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Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS)

Q3 2008 Earnings Call· Mon, Nov 3, 2008

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello and welcome to the Provident Financial Services Inc. third quarter 2008 earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) Now, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Paul Pantozzi.

Paul Pantozzi

Management

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter 2008 earnings call. I’ll begin with our standard caution as to any forward-looking statements that may be made in the course of our discussion. The full disclaimer can be found in the text of our earnings release and you can obtain a copy of that, as well as all our other releases and SEC filings by accessing our website, providentnj.com or by calling our Investor Relations at 201-915-5344. For today’s presentation, I’m joined by our Chief Financial Officer, Linda Niro and by Chris Martin, our President and Chief Operating Officer. Net income for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 was $13.2 million, or $0.23 per diluted share as compared to $8.3 million, or $0.14 per share for the third quarter 2007, and $10.4 million, or $0.18 a share for the second quarter of 2008. Each of the quarters I just cited had one-time charges that were particular to that quarter. The quarter just ended, other than temporary impairment charges of $869,000, net of tax were recognized on one debt security issued by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and also on two equity holdings in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principals. In the third quarter of 2007, we recorded employee severance charges of $1.9 million, net of tax. In the second quarter 2008, we recorded severance charges of $503,000, net of tax. I would like to emphasize, however, that our earnings performance in the most recent quarter was driven primarily by our ongoing focus on the fundamentals of our business; namely, expansion of our net interest margin and management of non-interest expenses. Linda will take us through the components of the net interest margin calculation. But regarding expenses, I would like to note that the ratio of non-interest expense to average…

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Paul. The net interest margin increased 17 basis points to 3.27% during the third quarter compared to 3.10% during the second quarter of 2008. The increase in the margin was due primarily to a decrease of 22 basis points in the average cost of deposits to 2.19% from 2.41% in the trailing quarter. The cost of borrowed funds also decreased 22 basis points sequentially, resulting in an overall reduction in the cost of interest bearing liabilities of 19 basis points to 2.55% from 2.74% in the trailing quarter. The average yield on net loans increased 2 basis points to 5.78% from 5.76% and the average yield on investments decreased 7 basis points to 4.59% from 4.66% on a linked-quarter basis. The average yield on interest earnings assets was little changed at 5.51% compared to 5.5% in the trailing quarter. Total investments decreased approximately $30 million during the third quarter to $1.23 billion and represented just over 19% of total assets at September 30, compared to 19.7% at June 30. The investment portfolio consists primarily of agency-guaranteed mortgage-backed securities and bank qualified municipal bonds. There are no preferred or trust preferred equities in the portfolio. The portfolio had a weighted average life of 4.8 years and a duration of 3.9 years at September 30. During the quarter, total loans increased $101 million or 2.4% sequentially. The largest increase in the portfolio was in residential mortgage loans, which increased $66.1 million. Commercial mortgage and multi-family loans increased $36 million. Construction loans increased $6 million. Consumer loans increased $5.3 million, while commercial loans decreased $13.6 million sequentially. Commercial loans as a percentage of total loans were 44.7% at September 30, compared to 45.1% of the portfolio at June 30. The significant tightening of credit, the residual effects of subprime lending and…

Operator

Operator

Our first question comes from Mark Fitzgibbon - Sandler O’Neill and Partners. Mark Fitzgibbon - Sandler O’Neill and Partners : Thanks. First, and I apologize if you mentioned this because I hopped on the call a minute or two late, but do you plan to participate in the Treasury’s voluntary capital purchase plan?

Paul Pantozzi

Management

We have not made that determination yet, Mark. We’re taking it under advisement and doing the analysis as we speak. Mark Fitzgibbon - Sandler O’Neill and Partners : Okay. Then secondly, I noticed in your unfunded pipeline you had about $120 million of construction loans. Does it make sense to leave those unfunded given the market conditions, or are these real attractive loans that you feel like make a lot of sense to lend right now?

Christopher Martin

Analyst

We do lend to our customers who have been with us a long time. And they see opportunities, albeit it may be at cheaper levels, but then it may be outside of the New Jersey market out in Pennsylvania, primarily. Most of our loan documentation and our loans other than the ones that we have detailed in the Q would state that we’re still following our customers. There’s still some opportunity and I don’t think we can cut back on the unfunded. We just have to watch as things progress and things are slow out there, but still performing. Mark Fitzgibbon - Sandler O’Neill and Partners : Is it residential construction or commercial construction?

Christopher Martin

Analyst

Residential and commercial, but more residential. Mark Fitzgibbon - Sandler O’Neill and Partners : Okay. And then, I wondered if you could just give us a sense for how the 30 to 90-day delinquency trends are looking?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

30 to 60 actually came down in the third quarter, Mark, to $21.2 million from just about $24 million in the second quarter. Mark Fitzgibbon - Sandler O’Neill and Partners : Okay. And then, last question, probably Linda, on the margin, obviously the trend was fabulous this quarter. Can you hold the margin at this level do you think?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

We think we’ll still get a little bit more expansion in the fourth quarter, not 27 basis points. I think probably more five to seven. Mark Fitzgibbon - Sandler O’Neill and Partners : Super. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

In the fee income, the $1.2 million increase in the market value of equity holdings?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Right

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

What was that?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

We have equity funds that we hold at the holding company level and that’s the change in the fair value of those funds. It’s actually income that we earn, so it swung quarter-to-quarter.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

So a couple hedge funds that were massively short and made the right call?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Let’s hope so.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

Got you. Okay. Then you had mentioned that the OTTI was $1.4 million on the Lehman security and two other common stocks. What were the gains that helped offset that?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Okay. The $1.4 million was the total of all three of those.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

Right

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

And we had $442,000 in gains on securities sales of other equities that we sold in the quarter at a gain.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

Other common equity?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Other common equity, yes.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

Got it. I missed those numbers on the stock-based compensation again. What was the total amount of the option vesting and restricted stock awards that will no longer be running through the P&L?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

All of them vested, so we went from $2.3 million in the second quarter and $1.5 million in the third quarter. That was the decrease and probably going forward it will be about $1 million in the quarter.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

Okay. So it will be a little bit more coming through?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Because the awards finished vesting in August and the options in July.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

Got you. Then just getting back to the TARP, what are the elements of the TARP that still need consideration? What would prevent you from participating at this point? We’ve had some time now to review the details of the plan.

Paul Pantozzi

Management

We were actually preparing for this call in our Board meeting yesterday, so we reviewed certain elements of it with our Board yesterday. We’ll make that determination in the next week to 10 days.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne, Agee

Analyst

Okay, all right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Richard Weiss - Janney Montgomery Scott.

Richard Weiss - Janney Montgomery Scott

Analyst

I was wondering if you could talk about the loan growth and why the growth came from residential mortgages? Are you seeing opportunities in the market?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

We are. We’re actually seeing some home buying activity. I think some foreclosure data in New Jersey came out today that isn’t very positive, but there is certainly still areas of this state where there is buying going on. It’s slowing down. I don’t think you’re going to see that same level of activity in the fourth quarter.

Richard Weiss - Janney Montgomery Scott

Analyst

Are they mostly jumbo mortgages?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

No.

Richard Weiss - Janney Montgomery Scott

Analyst

Okay. Conformant?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Yes.

Richard Weiss - Janney Montgomery Scott

Analyst

And second, with regard to fee income, it looks like it jumped up, was that deposit fees to the $7.3 million?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Again, it was change in the value of fees on equity funds that we hold.

Richard Weiss - Janney Montgomery Scott

Analyst

Okay. Finally, it’s probably more of a Mark Fitzgibbons question, but with respect to the tax rate, what would be a good rate to use going forward?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

Rick, we are still targeting a 27% effective tax rate through year-end.

Richard Weiss - Janney Montgomery Scott

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jason O’Donnell - Boenning & Scattergood. Jason O’Donnell - Boenning & Scattergood : Congratulations on a good quarter. I just had a couple of quick questions. Back on the lending side, it looks to me like you’re experiencing a pickup in origination activity in the most recent quarters. Are there any particular competitors that you feel you’re competing more effectively with now than you have in the past?

Christopher Martin

Analyst

Certainly, the Wachovia impact and maybe a more of Sovereign coming up into the near term, are definitely not really paying attention to their customers and were becoming maybe one of the choices, where in the past we wouldn’t have seen that. Also, securitization and some of the Wall Street liquidity events that were made by putting these into the securities are now gone, so that is opening up opportunities for us to establish relationships with people that really wouldn’t have considered us or any other institution in the state. They were always going to the conduits, so those are the primary areas. Jason O’Donnell - Boenning & Scattergood : Okay. And that’s mainly on the commercial side?

Christopher Martin

Analyst

Yes. Jason O’Donnell - Boenning & Scattergood : Okay, and the other question I had, and I apologize if you broke this out in the beginning, and I just missed it. On the severance charges that you took, if you could just break out for me, if you didn’t already, what the charge was in the third quarter, and whether or not you expect any additional severance charges related to the voluntary resignation program that you initiated last year?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

No, we took all of the charges last year in the third quarter for that voluntary resignation program that was in effect. Jason O’Donnell - Boenning & Scattergood : Okay.

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

I’m sorry: second quarter 2008, and those are complete; there are no further charges. Jason O’Donnell - Boenning & Scattergood : Okay, there were no severance charges for the third quarter?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

No. Jason O’Donnell - Boenning & Scattergood : Okay, great. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Collyn Gilbert - Stifel Nicolaus.

Collyn Gilbert - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning. Could you just go through a little bit more detail on what you are seeing in terms of credit trends? Where you are seeing weakness or where you are concerned within the segments of your portfolio, or just kind of the general economic conditions in the market?

Christopher Martin

Analyst

We are really comfortable with our balance sheet. We know our customers very well. We meet and talk to them personally. Outside that spectrum, we can’t control what is going on in the market. I think that’s what we are watching and seeing, again, some evidence of some slowing out there. I don’t think that we are going to be abstained from that. The other side is a lot of it would be employment related, especially in the one- to four-family. If unemployment continues to crop up, we’re going to probably see some impact just like anybody else would. On the other side, we certainly have had some loans that either the notes have been bought by another customer or had paid off. So, we think that if anything we are still in good position with our customers as we know them today.

Collyn Gilbert - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Okay, so there’s nothing more on the commercial side that you are seeing stress on or that your have a heightened awareness of specifically?

Paul Pantozzi

Management

Nothing new at this point in time.

Collyn Gilbert - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Okay, and then could you just comment on, I know obviously, as you mentioned, you’re evaluating the potential on the TARP, but more so your appetite for M&A? It seems as if we are going to be in a consolidating environment, and you certainly have tapped into that as a source of growth in the past. What is your view on M&A now, as we look forward?

Paul Pantozzi

Management

I think that we’ll continue to be very selective in anything that we might look at in the future.

Collyn Gilbert - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

And that’s just because of the risk that might come with an institution?

Paul Pantozzi

Management

That’s because of the risk profile that we operate within this company, and the consistency with which we do that.

Collyn Gilbert - Stifel Nicolaus

Analyst

Okay, that was all. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Tim [Brassler] - KBW. Tim [Brassler] - KBW : Good morning. My question is regarding the provision. It’s a little elevated from the past two quarters. Is this in regards to any particular credit or just general market trends?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

It’s based on our evaluation of our loan portfolio at September 30, and the fact that we did have a slight increase in non-accrual loans. We had growth in the portfolio in the quarter, and yes, due to general economic conditions, and the uncertainty that goes along with the current environment that we operate in. Tim [Brassler] - KBW : Okay, so going forward, we could expect to see a slightly elevated provision than the normalized run rate?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

I don’t think that would be unreasonable. Tim [Brassler] - KBW : Okay, great. Second question is in regards to the operating expenses. Should we be expecting any kind of seasonality in the fourth quarter?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

I don’t think to any great degree. There is always accrual true-ups in the fourth quarter, but I don’t see anything much different in the fourth quarter than what you saw in the third. Tim [Brassler] - KBW : Okay, perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ross Haberman - Harberman Funds.

Ross Haberman - Harberman Funds

Analyst

Two questions probably for Chris. Chris, did you have any exposure to trust preferreds either direct or pooled?

Christopher Martin

Analyst

None.

Ross Haberman - Harberman Funds

Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

We have a question from Matthew Kelley - Sterne Agee.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne Agee

Analyst

Just a follow-up on the tax rate. I know you said 27%, but what about if you think out longer term? How long could some of those tax benefits allow you to have an all-in tax rate below 30%?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

We have been really consistent Mark with our effective tax rate. The only thing that would push it up, and I’m not really seeing it at this time, is that if there is a change in our mix of pre-tax income. Right now, greater proportion of it is in tax-exempt income. I wasn’t even really talking about the impact of the utilization of the capital losses that we were able to offset in the third quarter.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne Agee

Analyst

Okay, all right. It’s mostly the municipal type investments that are allowing you to have that rate?

Linda Niro

Chief Financial Officer

That’s correct. Some of our tax-exempt income.

Matthew Kelley - Sterne Agee

Analyst

Okay, all right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

We show no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Paul Pantozzi for any closing remarks.

Paul Pantozzi

Management

We would like to thank you for joining us on this call. We look forward to hearing from you on our next call. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.