Randal Kirk
Analyst · Wunderlich Securities
It’s not a headwind, it’s an opportunity. So let me just mention, we’ve talked about this on maybe every call, but at least most calls in the past. We acquired Trans Ova, because this is by far the number one team, the number one capability for the production of bovine embryos, which are delivered in frozen condition. It can be delivered anywhere in the world. So the short answer to the question, how can you export dairy industry to India, China, Middle East, and Africa, really superior genetics - with really superior genetics? The answer is FedEx. And the reason we know that answer is, because we do it every day out of Trans Ova. The acquisition was really to give us the team that has the greatest amount of domain expertise in this field. So that we can work with them really in two areas, one is to push out the boundaries of what is known in the field of bovine reproductive biology. And the second one is the application, which Intrexon is quite good, the application of high throughput systems, really industrial engineering around a biologic process. And the combination of these, we expect it’s going to significantly reduce - the target is to significantly reduce our COGS on frozen bovine embryos. We think that accomplishing that really gives us two scenarios. One is we have a very - we have a high degree of confidence in achieving and the other one is more aspirational I will say. The one we have a high degree of confidence in achieving is this is going to be a great business. And it’s going to be a great biotechnology business, because we think this can be the leading platform to transmit superior genetics in the bovine species anywhere in the world. The more aspirational goal if you think about it is that if we can get the COGS and we believe this is possible, we have not achieved this yet. If we can get the COGS on these embryos down to a certain point, then we could compete not only in the genetics business, but genuinely compete in the business of bovine reproduction i.e., compete for share with AI and other methods combine both, if I have you, other means of achieving bovine reproduction, which is very important. And bear in mind, the U.S. dairy, I mean, the worldwide dairy industry is around $180 billion, the worldwide bees industry is another $180 billion. If we can achieve a significant share, even modest share frankly of the bovine reproduction revenues, that would be definitely worth pursuing. So, again, we feel very confident of the first scenario. The second one is more aspirational. It’s going to take more work to really get the COGS down to that point, but we think that maybe achievable.