Tom Baltimore
Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead, your line is open
Thank you, Ian, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased with our first quarter results which met or exceeded expectations on several key metrics, including RevPAR, margins, EBITDA and FFO, clearly demonstrating the benefits of owning a geographically diverse portfolio of high quality hotels and resorts with multiple sources of demand. RevPAR of domestic portfolio, U.S. RevPAR on a comparable basis was up 1.7% and even with this moderated RevPAR growth, we were able to drive EBITDA margin expansion, which was up 15 basis points better than we anticipated. We are pleased with the progress that our asset management team and our operating partners at Hilton had made and starting to improve margins across the portfolio. A key driver of this improvement has been our enhanced focus on group business, an area that we have identified as a key opportunity. Total group revenues increased a solid 7% during the quarter, led primarily by a strong group fundamentals, which in turn fueled large gains in banquet and catering revenue up almost 13%. Overall, comparable RevPAR grew 1.4% during the first quarter on a currency neutral basis. Our margins for the portfolio as a whole were down 10 basis points with our solid U.S. performance offset by our international portfolio, which was down 5.3%. The drag on international was mostly felt at our Hilton asset in Brazil, which experienced a 24.1% drop in RevPAR given the challenging economic conditions in the region. Excluding San Paolo, RevPAR growth for our international hotels would have been a positive 3.7% overall. Looking to where we are in the lodging cycle, our RevPAR performance has been somewhat choppy month-to-month, fundamentals remain positive, albeit at a more moderate pace with the industry delivering its 85th consecutive month of RevPAR growth. We believe that part remains well-positioned to deliver attractive results given our diverse geographic footprint and exposure to markets with below average supply growth forecasted over the next several years. Additionally, in spite of the disappointing first quarter GDP plans from last Friday, we see several bright spots as it relates to the most recent economic data, including a healthy job market, signs of business investment picking up and corporate profits registering a fourth consecutive month of positive gains. Overall, the 2.2% GDP growth forecasted through 2018 in our opinion should be enough to keep this cycle on track, especially with the current estimates excluding any potential benefit from proposed tax cuts, deregulation and increased infrastructure spend. That said, growing uncertainty over the timing of these initiatives has started to weigh on investor sentiment and may dampen hoax of a meaningful inflection point in lodging fundamentals this year. Consequently, we remain cautiously optimistic, but continue to discount any upside into our forecast. As we discussed during our call last quarter, we believe Park holds a competitive advantage over many of our peers with one of the more compelling internal growth stories in this sector. The investment thesis in our story is simple. First, we believe we can unlock embedded value that exist within our core portfolio by closing the margin GAAP relative to our peer set, a gap that we believe we can reduce by a 150 to 200 basis points over the next 18 to 24 months by employing an active asset management strategy. The asset management story continues to take shape with Rob Tanenbaum recently expanding his team adding two season to asset managers with extensive public market experience and planning to add a Head of Revenue Management over the next several months. Second, we have a unique opportunity to activate the real estate across several of our core properties with targeted returns on invested capital of 10% to 20% upon stabilization including expanding the meeting space, platform at Dante Creek and converting the DoubleTree Fess Parker in Santa Barbara to a Hilton with a repositioning design to generate more group demand. Finally, investors impart benefit from a robust dividend that is approximately 200 basis points higher than our peer group average. When you combine these investments positive with the three pillars of our corporate strategy, operational excellence, prudent capital allocation, and conservative balance sheet management we are confident that we can deliver superior returns with shareholders over the long term. Turning to quarterly performance across our core domestic markets, our DC hotels were among our top performers following this year's Presidential Inauguration with our comparable DC portfolio posting RevPAR growth of 10% for the quarter. We expect DC to remain one of our top performing markets over the balance of the year. Not surprisingly Hawaii posted another solid quarter with RevPAR growth of 4.1% driven by strong group performance. Despite concerns over the impact of a strong dollar on International demand to the region we witnessed less than a 1% drop in total demand from abroad, all demand out of Japan by far the largest fee to market to the Ireland was actually up over 4%. Other notable performance included New York which posted a RevPAR increase of 2.9% for the quarter, outpacing a 1.3% decline in RevPAR reported by Smith Travel for the city as a whole. Our New York Hilton benefited from tailwinds following last year's room renovation coupled with strategic initiatives to further drive occupancy in both the group and transient segments. We also witnessed strong results out of Orlando with RevPAR growth of 4.2% versus 3.8% for the market and group revenues up 13% year-over-year. Chicago benefited from tailwinds from a comprehensive hotel renovation wrapped up last year where our hotels posting an 8.1% gain for the quarter. In San Francisco, certain items negatively impacted results with our hotels averaging a 3.8% RevPAR decline for the quarter, our Parc 55 hotel delivered impressive growth of 4.2% for the quarter due to the growth in the group in contracts segments. However, this was offset by the home San Francisco, which experienced an 8% decline in RevPAR due impart to the $26 billion renovation we completed during the quarter, which resulted in revenue disruption of 43.4 million or 860 basis points of impact to the hotel's RevPAR growth. Despite the decline in RevPAR overall, we materially outperformed our peers with reported average RevPAR declines of approximately 6% across San Francisco during the first quarter. Second quarter will be particularly challenging in San Francisco for all hotel operators with the Moscone Convention Center closed for renovations driving convention room nights down nearly 30% for the year. Despite this headwind, we remain confident in our ability to continue to outpace the market given our nearly 3,000 hotel rooms and a 168,000 square feet of meeting space across our complex of hotels and unit square. Along these lines, I would like to highlight our team's efforts at our San Francisco properties as they have taken a very proactive approach at grouping up and have replaced 26,000 of the 36,000 room nights' loss associated with Citywide Conventions at Moscone. We are actively engaged with Hilton to generate in-house group business and we'll add additional resources to supplement our group efforts. Turning your attention to our portfolio refinement strategy, overtime, we intend to reposition the portfolio to focus exclusively on abrupt scale and luxury branded hotels across the top 25 largest MSAs in the United States. This was a longer-term initiative, but we anticipate recycling the bottom 10% to 15% of our portfolio over the next several years. Our investments team led by Matt Sparks, is currently working on a detailed strategic plan to determine the scope of our non-core asset sale program. While the team is still in the early stages of the analysis, they have identified a potential pool of 10 to 15 non-core assets representing $40 million to $45 of EBITDA that are likely candidates for sale. Generally speaking, these assets were locating in secondary markets both abroad and here in the United States, with an average RevPAR that is 25% below the portfolio average. We expect that sale proceeds will be used to fund acquisitions, to retain 1031 like kind exchange as we look to reposition the part portfolio to focus exclusively on abrupt scale and luxury branded hotels across the top 25 largest MSAs in the United States. As for the transaction market, in general, given the global thirst for yield, coupled with renewed confidence on the sustainability of the lodging recovery we believe the window of opportunity to sell non-core secondary market assets remains open. We will update the investment community as the plan materializes in the weeks and months ahead. In terms of straight acquisitions, we currently remain on these sidelines in the near term as our primary focus is on operational excellence given the enormous value creation opportunity we see on the margin front, although, we remain committed to growing our footprint over the long term. So to summarize, we are very pleased with our operating results as our geographically diversified portfolio of hotels located in markets with below average supply growth, and multiple levers of demand help to deliver stronger than expected RevPAR performance for the quarter. While we anticipate second quarter to be one of the more challenging in quarters this year due to tougher year-over-year comps and weaker expectations on the group side, we remain cautiously optimistic on performance for the year and reiterate our 0% to plus 2% comparable RevPAR guidance for the year. I will now turn the call over to Sean, who will provide you with some detail on our first quarter activity and address some housekeeping matters which speak to our increased guidance for the year.