we have the first question, please?