Jay Snowden
Analyst · Barclays. Please proceed with your question
Thanks Tim, good morning everyone. I just want to underscore Tim's comments on the slight miss here in the second quarter. We don't take it lightly. We've got a track record of exceeding guidance that we're very proud of. I do want to point out that in the second quarter, it wasn't all bad. We had some bright spots, record EBITDA margins at three of our four Ohio properties took place in the second quarter. Record EBITDA margins since the property opened, quarterly margins at our property in Massachusetts, Plainridge Parks. We saw strength at both of our Las Vegas properties which I'll detail in a moment. And we continue to gain profitable market share on both sides of the State in Missouri. That was however offset by rated-player losses at our Zia Park property due to the depressed oil-dependent feeder markets in Eastern New Mexico and Western Texas as well as in Illinois and the Gulf Coast and Mississippi, due to additional supply in those markets. Perhaps the most impactful and unanticipated dynamic in the second quarter was the unrated softness that hit us in the months of May and June in several of our key markets. For the second quarter as a whole, we saw a 2% decline in our unrated business versus the first quarter, a 4% gain. So pretty significant shift from Q1 to Q2 that obviously affected our second quarter results. The million-dollar question of course is why? I think Tim articulated well some of the pull forwards into Q1 this year versus last year due to the softer or more mild weather and the lack of pent-up demand in the second quarter that took place in 2016 versus 2015. So there is some that's explainable and some that's less explainable, the macroeconomic indicators continue to be healthy, we're seeing job and income growth, gas prices are still down 10%-plus year-on-year and there is improving home values across most key markets. However, the results of economic and political uncertainty that seems to be weighing on discretionary spend in the second quarter. Regional gaming is not alone, you're seeing this in QSR and casual dining results in the second quarter as well. So I think the key question, what's to expect going forward? We took our best data forecasting the answer to that question for the remainder of the year in our second half guidance that Saul will walk you through in a moment. We were able to maintain our margins in the second quarter, despite some of these unrated surprises in the consumer behavior and we will be prepared, as we move forward, for any situation that we're presented were. We'll remain disciplined and prudent in our approach to managing this business as we always have. I want to talk specifically about some highlights in the second quarter with regards to Las Vegas because I think those results, though positive, were largely masked in the South and West segment by softness in New Mexico and Mississippi. So specific to Tropicana Las Vegas, April wasn't a great month for us. We had a tremendous amount casino floor disruption as we worked on the final implementation from our Key Rewards. We had hundreds of slot machines down each week for most of that month, but we were very encouraged by what we saw in the month of May and June, over 10,000 database room nights. In the hotel, we saw a slot volume increases of over 30% year-on-year, RevPAR record growth for Tropicana in the second quarter of 6.5%. And we talked a lot about this hotel block dynamic of wanting to shift away from leisure, OTA, wholesale to casino block and we're happy to report that's a nice work in progress. A year ago Q2, Tropicana had a casino block less than 10%. In the Q2 this year, it was over 20% and the wholesale OTA block last year in Q2 was 52% of the room nights, and this year 36%. So we're moving in the right direction. Obviously, revenue and EBITDA trends are tracking along with the hotel dynamics that I described. With regards to M Resort, we had record EBITDA and EBITDA margins in both Q1 and Q2 at that property, so tremendous momentum in the Las Vegas locals market as, I think, has been well-articulated by many and we're happy with how the businesses are both tracking in July as well. More globally, the promotional environment remained stable across our key markets. We're obviously keeping a close eye on the Washington DC, Northern Virginia, Western Maryland markets in anticipation of MGM National Harbor opening in December. And lastly, I'll finish with some comments on July. We're certainly feeling a little bit better than we were in May and June. We're seeing some improvements sequentially from May-June into July with regards to both rated and unrated aspects of our database as well as visitation. And I think, as I alluded to earlier, and certainly was reflected in our margin performance in the second quarter, we'll be prepared for whatever comes our way as we move forward for the rest of the year. We move fast, we act fast and we take a lot of pride in that. So with that, I'll turn it over to Saul to walk you through guidance.